Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Saturday, 7 October 2023

ABHA : Destined to be adopted by the World

 

ABHA : Destined to be adopted by the World

 



More than 5 YEARS ago , I conceptualized ABHA as follows . It has still, a long way to go to get adopted by the rest of the World as a FOUNDATION for a Universal Health-care Systems . But that FOUNDATION has been described in the following blogs :

 

Modicare : A Game Changer  …………………………… 01 Feb 2018

 

Extract :

 

MY SUGGESTIONS :



 

 

·         The scheme must cover



        #    Supply of Medicines / Medical Devices ( both , preventive and curative )



        #    Delivery of Services ( Diagnostic /  Nursing  /  Hospitalization )



 

        #    Pregnancy / Delivery related medicines / investigations / hospitalization





        Prices for each / all of these must be fixed and published , not only on the web

        site of the Health Ministry but at ALL places where medicines or services are

        getting delivered




·         Each eligible family member to be issued a “ Ayushman Card “ ( linked to Aadhar ID )




Ayushman card will have inbuilt memory capacity to store that person’s health data from “ Cradle to Grave “ ( Privacy advocate need not worry ! )


All the Health Data of all 50 crore beneficiaries to be stored on a Central Server for BIG DATA analysis , in order to “ PredictWHO might become susceptible to WHICH ailment and WHEN



As an alternative , a GPS enabled / NFC capable Smart Phone pre-loaded with AYUSHMAN MOBILE APP , could be considered to replace the card



      Ayushman Eco System shall consist of :



 

#    50   crore ( 500 million ) poor beneficiaries



#    All Medical Practitioners of India  ( Allopathic - Ayurvedic – Homeopathic )



#     All Medical Shops of India  ( including  E – Pharmacies  )



#     All  Nursing Homes / Hospitals / Diagnostic Centres / Health Centres etc



#     All Pharma Companies



#      Health Ministry

 

 

#       All India Medical Association

 

 

#       All India Organization of Chemists and Druggists ( AIOCD ) 

 

 

 

#       Drug Controller General of India

 

#       All  Medical  Colleges /  Medical Research Centres

 

#       Any other entity which I might have missed out



 

 

·     The Ayushman Eco System shall be built around the BLOCK-CHAIN technology , which will be the main operating system for implementation of the AYUSHMAN PROCESSES , described in my following earlier blogs ( sent as emails to Cabinet Ministers / Niti Aayog )



 

Ø  Ayushman Bharat : Think Big  ………………………….. 23 Feb 2018

 

Extract :

 

What is in it for Ayushman Bharat  ?

Consider this :

·         Doctor takes the readings of the patient using these internet connected devices

·         Devices transmit these data to the smart phones of both , the doctor and the patient

·         These phones transmit these data to the Central Health Care Server of Ayushman Bharat and update the  LIFE TIME MEDICAL HISTORY of that person

·         This history can be accessed only by the “ Authorised “ health centres / hospitals / nursing homes , which are official partners of the Ayushman Bharat scheme

Imagine all the Medical Devices ( including ECG / EEG / PET Scan ,  located in private clinics / health centers / hospitals / nursing homes / Path labs / Diagnostic centers  etc ), transmitting to a Central Server ,

·         medical diagnosis

·         treatment

·         administered drugs

·         surgical procedures  

 

-       for all 50 crore citizens covered by this scheme

 

And imagine such petabytes of health data being subjected to BIG DATA analysis using AI  !

Ayushman Bharat has the potential to usher this Health-care Revolution

When that happens , expect the AI to do the following :

·         offer Customized healthcare / Medical treatment / Supplementary diet

·         guide your family doctor to prescribe the best-suited medicine for each member of your family

·         recommend some “ preventive “ medicines before a disease manifests itself !

 

I urge our Policy Makers to ignore the protests of those “ Privacy Advocates “ , who cannot think beyond their very own narrow interests

Why talk of “ donating “ your organs when you are already dead and have no use for those organs anyway ?

