Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Friday, 8 February 2019

Congratulations , Anilbhai Naik


Congratulations , Anilbhai Naik






What for ?

Proposing a new avatar for Skill India Mission , within 2 months of taking over as Chairman – NSDC


Here is what Shri A M Naik , said while assuming this responsibility :


NSDC has developed a unique model combining skill development with strong industry partnerships.
I’m pleased at this opportunity to contribute towards our common vision of a high skill, high value-added economy that offers opportunity to all," Naik said in a statement issued by the skills ministry.






What will be the new avatar ?



HIGHLIGHTS :

·     New avatar will be based on incentives rather than subsidies 

·     It will focus largely on fiscal sops for attracting private players

·     Make skilling more effective so that the quality of skill training matches international standards 

·     Outreach of skilling is massively scaled up to cover millions of youths that enter the workforce every year. 

·     Fiscal incentives to private players whose skilling targets could be linked to their annual turnover, 

·     Incentivizing the youth through stipends at the school level to join vocational courses once the skilling ecosystem is integrated with the secondary school curriculum. 

·     Government to give incentives to private schools and lower interest rates on loans to create and expand skills-related training infrastructure at the secondary school level.


ACHIEVEMENT :

·     25 million youths so far trained under various schemes



TARGET :

·     To impart skill training to 300 million by 2022 ( ie : 68 million per year in 2019-22 )



BUDGET :

·     Rs 3,400 Cr for 2018-19  ( up from Rs 2,356 Cr for 2017-18 )



DEMAND :

·     128 million skilled labour between 2017 – 22 ( apprx , 25 million per year )



SKILLED  WORKFORCE  ELSEWHERE  :

·     India   …………… less than   5  %

·     South Korea………………….  66  %

·     Japan……………………………… 80  %

·     Germany……………………….. 75  %

·     UK ………………………………..  68  %

·     USA  …………………………….   52  %


============================================================


Following are my past suggestions ( sent as E Mails to Cabinet Ministers / NITI aayog etc ) :


====================================================


#   Skill  Capital  of  the  World  ?                               [  06  June  2016  ]



·     “ XYZ Manpower Skilling SPVs “ to be formed by Private Sector

·     Amnesty Scheme for Black Money invested in such Manpower Skilling SPVs


·     Grant INDUSTRY status to such SPVs  [ Manpower Skilling Industry  ]

·     10 year tax holiday for this industry


======================================================


#    50 MILLION NEW JOBS in 5 MONTHS ?  


                 [ 24  June  2016  ]

 

·     Allow MSMEs to engage apprentices , without upper limit

 

·     Introduce a 3 year “ Retail Establishment Training Scheme “


 

·     Stipend at 100 % of Semi Skilled Minimum Wages

 

·     State Governments to subsidize 50 % of the stipend         

========================================================

#   Universal Basic Income                                   [  20  Jan  2017  ]


 

·     Dividing the Apprenticeship scheme into following phases :


              #  Empowering……………..3  years  (  Incentive of Rs 1,000 pm to trainee by DBT  )


              #  Experiencing……………  3  years


              #  Self Dependence Phase

 

·     No upper limit for the number of apprentices that can be engaged for 3 year period

 

·     Govt to bear 25 % of Stipend amount and Company to bear 75 %

============================================================

#    Discovering the Obvious ?                                  [  30  Nov  2017  ]

 

Remove :


     #  concept of 5 different “ categories “ of apprentices


     #  concept of “ Shop-floor Trades “ for engaging Apprentices


     #  concept of “ Trade-wise Ratios “ of apprentices


     #  distinction between “ Shop floor “ and “ Office “ , and just say “ Work Place 


     #  the stipulation concerning “ different years of training for different trades “ .

         Just make all training for 4 years 


    #  the concept of “ Contract Approval “ by Apprentice Advisor



Fix stipends payable to apprentices as follows :


Starting Stipend…………….. Minimum wage as per Min Wage Act


Annual Increase……………… Linked to rise in CPI



Reimbursement of Training Cost incurred by the Employers


25 % of the Stipend cost to be borne by the Central Government and this amount to be transferred to the Jan Dhan Account of the concerned apprentice ( as DBT )



This provision will reduce our “ Cost of Manufacture “ and help to make India a “ Low Cost Economy “ , without calling this a “ Subsidy “ and violating WTO rules


==============================================================


#   Self Employed Indians inherit the Earth ?                      [   26  Jan  2918  ]

 

·     Encourage Private Sector to set up “ E Waste Repair Training Institutes


             Generation of E Waste ( in 2018 ) :


