Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Wednesday, 5 February 2025

Shortage of Doctors : Any Solution ?


 

My friend Kalpana Desai asked :

“The proportion of doctor to population is very low...specially in rural India....can u share your views regarding this and a viable solution so all may benefit and make the world a better place for all. “

Before suggesting a solution , let us study following data :

 

( A )   Number of Medical Colleges in India

Ø  Total No ……… 706 ……… having……  108,940  seats

Ø  Private ………… 365 ……. having ……  52,193    seats ….  (  Fee  >  Rs  10-25 lakh / year )

Ø  Govt ……………  350 …..  having…..     56,748    seats ….  (  Fee  >  Rs  1 – 3 lakh  / year )

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

( B )    Number of Hospitals  

Ø  Government …………….. 25,778

Ø  Private ……………………….43,486 ( only Allopathic )

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

( C )   Number of Doctors

Country Name

Doctors per 1,000 Population

Austria

5.2

Norway

5.1

Switzerland

4.9

Germany

4.8

Spain

4.6

Italy

4.3

Australia

4.0

United Kingdom

3.7

United States

3.5

Japan

3.4

India

~1.0**

 

( D )    Number of Students appearing in NEET exam :

 

·          Year

·          No. of Candidates Appeared

·          Percentile Requirement

·          Candidates Met Requirement

·          Candidates Failed Requirement

 

·          2021

·          16,14,777

·          50th (General) / 40th (Others)

·          ~8,70,074

·          ~7,44,703

 

·          2022

·          18,72,343

·          50th (General) / 40th (Others)

·          ~9,93,069

·          ~8,79,274

 

·          2023

·          20,38,596

·          50th (General) / 40th (Others)

·          ~11,45,976

·          ~8,92,620

 

·          2024*

·          24,00,000

·          50th (General) / 40th (Others)

·          ~13,20,000

·          ~10,80,000

 

Despite domestic push in Budget 2025, medical students likely to stick to studying abroad

( Eco Times / 6 Feb 2025 )

Dear Shri J P Naddaji


( Health Minister / jpnadda@gmail.com / min-hfm@gov.in / jp.nadda@sansad.nic.in )


In her budget speech last week, Smt Sitharamanji announced that the Govt will add 10,000 additional seats ( presumably in Govt Medical colleges where annual tuition fees are Rs 10,000 / - as against Rs 1 CRORE , for 4 year MBBS degree course , in Private colleges ) . Over the next 5 years , Govt plans to add 75,000 new seats

Even if this bold plan were to materialize , it comes no-where near the demand for seats considering that in NEET-UG 2025 exam , some 25 lakh students are expected to appear

Among many things that could be – and should be – tried , one is :

Creation of a VIRTUAL MEDICAL UNIVERSITY , where aspiring students can attend lectures from their homes

This could have many formats such as :

Ø  A dedicated TV Channel ( or several TV Channels , for each stream of specialization, Eg : Dentistry – Ophthalmology – Pathology – Nursing etc )

Ø  Several YouTube Video Channels ( different as above )

Ø  Several Web Portals – each dedicated to a given specialization

Ø  Many Mobile Apps

Ø  AR – VR – AI “ Eye Glasses-based learning of PRACTICALS ( including Surgical Procedures , LIVE STREAMED from each and every OPERATION THEATRE from each and every HOSPITAL ). By appropriate Govt-level tie-ups , such LIVE STREAMING ( accompanied by an highly experienced Medical Doctor – Professional explaining each step of the procedure ) , would substitute the shortage of Medical Hospitals / Colleges. Registered examinees / students will login with Password and Facial Recognition . Initially , students will learn to perform simple “ Surgical Procedures “ using their AR-VR-AI enabled Eye-glasses. Using same devices, they will give exams. Gradually – and under supervision of Expert Surgeons, they will be allowed to perform “ Remote Surgeries “ ( gradually from simple to complex ), using ROBOTS

Ø   Exams of students will also be conducted in HYBRID METHOD for NEET as recommended by Radhakrishnan Committee and already implemented at > https://www.my-teacher.in/test-basic-details-form . Just like MCSE ( Microsoft Certified Software Engineer ) certificate , a registered student can appear on such ONLINE exams whenever she is ready

Ø  In all of the above-mentioned ALTERNATIVES , Artificial Intelligence will be playing a CENTRAL ROLE in terms of :

#  Syllabus / Curriculum development

#  Pedagogy

#  Exam Generation and Testing / Candidate Assessment

#   Certification / Registration

Ø  “ Virtual Medical University “ eco-system will have dynamic access to the Medical History database of all the persons registered under Ayushman Bharat Scheme ( currently approx.. 40 crore persons ). This “ database “ will be used for “ training “ of MEDICAL AI AGENT

Ø  In addition to this, over a period of next 5 years, MEDICAL AI AGENT will train itself by being “ internet connected “ with all the Health Monitoring Devices , as envisaged in my following blog / email :

#   https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2017/07/2024-v-20-of-orwellian-1984.html  . 7 July 2017

Extract :

There are 7,000 million people on the earth

It is possible that , at any given time , some 7 million of these are lying in ICU , connected with :


*   Electroencephalogram ( Brain Monitor )


*   Electrocardiogram      ( Heart Monitor )


*   Pulse Rate Meter


*   Oxygen Level Meter


*   Glucose Level Meter........etc


As soon as these instruments get embedded with Internet of Things ( IoT ), a central server could collect all of these " measurements / readings " on 24*7 basis , for all 7 million persons 


Then it will combine these readings with following data about each of those 7 million persons :


*   Country / Region / City  /  Language 


*   Race /  Religion  /  Gender /  Age


*   Height /  Weight  /  Colour  /  Biometrics 


*   Blood Group / DNA  / Past Medical History.....etc



It will also record , who died / when  !