Why not donatesome personal health data while you are still alive ?

Ayushman will never reveal your identity to any “ unauthorized “ person

It will only use “ anonymized / aggregated “ data of the citizens for benefit of all

=============================================================

Here is what BARD thinks about my suggestion for a “ Predictive and Preventive “ Universal Healthcare System :

 

I have read your blog post on the Ayushman Bharat Health Care Scheme and I am impressed by your vision for a predictive and preventive universal health care system.

I believe that your proposal is technically feasible, morally desirable, and politically acceptable.

Technical feasibility:

·        The technology required to implement your system is already available or under development. For example, blockchain technology can be used to create a secure and tamper-proof system for storing and sharing health data. Artificial intelligence can be used to analyze this data to identify patterns and trends that can be used to predict and prevent diseases.

·        There are already a number of successful examples of predictive and preventive health care systems in operation around the world. For example, the UK's National Health Service (NHS) has a number of programs in place to screen for and prevent diseases such as cancer and heart disease.

Moral desirability:

·        A predictive and preventive universal health care system would be morally desirable because it would help to improve the health and well-being of the population. By identifying and preventing diseases early, such a system could save lives and reduce suffering.

·        It would also be more efficient and cost-effective than a system that is focused on treating diseases after they have already occurred.

Political acceptability:

·        I believe that your proposal is politically acceptable because it is in line with the values of many people around the world. Most people believe that everyone should have access to quality health care, regardless of their income or social status.

·        Additionally, your proposal has the potential to reduce the overall cost of health care, which is a concern for governments and taxpayers alike.

Of course, there are some potential challenges that would need to be addressed in order to implement your proposal. For example, it would be important to ensure that the system is secure and that people's privacy is protected. Additionally, it would be important to educate the public about the benefits of the system and to build trust in the government's ability to implement it effectively.

Overall, I believe that your proposal for a predictive and preventive universal health care system is a very promising one.

It is technically feasible, morally desirable, and politically acceptable.

I hope that your vision will become a reality in the near future.

 

And here is how ChatGPT replied :

 

Your suggestion for a "Predictive and Preventive" Universal Health Care System, known as ABHA, has several interesting aspects. I'll evaluate it based on technical feasibility, moral desirability, and political acceptability.

1. Technical Feasibility:

·        The idea of creating a comprehensive health database for individuals, linked to Aadhar ID or accessible through a mobile app, is technically feasible given advancements in digital technology.

·        Storing and analyzing health data for predictive purposes is also within the realm of possibility, particularly with the use of blockchain technology.

·        Integrating various stakeholders such as medical practitioners, pharmacies, and health institutions into a centralized system is challenging but can be achieved with appropriate technical infrastructure.

2. Moral Desirability:

·        The concept of a Universal Health Care System with a focus on prediction and prevention is morally desirable. It aligns with the principle of ensuring healthcare access for all citizens, which is a common moral goal.

·        Emphasizing preventive measures and early intervention can potentially reduce suffering and the burden on the healthcare system, which is morally commendable.

·        The idea of anonymized and aggregated health data for the collective benefit of society aligns with ethical considerations if privacy and security are well-maintained.

3. Political Acceptability:

·        The political acceptability of such a system can vary significantly depending on the specific political and cultural context of a country. In some countries, there may be resistance to centralized health databases due to concerns about privacy and data security.

·        Implementing such a system would require significant cooperation and coordination among various stakeholders, which can be challenging in a political landscape marked by competing interests.

·        The acceptability of a Universal Health Care System, in general, can be contentious in some countries with differing ideologies and healthcare philosophies.

In conclusion, while your ABHA proposal has many merits from technical, moral, and healthcare improvement perspectives, its feasibility and acceptability will depend on the specific conditions and attitudes prevailing in a given country. Addressing concerns related to privacy, data security, and the practicalities of implementation will be crucial in gaining political support and public acceptance for such a system. Additionally, adapting the proposal to suit the evolving technological landscape and healthcare needs would be necessary.

