By afternoon today , it will no more be a question ,
" Will AAP
form a government in Delhi ? "
Over the past 10 days , people of Delhi have decided
that
Question will be ,
" How long
will that government last ? "
My guess :
It will last until after the 2014 national elections
Neither Congress , nor BJP want to run the risk of a
re-poll in Delhi
They know that they will get wiped out in case of a
re-poll
But one thing is certain
Despite its desire to keep BJP out of power in Delhi by
propping up AAP , Congress will withdraw its " outside support ' , if
pushed to the wall by AAP
That would depend on what are AAP's priorities , viz:
> Deliver on
its promises of " pro-poor " reforms ( water / power / prices )
OR
> Launch a
barrage of " anti - congress " / " anti-corruption " investigations
Any attempt to embarrass / humiliate Congress , at this
stage, will backfire !
If that happens , Congress will not hesitate for a re-poll
,- come what may !
The questions that AAP leaders must debate this morning
, are :
> Can we
fulfill our promises to people without getting uninterrupted 6
months to
perform ?
> What is
more important in the short - term from
viewpoint of Delhi-ites ?
> If we do
not get next 6 months to carry out our reforms , can we make
a meaningful
impact on 760 million voters in 2014 ?
> If Congress
withdraws its outside support after 2 months , will BJP come
forward to
support or will they gloat , " We had told you AAP can't last "
> What will
we achieve by focusing on past corrupt deeds of Congress ?
People already
know about these . How will exposing these deeds help
people right
now ?
> Should not
our TOP-MOST priority be to offer good governance ?
> Can we not
leave this matter ( of past corrupt deeds ) to Jan-lokpal
and the
judiciary ?
Dear Arvind ,
If you have
learned your " Game Theory " ( John Nash ) well at IIT , you are
expected to be a " Rational Player " , whose sole focus is ,
" Forget
about the dis-advantages of the opponent ( in this case , discomfiture of
Congress ) . That is NOT the winning strategy
What move will secure AAP's long-term advantage ? "
I am not asking you to compromise with your principles
Just get your priority right !
* hemen parekh
( 23 Dec
2013 / Mumbai
)
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