Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Monday 21 November 2016

RIP , CREDIT CARD ?



Yes , if we are to believe Bill Gates

During his recent visit to India , he is supposed to have said so much !


Source : TOI / 19 Nov 2016 

Interview with Surojit Gupta :

Quote :

The US is not as digitized as Kenya is or Tanzania . I use credit card sometime. I use the cell phone quite a bit now but it's still a mixed thing and you know it is expected that the plastic card will go away in US in the next 4-5 years and then it will be just your cell phone



Source : Business Line / 18 Nov 2016

Quote :

According to sources privy to the meeting, Gates told Minister of IT , Ravi Shankar Prasad that  smart phones are better instruments than plastic cards and payment banks are more sustainable approach for financial transactions


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Now Bill Gates knows that , in USA , credit / debit cards have been around for ages and now number close to 1500 million ( roughly , 5.5 per person ) !


As against this , in India , credit / debit cards made their appearance some 20 years back and now number 723 million ( includes 697 million DEBIT cards, of which , 300 million are issued by National Payments Corporation of India , along with 254 million Jan Dhan Accounts )

This works out to roughly 0.55 card per person !



DISADVANTAGES  OF  PLASTIC  CARDS :


#  They need Card Readers ( Card Swiping machines  /  Point of Sales machines )

    In India, currently , there are only 1.44 million machines ; and 100 million retail shops !

    And , roughly 1 machine for 900 persons , as against 1 machine for 25 persons in
    China !


#  Usage of Credit cards is quite costly !

    Besides " Entry Fee " and " Annual Renewal Charges " , you need to pay an interest rate
    of approx 16 % on credit amount used. If you fail to pay in time, this can go up to 30%

    In many cases , this has ranged between 36 % to 48 % !

    As per RBI , as of end May 2016 , credit card outstanding has gone up to Rs 42,000 crore


#  There have been a large no of cases where hackers have stolen PIN and fraudulently
    used the card details to make purchases , without the knowledge of the owners . Then
    there have been many cases of " duplication " of cards when handed to a shop


#  Since dozens of Banks have issued hundreds of types / varieties of cards for all kinds of
    " purposes " , it is very difficult for a common man to select the most appropriate one


#   Procedure for getting a card issued in your name is lengthy, requiring many documents 



ADVANTAGES  OF  MOBILE PAYMENT APPS :


#  Of the total mobile phone population in India , ( around 1033 million ) , smart phones
    constitute 240 million . By 2020 , all mobile phones in India are expected to be smart !


#  Mobile Wallet apps ( Paytm  /  Oxigen  /  itzCASH  /  Paylo  / FreeCharge etc ) , have
    actually transformed a smart phone into a Card Reader / Point of Sale machine !


    They are saying : " Honey!  We shrunk the Machine to fit in your pocket ! "



#   UPI ( Universal Payment Gateway ) does not require you to give any of your bank a/c
     details to anyone !

     Just create your own unique " signature " and start transferring funds between
     participating banks . Soon , it will cover ALL banks and enable payments to
     sellers as well  !

    
#   Downloading of most Mobile Wallet apps is very simple and takes 2 / 3 " touches " on
     your mobile screen !

     Last week , CEO of Paytm said in a TV interview :

    " Nearly ONE MILLION persons have started downloading our app , EVERY DAY , since
     announcement of demonetization . We expect to serve 500 million users by end 2018 "



#   Hardly a day passes without some or other Start Up , releasing a Mobile App to deliver
     hundreds of Financial Products / Services ( including which ATM is full of notes ! )

     Do not be surprised , if P2Plending happens through mobiles in one year !


#   Mobiles have almost become THE DEVICE for all Online purchases , whether of goods or
     of services . In 2 years , entire E- Commerce will be through mobiles !



#   Through IndiaStack , expect entire E -Governance ( including ALL payment of taxes ) ,
     to take place through Mobile phones

     Same will also be true of delivery of all government services to citizens AND redressal of
     all grievances /complaints by citizens



#   A smart phone costing Rs 5,000 can do a hundred thing ( other than phoning and
     Video talking ), whereas a Point of Sale machine costing the same , can just do ONE
     THING ! 