Using such massive data base, can BIG DATA / Artificial Intelligence / Machine Learning , figure out what " Customized healthcare / Medical treatment / Supplementary diet " should be " prescribed " for each human on this earth ?


Shall we support such " Invasion of Individual Privacy " , in the larger interest / benefit of entire mankind ?


I think , we should 

===========================================

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

www.My-Teacher.in  /  06 Feb 2025

 

 

Here is what different AI PLATFORMS viewed my suggestion of Virtual Medical University, to address the problem of shortage of doctors , not only in India but everywhere else :

 

ChatGPT :

Here's a tabulated assessment of the feasibility and desirability of various features of your proposed Virtual Medical University (VMU):

Feature

Feasibility

Desirability

Challenges & Considerations

Dedicated TV Channels for Medical Education

High

High

Requires govt/private funding, quality control, and content curation.

YouTube Video Channels for Specializations

High

High

Effective for theory, but lacks practical hands-on training.

Web Portals for Specialized Learning

High

High

Needs interactive tools, assessments, and engagement mechanisms.

Mobile Apps for Medical Education

High

High

Useful for continuous learning, but requires regular content updates.

AR-VR-AI Eye Glasses for Practical Learning & Surgeries

Medium

Very High

Expensive to implement, needs high-speed connectivity and expert trainers.

Live Streaming from Hospital Operation Theaters

Medium

High

Requires hospital partnerships, legal clearance, patient privacy concerns.

AI-Powered Exam Generation & Online Testing

High

High

Already being implemented in tech exams (MCSE, etc.), but validity for medical licensing must be ensured.

Hybrid NEET-style Exams for Medical Certification

High

High

Needs regulatory approval, but feasible with AI-based monitoring.

Medical AI Agent for Diagnosis & Learning

Medium

High

Requires large-scale data collection, ethical concerns around patient privacy.

Integration with Ayushman Bharat Patient Database

Low

Very High

Faces privacy, security, and regulatory challenges.

AI Training via IoT Health Monitoring Devices

Medium

High

Needs global cooperation, data privacy concerns, and high-tech infrastructure.

Remote AI-Assisted Surgeries via Robotics

Medium

Very High

Feasible in the long run, but needs massive investment in robotics and connectivity.

Final Thoughts:

1.     High Feasibility, Immediate Implementation Possible – Features like TV channels, YouTube, web portals, mobile apps, and AI-powered exams can be implemented quickly.

2.     Medium-Term Goals Live streaming surgeries, AR-VR training, and AI-assisted remote surgeries require phased implementation.

3.     Long-Term Challenges Privacy concerns, hospital partnerships, government regulations, and AI-driven patient diagnosis need careful planning.

Your Virtual Medical University is a bold and innovative solution to India's doctor shortage. The key challenge is government and institutional support for regulatory approvals and technological investments.

 

 

DeepSeek :

 

The proposal to establish a Virtual Medical University (VMU) to address the acute shortage of doctors in India is innovative and forward-thinking.

Below is a feasibility-desirability analysis of the various features of the VMU, presented in a tabulated format:

Feature

Feasibility

Desirability

Dedicated TV Channels / YouTube Channels

High Feasibility: Existing infrastructure (TV, internet, and YouTube) can be leveraged. Content creation and distribution are scalable.

High Desirability: Accessible to a large population, including rural areas. Cost-effective for students. Can democratize medical education.

Web Portals and Mobile Apps

High Feasibility: Web and mobile app development is well-established. Can be integrated with existing e-learning platforms.

High Desirability: Convenient for students to access lectures, study materials, and tests. Can be personalized for different specializations.

AR-VR-AI Glasses for Practical Training

Moderate Feasibility: AR-VR-AI technology is advancing but is still expensive. Requires significant investment in hardware and software.

High Desirability: Immersive learning experience. Can simulate real-world surgical procedures. Reduces dependency on physical infrastructure.

Live Streaming of Surgical Procedures

Moderate Feasibility: Requires collaboration with hospitals and high-speed internet infrastructure. Privacy and ethical concerns need to be addressed.

High Desirability: Provides real-time learning opportunities. Bridges the gap between theory and practice.

Hybrid Exams (Online + Offline)

High Feasibility: Online exam systems are already in use (e.g., NEET). AI can automate question generation and evaluation.

High Desirability: Flexible and scalable. Reduces logistical challenges of conducting physical exams.

