Monday, 7 May 2018

#UnEmployment #JobsData #EPFO #DigitalIndia


Jobs  Data : How to automate Compilation


Economic Times ( 06 May 2018 ) carries following article :









Summary :


*  CMIE’s ESTIMATE of JOBS


   2016-17…………………….406.7  million
   2017-18…………………… 406     million




*  GHOSH & GHOSH  STUDY


    FY  17……………………….. 45.4 lakh additions to payroll across 190 industries
    FY  18……………………… ..36.8 lakh




*  EPFO  Data


    Dec-Feb ( FY 18 ) ……………. 9.7 lakh
    Apr-Feb……………………………   46.5 lakh additions to payroll

    Sep-Feb  (  FY  18  )…………  31.1 lakh jobs created of which 18-25 age group category
                                             has 22 lakh






This divergence is not surprising !



It is much like having 5 wall clocks in your drawing room, each needing occasional winding



You may rest assured that , quite likely , all will show a different  “ time “ – even if slightly different from the others



And just because you have 5 clocks to depend upon, you become careless in timely winding !  You feel , you can always count on at least one to be working and showing correct time



Except that you don’t know which one !



So , expect this controversy ( as to which Job Data is correct ) to continue , even after 5 years



Now , the Chinese are very obsessed about “ Skilling / Re-Skilling “ their manpower



So , they are unlikely to be satisfied with just data about their “ Unemployment Rate





They would want unassailable data about :



#   Total number of employees ( category / region / industry )


#   Employment Density ( Industry wise / Region wise / Skill wise etc )


#   Net Employment Growth Rate ( weekly - monthly / Industry-wise )


#   Co-relation with no of persons graduating at various levels


#   Data about those Unemployed ( " Graduating " less " Employed " )


#   Overtime Statistics ( Use / Abuse )


#   Work-hour Analysis ( Ave hours / week - month )


#   Wage / Salary Rates ( Yuan per hour ) - Industry wise / Region wise


#   Compliance with labour laws / tax laws / Apprentice Act etc


#   Job Market Forecasts through BIG DATA ANALYTIC ( region / industry )


#   Demographic  Profiles of employees  ( Rural to Urban migration )


#   Per Capita Income Growth for persons  ( MOM / YOY )


#   Changing composition between Blue Collar and White Collar employees




So , expect them to implement , in the next 6 months :


From  BAD  to  MAD  [  01  June  2016   ]



Even as our EXPERTS continue to spar on TV channels in 2022  !



08  May  2018







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