Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do.

There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Thursday, 6 May 2021

Copy that Mumbai Model, ( Municipal ) Commissioners

 


 

 

Context :

Examine 'Mumbai Model', learn from it: Supreme Court to Centre on Delhi oxygen crisis  /  MINT – 05 April

Extract :

Ø  The Supreme Court on Wednesday recommended that the Centre should look to Mumbai and take note from the Bombay Municipal Corporation as the civic body had done a good job in managing oxygen supplies.


Ø  "Bombay Municipal Corporation has done some remarkable work and not disrespecting Delhi but we can maybe see what was done by BMC. Maharashtra is also an oxygen supply state," Justice Chandrachud said.


Ø  The top court also asked the Centre to maintain transparency on the ongoing oxygen supply crisis in Delhi and keep citizens informed.

Ø  The Delhi HC had on Tuesday issued a show-cause notice to the government as to why contempt should not be initiated against it for failing to comply with the order on supply of oxygen to the Capital for treating Covid-19 patients.

===================================================

Mumbai: Cash-strapped BMC to shell out Rs 1.6 crore to rent e-cars for 8 years | Mumbai News 

Extract :

Ø  At a time when the BMC is dealing with an acute scarcity of funds and has needed to dip into its reserves, it plans to spend Rs 1.6 crore on renting model new electrical automobiles for its civic leaders. As an alternative of shopping for new e-cars, the BMC has determined to hire these for a interval of eight years.
By renting the autos for eight years, the BMC will find yourself paying round Rs 32 lakh per automobile—greater than double the market worth of around Rs 14 lakh for every car .

 

Ø  Civic officers mentioned the BMC will find itself paying Rs 27,000 to Rs 37,000 per thirty days per automobile.

 

Ø   The BMC is renting the automobiles from Energy Efficiency Services Ltd (EESL)

 

Ø  Raja mentioned he wouldn’t wish to get a brand new electrical car at a time when the BMC is in a nasty monetary state. “Our automobiles are nearly 10 years outdated and sometimes break down however this proposal ought to be deferred. The BMC isn’t in a monetary place to go for fancy automobiles. The BMC has already spent some huge cash on Covid and such fancy electrical automobiles should not be purchased,” Raja mentioned.

 

Ø  RTI activist Anil Galgali too mentioned the BMC should not spend cash on electrical automobiles when it’s dealing with a crunch. “The BMC should not purchase fancy automobiles proper now at double the market worth on hire. Paying double the market worth and taking automobiles on hire doesn’t make sense. There ought to be an austerity drive by BMC leaders,” Galgali mentioned.

===================================================

MY  TAKE  :

Ø  I am presuming that BMC has taken these 5 e-Cars on WET LEASE ( including maintenance + battery re-charge cost + driver’s salary etc., to be borne by EESL )

Ø  Economy Calculations :

LEASE RENT :

#  Rs 1.6 cr ( Rs 160 lakh ) for 8 years = Rs 20 lakh / year ( for 5 cars ) =

    Rs 4 lakh / year / car

 

             OWNERSHIP COST ( if purchased outright instead of leasing ) :

            #   Purchase Price            =   Rs  14 lakh  / car



            #   Interest Cost @ 15 %  =   Rs   2.1 lakh / year

            #   Depreciation @ 10 %   =   Rs   1.4 lakh / year

            #   Maint ( spares ) @ 5 %=   Rs   0.7 lakh / year

            #   Driver’s Salary              =  Rs   3.0 lakh / year 

                                                               ( Rs 25,000/ month incl. benefits )

          ===================================================

                Sub – Total                     =  Rs   7.2 Lakh / year / car   

===================================================

Thank God, BMC decided to WET-LEASE , electric cars and not BUY petrol cars


If these were outright PURCHASED, petrol cars, then petrol itself would have cost another Rs 10 / Km ( @ Rs 100 / Litre and car-mileage at 10 km / litre )


If that PETROL car was to run 2,000 km / month, that would add up to 24,000 km / year


That would add another Rs 2.4 Lakh / year !


WET-LEASING of e-cars must not be on payment of “ lease rent “ on any TIME-PERIOD basis ( eg: a MONTH )


It must be based on ACTUAL KM RUN by each car


If , for whatever reason ( incl. driver absenteeism – spare unavailability – no nearby battery charging station etc ), the car stops , the LEASE-RENT METER also stops !


This will force the party leasing out ( in this case, EESL ), itself  to set up hundreds of Battery Charging Stations ( one every 5 Km ? ), all over the city to ensure that the e-cars never run out of juice !  

 

Dear Hon Supreme Court,


I urge you to “ RECOMMEND “ to Municipal Commissioners all over the country that , besides in case of handling COVID, in case of LEASING of e-Cars too, they follow the MUMBAI MODEL


With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@recruitGuru.com  /  07 April 2021

Wednesday, 5 May 2021

Getting Pro-active when pushed by Pandemic ?

