Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Wednesday, 23 August 2023

Here comes : DEEES of My Dream

 


 

DEEES = Domestic Energy Efficiency Eco System

 

Context :

Look at the following image which appeared in Times of India ( 23 Aug 2023 ) :


 


Smart Meters with AI Tech

 

Text of this image ( Times of India / 23 Aug 2023 )

 

POWER FIRMS LOOK AT SMART METERS WITH AI TO HELP SAVE ELECTRICITY

Ø  With prepaid smart meters being installed in phases across the city, power utility firms are exploring the possibility of connecting them with home automation using artificial intelligence ( AI ) and machine learning ( ML )

Ø  This would enable to check the power consumption of every fan, AC , geyser, washing machine or any appliance, every hour, from anywhere , Somit Sen reports

USING AI – ML TO CHECK POWER CONSUMPTION

Ø  In this, the consumer gets  smart switches attached to every appliance and can remotely monitor energy consumption in every room, hourly, weekly and monthly

Ø  The switches are linked to a Smart Meter which provides real-time analysis using AI-ML logic on electricity consumption by any device, or in a particular  room

Ø  It can provide a prediction monthly electricity  consumption based on past usage trends

Ø  The automation system also compares electrical appliances at home to industry-rated energy efficient appliances so that one knows whether it is the right time to service or change the appliance

Ø  It also sets monthly THRESHOLD TARTGETS for unit consumption so that the consumer can remain well within their planned electricity slab

VALUE-ADDED ALERTS

Ø  The power utility firm can provide alerts / inputs to consumers over cellphone using AI-ML logic, for example :

30 %  /  more consumption than the BENCHMARK for any appliance will indicate low-rated appliances

ADDITIONAL BENEFITS

Ø  It will provide neighborhood comparison with consumption patterns in ten similar apartments, be it a 2bhk or a 3 bhk, in the housing society complex

Ø  It will show how more energy is consumed  with the same number of ACs or fans, and give alerts on power savings. If an appliance is switched on for a long time, the consumer app will give an alert

PROTECTION

Ø  The system safeguards appliances by offering a soft overload protection against appliance-rated capacity

A POWER UTILITY OFFICIAL

Ø  “ With the installation of smart meters, along with AI-ML home automation, consumers gain a newfound level of transparency and control over their energy consumption patterns and billing “

 

 

My Dream :

 

 Carbon Finance through Carbon Credits  …………………… 12  March  2021

 

Extract :

         Here is a partial list of domestic appliances which consume electricity ( apart from LED bulbs ) :

 

TV sets – Refrigerators – Air Conditioners – Fans – Deep Freezers – Ovens – Electric Stoves – Mixers – Computers – Cloths Washing Machines – Dish Washers – Radios – Tablets – Robotic Floor Sweepers – Massagers – etc

 

Ø     By 2030, all of these must be made “ Energy Efficient Appliances “ , certified

       by Bureau of Energy Efficiency [ BEE ]

 

Ø     Just as was done in respect of ICE vehicles ( BS IV > BS VI compliance ), all

       electric Appliance Manufacturers must be mandated to switch over to

       manufacture of only BEE certified appliances in 4 phases ( April 2022 – 24 – 26-

       28 )

 

Ø     Each such appliance MUST be pre-installed / integrated with SENSORS which

       will continuously monitor its,

 

#   State of Usage ( ON or OFF )

#   Rate of Consumption of electricity ( Units )

 

These INTERNET-CONNECTED appliances will continuously relay /

transmit these data to the SMART ELECTRIC METER installed in each home

 

In turn, each SMART METER will relay / transmit to concerned DISCOM (

and to any other specified govt agency servers ), such usage / consumption

data, through Internet ( IoT / Internet of Everything ).

