Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Monday, 13 February 2017

Job Melas are NOT an answer !



Business Line ( 13 Feb 2017 ) carries a news report titled :

“ 5 Crore jobs by 2020 : Dattatreya “

It goes on to read :
  
“The Centre will ensure jobs for 5 crore unemployed people in the country by 2020, according to Bandaru Dattatreya, Union Minister for Labour and Employment.

He was speaking at a press conference after his ministry entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Department of Posts (DoP) to make post offices as employment registration centres for unemployed rural youth, here on Sunday.

The target of providing 5 crore jobs will be achieved by a combination of measures such as digital solutions and regular job melas, the Minister said adding that job melas will be conducted across the country from next month on a large scale.

As per the MoU, a national career service portal will help the unemployed to register themselves. It will provide them access to a repository of career content on over 3,000 occupations across 52 sectors.


That answer is a Online Jobs Fair , as described in my following blog ( 05 Aug 2016 ) :

Job Fairs : Offline or Online ?

Recently , NICS ( National Institute of Career Services - Noida ), conducted a ground-based job fair


NICS plans to conduct one such job fair , every month , with the next one planned in Hyderabad


Recruiters from three dozen companies sat in small cubicles , handing out forms and registration numbers and asking some candidates to go to a nearby hostel building for a written or oral test


For 5,000 vacancies , some 11,000 jobseekers turned up but only 640 got shortlisted ( just 6 % )- utter chaos !



CANDIDATES  GROUSE :


#  Recruiting companies did not disclose the profiles on offer or the salary structure

#  Had to spend nearly entire day at the venue, after travelling hundreds of kilometers

#  Had to return without knowing the result of the interview

#  There was a lot of confusion as some Company recruiters never turned up for the interview

#  There was ambiguity in the entire selection process since the Company Display Boards and the Profile
    Requirements mentioned during the registration process did not match

#  Overcrowding required hundreds of job aspirants to stand in the sun, for hours !

   

PROBLEMS  FACED  BY  THE   RECRUITING   COMPANIES :

#   Candidates were not job-ready . Even after interviewing 15 candidates , could not zero in on one !

#   English language proficiency of the candidates was very poor


STATISTICS :

#  In 25 years ( between 1991 - 2012 ) , employment in Organized Sector grew by 2.85 million jobs

   ( just above 1 lakh per year as against addition of some 120 lakh jobseekers entering job market per year ! )

#  In 2014, eight key manufacturing sectors created 4.2 lakh jobs and in 2015 , just 2 lakh jobs



MY   TAKE  :

#  Whereas ground based Job Fairs have been around for many years , there is no way these can provide a
    solution to matching available jobs to available jobseekers ( 120 lakhs per year )


#  India has close to 50 million MSME . Assuming that only 10 % of these need to hire just ONE person each year,
    ( either by way of replacement or for growth of business ) , that amounts to some 5 million jobs per year

    These MSME do not advertise their vacancies, either in newspapers or on online job portals . These vacancies
    get filled by word-of-mouth



CAN  TECHNOLOGY  HELP  ?


#  Sure ! The answer lies in " Online Jobs Fair " - a job portal with a difference !

#  An " Online Jobs Fair " , does NOT suffer from the following limitations of an " Offline ( ground-based ) job fair :


   *  No physical space limitations . Unlimited number of VIRTUAL INTERVIEW CABINS can be created on the fly


   *  Unlimited numbers of jobseekers and recruiters can come ONLINE , at any given instance(millions, if you will )


   *  Since this platform also enables FOREIGN COMPANIES to interview INDIAN CANDIDATES , such interviews
      can take place round-the-clock ! This platform will vastly improve overseas recruitment of Indian jobseekers


   *  Thousands of INTERVIEWS can be going on SIMULTANEOUSLY , in total privacy ( from anywhere in World )


   *  4 interviewers ( belonging to same company ) , located in 4 different cities , can interview the same candidate
      jointly by logging in at the same time in the same INTERVIEW CABIN ( password protected entry )


   *  Neither the candidates nor the interviewers need to travel , saving millions of wasted man-hours


   *  Interviews can be pre-scheduled and candidates will be emailed in advance , when to log into which cabin.

       The SCHEDULER SOFTWARE will do this automatically


   *  Candidate Assessment Forms will get filled in ONLINE and made available to concerned candidate by email


   *  Offer letters ( or Offer Intention Letters ) or Rejection Letters will get emailed as soon as CANDIDATE
      ASSESSMENT form gets mandatorily filled in online  !


