Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Sunday, 22 December 2013

How long ?



By afternoon today , it will no more be a question ,


"  Will AAP form a government in Delhi  ? "


Over the past 10 days , people of Delhi have decided that


Question will be ,


"  How long will that government last  ?  "


My guess :


It will last until after the 2014 national elections


Neither Congress , nor BJP want to run the risk of a re-poll in Delhi


They know that they will get wiped out in case of a re-poll


But one thing is certain


Despite its desire to keep BJP out of power in Delhi by propping up AAP , Congress will withdraw its " outside support ' , if pushed to the wall by AAP


That would depend on what are AAP's priorities , viz:


>  Deliver on its promises of " pro-poor " reforms ( water / power / prices )



OR



>  Launch a barrage of " anti - congress " / " anti-corruption " investigations


Any attempt to embarrass / humiliate Congress , at this stage, will backfire  !


If that happens , Congress will not hesitate for a re-poll ,- come what may  !


The questions that AAP leaders must debate this morning , are :



>  Can we fulfill our promises to people without getting uninterrupted 6
    months to perform  ?


   
>  What is more important in the short - term  from viewpoint of Delhi-ites ?


>  If we do not get next 6 months to carry out our reforms , can we make
    a meaningful impact on 760 million voters in 2014  ?


>  If Congress withdraws its outside support after 2 months , will BJP come
    forward to support or will they gloat , " We had told you AAP can't last "


>   What will we achieve by focusing on past corrupt deeds of Congress ?

     People already know about these . How will exposing these deeds help
     people right now ?


>   Should not our TOP-MOST priority be to offer good governance  ?


>   Can we not leave this matter ( of past corrupt deeds ) to Jan-lokpal
     and the judiciary  ?



Dear Arvind ,



If  you have learned your " Game Theory " ( John Nash ) well at IIT , you are expected to be a " Rational Player " , whose sole focus is ,


"  Forget about the dis-advantages of the opponent ( in this case , discomfiture of Congress ) . That is NOT the winning strategy


What move will secure AAP's long-term advantage ?  "



I am not asking you to compromise with your principles


Just get your priority right  !




*   hemen   parekh  (  23  Dec  2013  /  Mumbai  )






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