Dear Hon Supreme Court,

Over the past one year, I have sent several suggestions ( E Mails ) re COVID VACCINATION , to Cabinet Ministers / NITI Aayog / Drug Controller General of India, State Chief Ministers, etc

I write to thank you for asking Central Govt / State Govts, to examine the feasibility of implementing some of these suggestions ( reproduced below )

It is heartening that your Honors took trouble to elaborate my suggestions , during yesterday’s hearing

Thanking you once again,

With regards,

Hemen Parekh / hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 03 June 2021

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ELABORATE ON WHAT ?

On my suggestions sent through following earlier E Mails :

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Ø Rationing of Covid Vaccine ? ……………….[ 06 July 2020 ]

Suggestions re PRIORITY / DISTRIBUTION CONTROL :

Ø Who are those “ most in need “ ?

Ø How to determine these priorities , scientifically / un-biasedly , for 700 million people ?

Ø Why should we compile such data for all Indians ( suffering from Covid or not ) ?

Ø What else should the Government do ensure that there is no “ black marketing “ of the limited supplies of the vaccine ?

Ø For vaccine, each bottle / vial, besides carrying Batch Number, must carry UNIQUE bottle number / vial number . Vaccine Manufacturer will record which bottle got dispatched to which drug store / when. Data will get automatically transmitted to Govt’s Central Server

Ø Pharmacy Stores to maintain Computerized Record of who ( which person ) was sold a given “ Vial Number “ . This data will get automatically transmitted to Govt’s Central Server

Ø No vial to be sold to anyone unless a Mobile App ( VaccineVend ? ) clearly displays that person’s priority ( as determined by AI ) , as HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW . No person without such Mobile App will be sold the vaccine

Ø Chemist will enter sale-details in customer / buyer’s Mobile App , which will get automatically transmitted to Govt’s Central Server

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Ø A Nightmare come true ? ……………………[ 18 Sept 2020 ]

Suggestions re DISTRIBUTION PROCESS ( Domestic and Export ) :

But, nothing stops Central Government from announcing the following RULES for the Indian Vaccine Manufacturers :

Ø You will email ( to DCGI – Drug Controller General of India / ICMR and the Commerce Ministry ), your weekly / monthly, production / sales figures ( including any vaccines imported in bulk for re-packaging or as vials )

Ø You can locally sell vaccine, only to the Central and State Governments (- their notified agencies ) under BULK PURCHASE CONTRACTS

Ø In any given month, you will be allowed to EXPORT, 20 % of the dozes that you have actually “delivered “to local governments during the preceding month. For such exports, you will need to apply – and obtain from the Commerce Ministry – an EXPORT LICENCE ( If you have delivered 10 lakh dozes locally in Nov 2020 , you will be issued an export license for exporting 2 lakh dozes in Dec 2020 )

Ø To get an Export License, you will need to mention the DESTINATION PORTS ( countries to which exporting ). Commerce Ministry will want to ascertain that you are going to export to “ COVID affected POOR countries “ – and not to RICH countries

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Ø Thank You, Adar Poonawala …………………….[ 26 Sept 2020 ]

Suggestion re Central Govt’s FUNDS AVAILABILITY :

Ø How much “ economic activity “ could we possibly lose if we lose ONE DAY worth of GDP due to 10 crore ( non-vaccinated ) persons getting infected and become “ non-productive “ for 14 days of quarantine ?

Ø In 2019, our GDP was $ 2875 billion = $ 7.9 billion per day( for 365 days )

Ø That amounts to Rs 55,137 Cr per day !

Ø Hence, we can recover those Rs 80,000 crore in less than 2 days of full economic activity !

Here is another way to justify spending Rs 80,000 crore

I am not an economist but do the following calculations make any sense ?

Ø Assume that, out of 100 crore citizen ( to be vaccinated ), only 55 crore persons were “ GDP Producer “ ( employed + self employed )

Ø These 55 crore persons produce Rs 55,137 Cr of GDP per day ( Rs 1,137 per day per person )

Ø Due to “non-vaccination / Covid infection “, 10 crore persons remained “ non-productive “ for 14 days each ( = 140 crore man-days loss )

Ø Hence, total GDP loss = Rs 1137 / day x 140 cr man-days = Rs 159,180 Crore = twice of Rs 80,000 crore to be allotted by the Government !

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Ø Voting and Vaccination : Compare and Contrast ………………[ 18 Oct 2020 ]

Suggestion re VACCINATION PROCESS :

Ø Persons who find it difficult to fill in this Registration Data into mobile app ( for whatever reason – including, not having a Smart phone ), may take help from the nearest,

# CSC ( Common Service Centre )

# Post Office

# Aadhar Registration Centers

# Nursing Home / Hospital / Lab or even any nearby Doctor,

- all of who will be requested to help the hapless citizen concerned ( they

may use desktop to submit registration data on central server

of Ayushman Bharat website )

Ø Based on the “ Registration Data “ submitted, the Central Server ( of Aushman Bharat ) will issue a UNIQUE PRIORITY NUMBER to the person ( by SMS on mobile ) .