 

#   And when high denomination notes get embedded with RFID chips ( embracingthe
     inevitable ), it will be a Mobile App (  Fak - e - Mon  ) , which will spell :


     "  RIP , CREDIT / DEBIT cards " !



If you find it difficult to believe Bill Gates , ask Sundar Pichai /  Satya Nadela / Nandan Nilekani / Mark Zukerberg  etc


They will tell us :


" India has the golden opportunity to overtake USA , by skipping the Jurassic Age of PLASTIC CARDS "


About time , plastic card issuers ( and manufacturers of PoS machines ) re-invented themselves  !


If they don't make themselves obsolete , someone else will  !


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22  Nov  2016

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

   
 
    
 


Sunday 20 November 2016

A Step in the Right Direction


DNA ( 18 Nov 2016 ) carries following news report :

Now, pay more for every traffic offence "

Part of the report reads ,
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Soon, you will pay escalated charges for repeating a traffic offence which may eventually lead to suspension of your license.



The state home department, which is working on extending the e-challan project in all 26 municipal corporations of Maharashtra, is set to introduce a Point of Sale (POS) machine.


The machine will automatically show whether the offence has been committed for the second, third or even more number of occasions by the driver, and will charge an escalated penalty accordingly.


For too many offences, the government is also proposing to introduce

*    temporary suspension of license,

*    impounding ,   and

*    cancellation of license.


Under this system offenders will have the freedom to pay by debit card, credit card or take a printed challan and pay in cash or challenge it in court.


Senior home department officers further said that in the current system of violators being fined by the traffic police on the spot in physical mode is time consuming and cumbersome.


"It also does not show record of how many violations are done by a particular license holder.


Under the e-challan facility, CCTV surveillance system is set up at traffic signals and the cameras are linked to the main control room.


If traffic rules are violated, the pictures are captured on the camera. Based on the pictures, a letter seeking penalty for traffic norm violations is sent to the person concerned.

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One more example that NDA ministers listen to the suggestions of ordinary citizens and implement the same , if found good

I hope , someday soon , Shri Nitin Gadkariji , will implement the rest of my following suggestion , sent to him ( as Email ) , 2 months back

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Monday, 22 August 2016


HORN OK ?


No doubt , you have seen these words painted behind many trucks in India

But Transport Minister , Shri Gadkari says : HORN  NOT  OK  !

Times of India ( 17 Aug 2916 ) carries a news report titled :

"  Gadkari wants to silence horns "



It goes on to quote Shri Gadkari :

"  Honking and using pressure horns is a big menace on our roads. Only rules and regulations can't address this problem . We need a change in behavior and mindset of drivers "



Last week Shri Gadkari  introduced a bill which will impose on the erring ( honking ) drivers , a fine of Rs 1,000/-

A repeat offence will attract a penalty of Rs 2,000/-



Shri Gadkari added :

" The central law will create an enabling framework for the enforcement agencies to use these provisions for reining in violations 

The enforcement agencies must also do their job with sincerity and must not use these provisions for making a quick buck "



Apparently Shri Gadkari is all too aware how this law will get abused !


And prey , in a traffic of hundreds of vehicles passing any road-crossing every minute , how will the policeman on duty decide " WHO honked ? "


Will not , on-the-road arguments / disputes ( Where is the proof that I honked ? ) end up in " It is your word against mine " ? And bring the traffic to a halt ?



Shri Gadkari thought of automatic toll plazas , where each passing car would be embedded with an RFID chip


Even as the car slows down just slightly for CCTV cameras to read the Car Number and transmit it to a Central Server , the toll amount gets deducted automatically from the prepaid RFID chip !


No need for a human attendant to collect payment , no waiting in a queue , no arguments !



Why can he not just mandate all car / truck manufacturers to pre-install a RFID based SCADA chip in their vehicles which will flash the car number of the honking car, on the Mobile Phone of the nearest policeman ?


No arguments ! 


And instant / automatic penalty deduction thru Mobile Wallet details , embedded in that SCADA chip !


