Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Friday, 16 December 2022

How To Make Friends and Thwart Enemies

 India working on a common power grid across South Asia



https://lnkd.in/df-Fjaed

======================

Extract :

India is working to create an interconnected power grid across the South Asian region covering as many countries as feasible, said an Additional Secretary in the Power Ministry, Ajay Tiwari on Friday.

That will mean sharing countries' resources , investments , keeping the goals of energy security and affordability in mind

======================

MY TAKE :

> This is an excellent initiative

> In each of our neighbouring countries, PEAK LOAD timings differ , hence " load balancing " will be much better with fewer black-outs

> Power stations will operate at steady output and with higher " PLF "

> If we succeed in installing / generating 500 GW of Renewable Energy ( mostly Solar ), by 2030 , then we may be in a position to " Export " our power to power-deficit neighbouring countries

> By providing badly-needed energy to our poor neighbouring countries, we can help them reduce poverty and raise standard of living for their citizen. They will become India's TRUE and PERMANENT friends


> This ( supply of energy at cheap price ), will help India counter the influence of CHINA , which is encircling us !

=============================

#india #energy #security #help #power #china #renewableenergy #solar #export #investments

Wednesday, 14 December 2022

Smoking Free Bharat ? It is possible

 


 

Yes, it is possible if there is a political will on part of all political parties


Here is how New Zealand showed its determination to  save lives of its citizen :

 

New Zealand passes unique tobacco minimum age law aiming to ban smoking for next generation

 


Extract :

New Zealand has passed into law a unique plan to phase out tobacco smoking for the next generation by imposing a lifetime ban on young people buying cigarettes.

The law states that tobacco can't ever be sold to anybody born on or after January 1, 2009 - and from now on, the minimum age for buying cigarettes will keep going up and up. 

In theory, somebody trying to buy a pack of cigarettes 50 years from now would need ID to show they were at least 63 years old. 

But health authorities hope smoking will fade away well before then. They have a stated goal of making New Zealand smoke-free by 2025.

"There is no good reason to allow a product to be sold that kills half the people that use it," Associate Minister of Health Dr. Ayesha Verrall told lawmakers in Parliament. "And I can tell you that we will end this in the future, as we pass this legislation".

New Zealand is not the only nation pushing to ban smoking for the next generations. In June, a report commissioned by the UK government recommended raising the legal smoking age each year to phase out tobacco use among young people.

Denmark also unveiled similar plans earlier this year, but the government said such a move would require changes to the EU's Tobacco Products Directive.

citizens' initiative later petitioned the European Commission to ban the sale of tobacco and nicotine products to EU citizens born after 2010.

According to the latest data from Eurostat, 18.4 per cent of people aged 15 and over in the EU smoke every day. But the figure ranges from 6.4 per cent in Sweden to 23.6 per cent in Greece and 28.7 per cent in Bulgaria.

New Zealand already restricts cigarette sales to those aged 18 and over, requires tobacco packs to come with graphic health warnings and cigarettes to be sold in standardised packs.

The country in recent years also imposed a series of hefty tax hikes on cigarettes.

Verrall said the new law would create generational change, while the health system would save billions from not needing to treat illnesses caused by smoking, such as cancer, heart attacks, and strokes.

Tobacco kills up to half of its users - resulting in more than 8 million deaths each year, according to the World Health Organization (WHO), which has long called for measures such as advertising bans, plain packaging, and higher taxes on tobacco products to discourage smoking.

The past two decades have also seen smoking bands expand across many countries in enclosed public places, on public transport, in offices, and also public parks and beaches.

 

MY  TAKE  :

From the above mentioned news report, it is obvious that most countries trying to save lives of their youth, are focussing on the TOBACCO CONSUMERS

Seems logical

But, in a country like India, such a focus on the END USERS , is unlikely to produce desired results

How can you catch and punish following if they break the law ? :

#  25 Lakhs of tobacco sellers

#  Millions of Cigarette smokers

Entire SUPPLY CHAIN looks like following :

Tobacco growers > Cigarette / Bidi Manufacturers > Distributors > Stockists > 25 LAKH Pan-Bidi Shops > Smokers

[ Within next 12 months, New Zealand plans to shut down 90 % of its 6,000 Cigarette retailers ]

I believe ,we must start DISMANTLING this supply chain by focussing on the Cigarette Manufacturers  as suggested by me as far back as 2013 , in my following e-mail to our Cabinet Ministers :


Ø  Going Up in Smoke ? ………………………………..[ 18 Aug 2013 ]


Extract :

