But Indian industrialists ( Mukesh – Mittal – Munjal –
Maini ) are certainly worried about their factory workers to :
Ø Produce
a Domicile Certificate before getting a job
Ø May
be even having to produce a “ WORK PERMIT “ ( ala H1-B Visa ? ) from the States
concerned
Context :
How
other States may replicate Haryana’s New bill reserving 75 % jobs for locals in
private sector
Extract :
Ø Haryana
# Every employer to employ 75 % local candidates in posts where wages
are not
over Rs 50,000 / month
# Employers can claim exemption if sufficient local candidates with skills
are not available
Ø Andhra Pradesh
# Industries, factories, PPP projects to ensure 75 % employment to local
candidates
# If qualified lcal candidates are not available, industry must train locals in
3 years
Ø Karnataka
# In September, government said it will issue directive to recruit locals in
Group C & D ( clerical ) jobs in PSUs; says “natives “must be given
priority in private
sector too
Ø Uttarakhand
# CM directs industry department to formulate a proposal to ensure that 70
% of jobs in state’s
industries will go to local
Karnataka keeps law on job
quota for locals at bay
Extract :
Ø Although the Constitutional validity
of such laws remain challenged in court, Haryana's move has revived the debate in Karnataka
where this has been tried before
Ø "Under such a
law, special permission should be sought from the government if a company has
less than 75% local employees. This leads to a lot of logistical complications,
as it is not necessary that all expertise required to run a firm or a factory
is available locally “
Ø "Though
reasonable restrictions to provide up to 50% reservation is fine, a higher limit is
against the well-being of a company, which should be empowered to make its own
appointments,"
Ø Deputy Chief Minister
C N Ashwath Narayan, who heads the IT/BT department, concurred and said companies would prefer
states with fewer regulations of this kind. He even called it 'retrograde'.
===================================================
WHY WOULD ELON MUSK NOT CARE ?
( A )
He has his plate full
Ø He has no compulsion to put up his 5th
Gigafactory in India .
Ø After his first factory in Freemont ( USA ) , he broke ground for his 2nd factory in
Shanghai ( China ) in 2018 and started assembly within ONE YEAR
! This factory is expected to deliver 250,000 cars in 2020 !
Ø His 3rd factory in Berlin is under construction and expected to start production by end
2021
Ø His 4th factory in Austin ( USA ) is also under construction and will start production by
2022
( B ) He has other options
for his next factory
Ø He has no compulsion to put up his 5th
Gigafactory in India. For his 5th factory , he is looking at
Singapore / Vietnam / Indonesia
( C ) As compared with any auto factory of the world, Tesla needs far fewer Man-hours / unit,
to produce a car
Ø All of his factories are highly
automated with specialized ROBOTS and require very few human workers
( D ) Following Wright’s Law , Tesla’s labour requirement is dropping by 15-20 %
with
each doubling of
Refer :
Y=axb
Wright’s Law Formula
Y = cumulative average time (or cost) per
unit
X = cumulative number of units produced
a = time (or cost) required to produce 1st unit
b = slope of the function
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7lKRL7Hghfk
Now , consider the following :
Ø By March 2020 , Tesla rolled out its first MILLIONTH ( cumulative
) car
Ø By Dec 2020 , Tesla would have capacity to produce
650,000 cars / year ( between California and China factories )
Ø Hence
, by middle of 2022 , it would have produced ( cumulative
), 2 MILLION cars
and dropped its “ labour requirement “ by
another 20 % from current level
Ø With
coming on stream of Berlin and Austin factories ( by Dec 2021 ? ) , Tesla could
conceivably achieve a cumulative production of 4 million car by Dec 2024 – once again dropping
its “ labour requirement “ by yet another 20
% !
If Tesla puts up a plant in India in 2024 , chances are
, it may not need more than a few hundred highly qualified engineers ( all
drawing a salary of Rs 1 lakh / month ? ) for maintenance of its highly automated robotic
plant !
If Tesla could already offer FSD ( Full Self Driving ) cars
( without a human driver ) – and that too on complicated roads / turns /
traffic signals / unpredictable drivers of other cars etc., then there is good
reason to believe that it could easily operate its future streamlined manufacturing
/ assembly lines, with
hardly a human around !
By that time, the way our States are getting busy with
their hollow / populist “ carrots “, it is conceivable that I may need to
obtain a TOURIST VISA to travel from Mumbai to Mangalore !
We have earlier heard :
Man proposes , God disposes
Now I am hearing :
Centre proposes ( to multinationals to shift their
manufacturing plants from China to India ) , States are disposing !
Is there any State Chief Minister, courageous enough to
say :
“ Hey, Elon :
Put up your plant in my state, as long as all of your
employees are INDIANS “
With regards,
Hemen parekh / hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 17 Nov 2020
Related Readings :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tesla_Model_3
https://futurism.com/the-byte/tesla-cancels-35000-model-3-car?mc_eid=a96c428172&mc_cid=4cffed8629
https://futurism.com/graphene-batteries-gamechanger
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