Thursday, 29 December 2022

Forecasting the Far Off Future

 


 

Context :

India can become $40 trillion economy by 2047.. [ Indian Express / 30 Dec 2022 ]

Extract :

India can become a $40 trillion economy by 2047 in a sustainable and stable manner, Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) chairman and managing director Mukesh Ambani said on Thursday.

 

MY  TAKE :

 

Ø  Horoscope of a Nation ?....................... [ 26 April 2017 ]

 

Extract :

 

So, there are 3 dimensions to an event viz ;

  

·         Type  / Nature of event

 

 ·         Time period within which it will happen

  

·         To whom it will happen / affect.

 

 Now examine :

 

       Ø  TYPE / NATURE OF EVENT :-

 

Practically, these can run into thousands.

 

       Ø  TIME-PERIOD / PERIODICITY / FREQUENCY :-

 

An event can happen tomorrow or it can happen after one month or after 10 years or a century.

 

       Ø  PERSON AFFECTED :-

 

There are 6 billion humans on this earth.

 

Now, if you multiply these 3 dimensions, you have literally TRILLIONS & TRILLIONS of combinations, with a “

Probability ” attached to each !

 

This is what , makes “ predicting of future ” so easy !

 

 

·         Something or Else ( event) is likely to happen to,

 

 ·         Someone or Else ( Person), at ,

 

 ·               Sometime or other ( Time)

 

 As long as you make your PREDICTION sufficiently VAGUE / GENERAL, in respect of

 

              Ø  An Individual

 

                  Ø  A given time-period

 

             Ø  Precise nature ( of what will happen),

  


You are safe  !

 

You just cannot be faulted !

 

BECAUSE, WHAT YOU HAVE JUST PREDICTED , IS BOUND TO HAPPEN , SOMETIME OR OTHER TO SOMEONE OR OTHER !

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  30  Dec  2022

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