India's tobacco industry supports 38 million people ( 380 lakhs )
Every year , some 6 million ( 60 lakh )people die in India thru use of tobacco ( mostly cigarettes )
Of these , some 6 lakh die by inhaling smoke of other cigarette smokers
So what can we do to save these 60 lakh ?
Immediately close down entire tobacco industry ?
And jeopardize the lives of 380 lakh  ?
Obviously , we cannot adopt a mutually exclusive solution !
We must find a solution that , not only saves those 60 lakh but also continue to provide livelihood to 380 lakhs
That cannot be done in one - or even five - years , but it is entirely possible to solve this problem over , 20 years , as follows :

>   Thru appropriate legislation , phase out tobacco industry by 2033

>   Immediately stop expansion of existing units
>   Do not allow new units to come up
>   Place a recruitment freeze in tobacco industry - no fresh hiring at any level
>   No replacement for retiring employees , after 2018
>   Provide incentives to industry to redeploy capital / manpower in alternate industries - especially those

     industries with large scope for creation of new jobs
>   Give generous tax-breaks to industry to remain profitable , even as they wind-up operations
>   Provide incentives to put up new-industry projects in less industrialized regions
>   Provide incentives for re-training existing workers in new skills in demand by others
>   Subsidize Voluntary Retirement Schemes of industry

This is just a partial list . I am sure , if there is political will , experts will come up with many more viable suggestions

Question :
With national elections looming on the horizon , which political party would want to alienate , a lucrative source of election funding ? 

 

With Regards,

Hemen Parekh

hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  15 Dec 2022

 

Related Readings :

Ø  Ambiguity is Bad !  ……………………………………….[ 02 April 2016 ]

 

Ø  Thank You , Shri Sanjay Kumar …………………..[ 26 April 2016 ]

 

Ø  How About Herbs that Heal ?...................... [ 26 May 2017 ]

 

Ø  Killing an Elephant with a Needle ? ……………….[ 20 Sept 2017 ]

 

Ø  There is a Better Way !................................ [ 01 Oct 2017 ]

 

Ø  Banning Tobacco : an ECHO from New Zealand [ 09 Dec 2021 ]

 

 

Ø  Indian Brothers aim to recycle 35 Billion cigarette butts into products    

Extract :

"We engage with more than 2,000 rag-pickers across India to collect cigarette butts," the company says.

"We have created a business model wherein the associates (through a current network of more than 250 districts in India) get money for their supplies."

Stating that their future goal is now to increase the volume of recycling of waste, Naman said they plan to recycle 300-400 tons monthly by 2025, which is around 5%-6% of the total cigarette butts generated annually in India.

"By 2026, our goal is to reach the target of recycling at least 35 billion cigarette butts," he added.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tuesday, 13 December 2022

A nightmare about to come true ?

 


 

Context :

Half the atoms in the planet could be digital data by 2245 

Adam Mann   /   August 30, 2020

 

Extract :

Information might seem immaterial. 

But within a few short centuries, the total amount of digital bits produced annually by humanity could exceed the number of atoms on our planet and, even more unexpectedly, account for half of its mass

 

We live in information-rich times. Cell phones everywhere and high social media use mean that almost every human being is generating astonishing quantities of computerized content every day

IBM and other technology research companies have estimated that 90% of the world's current digital data was produced in the last decade alone, prompting physicist Melvin Vopson of the University of Portsmouth in England to wonder where we might be headed in the future. 

His analysis began with the fact that Earth currently contains roughly 10^21, or 100 billion billion, bits of computer information.

 

"This is everything we collectively do," Vopson told Live Science. "Any digital content produced and stored anywhere on the planet by anyone." 

Vopson then calculated how much more data might exist in the future. This isn't simply a linear extrapolation, since the amount of new information is also growing with time.

Assuming a 20% annual growth rate in digital content, Vopson showed that 350 years from now, the number of data bits on Earth will be greater than all the atoms inside it, of which there are about 10^50 or a hundred trillion trillion trillion trillion.

Even before this time, humanity would be using the equivalent of its current power consumption just to sustain all these zeros and ones

"The question is:

Where do we store this information? How do we power this?"

Vopson said. "I call this the invisible crisis, as today it is truly an invisible problem."

While such timescales might seem far enough in the future to ignore at present, Vopson also warns of another possible concern.

In 1961, the German-American physicist Rolf Landauer proposed that, because erasing a digital bit produces a tiny amount of heat, there's a link between information and energy.

Though still a matter of scientific debate, this finding, known as Landauer's principle, has received some experimental verification in recent years.

 

In a 2019 study published in the journal AIP Advances, Vopson posited that there might therefore be a relationship between information and mass. 

 

The conjecture relies on the famous equation E = mc^2, derived by Albert Einstein at the beginning of the 20th century.

 

Einstein's work showed that energy and mass are interchangeable, leading Vopson to calculate the potential mass of a single bit of information — about 10 million times smaller than an electron. 

 

This means that the current mass of information produced every year is insignificant, about the weight of a single E. coli bacteria, Vopson said.