 

These data-transfer will be separate for EACH INDIVIDUAL APPLIANCE

 

This will enable DISCOM / concerned Agencies, to know / monitor, IN-

EFFICIENT appliances, operating above the CERTIFIED THRESHOLD for

each type of appliance

 

Appliances operating “ above “ the threshold, will be assigned / allotted “

CARBON DEBITS “ , whereas those operating “ below “ the threshold, will

be assigned “ CARBON CREDITS “

 

If the NET of these two is POSITIVE ( + ), that home will be incentivized

by a lower tariff – and vice-versa

 

This model ( of INCENTIVIZATION ) must be further strengthened by

measuring the amount of ROOF TOP Solar Power , flowing into the SMART

METER , with appropriate linkages to CARBON CREDIT

 

This linkage will motivate a large number of households to install ROOF TOP

solar panels

 

This scheme will enable us to take the CARBON MARKET / CARBON CREDIT

/ CARBON FINANCE concept, right inside our 290 MILLION households !

 

Ø    All manufacturers of House-hold Electric Meters must be told to manufacture

      only SMART ELECTRIC METERS , starting April 2022

 

Ø   All DISCOMS to replace existing meters in each and every home, with a SMART

     METER, by April 2024

 

This is only a CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK whose details are not difficult to work

out

 

 

 

My dream got corroborated by BARD , as under :

My poser to BARD :

 

Good Morning, BARD :

Under UN's Sustainable Develioment Goals ( SDG ), is there any specific reference to introduction / promotion of " Energy Efficient Electric Appliances " ?

 

 BARD replied :

 

Yes, there is a specific reference to the introduction and promotion of energy efficient electric appliances under the UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

SDG 7 is the goal that deals with energy, and its target 7.3 specifically calls for doubling the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency by 2030.

This can be achieved through a number of measures, including the introduction and promotion of energy efficient electric appliances.

Energy efficient electric appliances use less energy to operate, which can lead to significant savings on energy bills. They can also help to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, which contribute to climate change.

There are a number of ways to introduce and promote energy efficient electric appliances. Governments can set standards for energy efficiency, provide subsidies for the purchase of energy efficient appliances, and educate consumers about the benefits of energy efficiency. Businesses can also play a role by developing and marketing energy efficient appliances.

The introduction and promotion of energy efficient electric appliances is an important part of achieving SDG 7 and mitigating climate change. By using less energy, we can help to protect the environment and create a more sustainable future.

Here are some specific examples of how energy efficient electric appliances can help to achieve the SDGs:

·        Energy efficient refrigerators can save up to 25% of energy compared to standard refrigerators. This can lead to significant savings on energy bills and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

·        Energy efficient light bulbs can save up to 80% of energy compared to incandescent light bulbs. This can also lead to significant savings on energy bills and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

·        Energy efficient air conditioners can save up to 30% of energy compared to standard air conditioners. This can help to reduce energy costs and improve indoor air quality.

By introducing and promoting energy efficient electric appliances, we can help to achieve the SDGs and create a more sustainable future.

My  Observations :

Ø  SDG 7 / target 7.3 calls for “ doubling the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency by 2030 “

Ø  I have no idea as to what is the “ CURRENT RATE of IMPROVEMENT in ENERGY EFFICIENCY “

Ø  So , there is no way to figure out , what that DOUBLING of the RATE of improvement , will amount to

Ø  Again, besides being consumed by DOMESTIC HOUSEHOLDS,  electricity is used for Industry / Agriculture / Commercial establishment etc

Ø  Hence “ Energy Efficiency Improvement “ due to “ Domestic Households “, will form only a “ small part “ of whatever IMPROVEMENT will happen overall

Please look at the following tabulation ( prepared by BARD ) , in light of foregoing observations :

The consumption of electricity by an average Indian household is increasing every year. The figures that I had given you were based on the assumption that the consumption would continue to increase at the same rate. However, I have now revised my estimates and the revised table is as follows:

Annual Domestic Electricity Consumption of an Average Indian Household

  (A)  Past Actual Consumption ( till 2022-23 )

Year

Consumption (kWh)

Number of Households

2018-19

1041.7

262.5 million

2019-20

1082.5

270.3 million

2020-21

1123.3

278.1 million

2021-22

1164.1

286 million

2022-23

1204.9

293.8 million

 

(B)   Future Projected Consumption ( till 2027-28 )

Year

Consumption (kWh)

Number of Households

Percentage Improvement in Energy Efficiency

2023-24

1245.7

301.7 million

10%

2024-25

1121.1

309.5 million

12%

2025-26

996.5

317.4 million

14%

2026-27

871.9

325.3 million

16%

2027-28

747.3

333.2 million

18%

The revised table shows that the consumption of electricity by an average Indian household will continue to increase till 2023-24.