( Some of these data will need to be entered into the chip by the Vehicle Dealer at the time of sale )




But then nothing stops Shri Gadkari to tell the vehicle manufacturers :


"  What we need is a TRANSPORT REVOLUTION



   To bring that about , each SCADA chip must get hard-coded with full details about that vehicle , such as :

   *  Type of Engine ( Petrol / Diesel / Electric etc ) with CC / KW capacity and Engine Number


   *  Make / Model / Year of manufacture / Sitting Capacity etc


   *  Anything else that you ( the Manufacturers ) can think up of , which will ultimately lead to sharing of 
      AUTONOMOUS CARS / BIKES  and help reduce individual/personal ownership. for a vastly underutilized asset " 





   This will enable the Transport Ministry to " Acquire " a variety of Data , to keep track of the following
   dynamically : 



   *  No of vehicles on our roads at any time / any place ( Traffic Density ) and their direction / velocity for better
       traffic control . Delivered through a Mobile App ( called, DIVERT ? ), this will help motorists in commuting



   *  Amount of Emission Gases being injected into the atmosphere by all the vehicles and each vehicle .

      Every time any vehicle fails to meet BHARAT VI emission standard , its Vehicle No will flash on the Mobile
     Screen of the nearest Policeman , who will pull it aside and immobilize it till set right !


   *  Which vehicle got involved in an accident , when , how , where and may be , even " why " !


   *  Which vehicle honked when / where 


I am sure , readers will come up with a list of other benefits

   
Much easier than trying to change ,


#    Mindsets of drivers

#    Temptation of trying to make a quick buck


For a change , instead of following, can we think of leading the World ?

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21  Nov  2016

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs
Posted by Hemen Parekh https://resources.blogblog.com/img/icon18_email.gif 



A Case of Misplaced Priority ?


Yesterday , there was a terrible train accident near Kanpur


As per latest reports , some 100 persons got killed and around 100 got injured


Government was quick to announce a compensation of Rs 2 lakhs to the kin of those dead and Rs 50,000 to the injured


So , to the Government , apart from the loss to the property , the ECONOMIC LOSS was , approx Rs 2.5 Crore


And if someone were to fight this case in the Courts ( for next 5 years ? ) , the Court might award Rs 1 crore per dead ( loss of earning capacity at Rs 2.5 lakh per year for 40 years )


That would add another Rs 100 Crore of " Economic Cost ", to the government


But what about the  EMOTIONAL  LOSS of the bereaved family  ?


It is just not possible to attach a monetary value to the life-long sufferings of those families


I believe , we have lost ( on ave ) , some 50 lives to major train accidents , each year for the past 22 years ( not counting ave of 10 persons who get run over by Mumbai local trains , EVERY  DAY  !  )


View this in the background of Government plan to spend Rs 1,00,000 CRORES , for a Bullet Train between Mumbai and Ahmadabad, which will transport 600 persons in 2 hours , in place of the current travel time of 8 hours


So , what will we gain for this enormous " Economic Cost " ?


Some people will save 6 hours of travel time !


Even as 50 persons continue to die each year in train accidents , which are , largely preventable !


And , very likely , implementing technological solution for saving these lives  would cost , less than Rs 1,000 cr  !



Major causes of train accidents are :

#    Fractured rails ( as is suspected in the present case )

#    Loose anchor bolts

#    Sagging rails due to washed out foundation

#    Jammed track-switching mechanisms

#    Faulty Signals...etc


And , of course , " human errors of judgment "



How come such train accidents rarely happen in Developed / Advanced countries , despite the fact that their trains run 2 / 4 times as fast as ours ?


Simple answer :


They have implemented technological solutions ( Data Acquisition Devices and Software ) , which , not only monitor / detect the " faults / failures " described above , but , they alert the train-traffic management team in real time , on large screens in their TRAFFIC  CONTROL  ROOM


And , if the person watching that TRAFFIC  FAULT  SCREEN , is slow to respond ( to take a corrective action ) , the software will bring the train to a halt , on its own !


If our ISRO scientists / engineers can detect a tiny fuel leak in our rockets / satellites , from thousands of kilometers away ,- and make course correction in milliseconds ,  there is no reason to doubt their capability to find a technical solution to prevent train accidents


I have no doubt that Shri Suresh Prabhu will re-arrange his priorities  !


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21   Nov   2016

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs




Saturday 19 November 2016

A Dark Cloud With Gold Lining ?


