Saturday, 8 February 2014

A Ticking Time-Bomb ?



Consider the following  :


*  India's population is 1220 million


*  Annual net increase is 15 + million


*  285 million are in the age group of 15-29


*  When GDP was growing at 8 %, we added 5 million jobs / year


*  Now that GDP is down to 4.9 % , we are adding 1 million jobs / year


*  Jobs in India can grow at 15 million / year if GDP grows at 12 % / year  !


*  41 million unemployed are registered with 900+ Employment Exchanges


*  Employment Exchanges find jobs for a mere 3 lakh / year  !


*  Annually , 14 million ( 15 - 1 ) get added to the ranks of jobless !


*  It takes Rs 1 million by way of Capital Investment , to create ONE job


*  National economies around the world are slowing down or shrinking


*  Unemployment among youth has become universal problem


*  All around the World , governments are cutting back on Welfare expenses


*  Root cause of ALL protests / riots / demos everywhere , is JOBLESSNESS


*  Don't be fooled by experts who describe India's Youth as Demographic
    Dividend !


*  Despite being a " Low Cost Economy " ( meaning wages / salaries at 10%
    of those in developed countries ) , jobs are NOT flowing to India . Why ?
    Our youth lack the necessary " Skills " - making them unemployable


*   UPA-2 Government is trying to fool us by saying NSDC ( National Skills
     Development Corporation ) will train 500 million youth in next 5 years !


*   On the other hand , there is NO incentive to Private Sector Industries , to
     come forward to invest in training these 500 million - something that
     would require an investment of Rs 250 Million Million


*   Private Sector has ,  required Money / Expertise / Organizational setup
     to impart such training


*   But that money is in the form of BLACK MONEY  !


*   So , what is the ANSWER  ?


*   Introduce a AMNESTY SCHEME , under which no questions will be asked
     as to the source of funds ( ie Black Money ) , if these are invested by
     the Private Sector in training of India's Youth , in prescribed Skills


*   Private Sector should be allowed to charge a reasonable fee from each
     trainee , 50 % of which should be subsidized by State Governments


*   Income earned  ( from Fees ) shall be tax-free for 10 years



If UPA -2 gets wiped out in 2014 , it won't be because of corruption  !

It will be because of JOBLESSNESS amongst the FIRST-TIME voters  !


And , if NDA comes to power but fails to defuse the ticking TIME BOMB of
UNEMPLOYMENT , it will meet with the same fate in 2019 !


Are our NETAS willing to think " Out of Box "  ?


It is still not too late  !




*   hemen  parekh  ( 09  Feb  2014  /  Mumbai )

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