AI-Driven Curriculum Development and Pedagogy

High Feasibility: AI can analyze data to optimize curriculum and teaching methods. Requires collaboration with educators and technologists.

High Desirability: Personalized learning paths for students. Ensures up-to-date and relevant content.

Integration with Ayushman Bharat Database

Moderate Feasibility: Requires robust data privacy laws and secure infrastructure. Ethical concerns about data usage need to be addressed.

High Desirability: Provides a vast dataset for training AI and students. Can improve diagnostic and treatment accuracy.

IoT-Enabled Health Monitoring for AI Training

Moderate Feasibility: IoT infrastructure is growing but requires standardization and integration with healthcare systems. Privacy and security are major concerns.

High Desirability: Enables predictive and preventive healthcare. Can revolutionize medical training and practice.

Remote Surgeries Using Robots

Low Feasibility: Technologically complex and expensive. Requires regulatory approvals and extensive training for students.

Moderate Desirability: Can address the shortage of surgeons in remote areas. However, ethical and safety concerns need to be addressed.

Certification and Registration

High Feasibility: Can be implemented using blockchain or centralized systems. Requires collaboration with regulatory bodies like the Medical Council of India (MCI).

High Desirability: Ensures credibility and recognition of VMU degrees. Can integrate with global medical education standards.

Key Challenges and Recommendations:

1.     Infrastructure and Funding:

o    Establishing a VMU requires significant investment in technology, content creation, and infrastructure. Public-private partnerships (PPPs) can help bridge the funding gap.

2.     Regulatory Approvals:

o    The VMU must comply with the Medical Council of India (MCI) and other regulatory bodies. Collaboration with the government is essential for recognition of degrees.

3.     Digital Divide:

o    Rural areas may lack access to high-speed internet and devices. Initiatives like BharatNet and affordable devices can help bridge this gap.

4.     Data Privacy and Ethics:

o    The use of patient data for training AI raises privacy concerns. Robust data protection laws and ethical guidelines are necessary.

5.     Quality Assurance:

o    Ensuring the quality of education and practical training is critical. Regular audits and feedback mechanisms can help maintain standards.

6.     Cultural Acceptance:

o    Traditional medical education stakeholders (e.g., colleges, hospitals) may resist the VMU model. Awareness campaigns and pilot projects can demonstrate its effectiveness.

Conclusion:

The Virtual Medical University is a highly desirable solution to address the shortage of doctors in India.

While some features like AR-VR-AI glasses and remote surgeries face moderate to low feasibility due to technological and financial constraints, others like online lectures, hybrid exams, and AI-driven curriculum development are highly feasible and can be implemented in the short to medium term.

With proper planning, funding, and regulatory support, the VMU can revolutionize medical education in India and make it more accessible, affordable, and scalable.

 

ChatSUTRA (https://chat.two.ai/ ) :

Here’s an evaluation of the suggestion for a Virtual Medical University in addressing the shortage of doctors in India, presented in a tabulated format assessing the feasibility and desirability of its various features:

Feature

Description

Feasibility

Desirability

Dedicated TV Channels

Broadcasting lectures for various medical specializations.

Moderate: Requires substantial infrastructure and content creation but can reach a wide audience.

High: Accessible to many, especially in remote areas.

YouTube Video Channels

Educational content on medical topics.

High: Low cost and easy to set up, with existing platforms available.

High: Popular among younger audiences; promotes self-paced learning.

Web Portals for Specializations

Dedicated online platforms for each specialization.

Moderate: Development and maintenance costs; needs high-quality content.

High: Provides focused resources tailored to specific fields.

Mobile Apps

Interactive applications for learning and practice.

Moderate: Requires investment; must be user-friendly and engaging.

High: Convenient for users, especially in mobile-first environments.

AR/VR for Practical Learning

Immersive technology for simulations and live surgeries.

Low to Moderate: High initial costs and technological barriers; requires skilled personnel for implementation.

Very High: Offers hands-on experience; enhances understanding of complex procedures.

Hybrid Exam Methods

Flexibility in examination formats.

High: Technologically feasible with current platforms.

High: Increases accessibility and reduces pressure on candidates.

AI in Curriculum and Assessment

Integration of AI for personalized learning and evaluations.

Moderate: Requires advanced tech development and data management.

High: Customizes learning experiences; can improve educational outcomes.

Access to Medical History Database

Using Ayushman Bharat database for AI training.

Moderate: Ethical concerns and privacy issues need addressing; requires compliance with regulations.

High: Enhances the quality of training through real-world data.

IoT Integration for Health Monitoring

Real-time data collection from health devices.

Low: Significant technological challenges and privacy concerns; requires widespread IoT adoption.

Moderate: Potential for improved healthcare insights, but raises ethical questions about privacy.

Summary

The concept of a Virtual Medical University presents innovative solutions to the acute shortage of doctors in India.

 

While several features are highly desirable due to their potential impact on accessibility and learning outcomes, challenges remain regarding feasibility, particularly with advanced technologies like AR/VR and IoT integration.

 

Addressing ethical considerations and ensuring regulatory compliance will be essential for successful implementation.

 

Overall, this approach could significantly enhance medical education and training if carefully executed.

 

 

 

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