Ø The message will also assign a specific “ “ Vaccine Delivery Centre – VDC “ ( a nearby Hospital – Nursing Home – Lab – Doctor )

Ø Server will, simultaneously send notification to that particular VDC , providing full registration details of the concerned citizen – indicating his PRIORITY

Ø Based on the “ Number of Citizen “ assigned – and the PRIORITY of each such citizen, software installed will send an SMS to the citizens , assigning SPECIFIC DATE / TIME to each person for visit .

Ø This automatic / rule-based “ SCHEDULING “ by the software, will ensure “ No crowding / maintenance of Social Distancing “

Ø Concerned VDC will fill in details such as : Vaccinated on ( ….. ) / Did not turn up

( This will alert health worker to visit residence of person for follow-up /

reschedule visit )

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Ø Vaccine : a Case of Missing Data……………………………[ 09 Apr 2021 ]

Suggestions re PUBLISHING OF VACCINE DISTRIBUTION DATA :

Ø What prevents the Ministry to publish such eye-opening ANALYSIS on www.Cowin.gov.in portal ?

Ø It ( analysis / publishing ) can be done by some SOFTWARE, without human intervention

Ø Analyzing / Publishing can be DAILY and AUTOMATIC, from data flowing in from all VDC ( Vaccine Delivery Centres ) / Govt Agency releasing orders / schedules / Vaccine Suppliers – Transporters – Recipients etc)

Ø Based on EXTRAPOLATION ( Weighed Averages modified by TREND ANALYSIS ), that software can even PREDICT the number of dozed that will be needed by each and every VDC for the next 7 days and accordingly issue to the Vaccine Manufacturers, precise DELIVERY SCHEDULES ( no humans )

Ø These DELIVERY SCHEDULES themselves must be clearly viewable on COWIN portal, for each and every VDC and totaled for each and every State

Ø The analysis must also display the “ No of dozes wasted “ due to expiry and other reasons

Ø Cowin website must also show, for each and every VDC ( Date / Month wise ), a tabulation as follows :

# Date

# Opening Stock

# Receipt during the day ( linked with Consignment Details )

# Consumed during the day

# Closing Stock

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Ø Accelerating Learning / Improvising / Course-correcting …[ 18 May 2021 ]

Suggestion re: HOW TO PREDICT, where / when / who, THIRD WAVE will strike ?

Dear Dr HarshVardhanji,

I hope , someday soon, you will :

Ø Modify the CoWIN platform to collect / compile data as suggested above

Ø Introduce some very powerful INCENTIVE to motivate citizens to come forward and voluntarily submit such DATA about themselves

Ø Since such data compilation is far more important ( for saving millions of lives that the THIRD WAVE might claim ), I strongly URGE the Union Cabinet to MODIFY ( re : about to begin, massive exercises ) the DATA COLLECTION FORMATS of :

# CENSUS-21

# NPR ( National Population Register )

# CAA

# Employment Survey

# Migrant Workers Survey

# Domestic Servants Survey–

# Survey of Professionals

# Farmers Survey………… etc etc

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Ø Apple for Apple ? Vaccine against Vaccine ? ………………[ 23 May 2021 ]

Suggestion re: UNIFIED – COMMON – CENTRAL purchase of Vaccines ( instead of individual State – purchases )

Dear Chief Ministers of States :

In any industry, it takes months ( if not years ) to :

# Put up Greenfield manufacturing facilities

# Ramp up existing manufacturing capacities

Ø Hence, all these brave talk of DECENTRALIZED PROCUREMENT, in itself, is unlikely to get us 2166 million doses in Aug-Dec ( 5 months @ 430 million doses per month – as against actual procurement of a meagre 356 million doses in Jan-May , @ 70 million per month ! )

Ø There is just no way, Pharma Industry can ramp-up vaccine production by 6 TIMES in June-July !

Ø It is time to accept this ground reality of life and collaborate / cooperate with the Central Government for a,

# united / joint evaluation of tender offers

# joint negotiations with suppliers

# single order placement ( on behalf of all the States )

# Single Delivery Schedule Instruction to each supplier

Ø It is time to pull together in one direction rather than pulling in different directions

Ø Through this E-Mail, I am requesting Dr HarshVardhanji to file appropriate AFFIDAVIT in the Supreme Court , showing willingness of the Central Govt to coordinate vaccine procurement as suggested above

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ELABORATE HOW ?

As reported in following News in today’s papers :

Vax Policy for 18-44 arbitrary , irrational / TOI