Opinions may differ : Logic is same

On 9^th April , in my email to Cabinet Ministers / State Chief Ministers etc., I suggested following schedule for a “ Phased Re-opening “ of economy

[ source :  Let not history repeat  ]

 

Yesterday, Government released “ Revised Guidelines “ for what can open on 20^th April and what must continue to remain CLOSED

 

In the first column of following TABULATION , you will notice reasonable correspondence between my suggestion ( of 9^th April ) and government’s “ Revised Guidelines “ of yesterday

But then, my perception is bound to be “ Narrow and Local “, whereas the government’s perception is bound to be “ Broad and National “

 

Then there is no way, I could possibly, remember and list ALL the establishments

By the time the “ Second Phase (  20^th April – 3^rd May ) of lockdown gets over, I presume the Government will issue guidelines for establishments mentioned in the SECOND COLUMN ( 15^th May )

In his speech to the nation on 14^th morning, PM Shri Modiji , talked of an ASSESSMENT-based , RELIEF / TIGHTENING , system , for different areas based on their performance

In the meantime, I urge the readers to prepare similar tabulations and email to Cabinet Ministers

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 RE-OPENING  SCHEDULE [as suggested in my email, marked green ✔ in first column ]

 REVISED GUIDELINES    [ effective from 20^th April [ marked in red ✔  in first column  ]

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Srl No	Type of Establishment / Service	Essential 15 APRIL	NECESSARY 15 MAY	DESIRABLE 15 JUNE	SHOW-OFF 15 JULY
1	Ration Shop	✔   ✔
2	Medical Store	✔   ✔
3	Veg Vendors ( Footpath )	✔   ✔
4	Milk Shops	✔   ✔
5	Kirana Shops	✔   ✔
6	Bank Branches	✔   ✔
7	News Printing Press	✔   ✔
8	Pharma Factories	✔   ✔
9	Medical Eqpt Factories	✔   ✔
10	Mobile Service Providers	✔   ✔
11	Internet Service Providers	✔   ✔
12	Domestic Servants	✔	?
13	Barber Shops		✔   ?
14	Bldg Material Shops	✔	✔   ?
15	Computer / Net eqpt shops	✔	✔
16	Road-side Food Vendors		✔   ?
17	Footpath Hawkers		✔   ?
18	Pan-Bidi Gallas		✔   ?
19	Repair Shops	✔	✔
20	City Public Transport	X	✔   ?
21	Offices	X	✔   ?
22	Processed Food Factories	✔	✔   ?
23	Paper factories	X	✔   ?
24	Refineries	X	✔   ?
25	Chemical Factories	X	✔   ?
26	Cement Factories	X	✔   ?
27	Mobile Phone Factories	X	✔   ?
28	Cloth Shops	X		✔
29	Garment Shops	X		✔
30	Tailoring Shops	X		✔
31	Stationary Shops	X		✔
32	Apparel Factories	X		✔
33	FMCG Factories	X		✔
34	Private Vehicles	X		✔
35	Auto Garages	✔		✔
36	Petrol Pumps	✔		✔
37	Domestic Flights	X		✔
38	Auto Factories	X		✔
39	Gift Item Shops	X			✔
40	Luxury Item Shops	X			✔
41	Jewellery Shops	X			✔
42	Perfume Shops	X			✔
43	Furniture Shops	X			✔
44	Electronic Goods Shops	X			✔
45	Auto Sales Dealers	X			✔
46	Malls	X			✔
47	International Flights	X			✔
48	Religious Places	X			✔
49	Social Function Halls	X			✔
50	Domestic Appliance Factories	X			✔
51	Cinema Halls	X			✔

With regards,

Hemen Parekh 

16 April 2020  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com

CRY , Beloved Country

[ CRY = Corona  Ranking  Yardstick  ]

In his address to the nation yesterday, Shri Modiji said :

“Till April 20 every district, thana and state will be minutely observed and a continuous assessment made on the efforts made and success of efforts, he explains.

The areas that are successful in controlling the outbreak till April 20th will be given some relief. But these will also be under strict conditions and any break with that will lead to a return to earlier position. The government will issue a guideline for this, he adds.”  {  Just issued a few minutes back }

The number of hotspots should not be allowed to increase at any cost, the Prime Minister says.

We must now delineate hotspots and observe diseases surveillance “

[ source : https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/pm-modis-address-to-the-nation-live/article31336207.ece  ]

================================================================================================================

We don’t know what parameters will constitute this ASSESSMENT  MODEL to decide which State – District – Thana , “ will be given some relief  “ after 20^th April .

But here is my guess :

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                                                              CRY = Corona  Ranking  Yardstick

  [ Tabulation to be filled in Daily/Separately for each Thana/District/State and published online for all to view ]

=======================================================================

Srl No	Parameter	Mild [  Minimum / Ideal  ] Score = 1	Moderate [ Undesirable ] Score = 2	Severe [ Alarming ] Score = 3
	INTENSITY  OF  PANDEMIC
	( Per Day and Cumulative till 20 April )
1	No Infected
2	No Tested
3	No found Positive
4	No found Negative
5	Positivity Rate
6	No of New Cases
7	No of Deaths
8	Mortality Rate
9	No Recovered
10	No quarantined - Isolated
11	No of Hot Spots
12	No of Red Zones
13	No of Containment Areas

I presume that :

Ø  Graphs will be plotted / published on Covid web site ( for each of the above-mentioned parameter ) on a DAILY basis and TRENDS will be observed . This will provide a clear indication to the population of each Thana-District-State, what RELIEF ( if any ) , can be expected after 20^th April

Each graph should have horizontal / broken lines to indicate UPPER CONTOL LIMIT / LOWER CONTROL LIMIT, based on Statistical Sampling Technique [ “ STRICT CONDITIONS “ in Shri Modi’s speech ? ]

If daily plot exceeds the Upper Control Limit [ UCL ] , on 3 days in a row, tougher compliance GUIDELINES, will be implemented

Ø  On COVID web site , government should also provide following DATA , for each Thana-District – State :

#   No of cities / towns with “ Population Density “ figure for each

#   No of Train Stations / Inter-State Bus Stations / Domestic Airports / International Airports

#   No of Migrant workers

#  No of Religious places – Entertainment places – Sports stadium – Cinema Halls etc

#  No of Hospitals – Nursing Homes – Mohalla clinics – Govt Health Centres – Labs etc

#  No of Medicine Stores

#  No of Healthcare Staff

#  No of Test Kits / PPE / Masks / Ventilators distributed to each State

=======================================================================

Dear Shri Modiji / Dr HarshVardhanji / Shri RaviShankar Prasadji ,

Thank you for incorporating in the just released GUIDELINES , most of my suggestions from following emails :

Ø  Congratulations, Shivansh Sethi / Ankita Sain  ………………………………………………. ( 11 April 2020 )

Ø  Thank You , Shri RaviShankar Prasadji  ……………………………………………………………( 02 April 2020 )

Ø  Corona Patient Case Histories : a Fragmented Database ……………………………….. ( 30 Mar 2020  )

Ø  Remotely measuring Body Temperature  …………………………………………………………..( 27 Mar 2020 )

Ø  Mobiles for Tracking Corona Movements ?  ………………………………………………………  ( 23 Mar 2020 )

Ø  बहुजन हिताय बहुजन सुखाय  ………………………………………………………………………………………( 20 Mar 2020 )

Ø  Sankalp – Sanyanm – Shastra  …………………………………………………………………………. ( 20 Mar 2020 )

Ø  How to convert Temporary into Permanent ?  ………………………………………………….. ( 19 Mar 2020 )

Ø  Corona Virus Testing Capacity  ……………………………………………………………………………( 16 Mar 2020 )

Ø  Marriage of Technologies to contain Corona ? Yes !  ………………………………………… ( 15 Mar 2020 )

To ensure a much better compliance with the just released GUIDELINES , I strongly suggest modifying the AAROGYA SETU mobile app as follows , for foolproof tracking of persons moving out of their homes :

Ø  Modified “ Aarogya Setu “ to be pre-installed on all Mobile phones , sold after 20th April

Ø  Auto updating of App where already installed so far

Ø  App will require entering PERSONAL details ( including Aadhar No / Address / Email ID ( optional ) etc)

Ø  When a person wants / needs to go out of house , he will enter :

#  Purpose for wanting to go out

#  Place / Person / Shop / Doctor etc. proposed to visit ( giving address / location )

#  Likely duration of staying out of the house

Ø  Within 1 minute, the concerned Authority will online  APPROVE or DISAPPROVE the request . In case of “ Dis-approval “ , Authority will suggest “ alternate time “ for visit

Ø  This “ APPROVED  /  DISAPPROVED “ status will appear on the mobile app

Ø  If stopped / questioned by Police , while a person is on the road, he will show the “ Status “

Ø  Even the Shop-owner / Doctor etc shall entertain only those persons having “Approved “ status

Ø  This modification will enforce “ Social Distancing “ , and prevent “ Crowding “ at any public pace

And , without losing any time ( debating the PRIVACY issue concerns which are totally irrelevant in the present situation ), I urge that the Central Government ask all Mobile Service Providers [ MSPs ], to furnish location data ( GPS based ) of all of their customers , in order to develop “ HEAT  MAPS “ as described below :

“ As global communities respond to the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been an increasing emphasis on public health strategies, like social distancing measures, to slow the rate of transmission,” the company said in a blog post.

“In Google Maps, we use aggregated, anonymized data showing how busy certain types of places are — helping identify when a local business tends to be the most crowded.

We have heard from public health officials that this same type of aggregated, anonymized data could be helpful as they make critical decisions to combat COVID-19.”

Anyone can view the reports, which cover 131 countries to start.

In many locations, users can search for more regional data, examining reports for individual states, provinces, and counties.

After the user selects a geographic region, Google will generate a PDF with the data it has collected. Google said that it chose PDFs over web pages because they could be more easily downloaded and shared with workers in the field.

[ source : Tech giants are finding creative ways to use our data to fight the coronavirus  ]

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

15 April 2020

hcp@RecruitGuru.com

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Added on 16 June 2020 :

Data takes centre stage in virus-ravaged world