Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Tuesday 23 June 2015

Bank Recapitalization ?




Bank  Re-Capitalization  ?



Here is a layman's understanding :


>   Bank executives give Rs 4 Lakh Crores worth loans to   Industrialists / Businessmen ( who , sometimes happen to be close relatives / friends )

   
   

>   Bankers " forget " to examine past records of loan-repayments by these individuals 

     


>  Banks do not share among themselves info about " black-listed " borrowers


>  Banks " forget " to inquire if a loanee is a " Benami " company


>  Banks do not incorporate stringent clauses in loan agreements (on purpose )


>  Banks adopt " Forget & Forgive " approach to defaulters


>  For loan recovery , bankers wait for other  bankers to take the lead


>  Before taking action , bankers check-out with people in power


>  When sinking under the burden of NPA , bankers run to Government of India to bail them out through " Bank Re-Capitalization "

     


>  Government oblige by giving money to stressed banks, so that they can survive


>  Government rationalize its bail out by saying, " depositors must be protected " . Sounds so reassuring  !


>  Government then goes out and raises taxes ( direct + indirect ) to balance its books  ( Current Account Deficit ? )

   


In a nutshell :


>  Eventually , honest tax-payers foot the bill, one way or the other 


>  7,000 + loan-defaulting swindlers spend vacation in Switzerland with family ( and their politician friends ) - till they are ready to borrow more !


   

>  Bankers vie with each other to " Re-Schedule Payments " and advance fresh loans to pay off old loans ( Rs 4 lakh Crores of NPA ).
If EU / IMF can do this for Greece , why cannot we ?

   

>  Government will take pride in " Bold Banking Reforms "( to please IMF ? )


>  As a Nation , we are very compassionate !  We cannot let any institution die !

    We are obsessed with keeping it alive at any cost . We must ,
 forever , keep it alive with artificial ventilation / blood transfusion !

 

    It is time to re-think : 


    When a person or an Institution just cannot be kept alive , it must be allowed to die , in a dignified way !


 

    Would it not be far better to protect the small bank-depositors by returning their deposits , rather than infuse Rs 4 lakh Crores into these banks , by way of re-capitalization ?




Am I missing out on something that economists know better ?


-  hemen  parekh


   hcp@RecruitGuru.com

   www.B2BmessageBlaster.com

   June 24 , 2015 


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Sunday 21 June 2015

Growing Faster Than China ?

There is no denying that India has made a lot of progress on the economic front during past 12 months , under structural reforms undertaken by the NDA government

But when Economists and leading Rating Agencies talk of " India's economy is growing at a rate , faster than China's " , some clarifications become necessary

Just look at the following comparison between China and India :

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Parameter       /        China       /         India

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Population     /    1.36 billion      /      1.25   billion

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

GDP              /  $ 9.24 Trillion   /     $  1.88  Trillion

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Life Expectancy  /   75.35 years    /    66.46  years

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Area            /  9.57 million Sq Km  /   2.97 million Sq Km

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Per Capita GDP    /    $  6,807     /     $ 1,498 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GDP Increase   / @ 7% = $ 647 Billion /  @ 8% = $ 150 Billion 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Now , of course , it is entirely possible for India's absolute GDP increase to overtake China's absolute GDP increase , if

>  China's growth-rate keeps declining ( > 6  % > 5 % > 4 % > 3 % .... )

and ,

>  India's growth-rate keeps accelerating ( > 9 %  > 10 % > 11 % ......... )


Except that you don't have to be an Economist to guess that no such thing will ever happen  !


It is not that I love NDA less

It is just that I love enlightenment more  !


---  hemen  parekh

www.B2BmessageBlaster.com

21  June   2015

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Monday 8 June 2015

World Migration Day

World    Migration    Day


In 5 months ( Jan-May 2015 ), some 50,000 migrants from North Africa , crossed Mediterranean Sea in rickety boats, to land on shores of Italy

That is some 10,000 per month ( soon reaching 100,000 per month ? )

Irrespective of EU countries' decision to admit only 20,000 per year , by 2020  this figure could reach 1 MILLION per month !

Why this huge migration ?