However, after that, the consumption will start to decrease due to the improvement in energy efficiency.

I apologize for the mistake in the earlier table. I am still under development and learning to generate accurate and relevant responses. Thank you for pointing out the mistake.

WHAT  NEXT  ?

Ø  You will notice that I asked BARD to assume some MODEST IMPROVEMENT figures ( last column )

Ø  Even with such modest improvement targets, how many units of electricity can an ave domestic household SAVE ?– of course , by using the Domestic Energy Efficiency Eco System ( DEEES ), suggested by me in my blog of MARCH 2021 ?  

Ø  Can this ENERGY SAVING be converted into CARBON CREDITS ? If yes , then how many ?

Ø  Can a Domestic Household , SELL  this EARNED carbon credits in CARBON TRADE MARKET ?

Ø  If yes, how many RUPEES can household earn ?

BARD provided following calculations :

Future Projected Consumption (till 2027-28)

Year

Consumption (kWh)

Number of Households

Percentage Improvement in Energy Efficiency

Annual Saving due to Improved Energy Efficiency (kWh)

Eligible Carbon Credits ( @ 1 credit per 1 tonne of avoided emission )

2023-24

1245.7

301.7 million

10%

124.57

1.24

2024-25

1096.6

309.5 million

12%

131.59

1.32

2025-26

946.9

317.4 million

14%

128.57

1.29

2026-27

797.2

325.3 million

16%

127.55

1.28

2027-28

647.5

333.2 million

18%

116.55

1.17

 

The number of carbon credits eligible due to units saved is calculated by multiplying the annual saving due to improved energy efficiency by the number of carbon credits per tonne of avoided emission.

In this case, I have assumed that one carbon credit is awarded for every tonne of avoided emission. This is a common assumption, but it is important to note that the actual number of carbon credits awarded may vary depending on the scheme.

I have also assumed that the average Indian household consumes 1 unit of electricity for every 10 kWh of energy saved.

This is a rough estimate, but it is a good starting point. The actual amount of electricity saved per unit of carbon credit will vary depending on the type of energy efficiency measure being implemented.

I hope this is what you were looking for. Let me know if you have any other questions.

Footnote:

·        The estimates in this table are based on a number of assumptions, including the following:

o   The percentage improvement in energy efficiency is linear.

o   The number of carbon credits per tonne of avoided emission is 1.

o   The average Indian household consumes 1 unit of electricity for every 10 kWh of energy saved.

·        The actual number of carbon credits eligible may vary depending on the actual implementation of energy efficiency measures and the scheme under which the credits are awarded.

The annual saving due to improved energy efficiency is calculated by multiplying the percentage improvement in energy efficiency by the projected consumption of an average Indian household.

For example, in 2023-24, the projected consumption of an average Indian household is 1245.7 kWh and the percentage improvement in energy efficiency is 10%. This means that the annual saving due to improved energy efficiency is 124.57 kWh

The price of carbon credits in the carbon trading market varies depending on a number of factors, including the supply and demand for credits, the perceived risk of climate change, and the policies in place to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

In 2022, the price of carbon credits in the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) averaged around $ 80 per tonne.

However, the price has fluctuated significantly in recent years, and it is impossible to say for sure what the price will be in the future.

If we assume that the price of carbon credits remains at around $ 80 per tonne, then a household that earns 1 carbon credit could earn around $ 80.

However, it is important to note that this is just an estimate, and the actual amount of money that a household could earn may be more or less than this.

It is also important to note that the carbon trading market is a complex and volatile market. The price of carbon credits can fluctuate significantly in response to changes in supply and demand, as well as changes in the political landscape. As a result, it is important to do your research before investing in carbon credits.

Here are some additional things to consider when estimating the amount of money that a household could earn by selling carbon credits:

·        The number of carbon credits that a household could earn will depend on the amount of energy that they save.

·        The price of carbon credits will fluctuate over time.

·        The carbon trading market is a complex and volatile market.

·        There are risks associated with investing in carbon credits.