             Entire world ……………. 48.50  million tons  [ worth $ 62.5 Billion ]


      India…………………………    1.95  million tons  [ worth $ 2.5 Billion  ]


====================================================================

#    Organizing the Unorganized                                        [  04  Feb  2019  ]

 

·     Transform millions of  MSME  into “ Skill Training Centres 


         #   Deliver online Training Courses for development of various skills through the
              Computer provided by the Labor Ministry for implementation of MaanDhan
              Scheme

        
         #   Some of these may be VR based training, requiring VR headsets ( to be provided
              FREE to MSME by this Ministry ) . These can be used not only by the apprentices
              but also by the MSME’s own workers


         #   As an incentive / motivation for the MSME to undertake to train at least 2
              apprentices per year ( under the Apprentice Act ) , following may be considered :
  
          +   Government subsidizing the stipend payable to the trainees by 50 %

          +   No obligation to absorb the trainees after completion of training


==============================================================

SIZING UP :

·     With 15,000 existing Training Centres , we are currently managing to train some 10 million apprentices every year


·     For the next 4 years ( including 2019 ) , our target is to train 68 MILLION per year ( 7 times current )


·     We just don’t have funds ( or time ) for constructing 100,000 Training Centres ( 7 times current )


===================================================================


SUMMING  UP :

·     Convert every existing establishment ( factory / office / shop / open yard  ) into a Training Centre

·     Remove all restrictions as outlined in my above-mentioned suggestions

·     Enable the unemployed youth ( 12 million / year ) to acquire online training from their homes , using government-gifted VR headsets [ much cheaper than granting Unemployment Allowance of Rs 3000 pm ( Rajasthan ) / Rs 1000 ( Andhra ) / many other States )

·     Subsidize Start Ups ( operating in the field of online Education ) to develop VR based training modules

=====================================================================

Dear Shri Dharmendra Pradhanji ,

( min.sde@nic.in )

 

The very first point in his 10 point VISION STATEMENT for India , Shri Modi has listed :


“ Build physical and social infrastructure for a $ 10 trillion economy “


And building that “ Social Infrastructure “ means , training 68 million youth every year


I believe , my above-mentioned suggestions will go a long way to achieve that

 

=====================================================================

09  Feb  2019

Rsvp :  hcp@RecruitGuru.com    

 




Thursday, 7 February 2019

Bypass E : Go from D to F




D = Dumb Commerce  >   E = E Commerce   >   F = Future Commerce



That is what Mukesh Ambani is telling the small merchants of West Bengal



Here is how :



Extract from News report :

Ambani's so-called "new commerce" venture aims to connect small merchants with his retail network and warehouses, helping them better manage their inventory.


It already has more than 500 retail stores in the state, selling everything from clothes to groceries, and the new plan would "increase manifold" its warehouse space in the next 24 months in West Bengal, he said.


The new e-commerce platform " will bring win-win benefits to consumers, retailers and producers " and help
30 million small shopkeepers, Ambani said.


The billionaire businessman has been more vocal about his e-commerce plans after India in December imposed new restrictions on how foreign companies operate in the e-commerce sector. The new rules, which kicked in on Feb. 1, have disrupted product listings on Amazon.com's India website.

=======================================================


How will he “ better manage their inventory “ ?

On 17 July 2018, in my blog [ MA = DA x 4,000,000 ? ], I imagined Mukesh telling those small shops as follows :


=============================================================================
INVENTORY  :


On a continuous basis , our web server will keep a track of each and every item of merchandize sold from your stores


Our Server will calculate , your " Stock Movement " 


Based on this data , our Server will compute / set for each item :


#   Minimum Stock Level


#   Alarm Stock Level


#   Stock Re-Order Level


#   Re-Order Quantity ( Minimum Batch Size ) 


Based on this logic , our Server will instruct the relevant " Merchandize Manufacturers " ( or their dealers / stockists ) , to deliver the stipulated " Re-Order Quantities " to your stores


A " Re-Order Instruction intimation " , will get delivered to your computer


Upon arrival , you will need to update the data


From time to time , our Software will also figure out your current stocks of " Extremely Slow Moving " and " Obsolete / Expired " items , and arrange for " Return Delivery " , which you will need to enter in your database

===================================================================

In what other matters , will he help those small shops ?


My blog lists following other areas where Reliance Retail / Jio , will help those 30 million small shops to bypass E Commerce and directly jump onto F Commerce :




To understand the entire spectrum of Mukesh’s game plan , you will need to look up :


Jio Hubs : Entrepreneurs Apply   ……………………[  19  Sept  2018  ]


Re-defining Retail : Maini and Mukesh …………  [  30  Oct  2018  ]


Weave a Wondrous World [ W3 ]  …………………..[  20  Jan  2019  ]


Let no one suspect that Mukesh Ambani  (  mukesh.ambani@ril.com  ) finds time to read my emails !