  *  Company Display Boards will be visible to ALL visiting jobseekers to decide which jobs to apply for


  *  Resume Rating software will automatically " rate and rank " resumes of all candidates applying
     against a particular vacancy and arrange applicant-resumes in descending order of " Raw Score " and send out
     Interview Schedule to shortlisted candidates , without human intervention


  *  All online interviews will take place using Audio-Video chat thru Skype / FaceTime ( from Smart phones )


  *  All interview " Conversations " ( questions and answers ) will get recorded and made available to candidate
     being interviewed for his study and improving his " Interviewing Skills "



There are many other advantages , not listed above  but which you can read at :

www.hemenparekh.in > Reports > OnLineJobsFair



Should Ministry of Labour desire , I would be happy to design / develop and hand-over such a online platform without any charge / fees , provided ,

#   Labour Ministry hosts and maintains it  

#   Makes it available for use ( by Recruiters and Jobseekers ) , FREE  OF  COST


Neither the governments ( Central + States ) , nor the Organized Sector , is in a position to " CREATE " 12 million  
jobs per year . 

By creating OnLineJobsFair ( a kind of Virtual Employment Exchange ) , we can help our youth to
enter Job Market of entire World

A beginning  of  " 
WORLD  WIDE  WORK  FEDERATION ( W3F )


Last ( but not the least ) :


OnLineJobsFair will enable millions of young Indians to offer their " Remote Services " to Foreign Companies !
Services such as " Coding " / " Caring " / " Consulting " / " Curating " / " Controlling " etc


It may even become a " Business Meeting " platform !


13  Feb  2017



How to make Robots Cooperate



A news report in DNA Money ( 13 Feb 2017 ) reads :

Google Just Found the One Question It Can’t Yet Answer

When our robot overlords arrive, will they decide to kill us or cooperate with us ?
New research from DeepMind, Alphabet Inc.’s London-based artificial intelligence unit, could ultimately shed light on this fundamental question.
They have been investigating the conditions in which reward-optimizing beings, whether human or robot, would choose to cooperate, rather than compete. The answer could have implications for how computer intelligence may eventually be deployed to manage complex systems such as an economy, city traffic flows, or environmental policy.
Joel Leibo, the lead author of a paper DeepMind published online Thursday, said in an e-mail that his team’s research indicates that whether agents learn to cooperate or compete depends strongly on the environment in which they operate.
While the research has no immediate real-world application, it would help DeepMind design artificial intelligence agents that can work together in environments with imperfect information. In the future, such work could help such agents navigate a world full of intelligent entities -- both human and machine -- whether in transport networks or stock markets.

A way must be found to make the Robots cooperate with the humans
And , that way could well be what I have laid out in my following blog ( 21 Oct 2016 ) :




Fast Forward to Future ( 3 F )


A news headline in Hindustan Times ( 21 Oct 2016 ) reads :

" AI could end civilization "


Speaking at the launch of the Leverhulme Centre for the future of Intelligence ( CFI ) , celebrated scientist , Stephen Hawking said :


" Success in creating AI could be the biggest event in the history of our civilization . But it could be the last - unless we learn how to avoid the risks


Alongside the benefits, AI will also bring dangers like powerful autonomous weapons or new ways for the few to oppress the many


We cannot predict what we might achieve when our own minds are amplified by AI


Perhaps with the tools of this new technological revolution, we will be able to undo some of the damage done to the natural world by the last one - industrialization "



There is hope , Dr Hawking  !



In the form of the " Speech Recognition " technology breakthrough , announced yesterday by Microsoft


A system that recognizes spoken words , just as well as a human
How can this breakthrough save the humanity from a " Evil Runaway AI - ERA " ?



Here is how :


#  Every smart phone to be embedded with this technology ( and every human to carry one , all the time ), in
    the form a mobile app to be called ARIHANT (  Conqueror of Kaam-Sex / Krodh-Anger / Lobh-Greed / Moh-Desire / Mud-Ego / Matsar-Envy )



#  24*356 , this technology will pick up ( record ) , every single word spoken by the owner , throughout his life



#  All these spoken words ( conversations ) , will be transmitted to a CENTRAL DATABASE called ,
    MIND READER  Of  HUMAN  INTENTIONS



#  There , the BIG DATA ANALYTICS / AI , will interpret those " Intentions " and alert authorities for any EVIL
    INTENTIONS ( those that break the 3 LAWS Of ROBOTICS , formulated by Isaac Asimov )



#  Authorities will be alerted to arrest the owners of EVIL INTENTIONS ( captured by ARIHANT )



If Google could become a " Database of written Intentions " ( through more than a billion typed Search Queries per day) , then there is no reason to disbelieve that ARIHANT could become a " Database of Spoken Intentions " of the entire mankind ( may be a billion conversations , EVERY SECOND ! )



And since Google is a member of a consortium formed a few weeks back for the advancement of AI , it will be too happy to integrate its own , very powerful " Language Translation Software " into the ARIHANT



This will enable catching of  EVIL INTENTIONS  expressed in any language !


Fast forward to 2026


If implemented , ARIHANT ( the Omnipotent / Omnipresent / Omniscient AI ) will eavesdrop on every spoken word of every human being , decipher the problem faced and deliver personalized / customized solutions through IoE ( Internet of Everything ) network



And what can stop ARIHANT  from picking up all exchanges of data communication, between those " powerful autonomous weapons " if they are embedded with IoE enabled sensors and each assigned its own IP V 6 address ? 





It is not enough to raise questions about the potential evil usage of AI


We must find methods to prevent such evil use of AI


Mankind must be saved !



13  Feb  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs
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Added  on  07  May  2022  :



Sunday, 12 February 2017

Baby Steps won’t do !


Following appeared in today’s news papers :

·         Times of India

“ Maharashtra govt amends key  Contract Labour Law , trade unions upset “
Earlier the law applied to units with 20 or more workmen. After the amendment in Maharashtra , it will apply to units with 50 or more employees



·         Business Line

“NSDC to channel donation from private sector angels to the bottom-of-pyramid

Manish Kumar , MD and CEO , NSDC told Business Line ,


“ Not everyone who gets skilled will get a job. So, we are trying to encourage entrepreneurship in the candidate


But, in doing so, access to funds is extremely difficult for those at the bottom of the pyramid

The NSDC is now working to set up a ‘ Nirvana Fund ’ that will channel donations from the private sector – basically angel investments – to fund ventures of selected candidates trained under the Pradhan Mantri Kaushal Vikas Yojana-2 , but have failed to get a job


The idea behind calling it ‘ Nirvana Fund ‘ is that those who have achieved everything they want in life can put their money in the fund and NOT EXPECT ANY RETURNS “





Unfortunately , our problem of unemployment is GIANT


We are adding to our job-seeking population , some 12 million persons every year


So, we added some 36 million in last 3years


During this period , NSDC claims to have trained some 9.2 million youth and helped 3.6 million find jobs !  Barely 10 %  !


Good thing is that NSDC ( - and I suppose , NDA government as well ) has realized that there is just NO WAY, we can create that many jobs , either in the Public Sector or in the Private Sector


Obviously , Self Employment / Entrepreneurship is the ONLY ANSWER


But each Self Employed will need an initial investment of at least Rs 1 Lakh, ( ask any Pan-Beedi Shop owner ! )


For those 12 million persons being added to our working-age population each year , that would require Nirvana Fund to get “ donations “ of Rs 12,000  crores !


Year after year !


Now it is possible that a few ( “ who have achieved everything  they want in life “ ) like Narayan Murthy , Azim Premji , Shiv Nadar or Anil Agarwal , may come forward to “ donate “ to Nirvana Fund , Rs 100 crore worth of their hard-earned WHITE money , “ NOT EXPECTING ANY RETURNS



That won’t take us very far !


But , if Shri Kumar is willing to accept BLACK MONEY, that  can get him Rs 12,000 crore worth of “ donations “  ( and without any expectation for returns ) , within 6 months !


All that NDA government has to do , is to announce :


·         A limited period AMNESTY SCHEME , under which BLACK MONEY can be “ loaned without earning any interest “ to Nirvana Fund ( Minimum amount of Rs 1 crore )


·         No questions to be asked of the “ Loan-givers” , as to the source of the funds


·         No investigations / no scrutiny / no litigation / no penalty / total immunity


·         Donations can be in CASH ( obviously the new Rs 2000 notes ! ) or by cheque

·          
·         Loaner will provide full details about himself ( PAN / Aadhar / Bank A/C etc )


·         “Loan Certificates “ to be issued to “ Loan-givers “



·         “ Loan Certificates “ can be willed to one’s heir or even gifted to anyone else , without attracting “ Gift Tax “ , either by the giver or by the recipient


·         Original loan amount will be returned after 10 years


·         If received as a “ Gift “ , on maturity , loan amount will not attract Personal Income Tax


Remember , only a few months back , small country of Indonesia managed to “ unearth “ BLACK MONEY “ worth $ 300 Billion ( Rs 21 lakh*crore  ) , under an Amnesty Scheme , by levying just 4 % tax ( and no penalty ) !



There is no reason , given the size of our BLACK MONEY economy ( @ 12 % of our GDP ) , why we cannot bring out a similar amount and deploy in our MAIN STREAM economy !


If we NEED to grow our GDP at 10 % per annum , baby steps won’t do !


What 400 million POOR people making up our “ Bottom of the Pyramid “ need – and NOW - is a LEAP from BLACK to WHITE  !


And that won’t happen through current demonetization  !



Baby steps just won’t do . We need to take GIANT STRIDES





13  Feb  2017






  


Saturday, 11 February 2017

Killing Two Birds with One Stone ?



Mr Trump , Sir  :


These days , you are a very harassed man , what with everyone ganging up against you and blaming you for “ Travel Ban / Immigration Policy / Outsourcing / Mexican Wall “etc


And taking Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe for some light-hearted banter at your Florida resort , isn’t much help


You see , Shinzo-san wants to “ Export “ more Japanese goods to you ( - and that despite a $ 69 billion trade surplus with USA in 2016 ! ) . Patently unfair !


But just ask him :

“ OK , we will buy more from you , but in return , can you help us out with these 120 lakh illegal immigrants , by granting them permanent residence in your country ? “


Shinzo-san will say :

“ No way ! Do you want me to lose the next election ?



But tell our PM , Shri Narendra Modiji :

Modiji , will you help me out with these 120 lakh illegal immigrants by housing them permanently in your country and I will neither cut back on the number of H1B visas to Indian companies , nor raise the salary from $ 60,000 to $ 130,000 per year ? “



Fortunately , our PM too like you , comes from a Gujarati business community and like you, never misses an opportunity for conducting a profitable “ Dhandha “ in the most unlikely of circumstances !


He would say :

“ Trump Bhai ,

Thank you for your offer but I too , am fighting many State elections right now , where I have to make some brand NEW PROMISES to the voters , who have this bad habit of remembering my earlier promise to deposit Rs15 lakh in each person’s bank account by bringing back the BLACK MONEY stashed abroad


If you help me fulfil that promise , we can surely make a “ Win-Win “ kind of a deal “


And since you like to “ fix things “ by “ making deals “, you would say :


“ Modiji,

  Deal making is in my blood , so what is your price ? “



Expect Modiji to point out that , just two years back, Norway paid to Netherland , Euro 25 million per year, to house – and look after – 242 Norwegian prisoners in Norgerhaven Prison , located in Netherland


That works out to approx. Rs 75 lakh per prisoner per year

And Modiji knows that ,

·         USA is a much richer country than Norway
·          
·         You too have to fulfil promises that you made to American voters ,



So here is what you can expect to hear :

“ Trump Bhai ,

  We will accommodate all of those 120 lakh illegal immigrants ( - without even questioning your definition of illegal ) , in specially constructed prisons in our country


To look after them , you will pay us just Rs ONE CRORE per prisoner per year
That is Rs 120 lakh*crore per year


( - all the BLACK and WHITE currency notes deposited in banks since demonetization amount to Rs 15 lakh*crore  )


Of course , you will need to pay ,


·         Rs 30 lakh*crore, as advance ( we need this to construct some 1 LAKH prisons , under our Low Cost Affordable Housing Scheme )

·         Rs 30 lakh*crore , on the beginning of each quarter ( 1st April / 1st July etc ) “



Upon hearing this , Shri Trump is ecstatic and goes speechless for a few seconds !

When he recovers , he says :


“ Modiji ,


It is a deal !


You are a true friend - in the nature of a friend in need is a friend indeed


See , I am all for outsourcing of the RIGHT KIND – just misunderstood !


You have given me an idea to outsource maintenance of all of our Nuclear Missiles to my another  friend Putin . He is even cheap - at Rouble ONE MILLION per missile per year !


I pulled America out of TPP , so that I can make BI-LATERAL trade agreements with each country


This outsourcing agreement with India , will pave the way many more of such mutually beneficial deals “


My note :

I do hope our Construction Industry and our Hospitality Industry will lobby hard to realize their fondest dreams !



12  Feb  2017