 


 

For years now, I have been advocating refocusing on SELF-EMPLOYMENT rather than on trying to create PAID JOBS ( whether in Private Sector or in Public Sector )

There is simply no way, we can create every year, 12 MILLION new / additional jobs

Now comes the following news :

Over Half of Formal Employees became Temps in ’20 : Study    /   Eco Times / 06 May

Extract :

Ø  Amid more curbs and local lockdowns to contain the spread of Covid-19, a new report shows that more than half of permanent salaried workers — or formal workers — moved to informal work by the end of last year.

Ø  as much as 34 % of formal workers had moved to Self- Employment , while 8.5 % had shifted to temporarily salaried roles and 9.8 % to Casual or Daily Wage workers

Ø  The report showed that the poorest of the workers have taken the worst hit, with an additional 230 million people slipping below the national minimum wage line of Rs 375 per day, during last year’s lockdown. This translates into an increase in poverty by 15 % in rural areas and nearly 20 % in urban areas

Ø  The poorest 20 % lost nearly all their income due to unemployment during the lockdown, while the top 20 % lost a little less than a quarter

Ø  More than 46 % of women lost jobs during the lockdown and did not get back into employment, while this figure was 7 % for men

Ø  A third of workers in the 15-24 age group failed to recover employment even by December 2020. This figure was lower at 6 % in the 25-44 age group

===================================================

The above-mentioned report should be read in conjunction with following report :

China is the World’s Manufacturing Superpower   /    Statista.com

China………………….28.7  %

USA…………………… 16.8  %

Japan…………………..  7.5  %

Germany…………….. 5.3  %

India……………………. 3.1  %

S. Korea……………..   3.0  %

Italy……………………….2.1  %

France…………………   1.9  %

UK……………………….   1.8  %

Indonesia…………….   1.6  %

===================================================

 MY TAKE :


Dear Shri Narendrabhai,


One does not need to be an ORACLE to visualize the following

Nor do my suggestions fall under ROCKET SCIENCE

But one thing is indisputable:  “ LUCK only happens when PREPAREDNESS meets CIRCUMSTANCES  “ .

I urge you to enable our countrymen ( and women ) to be prepared when the THIRD WAVE hits our shores

Ø  As per experts, matters ( economic recovery-wise / employment-wise ) are going to get WORSE

Ø  Quite likely, formal jobs already eaten away by Covid, are never going to return

Ø  At world-level, it is “ Every Country for itself ( Dog eat dog ) “ . WTO is dying a slow death

Ø  At a country-level , each Government which fails to protect / create jobs, is getting thrown out

Ø  Whether for a Country or for an ordinary citizen, only “ the fittest will survive “

Ø  The only way to make our poor millions “ fittest “, is to unshackle them from govt compliances and get out of their  way to earn their living by getting SELF EMPLOYED, doing ANYTHING as long as it does not harm other citizen or the Environment, as detailed at :

  A NEW ECONOMIC ORDER ? aka " Start Up Act - 2015 "…………….[ 12 Sept 2015 ]

 

  " BACK FACTORY " OF THE WORLD ? ……………………………………………[ 09 Sept 2015 ]

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  06 April 2021

  ==================================================

RELATED  READINGS  :

Why China Is "The World's Factory"

Is China still the factory of the world?   /  Financial Express -  21 april 2021

Extract :

Ø  Can India take advantage of the ‘perfect storm’ in terms of confluence of circumstance on the global stage, as also the proactive-ness of policy at home to make ‘ Made in India ’ happen?

 

  Permission to create jobs ?  …………………………………………………[ 14 Mar 2020 ]

 

 India BPO Promotion Scheme :  [  IBPS  ]  V  2.0  ………..     [ 11 April 2018 ]

 

  Will Holograms beat H1B Visa Ban ?                                  [ 31 Jan 2017 ]

 

 Wormholes Across the World ?                                           [ 03 Mar 2017 ]

 

 Thank You , Prakashbhai ( Javadekarji )                              [ 03 Apr 2019 ]

 

 

Tuesday, 4 May 2021

A Day without a New Covid App ?

 


 

Every day, we come to know about some Mobile App

Here are news reports from tody’s news papers :

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ø  Aarogya Setu App to display Vax Status soon    /  Eco Times

The government is working on a feature where a blue tick will appear against their names once people take one dose of the vaccine. If they have taken both the doses, then two blue ticks will be displayed.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ø  Coders script ways to beat vaccination queues  /  Business Line

        Not able to get a vaccination appointment? Or, managed to get one only to find the hospital has run out of vaccines? A host of Indian coders, who found themselves in a similar situation, have managed to get around it by cracking the code on the Cowin website

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Only last week, Facebook came out with :

Facebook Launches In-App Vaccine Tracker In India

The vaccine tracker tool will allow users to find the nearest vaccine centres and their hours of operation as shared by the Union Health Ministry.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

A day later this was announced :

COVID-19: Technology, Information & Information Technology

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

A few months back, following was reported :

Artificial intelligence model detects asymptomatic Covid-19 infections through cellphone-recorded coughs  / MIT News

Results might provide a convenient screening tool for people who may not suspect they are infected.

