Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Sunday, 18 May 2014

What Are the Chances ?



Over the past few weeks , we saw many surveys re: which political party will win how many Lok Sabha seats


These included , Times Now-ORG / CNN-IBN-CSDS / Headlines Today - Cicero / ABP News-Nielsen / News 24 - Today's Chanakya / Cvoter - India TV etc


Although , " Today's Chanakya " came closest to predicting the number of seats that NDA might win , others too were fairly accurate


Using statistical techniques , they computed the Chance ( Probability ) for each party , based on asking a few thousands voters ( sample ) , their preferences


Now is the time to survey the voters , once again , as to what do they believe , when it comes to BJP fulfilling its poll promises


For each item ( of BJP's poll manifesto ) , what is the perceived chance ( probability ) that the BJP Government will fulfill / deliver on its promises ? Will it be 10 % - 50 % - 100 %  ?


The outcome will determine BJP's credibility among voters , vis-a-vis , its poll promises


It may be even an eye-opener for BJP  !


If conducted and results published by end June 2014 , such a survey might even become a " Self Fulfilling Prophesy "  !


If it turns out less-than-flattering , BJP will work twice as hard to prove the pollsters wrong  !


Here are the " Chances " which I attach to fulfillment of each of BJP's following poll promises , by the end of 3rd year :


*  Ensure minimization of Black Money and setting up of a Task
    Force  ......... ( 50 % )


*  Special Courts to stop hoarding and black-marketing. ( 100 %)


*  Set-up a Price-Stabilization Fund.......( 100 % )


*  Develop labour-intensive Manufacturing ...  (  10 %  )


*  Empowering youth for Self-Employment...  ( 25 % )


*  Transforming Employment Exchanges to Career Centers(10% )


*  Eliminating corruption thru E-Governance... ( 10 % )


*  Rationalization / Simplification of Tax-regime.. ( 20 % )


*  Insulate intelligence agencies from political intervention and
    interference..... ( 10 % )


*  Strengthening physical infrastructure with expediting work on
    freight and Industrial Corridors..... ( 15 % )


*  Setting up Gas-Grids and National Optical Fiber Network up to
    the village level.......  (  30 %  )


*  Quadrilateral project for Bullet Trains..... (  5  %  )


*  Establishment of National E - Library.....  (  40  %  )


*  Implementation of National Education Policy .. ( 50 % )


*  Evolving further the PPP model to PPPP model .. ( 50 % )


*  Building 100 Mega-Cities................  (  0  %  )




Did I miss out any  ?


Parallel with whatever the Pollsters may - or may not - do , it would be worthwhile for BJP Tech-Team , to come out with a mobile App ( to be named , " RUN - Rate Us Now " ? ), to find out what voters feel , on a 5 star scale


Or , an App that would let the voters prioritize among various promises



*  hemen  parekh  (  19 May 2014 / Mumbai  )

----------------------------------------------------

Make    Yourself    Heard

Dear Visitor :

It is time for YOU to speak up - and demand that YOU are heard

By emailing this suggestion - incorporating your OWN improvements - to the following Policy Makers

(  Just multiple copy all the following Email IDs into the Recipient column of your Outlook and Copy / paste this suggestion in the Message Box ) :


    narendramodi1234@gmail.com; 38ashokroad@gmail.com;ajaitley@del5.vsnl.net.in; jayant.sinha19@sansad.nic.in;piyush.goyal@gov.in;nitin.gadkari@nic.in; spprabhu1@rediffmail.com;bandaru@sansad.nic.in;smritizirani@nic.in;nsitharaman@nic.in; ravis@sansad.nic.in;sureshprabhu@irctc.co.in;prakash.j@sansad.nic.in;secy-ipp@nic.in; amitabh.kant@nic.in; shaktikanta.das@nic.in; rsecy@nic.in; adhia1981@gmail.com; ceo-niti@nic.in; atul-chaturvedi@nic.in; uma.bharati@sansad.nic.in; d.pradhan@sansad.nic.in; rprudy.office@gmail.com; rudypr@rediffmail.com; eam@mea.gov.in; mosvks@mea.gov.in; mvnaidu@sansad.nic.in; mnaqvi@sansad.nic.in; rao.inderjit@sansad.nic.in; mljoffice@gov.in; sadananda.gowda@sansad.nic.in; ministerminority@gov.in; najmah@sansad.nic.in; minister-ca@nic.in; ramvilas.paswan@sansad.nic.in; gandhim@sansad.nic.in; akumar-alpha@sansad.nic.in; jpnadda@sansad.nic.in; hm.moca@nic.in; geete@sansad.nic.in; simratbadal@yahoo.com; ns.tomar@nic.in; rmsingh@sansad.nic.in; tc.gehlot@sansad.nic.in; dr.harshvardhan@sansad.nic.in   





No comments:

Post a Comment