Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Thursday, 17 February 2022

Holding out an Olive branch ? No, entire Olive Tree !

 


Context :

Govt Wants Tesla To Buy Local Auto Parts Worth $500    /   abplive  /  16 Feb 2022

Extract :

The government wants Tesla Inc to commit sourcing at least $500 million of auto components from India for the electric carmaker’s request for an import tax cut on its vehicles to be considered, Bloomberg reported quoting a source in the know.

According to the report, Tesla would need to agree to ramp up Indian parts purchases by around 10 per cent to 15 per cent a year until a satisfactory level was achieved, the person said, asking not to be named because the discussions are private.

The Centre has formally told Tesla to ramp up domestic sourcing, but is yet to relay a procurement target to the company, the person said. Tesla in August claimed it sourced around $100 million in parts from India.

The government has said it is keen for Tesla to make cars in the country, but appears to be using their interest to try and gain benefits for the Indian industry.

To progress on its tax-cut bid, Tesla must approach the government with a component-sourcing plan that’s proportional to its car sales forecast in India, the person said. It should also export made-in-India components to China if it plans to import cars from there, the person told Bloomberg.

Tesla and a representative for India’s ministry of transport didn’t respond to requests for comment.

===================================================

MY  TAKE  :

Hey Elon , What is so difficult ?........................... [ 15 Aug 2021 ]

 

Extract :

Obviously, GOI would want any Foreign Manufacturer to gradually increase “ local value addition “, to take it to ( say ), 90 % over a 5 Year period , leaving only 10 % ( by value ) imported items at the end of 5 years

I urge, Tesla to examine following program – and if feasible send it (with changes if required ), to GOI

This could form a basis for further discussions / finalization

If an agreement is reached, it would serve as a BENCH-MARK for all other Foreign Manufacturers wanting to make / sell, electric vehicles in India

      Tesla to commit to following PHASED MANUFACTURING PROGRAM for making Model 3 in India

Year

( Ap-Mar)

Items to be procured locally

Value Addition %

( For the Year )

Value Addition %

( Cumulative )

 

 

 

 

22 - 23

NIL ( Import of fully assembled cars )

-

-

 

 

 

 

23 - 24

KDU – Knocked Down Units ( Add Assy Hours )

5

5

 

 

 

 

24 - 25

Tyres / Chasis / Body / Electricals  / Windows / Dashboards ..etc

10

15

 

 

 

 

25 - 26

Li-ion Battery  

40

55

 

 

 

 

26 - 27

Sensors - Cameras – GPS locators

15

70

 

 

 

 

27 - 28

Autonomous Navigation Devices ( Radar – Lidar  )

20

90

NOTES :

Ø  Above mentioned list of components / sub-assys / Assys etc., is only illustrative. Tesla may expand

Ø  For each component / sub-assy.,Tesla would need to provide CIF prices ( $ and Rs ), if imported , and providing names of its own current suppliers of each ( country-wise )

Ø  Value Addition must be shown as a percentage of the final Ex-Factory selling price of Model 3

Ø  In case of depreciation of Rupee vis-à-vis Dollar , local value addition must not suffer ( get reduced )

Ø  Tesla should file with GOI, a quarterly RETURN , showing current value addition and cars sold   

 Dear Elon press@tesla.com ),

Ø  You claim that Tesla purchased from India, parts worth $ 100 million, SO FAR

Ø  Assuming that these purchase covered past 2 years, that works out to $ 50 million / year

Ø  I further assume that , during 2022 – 23, you will import / sell some 5,000 Model 3 in India, for a total CIF value of $ 200 million ( @ $ 40,000 per car )

Ø  Dividing $ 50 million by $ 200 million = 25 %

Ø  Goes to show that, if the same parts were used for “ locally assembled “ cars, it would amount to a “ local value addition “ of ( as high as ) 25 % , in the very FIRST YEAR itself !