Apparent Reasons :


>   ISIL is terrorizing Syria / Iraq

>   Boko Haram are doing the same in Nigeria

>   Houthies are following both in Yemen

>   Libya is facing a civil war

>   North and South Sudans are at war

>   Tunisia is boiling with massive unrest

>   Taliban is rearing its ugly head in Afghanistan

>   Egypt is simmering with angst against Muslim Brotherhood

>   Pakistan is becoming terrorists' training ground

>   Turkey / Lebanon / Jordan are getting overrun with refugees

>   All over Mid-East , Shias and Sunnis are fighting


In short , most of African and Mid-East countries are exploding with local wars , under Europe's soft underbelly and porous right borders



 Real Reasons :


Millions of citizens of these countries are facing unemployment and consequent starvation ( when not getting killed by terrorists )

It is no different with migrants from Bangladesh and Myanmar trying to find shelter in Indonesia / Philippines / Australia / Thailand



Closer  At  home  :


Of entire World's 800 million " malnourished " ( euphemism for " starving " )  people , 200 million are in India

Only , instead of calling them " Starving " people , we choose to call them , " Naxalites / Maoists " etc !

We fail to realize that there can be no political solution to " Starvation " !

Where can they migrate ? There is no " Promised Land " on India's borders !



Solution  ?

Since no developed country wants to admit migrants from poor countries , let UNO declare , Antarctica as " United States of Migrants " - USM

And fix quotas of migrants that each poor country can dispatch to USM each year ( - roughly in proportion to " Starving " population of each poor country )

Then contribute funds for creating settlements in Antarctica ( - in any case , due to Global Warming , ice-shelves are melting and soon Antarctica will become habitable ) . 

For the rich countries , this would be the most , economically and socially viable solution


Let a beginning be made by declaring 27 June , as


World  Migration  Day  "



hemen parekh

B2BmessageBlaster

09 June 2015

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Sunday 7 June 2015

The Bitter Truth

After 44 years , India and Bangladesh have settled their boundary dispute by exchanging a few thousand acres of land

Hopefully , this will end illegal migration / export of militancy etc , besides giving legitimate citizenship to 50,000 , so far stateless , persons


Will this settlement lead to ,

>  huge economic loss to either of the countries  ?

>  increase in terrorist activities / illegal infiltration ?

>  significant reduction of national security  ?


Clear answer is :  NO  !


If anything , it will vastly improve neighborly relations and benefit the people of both the countries

Why can't we resolve our " Kashmir Border Dispute " with Pakistan , in a similar manner ?

By both countries accepting the Line of Actual Control ( LaC ) as an International Boundary ?

In the past 60 years , I remember only 3 Indians to have the courage to suggest / support such a solution ( not counting insignificant , myself ). They were :

>  Vasant Sathe

>  Faroukh Abdullah

>  Prashant Bhushan


Reason is simple as to why a military action to regain lost territory ( both sides claim to own the entire Kashmir ) , just won't work for the following reasons :


>  An all out war will cause loss of millions of lives on both sides

>  Intervention of UN / America / Russia / China will create a fresh limbo 

    ( political stalemate / comma ) without a permanent resolution

>  It may end-up creating an independent country of " Kashmir " - something

     that neither India / Pakistan want, nor will help the Kashmiris 


If this is so crystal-clear , then what is stopping the politicians of both the countries to pursue this path  ?

Simple !

Lack of courage due to fear  of losing power  !

Unless Shri Narendra Modi and Shri Nawaz Sharif muster the courage to tell - and sell - this bitter  truth to their countrymen !

What next  ?  Arunachal Pradesh  vs  Aksai  Chin  ?


---  hemen   parekh

     B2BmessageBlaster

     08  June   2015 

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Saturday 6 June 2015

Barking Up The Wrong Tree ?

Not having eaten Maggi in past 10 years , I have no love lost for this packaged food

But I keep asking myself :

" Aren't we barking up the wrong tree  ?  "

What about :

>   Hundreds of other so-called packaged foods being sold by millions of tons by Farsanwalas 
     on every street corner , under filthiest of conditions ?

>  Thousands of tons of Pav-Bhaji / Vada Pav , being sold by hawkers on every footpath , with 
     swarms of bees / mosquitoes camping right on these foods ?

>  Tons of Papad being " manufactured " in most unhygienic conditions - on top of gutters to enable
     quick drying   ?

>   And what about the way your favorite Bhel Puri / Chat get made on Mumbai beaches  ?