=============================================================================
08  Feb  2019

Rsvp >  hcp@RecruitGuru.com








Monday, 4 February 2019

Influence farmers and win Votes ?




Decades ago , author Dale Carnegie wrote a very popular book titled :


How to Influence People and Win Friends



During his budget speech , Shri Piyush Goyal said :


Ek  Kadam  Uthe ,  to  Sau  Rahe  Khul  Jaati  Hain



It could be paraphrased as :



  How to influence farmers and win votes  !



One of those “ kadams ( steps ) “  was :


A Direct Income Support of Rs 6,000 per year to small and marginal farmers


( Marginal = those holding less than 1 hectare / Small = those holding between 1 to 2 hectares )



As per available data ,


#    Total number of farmers qualifying = 125 Million


#    They constitute 86.21 % of all farmers
 
     [  therefore , total numbers of farmers must be  145 million  ]


#    They hold 47.34 % of total area


     



But the main problems likely to be faced while implementing this scheme , are :


#   Unreliable and insufficient land records in most states

#   Dependence on humans to collect / compile / record such data ( takes weeks / months )


    ( The state agriculture department will write to district collectors, who will ask sub divisional magistrates, tehsildars and patwaris ( land record keepers ) to collect the required information. )



In addition to this just announced PM-KISAN yojana of Direct Income Support , farmers are currently being assisted in the following ways :


Input Subsidies :

Input Price Subsidies are given for SeedsFertilizersPower ( Diesel / Electricity )


Price Support :

This is given in the form of MSP ( 50 % more than the production cost of food item )


Crop Insurance :

A certain amount being given to compensate a farmer in case of loss due to ,


#   drought ( lack of enough water in the soil ),  or


#   floods destroying crop ( excess of water in the soil )





All of these existingSupport Mechanisms “ also require,


computation  of the amount of money to be handed out to a farmer, and



distribution  of the amounts so determined




Both of these are “ Human controlled Processes “ , which by their very nature , are slow and inefficient



What is worse , in many cases there is an element of “ human judgement “ , making them arbitrary !



No wonder these processes lead to leakages / corruption / frustration / distress !



Can we take help of TECHNOLOGY to solve these problems ?


Yes , of course !



All that is required is ,


#  a genuine desire on part of the political parties [ to really stop farmer suicides ]


#  a readiness to “ compromise “ on part of the farmers [ for speeding up the disbursal ]


#  a willingness on part of the “ bureaucrats “ [ to transfer the decisions to Technology ]




What Technology ?


We need technologies which will , dynamically / automatically , compute for each crop ,


#  the costs of all the INPUTS (water-fertilizer-seeds-power –labour ), based on NORMS




#  “ Output “ from the area of land owned by these farmers ( in Kg )


#  MSP ( since INPUTS will vary from crop-to-crop and area-to-area )


#  transfer the amount to Jan Dhan bank accounts of each beneficiary farmer ( DBT )



It is possible to get our constellation of 7 NaviC satellites to “ map / geotag “ , each and every farm ( with a resolution of 1 meter ) and calculate its area


This can be verified by using technology offered by…. what3words



For each type of crop , INPUT NORMS are already established , using historical data



OUTPUTS NORMS ( kg / acre ) for different crops , are statistically established figures


Agricultural Crop Assessment “  is being offered by Planet , BlackSky, Satellogic


Humidity Sensors “ developed by Dr Shalini Prasad


As far as CROP INSURANCE is concerned, Remote Sensing Satellites are already being deployed


I realize that experts ( agriculture and economy ) might laugh , if I urge Shri Modiji :


Give our Scientists and Software Engineers a chance to develop such a TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM , based on the following matrix , which will ensure DBT to our farmers , within 24 hours of pre-determined EVENTS or DATES or CABINET DECISION ANNOUNCEMENTS , without the delay and arbitrariness of “ human intervention “

But , I cannot escape a feeling that the party ( BJP or Congress ) which incorporates my suggestion in its ELECTION MANIFESTO , is bound to :

“ Influence 145 million farmers and win their votes “

Who knows , I might have the last-but-one laugh [ last laugh being reserved for the farmers ]  
========================================================================

05  Feb  2019



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Added on 14 Oct 2020 :

https://futurism.com/the-byte/google-alphabet-building-farming-robot?mc_eid=a96c428172&mc_cid=813732adea