No Godfather for Rooftop Solar ?

 

 

 

Context :

New Net-Metering cap Risks Stalling Rooftop Solar Progress in India: IEEFA  /  22 Feb 2021

Extract :

A new regulation that excludes rooftop solar systems over 10 kilowatts (kW) from net metering will stall the adoption of larger installations in India, undermining progress towards the government’s rooftop solar target of 40 gigawatts (GW) by 2022, according to a new research note.

According to the briefing note by IEEFA and JMK, a provision in the Ministry of Power’s new rules for electricity consumers which mandates net metering for rooftop solar projects up to 10 kW and gross metering for systems with loads above 10 kW will likely make rooftop solar commercially unviable for big residential and commercial and industrial (C&I) consumers.

 “Currently, India only has around 6 GW of installed rooftop solar capacity, the majority of which has been developed by C&I consumers. So the very consumers who are driving rooftop installations in India are also the ones most likely to be deterred by the 10 kW limit on net metering,” said co-author Vibhuti Garg, Energy Economist, Lead India, at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA).

“India already has a long way to go to meet its critically important 40 GW target, and if limiting net metering to 10kW makes the rooftop solar space unattractive for C&I consumers, it is unlikely that we will be able to achieve that target.”

According to the authors who analysed the net and gross metering tariffs payable across leading states. It was found that gross-metered consumers are compensated for the export of solar power to the grid at rates of Rs 2-4/kWh. However, current rooftop power purchase agreements (PPAs) signed by Tier 1 developers have tariffs in the range of Rs 3.5-4/kWh.

“Developers and corporate consumers would consider any tariff lower than the current PPA tariff unviable,” said Jyoti Gulia from JMK. “If consumers have to buy electricity from Discoms at a high tariff and at the same time the feed-in tariff they receive is low they will have no incentive to set up rooftop solar at their premises

Also, under gross metering, corporate consumers would not benefit commercially from using the power generated from their own system for self-consumption. Both C&I consumers and developers will find their payback periods will be much longer and the investment will become riskier, delaying the roll-out of this strategically important, cost-effective technology solution.”

Discoms, on the other hand, will notionally benefit from the shift to gross metering for installations with loads above 10 kW, paying less for the same amount of energy. Except those benefits will be dissipated because there will be no material new investment by C&I customers, per the authors.

The note points out that although it is up to states to implement the central government’s restriction on net metering, many are likely to do so to address the loss-making Discoms’ concerns over high-paying C&I consumers shifting to rooftop solar.  Several states have already started to implement the new regulation in different forms. The note details how West Bengal has issued amendments that allow net metering for consumers with sanctioned loads of up to 5 kW and gross metering for contract demand above 5 kW. Karnataka has also proposed a gross metering arrangement for rooftop solar projects over 10 kW capacity at a Rs 2.84/kWh tariff.

The authors have proposed a net feed-in mechanism as a “win-win” solution for all the stakeholders, explaining that it would not have a major impact on Discoms’ revenue and would still be beneficial for the consumer.

A net feed-in mechanism is very similar to net metering with the exception of tariff calculation. Under a net feed-in arrangement, rooftop solar power used for self-consumption is charged at the retail tariff, and surplus (net) energy exported to the grid after self-consumption is credited at a net feed-in tariff determined by the state.

According to Garg,  the net feed-in mechanism is a middle ground option that meets the needs of both consumers and discoms, creating a win for both, and for India. “Under the net feed-in option, the consumer pays less to the discom than they would under gross metering but the discom receives more than they would under a net metering arrangement.”

“We urge the Ministry of Power to consider the interests of all stakeholders – developers, consumers and Discoms – in resolving the challenges of the net metering restriction while also stimulating private investment to boost adoption of low cost, zero emissions distributed capacity,” she concluded.

Recently, Union micro, small and medium industries minister Nitin Gadkari had urged power minister RK Singh to reconsider a recent controversial decision to restrict net metering in solar rooftop projects.

In a letter to Singh dated February 15, Gadkari noted that while more and more micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) were installing solar rooftop projects, thereby contributing to the share of clean energy in the grid, the notification might well discourage them.

“It is feared that this share will shrink in the near future, affect power generation of the nation, as it is feared that the new amendments are going to affect the savings of the small units and individuals,” Gadkari said in a letter.

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The goofed up story of Rooftop Solar  /  Business Line  /  31 May 2021

Extract :

Solar Installations :

#   Total as of Feb 2021………………… 4324  MW

#   2019-20 addition……………………….. 719  MW

#   2020-21 addition………………………. 1809  MW

Reason for recent spurt ?

As per Animesh Damani : “ Modules priced very low >  Rs 28 – 31 / Watt “

What next ?

Future of rooftop solar looks bad  because :

#    Module prices rising to Rs 35 – 37 per watt

#    Next year, a 40 % Basic Customs Duty will kick in

#   State Governments ( which own most of the utilities ) don’t like Roof Top Solar

     because it takes away their  better-paying customers.

     

#   Utilities have consistently discouraged Roof Top Solar, holding back approvals

     and disallowing Net Metering

#   The Ministry of Power made matters worse last year with its draft “ Rights of

    Consumers “ Rules, recommending the far less remunerative GROSS METERING

    instead of NET METERING

     

Any Silver Lining to this Dark Cloud ?

#  Only a fall in Storage Costs can come to the rescue of  Roof Top Solar. When “

    RTS –plus- Battery “ becomes  affordable, an RTS owner need not depend on

    the Utility to buy surplus energy, which can instead be stored in  the battery for

    later use.

    

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Dear Shri R K Singhji ( Minister for Power ) :

Ø  It is high time we stop limiting our SOLAR VISION HORIZON like a “ Frog in the Well “

Ø  It is time to remember that the nomenclature : Roof Top Solar “ , somehow ties us down to the words ROOF TOP , which is only just one of the locations which can be used to harness Solar Energy

Ø  Solar Energy can also be harvested at other locations on Earth, such as FARMS , DESERTS, LAKES, MOUNTAIN TOPS, HIGHWAYS , TRAIN TRACKS, etc., or even through solar panels farms in  SPACE ( low earth orbits ? ), beaming electricity down to Earth-based receivers ( using micro-waves ? )

Ø  We must break loose  from the narrowly defined, Roof-Top Solar / Land-based Solar and latch on to the all-encompassing concept of ,

SOLAR  ENERGY  TRADING INFRASTRUCTURE  (  SETI  )

To understand the unleashing potential of my suggestion, please refer to following earlier E Mails on the subject :

Ø  Congratulations, Shri Saurabh Patelji …………………….[ 31 Dec 2020 ]

 

Ø  Congratulations, Shri Vijaybhai Rupaniji, ……………….[ 30 Dec 2020 ]

 

Ø  Congratulations, Shri R K Singhji …………………………….[ 19 Nov 2020 ]

Ø  A Tale of Two States ………………………………………………..[ 28 Oct 2020 ]

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  02 June 2021