>  Hundreds of tons of adulterated Ghee being sold in open market ?

>  Have you seen the aluminum containers in which your milk is delivered by Bhaiyyaji  ?

>  Have you ever peeped inside a road-side " Bakery "  ?

I can go on and on ! The list would motivate you to give-up on all food articles sold in India !

Of course , there can be no forgiveness for Maggi , if it contains more than permitted levels of lead /
MSG etc

But is anything being done for  adulterated hooch which kills hundreds every year  ?

Is this some kind of a motivated campaign by rivals or have we just lost all sense of proportion ?

Then , it is also possible that some politicians / netas / bureaucrats , are trying to impress the gaulible
people !

-   hemen  parekh
   
   B2BmessageBlaster

   07  June  2015

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Wednesday 3 June 2015

Watch out Brand Ambassadors !

Right now , a controversy is raging about Maggi Noodles


There are reports of FIR being filed against Amitabh Bachhan / Preiti Zenta and Madhuri Dixit , who promote use of Maggi , in advertisements

I suppose our Courts will decide if , in this specific case , whether they are guilty of any " Crime "

In any case , the immediate fall-out of this case will be that all persons acting in advertisements - and promoting any product ( - and any " Service " ? ) , will start consulting their lawyers !

But , this episode raises many questions , such as :


>   MEDIA


No more product/service Ads appear  only on hoardings / TV and print media . Nowadays , ads appear on Google / Social Networking web sites / mobile phones / tablets / Smart Watches etc

Soon these ads will appear on your eye-glasses , tooth brush and even on your clothes ! ( Just wait for IoT - Internet of Things , with each person on earth getting millions of IP addresses . Each " Thing " will also get its own IP address )

And what will stop Ads from appearing in thin air as holograms , just above your bed  ?

And all of these will be in VIDEO format , too !

No government in the World will be able to stop these Ads from appearing  wherever a recipient wants them to appear !



>   VIRTUALIZATION


With virtualization around the corner , Advts will become interactive , allowing any viewer to substitute himself / herself in place of the Actor / Brand Ambassador appearing in the video . And the viewer will be able to alter the Ad-Content , as he wants ! 

Ultimate customization !



>    CONTENT



No one will be able to stop / filter the contents of these ads , even if these are patently anti-social or spreading hate  !

As per a recent BBC program , ISIL is posting some 30,000 messages ( includes many videos ) on Social Media , everyday , to recruit fidayeens 

On YouTube , Videos worth 300 hours of viewing-time , are being uploaded every minute ! Impossible to censor !



>    ACTORS / BRAND AMBASSADORS



Advertisers will be able to resurrect any dead person in the video to promote any product / service

National leaders / Bollywood Stars , beware ! 

No one will ask your permission .  No one will sign any contract . No one will pay anything to your inheritors !

With plenty of films /  videos shot during your life-time , your " After Avatar " may start selling contraband goods ! 

If in doubt , look up www.Eterni.me  !



>   ADVERTISERS



Don't expect a human executive to decide , WHAT to advertise , WHEN to advertise , WHERE to advertise and WHO to target


That job will be taken over by AI ( Artificial Intelligence ) algorithms !


And , unfortunately , you cannot send a " summons ' to AI ! Address unknown  !



>   MEDIA OWNERS / EDITORS / WEB MASTERS


If a time comes when anybody can upload , without asking permission , any Advt , at any time on any media , can Media Owners / Editors / Web Masters be held responsible for what appears on their media  ?  



At least , for the time being , I am " Approving ( and often, Rejecting ) " ,every single Marketing Message being composed on my web site ,

www.B2BmessageBlaster.com ( B2B )

before these can be blasted by Subscribers




 hemen  parekh
     
 hcp@RecruitGuru.com   

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Monday 1 June 2015

Internet of Things

A few days back , a Singapore Airliner lost power in both of its engines and plunged by 13,000 feet before the pilot could re-start the engines

Once Internet of Things is in place , such disasters will be avoided

Those Rolls-Royce engines would be internet connected with SOS Emergency Computer of the engine manufacturer

That Rolls-Royce server would monitor the health of thousands of engines at all times and send corrective " Instructions " , if anything goes wrong , even before the Pilot comes to know about it !

Those engines will also be connected with all the Air Traffic Control towers in the region and alert those towers and the Fire Brigades at all nearby airports