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

As you can see from the following, it is a field-day for Covid tracking devices :

Singapore to make travellers wear electronic tags to enforce quarantine 

======================================================================

 

Then there are Apps ( or soon will be ) for following :

Ø  Detect mildly asymptomatic persons , needing home quarantine

Ø  Detect severely infected persons needing home-isolation

Ø  Persons needing hospital bed with Oxygen / ventilator / ICU

Ø  Persons needing Vaccines

Ø  Persons needing REMDESIVIR

Ø  Persons belonging to a particular Age Group

Ø  Persons with Co-morbidity

And Apps for finding / quickly locating :

Ø  PIN code wise, Hospitals / Covid Care Centres / Vaccination Centres / Nursing Homes / Path Labs / Family Doctors / Ward-boy Supply Agencies

Ø  Medicine Stores carrying stocks of Remdesivir

Ø  Operators of Cryogenic Tanker Fleets

Ø   Oxygen Cylinder Suppliers / Oxygen Plants.. (  the list goes on )



IS ANYTHING LEFT OUT ?


Yes !

What I suggested in my following earlier blog / e-mail to Cabinet Ministers / NITI Aayog :


Ø  Aarogya Setu : Good Beginning / Long Way to Go…………[ 18 April 2020 ]

 

Extract :

 Solution :

 

          Ø     Status of ALL the persons tested ( whether found positive or negative

                   ) , must be compiled in a central database ( 24x7 )

                

              Ø     Arogya Setu , on its own , will access / retrieve / sync with central

                     database every hour and download Mobile Numbers of ALL those who

                     tested positive

   

               

              Ø     As soon as I am within 2 meters of any of these ( positive ) Mobile

                     phone, my phone will start getting a signal and start beeping !

                

                Just imagine, in a crowd, hundreds of phones start beeping

 

 

                Enough to scare even the bravest !

 

            Ø      My suggestion will prevent thousands of persons crowding near free

                    Ration Shops/Vegetable markets


                       Technological solution for “Social Distancing “

 

With regards,

 

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  05 May 2021

 

=====================================================

RELATED  READINGS :

Ø   Apple and Google Could Be Better at Tracking the Coronavirus Than a Government  

Ø  Ramesh Raskar's MIT Team Builds App That Tells If Someone's Infected With COVID-19 Near You   

             (    raskar@media.mit.ed  /  https://privatekit.mit.edu/   )

Ø  Social Distancing Systems ……………………………………[ 13 May 2020 ]

Ø  CRY , Beloved Country…………………………………………..[ 15 Apr 2020 ]

Ø  Aarogya Setu : Ayushmaan Bhavah :…………………..[ 22 Apr 2020 ]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Friday, 30 April 2021

Can we predict, next attack of COVID ( Where ? When ? Who ? )

 


 

 

Yes, says following eminent Scientists :

 

Shri Gagandeep Kang………………gkang@cmvellore.ac.in

Shri T Jacob John…………………… vlr_tjjohn@sancharnet.in 

Smt Jyotsna Dhawan……………. jdhawan@ccmb.res.in / jdhawan@instem.res.in

Shri Partha Majumder…………....ppm1@nibmg.ac.in  /  ppm@isical.ac.in

 

Context :

Scientists appeal to PM Modi to make Covid-19 data public   /   BL – 29 April 2021

Extract :

Ø  A section of scientists in the country, on Thursday, impressed upon Prime Minister Narendra Modi on the need to make public the Covid-19 data that is being gathered by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) since last year

Ø  “The ICMR database is inaccessible to anyone outside of the government and perhaps also to many within the government. Most scientists – including several identified by DST (Department of Science and Technology) and NITI Aayog to develop new prediction models for India – do not have access to these data,” said the scientists who signed the appeal.

Ø  A number of Indian scientists, who have been directly and indirectly working towards enhancing our understanding of the novel coronavirus, are signatories to the appeal. They include noted vaccine scientist Gagandeep Kang, renowned clinical virologist T Jacob John, Jyotsana Dhawan, and human geneticist and former president of Indian Academy of Science, Partha Majumder.

Ø  They said access to clinical data (with appropriate safeguards for maintaining patient privacy) is required for analysis and predictions, and for estimating the requirements for oxygen, medical supplies, ventilators, ICU beds.

