Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

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Wednesday, 11 March 2026

Arabian Sea to Himalayas

Arabian Sea to Himalayas

Night from Above: Arabian Sea to the Himalayas

Last week I paused over my screen and felt that small, immediate thrill we get when a familiar place is shown in a new light. The International Space Station shared a nighttime sweep that arcs over the Arabian Sea and carries the eye up toward the faint, snow-bright silhouette of the Himalayas. That image — part science, part poetry — reminds me how fragile and luminous our human footprint looks from 400 kilometres up.

“A single orbit can show both glowing coastlines and the quiet bones of ancient mountains.”

What the photo shows — and what it means to me

Taken from the Cupola or an outward-facing window of the ISS, the frame stitches together a story of contrast:

  • Dark ocean punctuated by lines of ship lights and the occasional fishing fleet — tiny beacons marking commerce and survival.
  • Dense, webbed networks of urban lights along the western Indian coast: patterns of growth, electricity, and infrastructure visible as veins and hubs.
  • The Himalayas rising as a darker, quieter rim — snow and altitude mute the nightlight, but the planet’s curvature and limb glow frame them like a margin on a living map.

Those patterns are both breathtaking and sobering. They are evidence of prosperity, migration, and the pressure of coastal urban expansion. They are also a prompt to ask — what are we illuminating, and what are we dimming?

The vantage point and the ISS orbit

The ISS orbits Earth roughly every 90 minutes at an altitude close to 400 km, moving at about 17,500 miles per hour. That speed gives astronauts dozens of dawns and dusks every day and enables night passes that sweep great swathes of continent and ocean in a single view. The station’s orbital track determines what will appear in a frame; some passes skim coastlines, others cut across high mountain ranges. When the geometry lines up — window, crew, clear skies, and the terminator (the day–night line) — you get these dramatic, high-contrast images (India seen glowing from space — Times of India).

How these photos are taken — practical, technical notes

Astronauts use high-quality digital SLRs and mirrorless cameras with long, fast lenses and robust stabilization. Because the station is moving quickly relative to the ground below, photographers choose settings that strike a balance between sensitivity and motion blur:

  • Fast lenses (telephoto zooms or prime glass) to bring coastal detail into view.
  • High ISO to capture dim city lights and airglow.
  • Short exposure times to minimize streaking from orbital motion, often combined with post-processing to stack or select the sharpest frames.
  • The Cupola’s clear panes and careful framing help remove reflections; sometimes shots include parts of the station (solar arrays, modules) which anchor the photograph in human presence.

For broader, scientific night maps (like VIIRS “day–night band” composites) satellites use sensors designed to detect faint light sources, averaging many moonless, cloud-free swaths to produce global night-light images (Earth at Night imagery — NASA SVS).

The science of lights seen from space

What we call “nightlights” are a mix of phenomena:

  • City lights and highways — steady, concentrated sources revealing urban form.
  • Ship and fishing lights — moving specks on the ocean that can be tracked to study shipping lanes and fishing pressure.
  • Gas flares and industrial sites — bright, often isolated sources tied to energy extraction.
  • Aurora and airglow — natural atmospheric emissions that paint the sky with diffuse greens, reds, and blues.

Satellites and crew photography together let scientists separate these signals and study everything from electrification patterns to illegal fishing and the health of coastal ecosystems.

People behind the lens — the human angle

I always remember that these are not just technical products; they are made by people living in orbit. Astronauts take time off experiments to photograph Earth, choosing compositions that resonate with home and history. These images are gestures — reminders that we are temporarily out of reach but still deeply connected to the planet below.

“Photography on the ISS is science with an immediate emotional currency.”

Historical echoes and my own writing

This view has precedents: the ISS community has long shared Himalayan and Indian coastal passes in past years (ISS Himalayan image, 2018 — Wikimedia Commons). I’ve written before about the intelligence of coastal systems and their shifting pressures in my essay on the oceans, Samudra Manthan [Ocean Churning] V 2.0 (my blog). Seeing the same geography from space now is a visual continuation of those ideas — showing growth, trade, and the fragile seams between sea and mountain.