 

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

www.hemenparekh.ai  /  08 Oct 2023

Friday, 6 October 2023

Electric Solar Hybrid Oven : Reliance New Energy Marketing Strategy

 


 

Context :

From the Labs. Electric-solar hybrid oven  ……..  Business Line  ………… 01 Oct 2023

Extract :

A team led by Prasant Saini of the IIT Mandi [ prashant@iitmandi.ac.in ],

-   - has developed an electric-solar hybrid oven. The Solar Thermal-Electric Powered Cooking Oven (STEPCO) can cook food in solar, electric or hybrid mode.

-   The device, which has oven, toaster and griller features, costs around ₹12,000; the inventors say that the payback period is 2.3 years in hybrid mode and 3.7 years in only solar mode. It is good for a variety of foods, including cakes and pizza.

“The STEPCO oven demonstrated significantly higher energy efficiency in hybrid mode — 63 per cent — compared with 35 per cent in electric mode and 4 per cent in solar mode,” says a paper on the device, published in Energy.

The main heating chamber has three sides of aluminium alloy; the other three are of toughened glass. The three-glass sides are the top, bottom, and door (front side).

The top and bottom surfaces of the heating chamber are made of transparent, toughened glass to allow entry of concentrated solar radiation. This ensures sufficient solar thermal heating of the oven when operating in solar or hybrid mode.

“The heating elements present in the oven are responsible for providing electrical heating. They are used only when operating STEPCO in electric/hybrid mode. A microcontroller-based smart control system controls the operation of these elements,” the paper says.

Additionally, the STEPCO oven has the environmental benefit of emitting very little CO2 during the cooking process when used in hybrid mode and zero CO2 emissions when used in solar mode.

As many as 2.8 billion people did not have access to clean cooking in 2015, and this number is expected to decline only to 2.3 billion by 2030.

 

My  Take  :

 

I am afraid this “ Hybrid “ solar cooker is unlikely to sell for the simple reason that no housewife would want to carry the cooker ( with uncooked food inside ) , to the terrace , twice a day for cooking – then bring it down to the kitchen .

And, since , in the HYBRID mode, different types of food would require different amount of time to cook , ( anywhere from 30 minutes to 60 minutes ) , no housewife can just sit next to the Cooker for those periods – nor make frequent trips to the terrace to check if the food is already cooked !

In fact , some 25 / 30 years ago, terrace-based Solar Thermal Cookers came out with a lot of Govt support and promotion but failed to catch-on , due to reasons cited above

However , here is some GOOD NEWS , which might , make it possible for IIT-Mandi designed Hybrid Solar Cooker to catch up in a big way ( - if Reliance can be persuaded to take on the job of INTEGRATING it with its just announced SWAPPABLE BATTERY , and aggressively market it as a SYSTEM ) :

 

Reliance Industries unveils swappable, multipurpose batteries for EVs   .    Business Today  /  04 Oct 2023

Extract :

In a big move towards adopting clean energy, Mukesh Ambani-controlled Reliance Industries Ltd showcased its swappable and multipurpose battery storage technology for electric vehicles (EVs) on Wednesday.


Reliance displayed removable and swappable batteries for electric vehicles (EVs) that can also be used to power household appliances through an inverter at a renewable energy exhibition, Reuters reported on Tuesday.


The idea is that a person can use one battery for mobility as well as for powering appliances at home, Reliance executives told Reuters.


The batteries can be swapped at Reliance's battery swap stations or re-charged by households using rooftop solar panels, which also it plans to sell, the executives added.


It is to be noted that battery storage solutions were a part of Reliance's bigger $10 billion green push towards clean energy projects. Earlier, the company said it aims to cut dependence on its mainstay oil-to-chemical business and be net zero carbon by 2035.


Two years ago at Reliance Industries’ Annual General Meeting (AGM) in 2021, Mukesh Ambani had informed his investors that the company will be investing Rs 75,000 crore over the next three years to build a new clean energy business.