I urge your Business Development Team, to go through my following earlier e-mails to help formulate your ENTRY STRATEGY for India

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 17 Feb 2022

 

 

Wednesday, 16 February 2022

Reliance provides Proof of Concept

 


 

Context :

Addverb gets RIL’s $1billion robot order – Times of India    /  17 Feb 2022

Extract :

 Addverb Technologies, in which Reliance Retail recently picked up a majority stake for $132 million, has received orders worth around $1 billion, spread over four-to-five years, from the Mumbai-based conglomerate for robots with 5G technology.


The robots will be deployed in 
Reliance Industries’ (RIL’s) Jamnagar refinery, sources said.

 

They can be operated out of Mumbai, which will allow RIL to experiment with 5G tech.

Reliance did not comment on this story.


While the Noida-headquartered Addverb refused to comment on value of the orders, it said that a tugging inventory consisting of a fleet of Dynamo 200 bots, virtually connected through 5G network, are being controlled through Legion, its fleet management system hosted over the remote server located in Ahmedabad, that is used for intra-logistics operations inside the plant at Jamnagar.


In addition, a fleet of Dynamo series of bots with one ton payload capacity, virtually connected over the 5G network, have been used for bagging line automation, where they fetch the pallets of refinery bags.

===================================================

MY  TAKE  :

" BACK FACTORY " OF THE WORLD ?........................... [ 09 Sept 2015 ]

 

Extract :

China is known as the " Factory " of the World

India is known as the  " Back Office " of the World

Can India become the " Back Factory " of the World ?

Wrong question !

Right question is : WHEN can we become the " Back Factory " of the World ?

Answer is " hiding in plain sight " !

This week , an astronaut , sitting in a satellite 400 km above the earth and hurtling through space at 16,000 km per hour, operated a robot on the earth

Earlier, scientists sitting in NASA space centre or in Shri Harikota space centre, have operated Mars Rovers / MOM ( Mars Orbital Mission ) remotely

From a distance of millions of miles

 And soon, astronauts  will be sending emails to earthlings from millions of miles away , using " Space Internet " on their Mobile phones

Invariably, each such team of scientists, comprised Indians !

So, WHEN can our scientists - and software Start Ups - enable Indian workers, sitting in Hyderabad / Chennai etc, to operate / manipulate, machinery in factories of Europe / America / China ?

I believe this can become a reality by 2020 , if Central Government and State Governments, just get out of the way of our scientists/ Start Ups and leave them alone !

 

Then tell them :

 

" You are our next generation of Freedom Fighters .

Free our millions from poverty / starvation / jobless depression / ignominy / suicides

 

Like war - ravaged people of North Africa, Indians cannot invade Europe / Australia / Canada, in search of jobs / better life

 

We depend upon you to bring the jobs to India - jobs such as ,

 

  *   Operating Machinery in Factories abroad

 

  *   Controlling Air Traffic at Airports around the World

 

  *   Operating upon patients in Hospitals , all over

 

  *   Teaching students in Schools , in remote Africa

 

  *   Any job that currently requires immediate presence of a worker

 

And,

 

if you set up a " Back Factory " , you don't need to pay Corporate Income Tax for next 10 years !

 

SIMPLY REGISTER ON WEB SITE OF INCOME TAX DEPARTMENT AS A " BACK FACTORY " OWNER AND FILE ANNUAL " ZERO CORPORATE TAX RETURN "

 

When this happens ,

 

>  Millions of skilled Indian workers will operate factories around the World ,

    sitting in, internet connected " Back Factories " in small Indian towns

 

>  Foxcon will not need to replace its high-wage Chinese workers with one

    million robots ( as officially announced sometime back )

 

    At half the wages of those Chinese workers, Indians will operate Foxcon

    factories , all over the World, remotely !

 

>  " Contract Labour Act " will need to be replaced with " Back Factory Act “

 

>  " Minimum Wages Act " will need to be scrapped !

 

>   India will not need to fight with WTO on " Manpower / Service Exports "

 

>   " Make in India " will morph into " Make from India "

 

I hope NDA Ministers and members of NITI Aayog will ask, Narayan Murthy / Sam Pitroda / Azim Premji / Sundar Pichai / Satya Nadela / Ray Kurzweil etc :

 

"  How soon can this be done ? How can you help ? "

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  17 Feb 2022

 

Tuesday, 15 February 2022

ELON , You have missed the Bus / by 5 YEARS

 


Phased Manufacturing Programme (PMP)

( source : https://e-amrit.niti.gov.in/national-level-policy )

To boost electric mobility and promote development of electric vehicles, a phased manufacturing roadmap has been developed, taking into account the current state of the manufacturing ecosystem in the country, in which indigenous manufacturing of electric vehicles, their assemblies/sub-assemblies, and parts/sub-parts/inputs of the sub-assemblies will be promoted over time through a graded duty structure. The goal is to significantly boost value addition and capacity building in the country.

The following Phased Manufacturing Programme (PMP) is notified:

 

 

Current BCD w.e.f. 30/01/2019

Phased Manufacturine proposal

S.No.

Item Description

Current BCD w.e.f. 30/01/2019

Phased Manufacturine proposal

Proposed BCD

Proposed Date of PMP

1

CBU

Bus (HS 8702) & Trucks (HS 8704)

25%

50%

April 2020 onwards

2

SKD

PV(HS 8703) & 3W (HS 8703/8704)

15%

30%

2W(HS 8711)

25%

Bus(HS 8702)

25%

Truck(HS 8702)

25%

3

CKD

Bus(HS 8704)

10%

15%

PV (HS 8703) 2W (HS 8711) 3W(HS 8703/8704)& Truck (HS 8704)

4

Lithlum lon cells (HS 85076000) for use in the manufacture of Lithium ion accumulator for electric vehicles

5%

15%

April 2021 onwards

5

Battery packs (HS 8507) for use in the manufacture of electric vehicleS

5%

15%

6.

Parts for use in the manufacture of electric vehicles like

  • AC or DC Charger
  • AC or DC Motor
  • AC or DC Motor Controller
  • Power Control Unit (Inverter, AC/DC Converter, Condenser)
  • Energy Monitor
  • Contactor
  • Brake System for recovering
  • Electric Compressor

0%

15%

April 2021 onwards

 

MY TAKE :

 

Will Tesla follow Apple ?............................ [ 23 May 2017 ]

 

Extract :


Dear Elon :

 For immediate approval ( in 24 hours ) , pl submit your PMP as follows :

 

2017-18  :

Set up factory next to Mundra Port ( Gujarat ) to facilitate world-wide exports

  

2018-19  :

Source locally , Tyres / Chasis / Body / Electricals  / Windows / Dashboards ..etc

 

2019-20   :

Manufacture in your own factory , Li-ion Battery  / Wall-mounted Powerpack Storages / Solar Roof Tiles

 

2020-21  :

Manufacture  RFID Sensors - Cameras – GPS locators

 

2021-22   :

Augmented Reality  Devices  /  Autonomous Navigation Devices ( Radar – Lidar  )

 

 

Now , it is very possible that neither Shri Gadkariji , nor Shri Goyalji , would be satisfied with such a slow PMP , spread out over a period of 5 years

  

They may , well request  Elon to cut it down to 3 years

 

 

Reducing custom duty ( from current 110 % to 40 % - as requested by TESLA and some other foreign manufacturers , would not make any dent in India’s Electric car market, as can be seen from :

 

To beat OR not to beat ?........................... [ 29 Dec 2020 ]


 At the most , those imported cars ( selling for Rs 40 lakh + , even with 40 % duty ), could have sold 3,000 numbers out of Indian market of 3 MILLION  !

That is not the point

Point is simple :

Ø  TESLA must come to India with a firm commitment for Local Manufacture

Ø  There was nothing difficult for TESLA to accept the Phased Manufacturing Program suggested by me above, some 5 YEARS back

Ø  The PMP announced by GOI, last week ( shown above ) is almost IDENTICAL to my 2017 proposal

 

With regards,

Hemen parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com /  16 Feb 2022