Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Friday, 30 April 2021

Can we predict, next attack of COVID ( Where ? When ? Who ? )

 


 

 

Yes, says following eminent Scientists :

 

Shri Gagandeep Kang………………gkang@cmvellore.ac.in

Shri T Jacob John…………………… vlr_tjjohn@sancharnet.in 

Smt Jyotsna Dhawan……………. jdhawan@ccmb.res.in / jdhawan@instem.res.in

Shri Partha Majumder…………....ppm1@nibmg.ac.in  /  ppm@isical.ac.in

 

Context :

Scientists appeal to PM Modi to make Covid-19 data public   /   BL – 29 April 2021

Extract :

Ø  A section of scientists in the country, on Thursday, impressed upon Prime Minister Narendra Modi on the need to make public the Covid-19 data that is being gathered by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) since last year

Ø  “The ICMR database is inaccessible to anyone outside of the government and perhaps also to many within the government. Most scientists – including several identified by DST (Department of Science and Technology) and NITI Aayog to develop new prediction models for India – do not have access to these data,” said the scientists who signed the appeal.

Ø  A number of Indian scientists, who have been directly and indirectly working towards enhancing our understanding of the novel coronavirus, are signatories to the appeal. They include noted vaccine scientist Gagandeep Kang, renowned clinical virologist T Jacob John, Jyotsana Dhawan, and human geneticist and former president of Indian Academy of Science, Partha Majumder.

Ø  They said access to clinical data (with appropriate safeguards for maintaining patient privacy) is required for analysis and predictions, and for estimating the requirements for oxygen, medical supplies, ventilators, ICU beds.

Ø  The scientists pointed out that only detailed analysis of large-scale granular epidemiologist data available with ICMR can help understand the geographical variability in patterns of spread of the infection due to local conditions.

===================================================

Dear Dr Harshvardhanji,

 

I urge you to accede to this request of our Scientists. In my several e-mails, I have made an appeal for compilation, analysis of such data for our entire population ( including those who are unaffected by Covid infection so far )


In my following last e-mail :

Dr Harshvardhanji, please listen to Shri Chandrasekharji ……[ 21 April 2021 ]


I asked :

How can we go about that business of PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS ?


And went on to repeat my following earlier suggestion :

“ By compiling / capturing following DATA about each and every Indian citizen ( affected or so far not affected , by COVID   ( source :   Vaccine : a Case of Missing Data     /    09 April 2021 )

 

 As to the data itself, I suggested :

“ But, if meticulously compiled and centrally processed ( with help of Artificial Intelligence ), following data, compiled uniformly at source, could determine those “ VACCINATION  PRIORITIES “ :


 [ A ]   PERSONAL  DATA

                 Name / Birthdate ( for Age ) / Gendre / Contact Details / Aadhar number

       [ B ]   LOCATION  DATA

                Permanent Address / Current Address ( State – Jilla – City – locality ) /

                Red Zone / Containment

[ C ]   FAMILY  DATA

                Details of Parents / Siblings

     [ D ]   HEALTH  HISTORY

               Details of recent illnesses - morbidity / Medicines given ( including for

              Covid treatment ) / Hospitals where treated / Names & License Number of

              Doctor who treated

                                    

      [ E ]   ETHNIC  DATA

                Race / Religion  / Language ( Mother tongue )

       [ F ]   EDUCATIONAL  DATA

                Graduate – Under Graduate – Illiterate etc

      [ G ]    EMPLOYMENT  DATA

                Employed – Unemployed – Self employed

      [ H ]    INCOME  DATA

                Monthly Income (to determine whether RICH–MIDDLE CLASS–POOR )


WORD OF CAUTION :


As it is, we are having major problems with wide-spread reports ( which include my own experience ), of NON-FUNCTIONING / MAL-FUNCTIONING of Covid App and COWIN portal


This is despite it being a Single - Unified – Centralized – Structured platform , to be followed uniformly / identically, by every person who wants to get vaccinated , from any part of India and from a Govt vaccination Centre or a Private Hospital – Nursing Home or a Work Place of Business / Industry , and in course of time, even by a family doctor visiting the homes of bedridden people


Today’s news report reads as follows :

“ Maharashtra CM writes to the Centre demanding de-centralization of the CoWin registration App “    


 If this request is granted, similar requests will follow from many other States – and CHAOS will follow, with each State Registration Apps, collecting different data , which cannot be aggregated !


Then, we can forget about Data Analysis and Prediction !


With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  01  May  2021   

 

===================================================

Copy to following ICMR Scientists :

Balram Bhargava…………. secy-dg@icmr.gov.in

Amit Prakash Sharma……amitps.nimr@icmr.gov.in

Arun Kumar Sharma………a.sharma@icmr.gov.in

Ashwani Kumar…………….. director.vcrc@icmr.gov.in

C Padmapriyadarsini  ……padmapriyadarsinic@nirt.res.in

Debprasad Chattopadhyay……director.nitm.bg@gmail.com

Dr Prabha Desikan……….prabhadesikan@yahoo.com

Dr. Aparup Das…………….director@nirth.res.in

Geetanjali Sachdeva………….sachdevag@nirrh.res.in

Hemalatha Rajkumar………….rhemalatha.nin@icmr.gov.in

Kamalesh Sarkar……………. kamalesh.sarkar@icmr.gov.in

Kanwar Narain…………….knarain.rmrcne@gov.in

Krishna Pandey…………….pandey.krishna@icmr.gov.in

M Vishnu Vardhana Rao…..nims.director@icmr.gov.in

Manisha Madkaikar…………madkaikar.manisha@gov.in

Manoj V Murhekar…………director.nie@icmr.gov.in

P Vijayachari……………..vijayachari.p@icmr.gov.in

Prashant Mathur………….director@ncdirindia.org

Priya Abraham……………priya.abraham@icmr.gov.in

Rajnarayan Ramshankar Tiwari……….tiwari.rr@gov.in

Rajni Kant……………….kantr.hq@icmr.gov.in

Samiran Panda…………..samiranpanda.hq@icmr.gov.in

Sanghamitra Pati………..dir.rmrcb@icmr.gov.in

Shalini Singh……………..director.nicpr@icmr.gov.in

Shanta Dutta……………shanta.niced@icmr.gov.in

Shripad A. Patil…………directorjalma@gmail.com

Usha Agrawal………….ushakaggarwal.nip@gov.in

 

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