 

But, assuming that same 20% growth per year, half of Earth's mass could be converted into digital data in less than 500 years. 

 

Assuming a 50% growth rate, half the planet would be information by just 2245.

 

 Vopson's findings appeared Aug. 11 in the same journal, AIP Advances.

 

"I see this as a real problem," Vopson said. "Just [like] burning fossil fuels, plastic pollution and deforestation, I think the information is something overlooked by everyone. We are literally changing the planet bit-by-bit."

 

In fact, he considers the growth rates in his paper to be somewhat conservative (the International Data Corporation estimates the current data growth rate at 61 percent) and thinks this information catastrophe might occur sooner than predicted.

 

A way to alleviate the issues of storing such vast amounts of data might be to develop technology that would keep information in non-material mediums such as holograms, he said. 

 

The arguments put forth in the study are thought-provoking and surprising, particle physicist Luis Herrera of the University of Salamanca in Spain, who was not involved in the work, told Live Science.

But the idea that information has mass remains theoretical and will require experiments to prove it, he added. 

Given the long timeframes involved and the reality of other, more immediate crises, "I think there are a lot more important problems than this one," Herrera said. 

 

MY  TAKE  :

 

And , it seems this nightmare may not wait till 2245.  It may arrive by 2025 !

If you have any doubt , here is some indication :

Generative AI Could Pollute the Internet to Death   / Alberto  Romero  /  16 Nov 2022

 

Extract :

Generative AI is the most transformative application the field has ever seen. It will redefine how we create but also how we interact with and relate to the creations of others.

Whereas traditional AI allows us to extract patterns and insights from data, shaping them into new knowledge, generative AI goes beyond that.

It uses that data to generate more data.

And that isn’t even its most profound implication. The fact that its usefulness manifests at the consumer level will change everything.

Anyone can use generative AI to create new data.

We’re living in an unprecedented era of creative expansion.

What historically has been reserved for the few is now within reach for anyone with a computer and internet access.

Most people are still unaware this technology exists, but it won’t be long before it becomes mainstream.

It’s easy to access and use, super cheap, and extremely versatile. And it improves fast.

Generative AI’s potential at the individual level is huge, but at the collective level, it’s life-changing.

At that level, what matters most is scale — not as in “large enough to solve a problem,” but as in “ large enough to cause one. ”

The fast-paced development combined with transversal usefulness and inherent scalability (easy to use and cheap) is generative AI’s greatest strength — and its greatest weakness.

It’s not the tools it’s how we use them

Two caveats.

First, as I’ve written in the past, I think generative AI tools can help enhance human ability — writing, painting, coding, and anything else that may come next.

Second, not everyone uses these tools to mindlessly generate content. Some truly explore their creative selves. They imbue their creations with intent and personality (even if it’s impossible to capture them fully with words).

These caveats reveal that this “weakness” isn’t intrinsic to the tools — it’s not about “they lack intent,” “AI art isn’t art” or anything of the sort.

Instead, the problem emerges where these tools intersect with our lack of a sense of measure and the external incentives we all are subject to — when our goal is to generate as much content as we can to obtain some benefit, the story changes.

Many people won’t just enhance their abilities, they’ll replace their presence — using the tools at every chance.

If we can use these tools for any creative activity, many ( if not most ) will use them for all creative activities.

Also, people will use them as surprise boxes, not as creativity explorers:

 “ let’s see what comes out on the other side and hope it’s good enough.”

The problem is not in the tools but in our use of them.

 

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 11  Dec  2022

 

Related Reading:

Data becomes an Air Molecule : Free to travel anywhere………[ 30 July 2019 ]

 

Extract :

 

Parallel to the Theory of Thermodynamics , I would like to propound the following  as far

as the “ Theory of Information “ is concerned :

 

 “  Like Entropy , content keeps growing with each and every human interaction , either

    with other humans or with his environment , and content  can no longer remain

    hidden , nor can it be destroyed  “

 

 ============================================



Ø  LESSONS FROM DISTANT PAST ? …………………………….[ 15 March 2016 ]

 

 

Extract :

 

In the epic story of RAMAYAN , following incidence is described :

 

After Sita's abduction by Ravana , Lord Rama invaded the isle of Lanka with his army

 

A fierce battle followed

 

At one point , when Ravana feared that he might lose the battle , he asked two of his ace warriors , Ahi-Ravana and Mahi-Ravana to go and fight Rama

 

When an arrow of Rama hit these brothers , hundreds of drops of blood would fall on the ground

 

But , horror of horror !

 

From each drop of blood, arose another clone of Ahi-Ravana / Mahi-Ravana !

 

So , a hundred drops of blood gave rise to another hundred demons !

 

And when Rama's arrows hit those hundred demons and shed ten thousand drops of blood , ten thousand demons got multiplied !