Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Thursday, 25 September 2025

“End War or Find Bomb Shelters”: Zelenskyy’s Warning and the Weight of Modern Brinkmanship

“End War or Find Bomb Shelters”: Zelenskyy’s Warning and the Weight of Modern Brinkmanship

“End War or Find Bomb Shelters”: Zelenskyy’s Warning and the Weight of Modern Brinkmanship

I watched President Zelenskyy speak with that raw mix of urgency and moral clarity that only a leader facing a city under attack can summon. His blunt admonition — essentially: end this war, or prepare for the worst — is captured in the clip Zelensky says Russian officials must end war or find bomb shelters - YouTube. Those words land like a cold splash of water. They are not rhetorical flourish; they are a practical ultimatum aimed at reminding everyone that modern warfare is no longer a distant chess match among capitals. It is neighborhood-level devastation, civilian trauma, and a cascade of geopolitical consequences.

What Zelenskyy’s message makes plain

  • Mutual vulnerability: Modern strikes and counterstrikes erase the illusion of a safe rear. Cities, critical infrastructure, and civilians are entangled in the battlefield.
  • Escalation risk: Localized conflict can tip into broader confrontation, especially when proxies, alliances, and prestige enter the calculus.
  • Psychological warfare: Warnings like this are intended to puncture complacency — in adversaries and in the global public — by making the stakes visceral.
  • Human cost as leverage: When the language of survival — "bomb shelters" — becomes the key bargaining chip, the ethical calculus of war shifts in hazardous ways.

I do not say these things as an outside commentator. I have worried about the same patterns for years: the proliferation of proxy wars, the normalization of brinkmanship, and the way nuclear shadow and asymmetric tools make miscalculation catastrophic. I wrote about the proliferation of inter-state aggression and proxy wars in essays such as “From Inter-Pol to Inter-Mil?” and I argued that the world is often precariously balanced on a cliff-edge rather than in a safe valley From Inter-Pol to Inter-Mil? Precariously Perched at Cliff Edge.

The nuclear shadow and the arithmetic of risk

When diplomacy frays, nuclear ambiguity becomes a blunt instrument of deterrence and blackmail. I discussed this existential threat years ago — how nuclear brinkmanship and modern proxy conflicts can trap entire populations in cycles of fear and displacement A Syria at our Doorsteps. The danger is not only the immediate blast; it is the strategic paralysis that follows: states hedge, civilians flee, economies collapse, and adversaries find space to exploit chaos.

Technology multiplies consequences

We live in an era where destructive power and disruptive technology move faster than policy. Cyber operations, disinformation, and even future threats like quantum-enabled cryptanalysis change the nature of escalation. Back in my writing about the metaverse and quantum threats, I warned that technological tides can outpace the safeguards we need, amplifying harm when conflict erupts Metaverse morphs to Meta-Worse. The same logic applies to conflict: the more connected and instrumented our systems, the larger and more rapid the second-order effects of war.

Civilians first — always

Zelenskyy’s line about shelters is raw because it points to the most basic human need: safety. Yet shelters are a partial answer at best. They treat the symptom (trauma and immediate danger) without addressing the cause (the strategic and political decisions that create war). I have long urged practical thinking about protecting people — from repurposing infrastructure for urgent sheltering to designing policy that reduces incentives for destructive escalation How to build houses/shelters super quick.

A personal note on past warnings

Reading Zelenskyy’s plea made me feel an odd mixture of sorrow and a faint sense of validation. Years ago I argued that proxy wars, unchecked escalation, and the calculus of mutual harm would place ordinary people in the crossfire. I proposed ideas — sometimes modest, sometimes ambitious — because I wanted to shift conversation from reactive sympathy to sustained prevention. Seeing today’s headlines is a reminder that those early observations were not alarmism but a call to attention. It also renews my urgency: ideas I floated earlier still matter because the costs of delay continue to rise.

What the warning teaches us about power and responsibility

  • Power without restraint becomes perilous. The ability to strike must be tempered by the obligation to protect noncombatants.
  • Deterrence that relies on fear of mutual destruction is brittle; it produces cycles of escalation that no one truly wins.
  • Public moral clarity matters. When leaders speak plainly about consequences, it can break the euphemisms that make war tolerable.

I do not presume to offer tidy solutions in a few paragraphs. But I do insist on one truth: if the choice before the world is between renewed dialogue and an ever-deepening refuge-in-place mentality — between political negotiation and the grim calculus of shelters — we must choose politics. Zelenskyy’s blunt phrasing shocks us out of complacency. It should also move us toward responsible diplomacy, protections for civilians, and a renewed international effort to lower the temperature before the cliff gives way.


Regards,
Hemen Parekh

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