Friday, 15 May 2015

Poll-Results are Out

Poll-Results  are  Out


Almost one year back , I wrote the following blog, listing my own predictions for NDA Government's likely achievements, after 3 years in power

To be fair , only ONE year  has elapsed !

I am sure tempo of reforms will pick up in the days and months to come, - and prove me wrong !

hemen  parekh

hcp@RecruitGuru.com

16  May  2015

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 What  Are   the  Chances  ?


Over the past few weeks , we saw many surveys re: which political party will win how many Lok Sabha seats


These included , Times Now-ORG / CNN-IBN-CSDS / Headlines Today - Cicero / ABP News-Nielsen / News 24 - Today's Chanakya / Cvoter - India TV etc


Although , " Today's Chanakya " came closest to predicting the number of seats that NDA might win , others too were fairly accurate


Using statistical techniques , they computed the Chance ( Probability ) for each party , based on asking a few thousands voters ( sample ) , their preferences


Now is the time to survey the voters , once again , as to what do they believe , when it comes to BJP fulfilling its poll promises


For each item ( of BJP's poll manifesto ) , what is the perceived chance ( probability ) that the BJP Government will fulfill / deliver on its promises ? Will it be 10 % - 50 % - 100 %  ?


The outcome will determine BJP's credibility among voters , vis-a-vis , its poll promises


It may be even an eye-opener for BJP  !


If conducted and results published by end June 2014 , such a survey might even become a " Self Fulfilling Prophesy "  !


If it turns out less-than-flattering , BJP will work twice as hard to prove the pollsters wrong  !


Here are the " Chances " which I attach to fulfillment of each of BJP's following poll promises , by the end of 3rd year :


*  Ensure minimization of Black Money and setting up of a Task
    Force  ......... ( 50 % )


*  Special Courts to stop hoarding and black-marketing. ( 100 %)


*  Set-up a Price-Stabilization Fund.......( 100 % )


*  Develop labour-intensive Manufacturing ...  (  10 %  )


*  Empowering youth for Self-Employment...  ( 25 % )


*  Transforming Employment Exchanges to Career Centers(10% )


*  Eliminating corruption thru E-Governance... ( 10 % )


*  Rationalization / Simplification of Tax-regime.. ( 20 % )


*  Insulate intelligence agencies from political intervention and
    interference..... ( 10 % )


*  Strengthening physical infrastructure with expediting work on
    freight and Industrial Corridors..... ( 15 % )


*  Setting up Gas-Grids and National Optical Fiber Network up to
    the village level.......  (  30 %  )


*  Quadrilateral project for Bullet Trains..... (  5  %  )


*  Establishment of National E - Library.....  (  40  %  )


*  Implementation of National Education Policy .. ( 50 % )


*  Evolving further the PPP model to PPPP model .. ( 50 % )


*  Building 100 Mega-Cities................  (  0  %  )




Did I miss out any  ?


Parallel with whatever the Pollsters may - or may not - do , it would be worthwhile for BJP Tech-Team , to come out with a mobile App ( to be named , " RUN - Rate Us Now " ? ), to find out what voters feel , on a 5 star scale


Or , an App that would let the voters prioritize among various promises



*  hemen  parekh  (  19 May 2014 / Mumbai  )

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Make    Yourself    Heard

Dear Visitor :

It is time for YOU to speak up - and demand that YOU are heard

By emailing this suggestion - incorporating your OWN improvements - to the following Policy Makers

(  Just multiple copy all the following Email IDs into the Recipient column of your Outlook and Copy / paste this suggestion in the Message Box ) :


    narendramodi1234@gmail.com; 38ashokroad@gmail.com;ajaitley@del5.vsnl.net.in; jayant.sinha19@sansad.nic.in;piyush.goyal@gov.in;nitin.gadkari@nic.in; spprabhu1@rediffmail.com;bandaru@sansad.nic.in;smritizirani@nic.in;nsitharaman@nic.in; ravis@sansad.nic.in;sureshprabhu@irctc.co.in;prakash.j@sansad.nic.in;secy-ipp@nic.in; amitabh.kant@nic.in; shaktikanta.das@nic.in; rsecy@nic.in; adhia1981@gmail.com; ceo-niti@nic.in; atul-chaturvedi@nic.in; uma.bharati@sansad.nic.in; d.pradhan@sansad.nic.in; rprudy.office@gmail.com; rudypr@rediffmail.com; eam@mea.gov.in; mosvks@mea.gov.in; mvnaidu@sansad.nic.in; mnaqvi@sansad.nic.in; rao.inderjit@sansad.nic.in; mljoffice@gov.in; sadananda.gowda@sansad.nic.in; ministerminority@gov.in; najmah@sansad.nic.in; minister-ca@nic.in; ramvilas.paswan@sansad.nic.in; gandhim@sansad.nic.in; akumar-alpha@sansad.nic.in; jpnadda@sansad.nic.in; hm.moca@nic.in; geete@sansad.nic.in; simratbadal@yahoo.com; ns.tomar@nic.in; rmsingh@sansad.nic.in; tc.gehlot@sansad.nic.in; dr.harshvardhan@sansad.nic.in   




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