For the women of India , can the dark cloud of Demonetization , turn out to be one with a " Golden Lining " ?


Could the drive to eliminate BLACK MONEY , result into " Women Empowerment " ?


If you cannot see the connection , please consider the following :


#   Value of withdrawn notes of Rs 500 / 1000 =  Approx Rs 15 lakh*crore


#   Of the above ,(approx ) Rs 10 lakh*crore worth notes are with public ( rest with banks )


#   Of Rs 10 lakh*crore, may be 50% gets returned to RBI ( Approx Rs 5 lakh*crore  )


#   Remaining 50 % may get burnt / destroyed ( Rs 5 lakh*crore )


#   But , at 23 % of GDP , India's BLACK ECONOMY is valued at Rs 39 lakh*crore


#  Which means , Rs 34 lakh*crore ( Rs 39 Lakh*cr - Rs 5 Lakh*cr of Black Cash which got
     burnt ) are in the form of either GOLD or PROPERTY


#  Let us assume that 50 % of that Rs 34 lakh*crore is in the form of GOLD BISCUITS


#  There is no way , RBI can withdraw those GOLD BISCUITS . No demonetization possible !


So , what will the holders of those GOLD BISCUITS do to escape the raids of IT / ED ?


Simple !


Give these ( of course , gradually over a period of few years ) as GIFTS to ladies of the family as " Stri-Dhan ", where Income Tax provisions are as follows :


#  " Gold / Jewellery " are WEALTH and subject to WEALTH TAX


#   If a lady declares in her Wealth Tax return , wealth in excess of Rs 30 lakh, she has to
     pay 1 % Wealth Tax ( even if she has no regular income tax liability ? )



#   During a RAID by IT dept , there can be no seizure of GOLD as follows :

     *  500 gms ( approx 50 tolas , worth Rs 15 lakh ) , in case of " married " women

     *  250 gms ( approx 25 tolas , worth Rs 7.5 lakh ) , in case of " unmarried " women



#  There can be no seizure of ornaments which are already declared in Wealth Tax returns


#  " Stri-Dhan " ( including all Gold Ornaments ) given by parents on occasion of the
    marriage of a girl , is  NON TAXABLE


#   Of India's 810 million adults , approx 405 million are WOMEN


#   Of India's 30 million persons who file Income Tax returns , maybe 5 million are
     women , leaving out 400 million women who do not file Income Tax returns


#   Assume that , 200 million are " Married " and 200 million are " Unmarried " women


#   At the permissible limits of Rs 15 lakh ( 500 gms ) and Rs 7.5 lakh ( 250 gms ),
     between them , they can hold " Stri-Dhan " ( valued at Rs 45 lakh*crores ) , without
     any wealth tax liability !


When 2015-16 year tax returns get filed, expect a large number of women coming forward to file their Wealth Tax returns !


Especially those , who got married during current tax-year !


And what about those ladies whose parents expired , without a formal / legal " Will " ?  Can they say , " Before her death , my mom gave me her jewellery of 500 grams " ?


Could these women, possibly declare their " Stri-Dhan " gifts , in excess of Rs 30 lakh ?


As long as the evil of Personal Income Tax / Wealth Tax continues , expect people to come up with innovative ideas to avoid tax legally


Some will even try to " Evade " tax illegally , like that businessman from Surat who was nabbed at the Airport yesterday , with 2.5 kg of Gold Biscuits , which he had purchased for Rs 90 lakhs ( using OLD notes ), which would have cost him only Rs 60 lakhs in NEW notes !


His idea was to sell this gold abroad in foreign currency - then find a way back through hawala transaction !


What does this portend for some Rs 35 lakh*crore worth of BLACK MONEY , squirreled away by Indians into foreign banks , during past 10 years ?


Will that return to India in GOLD , as " Stri-Dhan " ?  Anybody's guess  !



But if abolition of Personal Income Tax, is considered " too risky " , what stops the NDA government from embedding RFID micro-sensors in Rs 500 / 1000 / 2000 notes ?


That simple / cheap / fast , step could also put a permanent STOP to future generation of BLACK MONEY !

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19  Nov  2016

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs