Rationing of Covid Vaccine ?

Hopefully, on 15^th Aug., Bharat Biotech will commercially launch COVAXIN

In months to follow, some more pharma companies may launch similar ( preventive ) vaccines

Hypothetically, we may need to quickly vaccinate 50 % of our population ( approx.. 700 million )

But, production / supply may be no more than 7 million dozes per month

So, it could take 100 months ( 8 years ) for supply to meet the demand !

Whenever for any item, demand far exceeds supply, black marketing becomes inevitable, with supply-chain operators ( medical stores ) and rich people finding ways to corner that limited supply

This would prevent the persons most in need of the vaccine, from getting vaccine

Who are those “ most in need “ ?

People deserving highest priorities are :

Ø  Healthcare Workers ( Doctors – Nurses – Lab Technicians etc )

Ø  Police personnel

Ø  Personnel from Essential Services

Ø  Home Delivery persons…… (  This is not a comprehensive list )

How to determine these priorities , scientifically / un-biasedly , for 700 million people ?

Now, if you ask 10 healthcare experts, there is a good chance that they agree on the above-mentioned 4 categories of persons

Those categories might add up to ( say ) 50 million persons ( needing 7 months’ supply )

But what about the remaining 650 million persons ?

I have a feeling those ten ( human ) experts will come up with very different priority lists !

No human expert , no matter how intelligent , can process and co-relate ALL the data , quickly and continuously ( since data keeps changing all the time ) for the following :

Ø  Data about “ Persons already infected ( cured / died / under treatment ) “

Ø  Data about “ Persons not infected so far “ – and needing vaccination

But , if meticulously compiled and centrally processed ( with help of Artificial Intelligence ), following data, compiled uniformly at source, could determine those

 “ VACCINATION  PRIORITIES “ :

[ A ]   PERSONAL  DATA

Ø  Name / Birthdate ( for Age ) / Gendre / Contact Details / Aadhar number

[ B ]   LOCATION  DATA

Ø  Permanent Address / Current Address ( State – Jilla – City – locality ) / Red Zone / Containment

[ C ]   FAMILY  DATA

Ø  Details of Parents / Siblings

[ D ]  HEALTH  HISTORY

Ø  Details of recent illnesses - morbidity / Medicines given ( including for Covid treatment ) / Hospitals where treated / Names & License Number of Doctor who treated

[ E ]   ETHNIC  DATA

Ø  Race / Religion  / Language ( Mother tongue )

[ F ]  EDUCATIONAL  DATA

Ø  Graduate – Under Graduate – Illiterate etc

[ G ]  EMPLOYMENT  DATA

Ø  Employed – Unemployed – Self employed

[ H ]  INCOME  DATA

Ø  Monthly Income ( to determine whether RICH – MIDDLE CLASS – POOR )

Why should we compile such data for all Indians ( suffering from Covid or not ) ?

Quote from : 

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/racial-data-transparency

As more data about the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic becomes available, it is increasingly clear that the disease is hitting the most vulnerable and disadvantaged populations in the U.S. the hardest.

Although racial and ethnic information is currently available for only about 35% of the total deaths in the U.S., even this limited sample shows that Black Americans and other historically disadvantaged groups are experiencing infection and death rates that are disproportionately high for their share of the total population.

For example, while Black Americans represent only about 13% of the population in the states reporting racial/ethnic information, they account for about 34% of total Covid-19 deaths in those states. Asian Americans and Latinx Americans also show elevated impacts in some regions.

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Besides using such exhaustive data for all ( Covid infected or not ) in order for AI software to tell us the “ priorities for vaccination “, what else should the Government do ensure that there is no “ black marketing “ of the limited supplies of the vaccine ?

Answer :

Ø  Today , each strip / bottle of a medicine carries “ batch number “

Ø  For vaccine , each bottle / vial , besides carrying Batch Number , must carry UNIQUE bottle number / vial number . Vaccine Manufacturer will record which bottle got dispatched to which drug store / when. Data will get automatically transmitted to Govt’s Central Server

Ø  Pharmacy Stores to maintain Computerized Record of who ( which person ) was sold a given “ Vial Number “ . This data will get automatically transmitted to Govt’s Central Server

Ø  No vial to be sold to anyone unless a Mobile App ( VaccineVend  ? ) clearly displays that person’s priority  ( as determined by AI ) , as HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW . No person without such Mobile App will be sold the vaccine

Ø  Chemist will enter sale-details in customer / buyer’s Mobile App , which will get automatically transmitted to Govt’s Central Server

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Dear Dr HarshVardhanji,

If implemented , my suggestion ( for using AI to process trillions of bytes of data ) , will help not only in establishing who ( out of our 700 million citizen ) gets first / second / third , chance to get vaccinated, but it will also prevent black marketing of the vaccine

With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@recruitGuru.com /  07 July 2020

    

Thank You, Shri Thawar Chand Gehlotji

Thank You, Shri Thawar Chand Gehlotji

( Social Justice and Empowerment Minister / tc.gehlot@sansad.nic.in )

For what ?

For

Ø  Examining the possibility of promoting herbal and medicinal gardens

Ø  Exploring the improvement in the prospects of Street Vendors by providing them credit at accessible rates “

Ø  Formulating strategies for promoting rural manufacturing

[ source :  Govt plans measures to create more jobs /  06 July ]

Extract :

Ø  Several other measures, including a National Employment Policy, a National Electronic Employment Exchange and building of a skill based database, are also in the pipeline

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Following are some of the E Mails that I sent to the Cabinet Ministers in the past :

Ø  How About Herbs that Heal ?  ………………………………………………( 26 May 2017 )

Extract :

I suggest that the government goes out of its “ normal helping ways “ to enable our tobacco-growing farmers to grow HERBS ( MEDICINAL PLANTS ) and SPICES, for which , India has :

·         Rich traditional knowledge ( read  “ Charak Samhita “ )

·         The right kind of climate

·         Domain expertise in processing for high “ value addition “ ( for exports ? )

I urge our well-established Ayurvedic Industry to take a lead in this matter and form Farmers Cooperatives , along the lines of AMUL

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Congratulations , Shri Mahesh Kumarji   ………………………………………….[ 20 June 2020 ]

Extract :

 

Ø  Do away with condition of “ who have been vending on or before March 24 “

     {  Unfortunately , this suggestion does not seem to have been accepted }

Ø   Give loan to ANY unemployed person who “undertakes “to become a Street Vendor { whether he is already been registered as a vendor, or not }

     {  This appears to have been accepted  }

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Billions  in  Change   …………………………………………………………………….[ 06 Oct 2017 ]

Extract :

 

Ø  And talking of “ Jobs Generation “ , let the government come out with  special MUDRA bank loans , only for rural youth who want to set up roadside “ Power Pack Charging Stations “  , using HANS Solar Brief cases , to recharge those 4 Crore Power Packs in 5 hours !

Ø  Each youth may be given a loan of Rs 1 LAKH , enabling him / her to buy 10 Solar Brief Cases !  This will generate ONE MILLION new “ Self Employment “

Ø  Today ( 07 Oct ) afternoon , Shri Narendra Modiji will “ felicitate “ :

“ Pradhan Mantri Gramin Digital Saksharta Abhiyan [ PMGDISHA ] “,

with the following objectives :

·         Impart digital literacy to 6 CRORE citizens in rural India

·         Provide access to information , knowledge, healthcare and livelihood generation

None of this is possible without Smart Phones / Tablets / Desk Tops

And the Power Pack can provide electricity to all of these through a 12 volt port !

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Dear Shri Gehlotji ,

Your proposals could well be that  “ light at the end of the tunnel “

Thanking you once again,

With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  06 July 2020

E-Waste : Converting a Threat into Opportunity

E Waste generated world-wide in 2019 …………… 53.6 million tons

E waste expected to be re-cycled ……………………..  9.3 million tons ( 17.4 % )

E Waste re-cycling capacity of India…………………… 0.8 million tons ( 8 lakh tons )

[ source :  India third largest e-waste generator in world in 2019  ]

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Every year the number is growing exponentially. According to ASSOCHAM, an industrial body in India the, Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of electronic waste is 30%. With changing consumer behavior and rapid economic growth, ASSOCHAM estimates that India will generate 5.2 million tonnes of e-waste by 2020.

[ source : Electronic waste in India ]

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Threat :

Ø  E Waste is a serious health and environment hazard

Opportunity :

Ø  If all the E Waste of the World were re-cycled, the precious metals recovered would be valued at $ 57 billion ( Gold – Platinum – Cobalt-Palladium – Indium – Germanium – Bismuth – Antimony )

Ø  E Waste recycling could be a huge industry, employing lakhs of people

Then what is holding us back from becoming RE-CYCLING CAPITAL of the World ?

Ø  As stated above, if recycling is not carried out in the SAFEST – SCIENTIFIC – REGULATED manner, millions could die premature death by inhaling / ingesting poisonous gases released during the recycling process

Is there a SAFE way to do this ?

YES . If recycling is carried out the way CEREBRA does it

But , can entrepreneurs do recycling on a small scale ?

YES . If Central Government takes help from ,

Veena Sahajwalla , 

an Indian-origin scientist in Australia has launched the world’s first micro factory that can transform the components from electronic waste items such as smartphones and laptops into valuable materials for re-use

[ source :   A  Sahaj  Solution  ?    /    18 April 2018    ]

Is anyone already recycling on small scale in India ?

YES .

Read :   Self Employed Indians inherit the Earth ?   /    26 Jan 2018

 

But how to control / regulate thousands of such MICRO – FACTORIES ?

The way I have suggested for “ Scrapping / Recycling of Vehicles “ at :

Car Grave-Yard of World ? ……………………………………………..[ 14 Feb 2018 ]

MahindraAccelo : Saluting a pioneer                            [ 19 June 2018 ]

ScrappingOld Vehicles : Swiss Challenge Solution         [ 24 July 2018 ]

Renameit, “ Vehicle Recycle Policy “  …………………………….[ 08 Aug 2018 ]

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With regards

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  05 July 2020