Reflections: environment and geopolitics

From orbit, coastlines tell stories of urbanization, ports, and shipping lanes — all veins of global trade. The tiny patterns of light suggest where livelihoods cluster and where pressures on fisheries and coastal habitats may be intense. The Himalayas, by contrast, remind us of freshwater origins and climate sensitivity: glacial retreat and human demand are intertwined in those dark ridgelines.

Conclusion & call to action

Images like the ISS’s nighttime sweep are more than pretty pictures. They are tools for understanding, communicating, and inspiring stewardship. If this moved you, follow the ISS and NASA imagery channels for the next orbital postcard — they publish more than panoramas; they give us context and data to act.

Follow official ISS social channels and NASA’s Earth observation feeds to stay connected and informed.


Regards,
Hemen Parekh


Note: I suggest a DALL·E-style image prompt separately (see the provided prompt field).

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When Mercy Meets Law

When Mercy Meets Law

When Mercy Meets Law

I write this as someone who thinks deeply about dignity, responsibility and the slow changes in law and medicine that shape how we die as much as how we live. A recent Supreme Court decision permitting withdrawal of life-sustaining treatment for a young person who has remained in a persistent vegetative state for more than a decade has brought these questions back into very human focus.

Below I try to explain the facts of the case as they have been reported, the Indian legal context, medical and ethical perspectives, the family's experience, procedural safeguards used by the courts, how other countries handle similar questions, and what this may mean going forward. I aim for balance: the law is one instrument among many — palliative medicine, social support and careful ethics all matter.


The immediate picture: what the courts considered

  • The petitioner was a young adult who suffered a severe brain injury in 2013 and has shown no meaningful neurological recovery since. The person has been dependent on assisted respiratory and enteral support (tracheostomy and feeding tube) and has severe complications of immobility described in medical reports. Media accounts and the court record report that two independent medical boards, including specialists, found negligible chance of recovery and described the clinical condition as irreversible and pitiable [see reporting from Times of India and Verdictum].

  • The family approached the courts seeking permission to withdraw clinically assisted nutrition and hydration (CAN) and other life‑sustaining measures. The Supreme Court examined primary and secondary medical board reports and, following the procedure established by earlier jurisprudence and court guidelines, allowed the competent medical board to take clinical decisions about withholding or withdrawing life‑sustaining treatment in accordance with the court’s directions [see news coverage by India Today, NDTV and Verdictum].

(Sources for the timeline and reporting: Times of India; India Today; NDTV; Verdictum.)


Legal context in India — the key lines of precedent

India’s jurisprudence on end‑of‑life decisions has evolved in steps over the last decade-plus. Two legal touchstones matter:

  • A landmark 2018 Constitution‑Bench ruling recognised that "the right to die with dignity" is an aspect of the right to life under Article 21 and authorised passive euthanasia (withdrawal/withholding of life‑sustaining treatment) and the use of advance medical directives (living wills) under specified safeguards (Common Cause v. Union of India, 2018) [see the Court text and legal summaries].

  • An earlier 2011 Supreme Court decision permitted passive euthanasia in exceptional circumstances and set procedural safeguards until a legislative framework might be enacted.

Together these decisions allow withdrawal of life‑sustaining treatment in certain cases but insist on strict procedures, medical verification and judicial or administrative oversight so that decisions are not taken lightly. The more recent judicial practice and guidelines (including clarifications issued in later years) have focused on: who constitutes medical boards, how advance directives should be executed, the role of magistrates or court oversight in some cases, and protections against misuse. The process emphasises clinical findings, procedural safeguards and the "best interests" principle for incapacitated patients [see Common Cause (2018) and subsequent guideline summaries].

(For the 2018 constitutional decision and procedural framework: Common Cause v. Union of India (2018) — see law summaries and the full judgment.)


Medical and ethical perspectives: active vs passive, CAN, futility and palliative care

  • Active vs passive: ethically and legally most jurisdictions distinguish active euthanasia (a deliberate act to cause death) from passive euthanasia (withholding or withdrawing medical interventions that prolong biological life). India’s jurisprudence permits passive euthanasia under safeguards but continues to prohibit active euthanasia.

  • Is clinically assisted nutrition and hydration (CAN) "medical treatment"? This is a central medical‑ethical question. Different courts and commentators have debated whether feeding tubes and assisted hydration are ordinary care or life‑sustaining medical treatment. Recent clinical opinions reviewed by the court treat CAN as a technologically mediated medical intervention which medical boards may consider withdrawing when it is clinically futile and not in the patient's best interests.

  • Futility, best interests and the duty to relieve suffering: Modern medical ethics emphasises the patient’s best interests, proportionality of treatment and avoidance of non‑beneficial interventions. When an intervention only prolongs biological processes without reasonable hope of functional recovery and causes harm (e.g., pressure sores, infections, repeated invasive procedures), clinicians may consider it medically futile. In law, "best interest" determinations (for patients without capacity) must weigh clinical prognosis, suffering, previously expressed wishes (if any), and the family’s views.

  • Palliative and end‑of‑life care: Withdrawal or withholding should be accompanied by robust palliative care to control symptoms, preserve dignity and support the family. Courts and hospitals emphasise that decisions to stop certain treatments are not abandonment but a shift of focus toward comfort‑oriented care.


Family and social perspectives

No legal decision occurs in a human vacuum. Families often describe long journeys of hope, debt, exhaustion and moral conflict. Reported accounts in this matter describe: years of bedside care, financial strain on elderly parents, relocation and even sale of property to fund treatment. For many families, the dilemma is wrenching: continuing invasive interventions is costly and may prolong suffering; stopping them raises profound moral, social and sometimes religious concerns.

Care teams and courts try to respect families while ensuring decisions meet clinical and legal safeguards. Empathy, truthful communication and counselling are essential at every step.


Procedural safeguards used in the case and in Indian practice

The court and medical systems now generally follow a layered process intended to reduce errors and misuse. Typical elements include:

  • Independent clinical assessment(s): a primary medical board and a secondary board (often at a tertiary institution) to confirm prognosis and capacity to recover.
  • Documentation and photographic evidence in difficult cases (used to corroborate findings about bed sores, contractures, and clinical status where relevant).
  • Consideration of any advance directive/living will. If none exists, courts look for surrogate decision‑makers (family) and apply the best‑interest standard.
  • In some past guidelines, judicial oversight or magistrate intimation was required; more recent practice seeks to streamline review while maintaining safeguards (e.g., Registered Medical Practitioners nominated by the Chief Medical Officer to form panels, and timely reporting to the court registry or magistrate as directed).
  • Mandatory palliative care planning and waiver of reconsideration periods only in exceptional circumstances (courts sometimes allow a reconsideration window to ensure no coercion and to allow for any last developments).

In the recent matter, the court specifically required involvement of medical boards, a plan for compassionate palliative care by a tertiary centre, and administrative safeguards for reporting compliance [see Verdictum coverage and reporting on court orders].


What the decision may mean for future cases in India

  • Narrow, case‑by‑case precedent: This and similar decisions are likely to strengthen the practical application of the Common Cause framework rather than create unlimited rights to hasten death. The courts are likely to continue to require strong clinical consensus before permitting withdrawal of life‑sustaining treatment for incapacitated patients.

  • Clarifying CAN and definitions: The question whether clinically assisted nutrition and hydration count as "life‑sustaining medical treatment" received renewed attention. Court findings that treat CAN as clinical intervention that medical boards may lawfully withdraw (in certain circumstances) could affect many long‑term care cases.

