Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Sunday, 19 July 2020

Probabilities




High > Occurrence of similar thoughts / ideas to many people , over a long period of time

Low  > Occurrence of similar thoughts / ideas to many people , at the SAME TIME

Medium > Occurrence of similar thoughts / ideas to TWO persons, a few days apart


===================================================

Here is a proof for MEDIUM probability :

Thought / Idea >
 
HOW TO PREVENT BLACK MARKETING OF COVAXIN ( DUE FOR LAUNCH ON15 AUG )

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date      >       On 06 July, I sent my following blog as email to the Cabinet Ministers :

Rationing of Covid Vaccine ?   ………………………………………………………………………[ 06 July 2020 ]

Extract :

Besides using such exhaustive data for all ( Covid infected or not ) in order for AI software to tell us the “ priorities for vaccination “, what else should the Government do ensure that there is no “ black marketing “ of the limited supplies of the vaccine ?

Answer :

     Today , each strip / bottle of a medicine carries “ batch number “


    #  For vaccine , each bottle / vial , besides carrying Batch Number , must carry
        UNIQUE bottle number / vial number . Vaccine Manufacturer will record which bottle got
        dispatched to which drug store / when. Data will get automatically transmitted to Govt’s
        Central Server


   #  Pharmacy Stores to maintain Computerized Record of who ( which person ) was sold a
       given “ Vial Number “ . This data will get automatically transmitted to Govt’s Central
       Server


   #  No vial to be sold to anyone unless a Mobile App ( VaccineVend  ? ) clearly displays that
       person’s priority  ( as determined by AI ) , as HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW . No person without
       such Mobile App will be sold the vaccine


   #  Chemist will enter sale-details in customer / buyer’s Mobile App , which will get
       automatically transmitted to Govt’s Central Server

===========================================================

Date   >  09  July

I sent following mail to :


An Appeal to DCGI – and others



Ø  Shri V G Somani, Drug Controller General of India ( DCGI )

Ø  The Central Drugs Standard Control Organization ( CDSCO )


Ø  Smt  Shubhra Singh ,
Chairperson , The National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority of India ( NPPA )


Ø  Dr T P Lahane, Directorate of Medical Education and Research ( DMER )


Extract :

News paper reports speak of your efforts to expedite the supply of Remdesivir , in order to match the huge demand ( which is exceeding the supply ), that is enabling the anti-social elements to corner the limited supply

But it will take some months before the SUPPLY matches / exceeds the DEMAND

Till such time, what can be done ( beyond issuing warnings ), to prevent Black Marketing ?

I envisaged such a “ Shortage Scenario “ in respect of COVAXIN vaccine, which is expected to be launched on 15th Aug

In my following blog / email ( to Cabinet Ministers ) , I suggested following to prevent black marketing in Covid Vaccine :

Rationing of Covid Vaccine ?  ……………………………………………..[  06 July 2020  ]


=========================================================

 

Date  >  17 July 2020

Sachin Taparia  | Updated on July 17, 2020  Published on July 17, 2020 ):

 

 

While RFID would be nice to track medicines and vaccines, a relatively simpler barcode system would also work. A unique serial number can be put on every vial and the barcode is scanned at every step of the supply chain i.e. shipping from manufacturer, receipt at distributor, to receipt at the stockist/retailer and finally when the stock is issued by the retailer to the hospital/patient.

The final issuance would require the Aadhaar number of the actual patient and finally a digital signature by the doctor administering the drug or the vaccine.

Since all the scanning devices are connected to the same central system, one would know where every vial’s serial number is in the supply chain.

And such a system must not only be there for delivering the drugs and vaccines but also tracking unused quantities and directing them back to the stockist for issuance to another patient.

In the Remdesivir black marketing case, there was no traceability of whether the patients did not use all that was allocated for them.

The Government should define this end-to-end traceability process and then standardise it, so before a license is granted for manufacturing or importing a critical drug or vaccine prone to shortages, the pharmaceutical manufacturer or importer must demonstrate that such an end-to-end traceability process exists and will be implemented with the supply.


However, times have changed and if the tracking system cost is distributed over a million units or more, it would be well under a rupee per vial. Definitely worth it for all nodes of the supply chain and most definitely the end-consumer.

If we, as a nation, can define and standardise this process as a learning from the Remdsevisir black marketing incidents, we will be in a much better place to avoid the same when the Covid-19 vaccine does come out.

=========================================================


Dear Shri Tapariaji,





Many thanks for escalating this issue to the Authorities, which took urgent steps


I hope they will also put in place your detailed suggestion for end-to-end traceability of life-saving drugs


In your above-mentioned article , you also said :


“ In an earlier stint as Managing Director at Boeing, I have seen supply chains become more efficient by deploying real-time asset tracking.


Having been among a few involved with introducing RFID to the US Department of Defense in 2005 for tracking their aircraft components, it was easy to imagine supply chains powered by technology.



That reminded me of an instance of “ HIGH  PROBABILITY “ [Occurrence of similar thoughts / ideas to many people , over a long period of time ]



13 years after you introduced RFID in US ( Dept of Defense ), I sent following suggestion to our Policy Makers :

Highways to Hyper-loops   …………………………………………………………………..[ 09 March 2018 ]

 

Where I wrote :

 

     Aim to turn India’s highways into friction-less “ Conveyor Belts of Commerce “


     Look up conveyor belts in the warehouses of Amazon / Flipkart / UPS / FedEx etc , which carry hundreds of packages per minute – with each package carrying dozens of different items ( can we replace “ packages “ with TRUCKS and “ conveyor belts “ with HIGHWAYS ? )


     Each item within each box , has RFID chip and QR code ( interlinked )


     Sensors placed along the conveyor belt “ reads “ each package and each item inside each package . No need to stop the flow of the packages


     E-way Bill too , will have all the QR Codes / RFID data , of each item loaded onto the truck ( Price / Origin City / Destination City / Supplier with GSTN registration number / Recipient with his GSTN registration number / GST – ISGST – SGST amount for each item / Date of Dispatch / Validity of E Way Bill etc )


     Just like today’s Mobile Apps of UPS / FedEx enable online tracking of each package and of individual items within each package , that “ high technology interface “ being proposed by the Government should incorporate the following technologies :

 #   QR code / RFID chip /  GPS based NaviC  /  Internet ofVehicles ( IoV )


Dear Members of GST Council :



Here is YOUR opportunity to lead the way ( - in this case , the HIGHWAY ! )


There is no technical reason why Software Super Power India , cannot lead the world in ,

“ Ease of Doing Business “


If you guarantee the business / industry that “ NO INSPECTOR “ will stop the truck along its journey , they will willingly implement ANY / ALL technologies to serve the purpose of E Way Bill


Remember , all corruption starts by permitting HUMANS to “ interpret “ whether a given process was “ correct / incorrect “ as prescribed – and collect their “ hafta “ for offering to interpret it in favour of the Business / Industry , violating the process !


By implementing my suggestion  Internet of Vehicles , technology will SHUT DOWN the truck engine , upon detection of a violation !


And automatically unlock the engine when the violation gets corrected by EDITING the E-Way Bill , on GSTN web site !


========================================================


With regards,


Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  19  July 2020


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