How long ?

By afternoon today , it will no more be a question ,

"  Will AAP form a government in Delhi  ? "

Over the past 10 days , people of Delhi have decided that

Question will be ,

"  How long will that government last  ?  "

My guess :

It will last until after the 2014 national elections

Neither Congress , nor BJP want to run the risk of a re-poll in Delhi

They know that they will get wiped out in case of a re-poll

But one thing is certain

Despite its desire to keep BJP out of power in Delhi by propping up AAP , Congress will withdraw its " outside support ' , if pushed to the wall by AAP

That would depend on what are AAP's priorities , viz:

>  Deliver on its promises of " pro-poor " reforms ( water / power / prices )

OR

>  Launch a barrage of " anti - congress " / " anti-corruption " investigations

Any attempt to embarrass / humiliate Congress , at this stage, will backfire  !

If that happens , Congress will not hesitate for a re-poll ,- come what may  !

The questions that AAP leaders must debate this morning , are :

>  Can we fulfill our promises to people without getting uninterrupted 6

    months to perform  ?

   

>  What is more important in the short - term  from viewpoint of Delhi-ites ?

>  If we do not get next 6 months to carry out our reforms , can we make

    a meaningful impact on 760 million voters in 2014  ?

>  If Congress withdraws its outside support after 2 months , will BJP come

    forward to support or will they gloat , " We had told you AAP can't last "

>   What will we achieve by focusing on past corrupt deeds of Congress ?

     People already know about these . How will exposing these deeds help

     people right now ?

>   Should not our TOP-MOST priority be to offer good governance  ?

>   Can we not leave this matter ( of past corrupt deeds ) to Jan-lokpal

     and the judiciary  ?

Dear Arvind ,

If  you have learned your " Game Theory " ( John Nash ) well at IIT , you are expected to be a " Rational Player " , whose sole focus is ,

"  Forget about the dis-advantages of the opponent ( in this case , discomfiture of Congress ) . That is NOT the winning strategy

What move will secure AAP's long-term advantage ?  "

I am not asking you to compromise with your principles

Just get your priority right  !

*   hemen   parekh  (  23  Dec  2013  /  Mumbai  )