  • Pressure on legislation and policy: Repeated case law may push Parliament or health authorities to legislate clearer procedures, registries for advance directives, standardised palliative care services and support systems for families (financial and psychosocial).

  • Institutional practice changes: Hospitals and state health departments may need to institutionalise panels, ensure access to palliative care, and train staff to implement legally sound end‑of‑life pathways.


International comparisons — varieties of approach

  • The Netherlands: Euthanasia and assisted suicide are regulated under a statute (the 2002 Act) with strict "due care" criteria, mandatory independent consultation and regional review committees. Advance directives are recognised in limited situations and review committees monitor compliance [see Dutch government/euthanasia code resources].

  • Canada: Medical Assistance in Dying (MAiD) is legal under federal law (post‑2016) with eligibility criteria and evolving safeguards. Canada’s law has expanded eligibility in stages and continues to refine protections (for example, phased expansion to mental illness has been delayed to ensure health‑system readiness) [see Government of Canada resources on MAiD].

  • U.S. states (example Oregon): Some U.S. states have "death‑with‑dignity" laws that allow physician‑assisted self‑administration of lethal medication for terminally ill, decision‑capable adults under strict procedural safeguards (Oregon’s 1997 law is the most cited example). These laws differ from the Indian context because they permit a competent patient to request a prescription for self‑administration rather than court‑ordered withdrawal for an incompetent patient; the frameworks and eligibility rules vary by jurisdiction [see Oregon Department of Health materials].

These international examples show a spectrum: judicially‑developed rules, statutory regimes, or mixed models — each with procedural checks, independent review and an emphasis on informed consent, capacity and safeguards against abuse.


Practical and ethical takeaways (my reflections)

  • We need more clarity and capacity in health systems: palliative care access, standardised medical board procedures, training for clinicians in end‑of‑life communication, and support for families facing long‑term care burdens.

  • Advance care planning matters: Living wills and clear advance directives reduce the moral burden on loved ones and help clinicians align care with patient values. The practical challenge is making meaningful advance directives accessible and easy to execute for ordinary people.

  • Safeguards must be real: Procedural safeguards are not obstacles to compassion — they protect vulnerable patients from abuse and families from hasty decisions. At the same time, they should not be so onerous that they render the legal option illusory.

  • Law and medicine should be humane partners: Courts can set guardrails, but the day‑to‑day reality is clinical care and family support. Decisions about the end of life must unite legal prudence with medical ethics and human compassion.


Where I have written about related themes before

Over the years I have written on end‑of‑life choices, the stress on medical professionals, and the societal debates around assisted dying and living wills. Those reflections — about autonomy, safeguards and the need for humane public policy — remain relevant as courts apply established principles to new, heartbreaking cases. Examples of my earlier essays include pieces where I commented on assisted‑dying debates abroad and on stresses that end‑of‑life protocols place on doctors and families (see my earlier posts on end‑of‑life ethics and policy) [see two of my prior blog posts here and here].

(Sample earlier writings from my archive are linked for readers who wish to follow my previous reflections.)


Final note

This is a delicate, plural and evolving area. A single case puts a human face on legal principles, medical realities and family suffering. Courts, clinicians and civil society must work together to make sure the law protects dignity without creating avoidable suffering, that medical practice remains ethical and humane, and that families have access to the compassion and support they need.

If you are reading this because the courts' decision affects you or someone you love, please seek multidisciplinary clinical advice (neurology/rehabilitation/palliative care), legal counsel if necessary, and social support. These are decisions where medicine, ethics and law meet a family's life.