Ø  The scientists pointed out that only detailed analysis of large-scale granular epidemiologist data available with ICMR can help understand the geographical variability in patterns of spread of the infection due to local conditions.

===================================================

Dear Dr Harshvardhanji,

 

I urge you to accede to this request of our Scientists. In my several e-mails, I have made an appeal for compilation, analysis of such data for our entire population ( including those who are unaffected by Covid infection so far )


In my following last e-mail :

Dr Harshvardhanji, please listen to Shri Chandrasekharji ……[ 21 April 2021 ]


I asked :

How can we go about that business of PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS ?


And went on to repeat my following earlier suggestion :

“ By compiling / capturing following DATA about each and every Indian citizen ( affected or so far not affected , by COVID   ( source :   Vaccine : a Case of Missing Data     /    09 April 2021 )

 

 As to the data itself, I suggested :

“ But, if meticulously compiled and centrally processed ( with help of Artificial Intelligence ), following data, compiled uniformly at source, could determine those “ VACCINATION  PRIORITIES “ :


 [ A ]   PERSONAL  DATA

                 Name / Birthdate ( for Age ) / Gendre / Contact Details / Aadhar number

       [ B ]   LOCATION  DATA

                Permanent Address / Current Address ( State – Jilla – City – locality ) /

                Red Zone / Containment

[ C ]   FAMILY  DATA

                Details of Parents / Siblings

     [ D ]   HEALTH  HISTORY

               Details of recent illnesses - morbidity / Medicines given ( including for

              Covid treatment ) / Hospitals where treated / Names & License Number of

              Doctor who treated

                                    

      [ E ]   ETHNIC  DATA

                Race / Religion  / Language ( Mother tongue )

       [ F ]   EDUCATIONAL  DATA

                Graduate – Under Graduate – Illiterate etc

      [ G ]    EMPLOYMENT  DATA

                Employed – Unemployed – Self employed

      [ H ]    INCOME  DATA

                Monthly Income (to determine whether RICH–MIDDLE CLASS–POOR )


WORD OF CAUTION :


As it is, we are having major problems with wide-spread reports ( which include my own experience ), of NON-FUNCTIONING / MAL-FUNCTIONING of Covid App and COWIN portal


This is despite it being a Single - Unified – Centralized – Structured platform , to be followed uniformly / identically, by every person who wants to get vaccinated , from any part of India and from a Govt vaccination Centre or a Private Hospital – Nursing Home or a Work Place of Business / Industry , and in course of time, even by a family doctor visiting the homes of bedridden people


Today’s news report reads as follows :

“ Maharashtra CM writes to the Centre demanding de-centralization of the CoWin registration App “    


 If this request is granted, similar requests will follow from many other States – and CHAOS will follow, with each State Registration Apps, collecting different data , which cannot be aggregated !


Then, we can forget about Data Analysis and Prediction !


With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  01  May  2021   

 

===================================================

Copy to following ICMR Scientists :

Balram Bhargava…………. secy-dg@icmr.gov.in

Amit Prakash Sharma……amitps.nimr@icmr.gov.in

Arun Kumar Sharma………a.sharma@icmr.gov.in

Ashwani Kumar…………….. director.vcrc@icmr.gov.in

C Padmapriyadarsini  ……padmapriyadarsinic@nirt.res.in

Debprasad Chattopadhyay……director.nitm.bg@gmail.com

Dr Prabha Desikan……….prabhadesikan@yahoo.com

Dr. Aparup Das…………….director@nirth.res.in

Geetanjali Sachdeva………….sachdevag@nirrh.res.in

Hemalatha Rajkumar………….rhemalatha.nin@icmr.gov.in

Kamalesh Sarkar……………. kamalesh.sarkar@icmr.gov.in

Kanwar Narain…………….knarain.rmrcne@gov.in

Krishna Pandey…………….pandey.krishna@icmr.gov.in

M Vishnu Vardhana Rao…..nims.director@icmr.gov.in

Manisha Madkaikar…………madkaikar.manisha@gov.in

Manoj V Murhekar…………director.nie@icmr.gov.in

P Vijayachari……………..vijayachari.p@icmr.gov.in

Prashant Mathur………….director@ncdirindia.org

Priya Abraham……………priya.abraham@icmr.gov.in

Rajnarayan Ramshankar Tiwari……….tiwari.rr@gov.in

Rajni Kant……………….kantr.hq@icmr.gov.in

Samiran Panda…………..samiranpanda.hq@icmr.gov.in

Sanghamitra Pati………..dir.rmrcb@icmr.gov.in

Shalini Singh……………..director.nicpr@icmr.gov.in

Shanta Dutta……………shanta.niced@icmr.gov.in

Shripad A. Patil…………directorjalma@gmail.com

Usha Agrawal………….ushakaggarwal.nip@gov.in

 

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