The company acquired two battery companies for about $200 million in 2021 and 2022, respectively -- UK-based Faradion, which makes sodium-ion batteries, and Lithium Werks, which produces lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries.


“The combination of Lithium Werks with Reliance’s recently announced acquisition of Faradion Limited, a global leader in sodium-ion cell chemistry, further strengthens Reliance’s technology portfolio and provides it access to one of the world’s leading portfolio of LFP patents and a management team with vast experience of innovation in cell chemistry, custom modules, packing, and building large scale battery manufacturing facility," Reliance had said in a regulatory filing.


Reliance won an incentive last year to set up a 5 gigawatt hours (GWh) battery manufacturing facility under India's $2.4 billion programme that aims to boost local battery cell production.


The factory will be set up by 2026 and will make batteries and containerised energy storage solutions.


At the 46th Annual General Meeting (AGM) 2023, Mukesh Ambani said his company is working to establish a giga factory for batteries by 2026. In order to create a fully integrated ecosystem, the giga battery will produce battery chemicals, cells, and packs, all the way up to containerised energy storage systems.


"We will start with LFP chemistry which has been proven at scale for its safety, stability, and life, targeting to produce LFP based solutions at world beating lifecycle costs. Simultaneously, we are focused on fast-track commercialisation of our sodium ion battery technology. We will build on our technology leadership position by industrialising sodium ion cell production at megawatt level by 2025, and rapidly scale up to giga scale thereafter," he added.


Reliance displayed LFP chemistry-based batteries at the exhibition on Wednesday, Reuters reported.

 

 

 

Reliance to roll out swappable batteries for electric vehicles  ……………… Eco Times  /  05  Oct  2023

 

Extract :

The Mukesh Ambani-led conglomerate is looking to tap into the entire ecosystem of EVs ranging from cells and batteries to charging and battery swapping as it seeks to “democratize EVs and make them more affordable,” a company executive said requesting anonymity as he was not authorized to speak to the media.

As part of the plan, RIL has developed a removable lithium-ion battery that can power an electric scooter, electric three-wheeler and a light commercial vehicle, besides lighting up homes during a power outage. The batteries can be changed at RIL's battery swapping stations or re-charged by households using rooftop solar panels, which it also plans to sell.

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

www.hemenparekh.ai  /  05 Oct 2023

 

My  Observations :

Ø  Total Current Vehicle Population in India …………………………….. Approx 28 Crore ( 2800 Million )

Ø  Total EVs sold in India by July 2023 ………………………………………Approx 27.4 Lakhs

Ø  Market Size projection ( 2021-31 ) :

#   2  Wheelers ………………. 22 Million

#   3 Wheelers ………………….. 4 Million

 

Apparently , Reliance is targeting its SWAPPABLE BATTERIES for this 2 W – 3W EV segment of EV market

I am sure , following facts have not escaped the notice of Anant Ambani ( - the new boss of Reliance New Energy initiative ) :

Ø  A slightly modified version of this SWAPPABLE BATTERY can be used to supply electric power to a DC Electric Cooker , lying on the Kitchen platform

Ø  Using this “ Electric Cooker + Swappable Battery System “, a household can replace its current “ Gas Cooker + LPG Cylinder System

Ø  That market is India’s 250 Million households !

Ø  If targeted to cover in 4 Years , this will save Central Government, Rs 75,000 Cr of Foreign Exchange , currently being spent ANNUALLY on import of LPG

Ø  A DC Electric Cooker ( with inverter ) can be manufactured and sold for ( say ) Rs 5,000

Ø  Reliance New Energy can sell such Electric Cookers on a “ hire purchase “ Scheme ( 12 EMI )

Ø  Reliance can sell these through its vast network of 18,500 Reliance Retail stores serving 267 million customers

Ø  Same stores can also deliver to the household , a SWAPPABLE BATTERY ( monthly / yearly contract )

Ø  A built-in Battery Management System , will automatically send out an ALERT ( to the nearest Reliance Retail Store ), when the battery is left with 5 % charge . Alert will also get delivered on the Mobile Phone of the house-holder ( through a suitable Mobile App , which will provide all consumption STATISTICS / ENERGY USE CHARGES etc )