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

www.hemenparekh.ai  /  23  Aug  2023

 

Related Readings :

 

       Thank You , Vishal Kapoor ………………………. 15 Aug 2023

 

        A Pre-paid Electricity Meter ?  …………………. 18 May 2017

 Electrifying : Smartly  ……………………………….. 25  Sept  2017

 Smart Meter : No Pending Payments ?........ 08 Dec 2017

 A Smart Move , Shri Singh !  …………………….. 07 June 2018

 Welcome, Prepaid Smart Meters  ………………. 25  Sept  2021

CC :

sgopal@eesl.co.in

 Vdwivedi@eesl.co.in

jsaujla@eesl.co.in

skjain@eesl.co.in

 amishra@eesl.co.in

mmodi@eesl.co.in

achoudhary@eesl.co.in

abhishekagarwal@eesl.co.in

 rkrakhra@eesl.co.in

ygujar@eesl.co.in

sgopal@eesl.co.in

pkumar@eesl.co.in

skt@eesl.co.in

pshukla@eesl.co.in

gshankar@eesl.co.in

pjha@eesl.co.in

hsachdeva@eesl.co.in

 

====================================================

Following are ChatGPT's observations re  DEEES  :


The concept you've described, DEEES (Domestic Energy Efficiency Eco System), focuses on promoting energy efficiency in household appliances through the use of smart meters, sensors, and a carbon credit system. Here are some comments on its feasibility and potential implications:

Feasibility:

  1. Technology Readiness:


  2. The technology required for this concept, such as smart meters, sensors, and IoT connectivity, is currently available and being implemented in various sectors. Integrating these technologies into household appliances and energy monitoring systems is feasible from a technological standpoint.


  3. Regulatory Challenges:

  4. Implementing a phased approach for manufacturers to switch to producing only energy-efficient appliances and integrating sensors could face regulatory challenges. Coordination between governments, industry bodies, and appliance manufacturers would be essential to enforce such regulations effectively.


  5. Data Security and Privacy:

  6. Collecting and transmitting data from individual appliances to central systems raises data security and privacy concerns. Ensuring robust encryption, data anonymization, and strict adherence to privacy regulations will be crucial.


  7. Consumer Adoption:

  8. The success of this system depends on consumer willingness to adopt smart appliances and connect them to the grid. Raising awareness about energy efficiency benefits and incentivizing participation would be necessary.


  9. Technical Support and Maintenance:

  10. Maintaining and updating the technology infrastructure would require ongoing technical support and resources. This includes managing potential issues with sensors, meters, and data transmission.

Potential Implications:

  1. Energy Savings:

  2. If implemented effectively, the DEEES concept could lead to substantial energy savings by encouraging users to replace inefficient appliances with energy-efficient ones and optimizing their usage patterns.


  3. Carbon Reduction:

  4. By assigning carbon credits and debits based on appliance efficiency and usage, the concept could contribute to reducing carbon emissions, aligning with climate change mitigation goals.


  5. Behavioral Changes:

  6. Consumers might become more conscious of their energy consumption habits due to the direct correlation between their appliance usage and financial incentives or penalties.


  7. Market Transformation:

  8. Mandating the manufacturing of energy-efficient appliances could drive innovation and stimulate the market for such products. However, there could be initial challenges related to production costs and consumer affordability.


  9. Economic Impacts:

  10. The concept's impact on electricity tariffs would depend on how the carbon credit and debit system influences pricing. There could be financial benefits for households that consistently use energy-efficient appliances.


  11. Infrastructure Investment:

  12. The rollout of smart meters and the necessary communication infrastructure (IoT) could require significant investment by utilities and governments.


  13. Consumer Empowerment:

  14. The availability of real-time energy consumption data could empower consumers to make informed decisions about their energy usage and potentially reduce their bills.


In conclusion, the DEEES concept presents an innovative approach to promoting energy efficiency and carbon reduction in households.

While it involves technological, regulatory, and behavioral challenges, its successful implementation could have positive impacts on energy consumption, carbon emissions, and the overall energy landscape.


However, a comprehensive and well-coordinated effort involving multiple stakeholders would be crucial for its realization.