Regards,
Hemen Parekh


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Pothole and a Second Chance

Pothole and a Second Chance

Lede

I write this as someone unsettled by how fragile our certainties are — medical, legal and civic. Recent media reports describe a woman in Pilibhit whom doctors at a hospital in Bareilly had been told was brain‑dead; while being taken home for last rites in an ambulance the vehicle hit a large pothole and, according to family and treating clinicians, she suddenly began breathing again and later recovered with further treatment [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/lucknow/brain-dead-woman-jolted-back-to-life-by-pothole-in-up/articleshow/129417915.cms; https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/up-woman-declared-brain-dead-comes-back-to-life-as-ambulance-strikes-a-pothole-vineeta-shukla-pilibhit-101773198419182.html]. The story is wrenching and invites several careful questions — clinical, ethical, legal and civic — before we settle on labels like “miracle.”

Background: brain death versus coma

Medically, brain death is not another form of deep unconsciousness; it is a clinical and legal determination equivalent to death when all functions of the entire brain, including the brainstem, have irreversibly ceased. Guidance from major clinical sources describes a stepwise process (identifying irreversible cause, excluding reversible confounders, checking absence of brainstem reflexes and apnea testing) before declaring brain death [https://my.clevelandclinic.org/health/diseases/brain-death; https://www.neurology.org/doi/10.1212/WNL.0000000000207740; https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK538159/].

A coma, by contrast, is a state of unresponsiveness in which some brain activity and reflexes may remain and recovery is sometimes possible. Distinguishing the two matters because brain death, when properly determined, is irreversible; coma is not [https://my.clevelandclinic.org/health/diseases/brain-death; https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK538159/].

What happened in Pilibhit — the narrow facts

Reporting indicates the patient collapsed at home, was referred to a higher‑level facility, and — according to family accounts and clinicians — was later assessed in a Bareilly hospital as having absent brainstem reflexes and a very low Glasgow Coma Scale score before being taken home for last rites [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/bareilly/pothole-jerk-brings-back-to-life-dying-woman/articleshow/129411609.cms; https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/up-woman-declared-brain-dead-comes-back-to-life-as-ambulance-strikes-a-pothole-vineeta-shukla-pilibhit-101773198419182.html]. On the ambulance’s violent jolt over a pothole the family reports a sudden return of spontaneous breathing; the patient was then treated and recovered over several days at another hospital [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/lucknow/brain-dead-woman-jolted-back-to-life-by-pothole-in-up/articleshow/129417915.cms].

Ethical and legal implications

If a correct, guideline‑based diagnosis of brain death was already established, its reappearance of spontaneous breathing would be medically extraordinary and would demand urgent review of the diagnostic steps and documentation. Ethical and legal consequences flow from whether the accepted protocols (prerequisite checks, repeat examinations, apnea testing or appropriate ancillary tests) were followed before any declaration [https://www.neurology.org/doi/10.1212/WNL.0000000000207740; https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK538159/].

But the more common, pragmatic reading is this: some severe neurologic states can mimic brain‑death (ecstasy of spinal reflexes, deep metabolic or toxic states, severe hypothermia or certain envenomations) and careful exclusion of reversible causes is essential before pronouncement [https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4166875/].

Public reactions and the pull of sensationalism

It’s natural for families and communities to speak of miracles when someone returns from the brink. Media accounts lean into that human drama — it sells, comforts and shocks. I feel that tenderness, but I also feel a responsibility to resist premature, literal uses of words like "brain‑dead" and "miracle" without scrutiny of the clinical record. Sensationalism can misinform families about what “brain death” means and can erode trust in validated medical criteria [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/lucknow/brain-dead-woman-jolted-back-to-life-by-pothole-in-up/articleshow/129417915.cms].

Expert context: how clinicians and investigators should respond

When unusual recoveries are reported, the right clinical response is careful documentation and peer review: verify the original exam and tests, rule out confounders (intoxication, hypothermia, reversible metabolic causes, residual paralytics), and if needed use ancillary studies (cerebral blood flow studies, EEG) to clarify the situation. This protects families, clinicians and public understanding [https://www.neurology.org/doi/10.1212/WNL.0000000000207740; https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK538159/].

Potholes, infrastructure and the bitter irony

There is a bitter civic angle to this story: the highway pothole that may have been the proximate physical cause of the jolt is itself a symptom of neglected road maintenance on stretches like NH‑74 that connect Bareilly and Pilibhit. Road condition reporting and government audits show recurring issues with potholes in this region and across Uttar Pradesh [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/bareilly/74-km-of-bareilly-sitarganj-stretch-of-nh-74-to-be-made-four-laned/articleshow/66227797.cms; https://www.amarujala.com/uttar-pradesh/bareilly/potholes-on-the-highway-order-for-pothole-removal-is-causing-hiccups-bareilly-news-c-4-lko1018-459676-2024-08-15]. I have long written about how poor road maintenance kills and about inexpensive technical fixes (for example, cold‑mix asphalt approaches) that wince at short‑term patching and favour durable repair; readers can find earlier pieces of mine on road safety and pothole solutions here: http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2021/02/young-and-dying-on-roads.html and http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/07/cold-asphalt-is-answer.html.

A caution about narrative and grief

Stories like this touch grief and the wish for meaning. As a writer I want to honor the family’s relief and the patient’s recovery, while urging clinicians, journalists and officials to avoid premature causal claims. Document, investigate, and then explain — that sequence honors both science and human feeling.

Conclusion

The Pilibhit report should prompt three practical actions: careful clinical audit of the case, transparent explanation to the family and public about what was done and why, and renewed attention to road safety and maintenance so that needless deaths and near‑tragedies become less likely. I find it tempting to call this a miracle; I find it more honest to call for evidence, compassion and better roads.

Resources

  • Times of India report on the incident: https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/lucknow/brain-dead-woman-jolted-back-to-life-by-pothole-in-up/articleshow/129417915.cms
  • Hindustan Times summary: https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/up-woman-declared-brain-dead-comes-back-to-life-as-ambulance-strikes-a-pothole-vineeta-shukla-pilibhit-101773198419182.html
  • Clinical overview of brain death (Cleveland Clinic): https://my.clevelandclinic.org/health/diseases/brain-death
  • Consensus guideline (AAN / Neurology): https://www.neurology.org/doi/10.1212/WNL.0000000000207740
  • Indian perspective on brainstem death: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4166875/
  • My earlier posts on roads and potholes: http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2021/02/young-and-dying-on-roads.html ; http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/07/cold-asphalt-is-answer.html

— Hemen Parekh


Regards,
Hemen Parekh


Any questions / doubts / clarifications regarding this blog? Just ask (by typing or talking) my Virtual Avatar on the website embedded below. Then "Share" that to your friend on WhatsApp.

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  • Need help ? No problem . Following are two AI AGENTS where we have PRE-LOADED this question in their respective Question Boxes . All that you have to do is just click SUBMIT
    1. www.HemenParekh.ai { a SLM , powered by my own Digital Content of more than 50,000 + documents, written by me over past 60 years of my professional career }
    2. www.IndiaAGI.ai { a consortium of 3 LLMs which debate and deliver a CONSENSUS answer – and each gives its own answer as well ! }
  • It is up to you to decide which answer is more comprehensive / nuanced ( For sheer amazement, click both SUBMIT buttons quickly, one after another ) Then share any answer with yourself / your friends ( using WhatsApp / Email ). Nothing stops you from submitting ( just copy / paste from your resource ), all those questions from last year’s UPSC exam paper as well !
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Tuesday, 10 March 2026

India's Fuel Under Strain

India's Fuel Under Strain

The short answer

I keep returning to the same worry: India’s energy system is more connected to Middle East security than most people realise. When a conflict threatens tanker routes through the Strait of Hormuz, the immediate effects are felt in prices and logistics — and, sooner than you might expect, in kitchens and factories.

In this post I summarise the top 10 points any reader should know about how a US–Iran war-style disruption would hit India’s oil, LPG and LNG supplies. I also reflect on why reducing import exposure has been a recurring theme in my writing A Twin Tragedy — and why that continues to matter.

Top 10 points to know

  1. Significant exposure via a narrow chokepoint
  • A large share of India’s crude, LPG and LNG imports transits the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow maritime corridor. If tanker movements are disrupted, immediate shipments are delayed and markets reprice risks quickly.
  1. LPG is the most immediately vulnerable
  • LPG (the cylinder cooking fuel) has relatively small strategic buffers and most imports come from Gulf suppliers. This makes household supplies the first visible casualty if shipments slow or insurance/war-risk cover is withdrawn.
  1. LNG is supply-contracted but not immune
  • Much LNG is supplied under long‑term contracts, which provides some protection. Still, security risks, halted loading at export terminals, or rerouted tankers raise costs and can force allocation cuts to industrial users.
  1. Crude oil is better buffered — but costs rise
  • India maintains commercial and strategic crude/product inventories that provide weeks of cover for crude and refined fuels. The bigger immediate impact is on landing costs: freight, war‑risk premiums and a geopolitical premium on crude prices lift India’s import bill.
  1. Refinery/export dynamics are a safety valve
  • India is a major exporter of refined products. In a stress scenario, refiners can be asked to prioritise domestic supplies (curb exports) to protect local availability — a practical but costly policy lever.
  1. Logistics and insurance amplify the shock
  • Even when physical barrels exist, insurers may withdraw war‑risk cover. Tanker owners and traders will either reroute (longer voyage, higher freight) or suspend fixtures, tightening near‑term physical availability.
  1. Industrial and agricultural users feel the second wave
  • Cuts or price spikes in LNG affect power, fertiliser and heavy industry. Those sectors face production disruptions or higher input costs that eventually feed into broader inflation.
  1. Diversification and substitution options exist — imperfectly
  • Alternatives (Russian, US, African, Latin American supplies, or tapping spot markets) can replace volumes over weeks, but at higher cost and longer transit times. Short‑term substitution is harder for LPG than for crude.
  1. Demand management and prioritisation are realistic policy tools
  • Governments can prioritise LPG for household consumers, reassign gas flows to essential uses, increase refinery output of gas/petrochemical streams for cooking fuel, or temporarily limit exports to secure domestic supply.
  1. Medium‑term incentive to accelerate energy transition
  • Repeated supply shocks emphasise the value of reducing import dependence: more domestic gas production where feasible, larger, better‑managed strategic stocks (especially for LPG), conservation, and faster deployment of renewables and electric cooking and transport.

Why this matters to me (and what I’ve written before)

I’ve argued previously that persistent reliance on imported fossil fuels leaves India exposed to geopolitics and price shocks, and that accelerating domestic renewables and efficiency was both an economic and strategic imperative A Twin Tragedy. A short conflict can be weathered with buffers; repeated or prolonged disruptions force painful trade‑offs between exports, domestic supply and inflation control.

Practical, short actionable advice

For consumers: avoid panic buying; hoarding accelerates shortages and makes distribution harder. Consider small steps that reduce fuel exposure at household level — improve cooking efficiency, and where possible evaluate electric or induction cooking as an alternative over the medium term.

For policymakers: strengthen LPG strategic buffers, create clear gas‑allocation rules that prioritise households and essential industry in crises, speed up diversification of suppliers (and long‑term contracted LNG), and accelerate renewables, rooftop solar and electric cooking/transport programmes to shrink exposure to maritime chokepoints.


Regards,
Hemen Parekh


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Minute Adjustments, Giant Strides

Minute Adjustments, Giant Strides

Minute adjustments, giant strides

I watched a quiet transformation at the T20 World Cup this year — not a sudden overhaul, but a sequence of tiny, deliberate corrections that added up to something unmistakable. A Times of India piece captured this idea well and traced how subtle technical and mental shifts helped a previously inconsistent player produce tournament-defining innings "Minute adjustments' help…" (Times of India).

What I noticed — the power of stillness and selectivity

Watching those innings, three things stood out to me:

  • Stillness before action. The batter’s base and trigger movements became quieter and more controlled. Where there used to be twitch and hurry, there was now balance and timing.
  • Patience inside the chaos. Instead of trying to muscle every ball, there was a willingness to see a few deliveries, build context, and then accelerate — especially in chases.
  • Micro-practice, macro-effect. Small technical edits in the nets (timing of the trigger, a slightly lower backlift against spin, nudging the weight distribution) translated into vastly improved control under pressure.

Those small changes produced big outcomes: consistent scores, the ability to steer monumental chases, and a clarity of intent that reshaped the team’s top-order dynamics.

Why tiny fixes work better than dramatic overhauls

There’s a human tendency to believe that big problems need big solutions. But elite performance often lives in the margin:

  • Small motor adjustments are easier to repeat under stress than wholesale rewires.
  • Incremental changes preserve existing strengths while correcting the most damaging errors.
  • Confidence is rebuilt faster when the athlete sees immediate, repeatable improvement from a single tweak.

I’ve seen the same pattern in product design and teams: iterate in small cycles, measure, and compound the wins.

Lessons for leaders, coaches, and individuals

If you’re coaching, leading a team, or working on your craft, these principles apply:

  • Back talent through short, focused iterations rather than sudden abandonment. Opportunity plus measured support often unlocks potential.
  • Protect attention. The player I watched consciously shut off social noise and reduced external inputs to focus on process — a disciplined shrinking of the sensory window.
  • Emphasise repeatable practice: work on the smallest technical element that directly improves consistency, then layer additional work.

Practical takeaways you can use tomorrow

  • Identify one mechanical or process habit that costs you performance and spend two practice sessions isolating it.
  • Replace noisy feedback (social media, constant commentary) with a short list of measurable signals you care about.
  • When someone talented slips, resist the urge to overhaul immediately. Give them space for micro-adjustments and enough opportunities to apply them in real settings.

Final thought — small edits, enduring change

Big outcomes rarely arrive from a single lightning bolt. They are more often the result of patient attention to the margins: a nudge to posture, a timing tweak, a calmer mind in the middle of a storm. Watching that unfold at a global tournament reminded me how much the smallest improvements can tilt an entire narrative.


Regards,
Hemen Parekh


Any questions / doubts / clarifications regarding this blog? Just ask (by typing or talking) my Virtual Avatar on the website embedded below. Then "Share" that to your friend on WhatsApp.

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Hello Candidates :

  • For UPSC – IAS – IPS – IFS etc., exams, you must prepare to answer, essay type questions which test your General Knowledge / Sensitivity of current events
  • If you have read this blog carefully , you should be able to answer the following question:
"How can small, repeatable technical or mental adjustments create outsized performance gains for elite athletes in short tournaments?"
  • Need help ? No problem . Following are two AI AGENTS where we have PRE-LOADED this question in their respective Question Boxes . All that you have to do is just click SUBMIT
    1. www.HemenParekh.ai { a SLM , powered by my own Digital Content of more than 50,000 + documents, written by me over past 60 years of my professional career }
    2. www.IndiaAGI.ai { a consortium of 3 LLMs which debate and deliver a CONSENSUS answer – and each gives its own answer as well ! }
  • It is up to you to decide which answer is more comprehensive / nuanced ( For sheer amazement, click both SUBMIT buttons quickly, one after another ) Then share any answer with yourself / your friends ( using WhatsApp / Email ). Nothing stops you from submitting ( just copy / paste from your resource ), all those questions from last year’s UPSC exam paper as well !
  • May be there are other online resources which too provide you answers to UPSC “ General Knowledge “ questions but only I provide you in 26 languages !




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