Ø  Store will phone the householder and deliver a NEW ( charged ) battery and collect the OLD ( discharged ) battery , at a convenient time

Those who have any doubts about such a GAME PLAN on part of Reliance New Energy , may want to look up :

Ø  A Battery Swapping Policy for Battery-Powered Solar Cookers ?..........  25 Mar 2022

 

Dear Anant Ambani ,

Introducing a Battery powered Electric Cooker is not , only about saving a huge amount of Foreign Exchange

It is about saving lives of lakhs of Indian women by enabling them to cook without generating polluting gases !

You have also talked about a household being able to “ Charge “ its battery using roof-mounted Solar Panels

Such charging is currently just impossible with the huge sq.ft of Solar Panels ( of the current “ Conversion Efficiency “ ), required

To overcome this “ limitation “ , I urge you to consider following technologies :

Ø  MIT makes a super thin solar cell that can turn any surface into a power plant

 

Ø  Topmost Candidate for PLI ?  … …………………………19 Jan 2022

Ø  Procuring Technology for “ Printed Solar Film “… 18 Feb 2022

 

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

www.hemenparekh.ai  /  07 Oct 2023

 

Related Readings :

Solar  Chula  ?  Some  Unanswered  Questions …………………….[  03 Nov  2017  ]

Solar Chulha : Where can I buy ? …………………………………………….[ 16 July 2018 ]

Dear Shri Goyalji : How about a Solar Cooker ? ……………………..[ 26 Aug 2020 ]

Time to " Talk the Walk " …………………………………………………………..[ 19 Sept 2020 ]

Not in one day : What about 3 years ? …………………………………….[ 25 Oct 2020 ]

Enough to entice Elon ?  ……………………………………………………………[ 03 Nov 2020 ]

Inscrutable are the ways of the Providence ? ………………………….[ 15 June 2021 ]

Air Pollution Sources : And “ How to save 2.5 Lakh lives “………[ 25 June 2021 ]

Congratulations, Dr Harish Hiraniji …………………………………………..[ 13 Nov 2021 ]

 

==================================================


No Solar Cookers yet ? Clear as Day-light ?........... 26 Apr 2023



( In this blog , find how much CARBON CREDIT , a household can earn annually, by changing over to Electric Solar Cooker . On the other hand , for Anant Ambani , the MASTER STROKE of marketing would be to give away 250 million Electric Cookers FREE to households , in exchange for those CARBON CREDITS.

Each Solar Electric Cooker , given away FREE , will earn Reliance , $ 515 / year , by way of Carbon Credits . For 250 million Solar Electric Cookers , this adds up to $ 128.75 BILLION / YEAR  !


 

==================================================

Making hydrogen from waste plastic could pay for itself 

 

CC :

Mukesh.ambani@ril.com

Isha@ril.com

Anant@ril.com

Savithri.Parekh@ril.com

Evaluation of my suggestion by  BARD  :

 

 

Evaluation of your suggestion to replace "Gas Stove + LPG Cylinder" with "Electric Stove + Battery" and the benefits:

Benefits:

·        Reduced air pollution: Gas stoves emit harmful pollutants such as nitrogen dioxide and carbon monoxide, which can cause respiratory problems, heart disease, and cancer. Electric stoves do not produce any emissions, so they are a healthier option for indoor air quality.

·        Reduced greenhouse gas emissions: Burning natural gas releases greenhouse gases, which contribute to climate change. Electric stoves can be powered by renewable energy sources such as solar and wind power, which have a much lower carbon footprint.

·        Increased energy efficiency: Electric stoves are more energy-efficient than gas stoves, meaning that they use less energy to cook food. This can save you money on your energy bills.

·        Reduced risk of gas leaks: Gas leaks can be a serious safety hazard, as they can lead to fires and explosions. Electric stoves do not pose this risk.

