Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Wednesday, 5 August 2020

Gold Amnesty Scheme, V 2.0 ?




Context :


Extract :

The finance ministry is working on an amnesty scheme for people with unaccounted holdings of gold in order to cut down tax evasion and lower the dependence on imports.

"The modalities have not been finalised yet but a proposal for the disclosure of and penalty on undisclosed amount of gold stock has been forwarded to the prime minister's office," a senior government official said.

Something that's being considered is that in order to declare gold holdings, people would have to deposit some of the legalised gold with the government for a few years, the official said.

This is not the first attempt government has made to coerce people into declaring their gold holdings.
In Budget 2015-16, the government introduced the Gold Monetisation Scheme.

The initiative hardly made a dent with banks accumulating only 11.1 tonnes gold as of August 31, 2017, a measly figure as compared to estimated holdings north of 25,000 tonnes.

The Taxation Laws (Second Amendment) Bill, 2016 passed in the parliament in 2016 enhanced the applicable tax rate from existing 30 percent to 60 percent, plus a surcharge of 25 percent and cess.
Unaccounted or unexplained gold could have been taxed under this law with up to 75 percent tax (60 percent and 25 percent surcharge). Gold jewellery up to 500 grams per married woman, 250 grams per unmarried women and 100 grams per male member of the family were exempted from the ambit of the law.

================================================

In my following E Mail to Cabinet Ministers :

Gold can finance Infrastructure ……………………………………………………[ 02 Feb 2018 ]



You will find following explanations of that Gold Monetization Scheme of 2016 :

Ø  What are the advantages of this Scheme to the Economy ?
Ø  Advantages to gold depositors
Ø  Negative Point
Ø  Public Reaction
Ø  Why did it fail ?

And the most important :

 
Ø  Is there a way out ?


  YES - as follows :


* Calculate current value of gold being deposited ( say, Rs 50 lakhs )


*  After 10 years, return to depositor, Rs 50 lakh + simple interest at 10 %

   ( to take care of price increase but no guess work ! )

   [  Why ? :

      Gold Price in Aug 2016  >  Rs 3010 / gm
   
      Gold Price in Aug 2920  >  Rs 5314 / gm  [ Rs 2304 increase = 76 % in 4 years ]


*  Also credit Rs 50 lakhs to depositor's Income Tax account as " Advance Tax " paid


*  From depositor's Annual Tax Return , keep offsetting  this amount over 10 years,
    thereby reducing his tax liability ( Rs 5 lakh per year, in this case )


    Now, if the depositor is in 20 % tax rate slab, this would mean saving of Rs 1
    lakh/year  !


*  Most Important : No need to disclose " Source of  Gold " being deposited .
    No questions  !
    

======================================================

May be, in 2018, my above-mentioned suggestion sounded CRAZY !

( - remember the sanctity of,

 : how can you reward dishonest tax-evaders ? )


But , if the scheme being proposed in 2020, fails to answer the issues that I raised in 2018 , then it is bound to meet with the same fate !



     What to expect :

Ø  With more or less, scheme similar to 2016 scheme…………………………. 110   tons

Ø  With dramatic incentives ( + no penalty / investigation of source ).. 10,000 tons

[ Valued at Rs 53,00,00 Crore = Rs 5.3 Lakh*Crore = approx. $ 80 Billion ]



    Will this meet our requirement for National Infrastructure Pipeline ?


Ø  Far short of Rs 102 Lakh*crore needed ( USD $ 1.4 trillion = $ 1400 billion )


    Is there an alternative ?

    Yes 

    A high-level trade panel estimates that India could recover up to $500 billion of black        money stashed overseas if it implements its proposal to issue a type of long-term government bond to those with undisclosed wealth.
 
Indonesia, which had launched its tax amnesty scheme in 2016 to forgive taxes and criminal sanctions, received declarations of hidden assets valued at $ 367.9 billion from around 970,000 participants during the amnesty period, according to the HLAG [  Nov 02, 2019 ]

Source :

Black money: ‘Elephant bonds’ can help India recover $500 billion stashed abroad, says govt panel 


Do you have any proposal better than Elephant Bonds ?

Yes .  Implement the modified Elephant Bond Scheme as described at :

Congratulations, Shri Surjit Bhallaji


……………………………………………………..[ 31 Oct 2019 ]

 

What other E Mails have you sent for unearthing Black Money thru Amnesty Schemes ?


Here is a partial list :


Magic Wand  ?                                          [ 09 June 2011 ]

Prime Minister Who Listens                        [ 03 Dec 2016  ]

Indonesia Shows the Way                          [ 23 Dec 2016  ]

One Infrastructure SPV ? More will follow     [ 20 Mar 2017  ]

What Goes Out , Comes Back ?                   [ 05 May 2017 ]

Why a Begging Bowl ?                                [ 08 May 2017 ]

Private Sector in Infrastructure ?                 [ 28 July 2017 ]

Nibbling on Crumbs ?                                 [ 08 Aug 2018 ]

#FiscalDeficit / #IndianEconomy ?              [ 18 Oct 2017  ]

But , Where is the Money ?                         [ 01 Dec 2017 ]

Thanking You in Anticipation !                     [ 24 Jan 2018 ] ( Links of 22 Emails )


========================================================

Dear Shri Narendrabhai,


Raising $ 1400 billion / Rs 102 lakh*crore ( without raising taxes ), was a daunting task even before COVID struck


Now, it looks almost IMPOSSIBLE, with both, the Central Govt and the State Governments having run out of money ( even to pay salaries of employees )


Of course, there will be criticism from opposition parties ( who have no constructive / concrete suggestions re : how to raise Rs 102 lakh*crore ), if you announce BLACK MONEY AMNESTY SCHEME as suggested by me


The real MORAL ISSUE is :

Even as the economies of countries around the World are shrinking and millions of jobs are disappearing, how can we revive the livelihood of our citizen by channeling the Black Money to create jobs ?


We do not have the luxury of time for indefinite debate / analysis


If anyone has a better answer, let him / her say :

Here is an alternative to raise Rs 102 lakh*crore in 10 weeks !


=========================================================

With regards


Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  06 Aug 2020


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