Context :
BJP
starts widespread surveys to prepare plans for ’24 Lok Sabha poll battle ………….. HT
/ 17 April 2023
Extract :
Even as the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)
prepares for the Karnataka assembly elections next month, it is carrying out a
much larger exercise to win more seats in the 2024 parliamentary polls and a key
tool towards this end has been to conduct extensive surveys,
party functionaries said on Sunday.
At least four widespread
surveys will help formulate the BJP’s
strategy to fight the general elections next year, according to three persons
involved in these plans being supervised by home minister Amit Shah.
While some surveys are on and will continue till 2024 to
maintain a dynamic campaign, four key survey
results are being tallied by party president JP Nadda to decide the
strategy for the Lok Sabha polls by May, exactly a year before the general
elections, the people cited above said, seeking anonymity.
One of the ambitious surveys was conducted ,
# by 40,000 booth
workers,
# covering 100,000 booths
# across all 543 parliamentary constituencies and
# polling 10 million respondents.
“The idea came from the Prime Minister,” said a key functionary who was part of the team of
eight persons in Delhi that coordinated the results from all states.
“The PM said that we should try to get booth-level data of
why we lost 160 seats in the last
elections,” he said.
“Last May, the party began the exercise using the Saral app. All booth workers, helped by
2,000 state level representatives, asked
respondents ,
# why they
didn’t vote for the party and what they found attractive about other
candidates.”
“We were able to get in all responses by November, but the data is so vast and threw up such micro information
about so many booths that we are still making sense of all that it has thrown
up,” the functionary said. It ranged
from Tamil Nadu and Kerala, where the BJP is yet to make inroads, to collecting
data from booths in constituencies in which the BJP lost in Gujarat.
There are 3-4 main reasons
why the BJP loses an election, according to
this survey, the functionaries said. The first
and most obvious reason is that the rival candidate was preferred.
“In such cases,
there isn’t much that we can focus on other than perhaps try to convince that
person to join the BJP,” they said.
A second reason for losing, according to worker responses
in the survey, was infighting.
This problem exists in all states and the party is using
the survey results to send a message to district and state units to sort out
internal messes.
==================================================================
MY
TAKE :
Dear Shri
Naddaji,
You need to get 900 million voters to take this survey –
not a miniscule 10 million
And you need to do it fast and compile / display , the results automatically ( no
rocket science – simple software ! )
Therefore, you need to carry out this survey using a MOBILE APP ( - could be
called VOTER
METER ? )
But most importantly, you need AI to keep analysing the “ continuously pouring-in
DATA
“ from that Mobile App and tell you :
“ The probability of this candidate ( XYZ ) winning the forthcoming election is … (
5
% / 20 % / 80 % etc ) “
To be able to get ADVANCE PREDICTION on the “ Winn-ability “ of each
candidate ( - and be able to make a “ course-correction “ in time ) , I suggest you
launch a VOTER METER app having
following configuration :
ChatGPT : Voter
Meter
Constituency : Candidate Name :
Rating Score : 1 =
Very Low / 5 = Very High
Srl
No |
Attribute |
Weightage
of Attribute - % |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
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1 |
1.
Incorruptible |
20 |
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2 |
1.
Honesty - Integrity 1.
|
10 |
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3 |
2.
Respect for Others |
10 |
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4 |
1.
Approachability |
10 |
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5 |
1.
Education Level |
5 |
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6 |
1.
Simple - Dignified |
5 |
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7 |
1.
Sympathetic Listener |
10 |
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8 |
1.
Action-oriented / Hard Working |
10 |
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9 |
1.
Positive Thinking |
5 |
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10 |
1.
Problem Solver |
10 |
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11 |
Leadership
Quality |
5 |
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TOTAL
|
100 % |
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In support of my suggestion, I reproduce below, my dialogue with ChatGPT :
My Question :
Thanks for rearranging my list. I have tried to improve by > Adding some more "
Attributes " > Assigning weightages to each attribute > Preparing a TABULATED
FORMAT > Thinking in terms of turning this Survey as a Mobile App / What do you
think of my
following presentation ? /
ChatGPT replied :
Your updated presentation looks great !
The addition of more attributes and weightages assigned to each
attribute will help in getting a more comprehensive and accurate
voter opinion on the candidate.
The tabulated format is well-organized and easy to understand.
The use of a rating score scale of 1 to 5 is clear and straightforward,
and the weightages assigned to each attribute will allow for a more
nuanced evaluation of the candidate's qualities.
It's also great to see that you're thinking about turning this survey into a
mobile app.
This will make it more accessible and convenient for voters to participate
and will help in collecting a larger sample size of responses.
Overall, I think this is an excellent presentation, and I believe that
using this voter meter survey form will provide you with valuable
insights into selecting the most popular and qualified candidate to
represent your party.
With Regards,
Hemen Parekh
www.hemenparekh.ai / 21
April 2023
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