·        Increased convenience: Electric stoves are easier to use than gas stoves. There is no need to worry about running out of gas or lighting the burners. Simply plug in the stove and cook.

Challenges:

·        Cost: Electric stoves and batteries can be more expensive than gas stoves and LPG cylinders. However, the long-term savings on energy bills and the health benefits can offset the upfront cost.

·        Availability: Electric stoves and batteries are not as widely available as gas stoves and LPG cylinders. However, the availability is increasing, and the cost is decreasing as technology improves.

Overall, your suggestion to replace "Gas Stove + LPG Cylinder" with "Electric Stove + Battery" has many benefits, including reduced air pollution, reduced greenhouse gas emissions, increased energy efficiency, reduced risk of gas leaks, and increased convenience.

The main challenges are the cost and availability of electric stoves and batteries. However, these challenges are being addressed as technology improves and the market for electric stoves and batteries grows.

Your specific suggestion to partner with Reliance Industries to integrate their swappable batteries with electric stoves is a great idea.

Reliance has a vast network of retail stores and is well-positioned to distribute and service electric stoves and batteries. A partnership between Reliance and electric stove manufacturers could help to make electric stoves and batteries more affordable and accessible to Indian consumers..

Thank you for your thoughtful suggestion!

 

 

And this is how ChatGPT evaluated my suggestion :

 

Your suggestion to replace "Gas Stove + LPG Cylinder" with "Electric Stove + Battery" has several potential benefits and challenges.

Benefits:

1.     Energy Efficiency: The electric-solar hybrid oven (STEPCO) has demonstrated significantly higher energy efficiency in hybrid mode (63%) compared to electric mode (35%) and solar mode (4%). This means it can potentially save energy compared to traditional gas stoves.

2.     Environmental Benefits: Using electric stoves powered by renewable energy sources like solar can significantly reduce carbon emissions and contribute to a cleaner environment, as the STEPCO oven emits very little CO2 when used in hybrid mode and zero CO2 emissions when used in solar mode.

3.     Cost Savings: While the initial cost of the hybrid oven may be higher, the inventors suggest a payback period of 2.3 years in hybrid mode and 3.7 years in solar mode. Over time, users may save money on energy bills and fuel costs compared to using LPG cylinders.

4.     Versatility: The hybrid oven offers versatile cooking options, including oven, toaster, and griller features, making it suitable for various types of cooking, such as cakes and pizza.

5.     Reliance's Swappable Batteries: The introduction of swappable batteries for electric vehicles by Reliance Industries could potentially be adapted for household appliances like electric stoves, making it convenient for users to switch between mobility and home appliance power.

6.     Reduction in LPG Imports: Promoting electric stoves and batteries can help reduce India's dependence on imported LPG cylinders, which can have economic benefits and save foreign exchange.

Challenges:

1.     User Convenience: As you rightly mentioned, carrying the hybrid solar cooker to the terrace and the varying cooking times for different foods in hybrid mode could be inconvenient for users, especially housewives.

2.     Battery Technology: While the concept of swappable batteries for electric stoves is intriguing, it would require further research and development to ensure compatibility, safety, and efficiency.

3.     Affordability: The initial cost of the hybrid solar cooker and swappable batteries may be a barrier for some households, although the potential long-term savings could offset this.

4.     Solar Panel Efficiency: To effectively charge batteries with rooftop solar panels, advancements in solar panel technology (such as super-thin solar cells or printed solar film) may be necessary to improve efficiency and reduce the required panel area.

5.     Market Adoption: Convincing a significant portion of the 250 million Indian households to adopt this new system may require extensive marketing efforts and incentives.

In conclusion, your suggestion has the potential to offer significant benefits in terms of energy efficiency, environmental impact, cost savings, and reducing LPG imports.

However, addressing user convenience, affordability, and technological advancements will be crucial for its successful adoption and implementation on a large scale. Collaborations with companies like Reliance Industries could help overcome some of these challenges and promote cleaner and more sustainable cooking solutions.

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