Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Monday, 8 May 2023

Wherefore Art Thou, O Jobs ?

 


 

( - not the “ Steve Jobs   kind –  I mean , “ Leave Jobs   kind )

 

Context :

AI could help determine who gets laid off   …………  ET  / 05  May 2023

 


Extract :

The Covid-19 pandemic gave us firings by Zoom. Could the current technology craze give us mass terminations devised by AI ?

ChatGPT can already write a generic layoffs memo, and Microsoft Corp. is planning to roll out its 365 Copilot to Excel, which could serve as an aid in financial planning. Now a French startup called Pigment SAS is testing a generative AI tool expressly for chief financial officers.

The product, called Pigment AI, is based on OpenAI software.

It places a chatbot inside of spreadsheets and dashboards used to make financial plans. The software is designed to chew through a company’s data and spit out answers to questions like, What if we launch our new product three months in advance? or What do I do to double my revenue in the next year?

“It’s removing the uninteresting part of the work,” said Romain Niccoli, Pigment’s co-chief executive officer.

Right now, nearly every business is scrambling to incorporate versions of the latest AI to boost its bottom line or avoid being gutted by superhuman computers. They are not always fast enough.

As a result, many companies may be interested in this sample question Pigment says its chatbot can answer:

 Why are our current projected people costs higher than the approved 2023 plan ?

 

You don’t have to be an AI to guess that the recommendation could be to cut people costs. Or simply, cut people.

Companies are bracing for AI to automate jobs away.

 

IBM’s CEO sees 30% of back-office functions going away in five years and has paused hiring for such roles.

Microsoft Copilot could save data analysts and other spreadsheet crunchers considerable time — or reduce the need to hire as many of them.


While AI could inform a company’s decision to lay people off, Niccoli said it’s a human who will ultimately make the call. “It’s just making sure you understand the consequences,” he said. “It will not decide for you.”

If you are laid off with the help of an AI someday, odds are you wouldn’t even know it.

Concerns about AI are amplifying. The White House is backing new rules, and the UK’s antitrust watchdog launched a review. AI is being deployed on the battlefield without a full understanding of the consequences. But the billionaire venture capitalist Vinod Khosla said slowing down could kick up a different set of problems.

MY  TAKE :

 

With rapid proliferation of AI based “ productivity-enhancing “ Apps , what jobs are most likely to disappear ?


Read-up ( offline or online ) and you will get vague / broad / non-specific answer such as :


#  White collar workers – Back office staff – Clerical employees etc.


Obviously , this answer is not helping individuals who might lose their jobs to AI


So , why not ask AI :  What specific jobs are you likely to take over ?


ChatGPT gave me following “ SPECIFIC “ answer

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

www.hemenparekh.ai  /  08 May 2023

 

My poser to ChatGPT  :

There are many experts making many " predictions " about the jobs that will disappear in future, with the proliferation of productivity-enhansing AI applications.

This , they say , will apply more to " white collar " office jobs , where employees are mainly using a computer as their principal tool.

In the list that follows, I have compiled a brief / partial list of such jobs, some of which fall in the category of " Self Employed ".

Please tabulate these jobs and in the table ( with title JOBS THAT AI WILL DISPLACE BY 2025 ) , incorporate 2 columns with headings > Will disappear totally > will disappear partially

 

ChatGPT replied :

Sure, here's the updated table with the additional jobs you provided:

Jobs that AI will Displace by 2025

Will Disappear Totally

Will Disappear Partially

Accountants

Actors

Agents

Animators

Artists

Beauticians

Bookkeepers

Brokers

Carpenters

Chauffeurs

Composers

Consultants

Correspondents

Dancers

Designers

Detectives

Developers (S/W)

Drivers

Dress Designers

Electricians

Engineers

Entertainers

Fabricators

Farmers

Fishermen

Florists

Goldsmiths

Hairdressers

Housemaids

Housekeepers

Income Tax Advisors

Instructors

Insurance Agents

Interior Designers

Interpreters

Jewellers

Journalists

Lobbyists

Locksmiths

Magicians

Management Consultants

Marketing Consultants

Marriage Counselors

Mechanics

Mediators

Midwives

Nannies

Nurses

Occupational Counselors

Opticians

Painters

Paramedics

Personal Trainers

Photographers

Physiotherapists

Players (Sports)

Playwrights

Plumbers

Producers

Real Estate Agents

Recruiters

Referees

Repairers (All Types)

Reporters

Rickshaw Drivers

Sales Agents

Sculptors

Singers

Social Workers

Songwriters

Specialists (All types)

Street vendors

Travel Agents

Tutors

Typists

Tailors

Teachers

Therapists

Tour Guides

Umpires

Undertakers

Upholsterers

Vendors

Videographers

Vocational Counselors

Watch Repairers

Water-proofers

I asked ChatGPT :


Many thanks. Surely you must have clues as to the processes used by each of these jobseekers . 

And , surely, you must have deep understanding of which of these processes are " amenable / susceptible " for being taken over by AI . 

Please list against each job ( in this table ) , WHY you believe a particular job will disappear ( partially or entirely ) . 

You may add to this tabulation, as many additional columns as you wish

 

ChatGPT

 

I'm sorry, but as an AI language model, I do not have personal beliefs or opinions. However, I can provide some general information on the potential impact of AI on different types of jobs.

Generally speaking, any job that involves routine and repetitive tasks is more susceptible to automation through AI. This includes jobs that involve data entry, data analysis, basic bookkeeping, and customer service.

On the other hand, jobs that require creativity, emotional intelligence, and complex problem-solving are less likely to be replaced by AI in the near future.

For example, jobs such as accountants, bookkeepers, and data entry clerks involve a lot of routine work that can be automated with the help of AI.

Similarly, travel agents and insurance agents, who primarily provide information and recommendations, may be replaced by automated systems in the near future.

However, jobs that require creativity and emotional intelligence, such as artists, writers, therapists, and counselors, are less likely to be replaced by AI.

Similarly, jobs that require physical dexterity and manual skills, such as carpenters, electricians, and plumbers, are also less likely to be automated by AI.

It is important to note that the impact of AI on jobs is not binary, and some jobs may not disappear entirely but rather change significantly in terms of their scope and requirements.

In some cases, AI may even create new job opportunities in fields such as robotics, data analysis, and software development.

 

 

Related  Readings :

 

Will ChatGPT take my job ? Here are 20 professions that could be replaced by AI

Which Jobs Will AI Replace? These 4 Industries Will Be Heavily Impacted

 

My 34 Blogs on ChatBots ( as of 10 Apr 2023 )

 

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