Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Friday, 20 August 2021

Universal Minimum Pension ?

 

 

 

Context :

Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister calls for higher retirement age  / Eco Times / 17 Aug 2021 



Extract :

Ø  EAC-PM has recommended :

#   Increase the retirement age ( no mention till what age )

#   Introduce Universal Pension Income programme for ALL old people ( to begin with for old people

     living in districts identified under the Aspirational District Programme  

#   Pay a minimum pension of Rs 1500 – 2500 per month ( at least 50 % more than the minimum

     wages in the country )

#   It must be “ non-contributory “ scheme ( - meaning, person receiving pension does not pay )

#   Overall pension amount being financed equally by the Central and the State Governments

#   The pension amount must be based on BUDGETARY TAXATION INSTRUMENTS

#   Pension amount to be credited through Direct Benefit Transfers ( DBT )

#   An improvement in FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY of the Atal Pension Yojana , besides

     strengthening the Scheme to bring many informal sector workers under its ambit

#   Increase in  Retirement Age  to align it with increasing  Life Expectancy

#   The government must ensure that the ratio of “ WORKING LIFE   to “ TIME SPENT IN

     RETIREMENT “ , remained at least stable in the long run

#   Data-driven policy measures for the elderly

#   Subsidized and Quality Healthcare

#   Food Security programmes

#   Digital Literacy among the elderly

#   Income Security coverage

#   Govt-owned Old-Age homes with more than bare minimum facilities

 

MY  TAKE :

Ø  This Universal Pension Income ( UPI ) is , perhaps, the BEST recommendation so far by EAC . It is far more sensible than Universal Basic Income ( UBI )

Ø  I urge Shri Modiji to discuss this with all the State Chief Ministers and convince them to join

Ø  Target should be to implement this scheme ( at least, the pilot project  ) by 01 April 2023

Ø  I further urge PM not to raise Personal Income Tax of some 3 crore tax-payers to fund this scheme, whose financial burden is shown below :

                                   HOW MUCH WILL THIS COST ?

YEAR

Population of OLD ( > 60 yrs)

Pension Proposed

 

Annual Burden

 

 

 

 

 

2019

139  million

(ave) Rs 2000 PM

Rs 24,000 / Year

Rs 3.36 Lakh*Crore

 

 

 

 

 

2950

319  million ( 2.8 times growth in 30 years )

(ave) Rs 2000 PM

Rs 24,000 / Year

Rs 7.65

Lakh*Crore

 

Ø  Next 18 months ( till roll out on 01 April 2023 ) should be used to put in place, a robust portal, which will capture following data about our ( citizen ) population (  NPR ? ) :

#    Entire CURRENT POPULATION details (with birthdates to auto determine AGE , everyday )

#    All births with full details of every New-Born ( Birthdate ) – to know when reaching age of 60

#    All deaths with full details of the deceased of ANY age ( birthdate of deceased will tell whether to

      discontinue DBT , if that person was above 60 and getting UPI )


Ø  Since not all persons above 60 may even “ want “ to get UPI , there should be provision ( on the portal ) for them to “ OPT OUT “. Many “ above 60 “ persons are well-to-do and / or , being well taken care of by their children. As it happened in case of “ Subsidized LPG cylinder Scheme “ , these people may want to , voluntarily give-up their claim


Ø  It is simply impossible to decide in advance , who among those 60 + is POOR – and deserves UPI


Ø  Could there be any advantage of linking UPI with e-RUPI scheme just announced ? Of course , e-RUPI vouchers are not only “ RECEPIENT  SPECIFIC  but also “ PURPOSE SPECIFIC “ , whereas a recepent of UPI may want to spend his monthly Rs 2,000 for any purpose !


Ø  For funding UPI , government may want to introduce an EXPENDITURE TAX , applicable to any DIGITAL PAYMENT of Rs 50,000 or more. Obviously, the RICH would end-up paying such Expenditure Tax and this will not burden MIDDLE CLASS to finance UPI


    To ensure that there is no opposition but an all-around acceptance , i suggest :


    >  Name this as UNIVERSAL PENSION TAX 

    >  Commit that it will be used exclusively for funding UPI and nothing else

 

Is there any other way that we can fund UPI , without burdening middle class ?


It seems China too is facing the same question.

Without revealing specifics, China seems to be saying :


THE RICH ( WHETHER INDIVIDUALS OR CORPORATE ), MUST BEAR THIS BURDEN   

    

Following is a POLICY STATEMENT from the Chinese Government :

China Eyes Wealth Redistribution in Push for ‘Common Prosperity’  /  Bloomberg  /  19 Aug 2021

Extract :

President Xi Jinping put China’s wealthiest citizens on notice Tuesday, offering an outline for “ common prosperity ” that includes income regulation and redistribution, according to state media reports. 

Since Xi took office in 2012, the ruling party has made it a priority to end poverty and build a moderately prosperous society, goals that the party sees as central to promoting well-being and strengthening its governance. Income inequality in the country is wide -- the richest 20% earn more than 10 times poorest 20% -- and hasn’t budged since 2015.

Beijing has undertaken massive efforts to reduce poverty, especially in rural areas. More recently, it’s taken aim at the upper end of the spectrum, with a crackdown on the technology industry, which has minted several billionaires, and criticism of the excesses of celebrity culture. 

At Tuesday’s meeting of the Communist Party’s Central Committee for Financial and Economic Affairs, the government detailed
new strategies to target the upper echelons.

Officials vowed to “strengthen the regulation and adjustment of high income, protect legal income, reasonably adjust excessive income, and encourage high-income groups and enterprises to give back to society more,” according to a summary of the meeting published by state media Xinhua.

==================================================

Ø  Now, besides considering introduction of an EXPENDITURE TAX ( including withdrawals from Bank Accounts ? ), we MUST consider some ( democratic / fair / transparent ) method to make BIG TECH / BIG SOCIAL MEDIA companies to directly pay their Users ( of any AGE ), whose PERSONAL / PRIVATE DATA, they are collecting / compiling / selling ( to their advertisers ) and, in the process minting tons of money


Ø  Here is “ how much “ money some of these  BIG TECH companies made lately, with USER DATA :

#   Google…………. $  182 Billion

#   Facebook……….$    87 Billion

#   Microsoft……… $   126 Billion

#   Apple…………… $    138 Billion

#   Amazon………..$    386 Billion


But then, in India , we keep analysing till we get paralysed with the mere thought of :

Ø  What will happen if this solution backfires / does not work-out ?

Ø  Will I ( as a Govt Minister / Official ) face ridicule for taking a BOLD ( and HONEST ) decision ?

Ø  If things don’t work out as envisaged, will I need to face  CBI–ED–PAC–Vigilance Commission etc ?

Ø  What would happen to my ( remaining ) Political Career ? Ignominy ? Oblivion ? Harakiri ?



I suspect that the Chinese Leaders, not having been paralysed by such “ FEAR of FAILURE “ would be the first to implement my following suggestions :


Ø  Digital Dividend from Demographic Data [ 4 D ] …………( 14 Feb 2019 )

Ø  SARAL …………………………………………………………………………….( 10 Feb 2019 )

 

Related Readings :

Ø  A Greed-Ship named Facebook ……………………………………..[ 21 Sept 2020 ]

Ø  GAFA ( aka Monopoly V 2.0 ? ) ……………………………………..[ 30 Sept 2020 ]

Ø  The Hidden Agenda of Tech Giants Gatekeepers ………….[ 17 Oct 2020 ]

 

With Regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  20 Aug 2021

 

 


 

 China takes next step in taming Big Tech with Personal Data Law  

( Eco Times / 20 Aug 2021 ) 

 

 



 

 

 

Tuesday, 17 August 2021

Reliance : Retailing - Detailing –Gobbling

 


 

Mercury displays a “ Pulling and Gobbling “ effect . When spread on a flat surface, the bigger blob pulls towards itself, number of smaller blobs and then gobbles them up


Reliance Retail seems to have acquired a similar capability


Here is how :

Rel Retail to partner Electronics Stores  /  Eco Times  /  18 Aug 2021


Extract :

Ø  Reliance Retail has begun trying out a “ hyper-local “ initiative for electronic products whereby any order for Smartphones, TVs, Refrigerators and Washing Machines on its e-commerce platform JioMart will be sold and delivered by the NEAREST STORE


Ø  People aware of the development told ET that the company will soon REACH OUT to some 800,000 NEIGHBOURHOOD STORES that are currently selling its Jio telecom connections, apart from other local electronic and mobile phone stores, and offer them a chance to CONVERT their enterprises for such hyper local sales, an initiative it has named “ JioMart Digital “


Ø  The 7,000 – odd company-owned JioPoint neighbourhood outlets will also be part of this HYPER-LOCAL network


Ø  Reliance Retail is Mukesh Ambani led Reliance Industries’ retail arm


Ø  Its JioMart Kirana is a similar initiative that ON-BOARDS kirana stores selling food and grocery. There are more than 150,000 such outlets under this umbrella


Ø  The executives cited earlier said, JioMart will operate both as an eCOMMERCE VENTURE and an “ ONLINE to OFFLINE PLATFORM “ with initiatives like JioMart Digital and JioMart Kirana


Ø  Reliance wants to make its “ ONLINE to OFFLINE “ initiative, the world’s largest


Ø  The JioMart Digital stores will do CATALOGUE SALES for consumers who do not have access to the JioMart App


Ø  JioMart is integrating the electronics and mobile phone categories into its App across the country


Ø  These stores will BUY the products from Reliance’s  500 odd WAREHOUSES and undertake the LAST MILE FULFILMENT


Ø  They will also provide Reliance Retail’s solutions such as :

#   After Sales Service

#   Installation

#   EMI and finance options

-           and  offer,

         #    Latest models at best possible price ( as sold through the Reliance

               Digital outlets )


MY  TAKE :

 

Some 3 years ago, I wrote :

Ø  MA = DA x 4,000,000 ? ……………………………………….[ 17 July 2018 ],

 

-           Where I described in detail, what I envisaged could be Reliance

             Retail’s strategy, in respect of :

-            

-           #    Sales

-           #    Supply

-           #    Inventory

-           #    Delivery

-           #    Finance

-           #    Marketing

 

Those interested in knowing “ what comes next “ , might want to look-up :

 

Ø  Reliance Retail : a Guess comes Good ……………………….[ 31 July 2021 ]

 

It is only a matter of time before Management Institutions around the world, teaching MARKETING , make this a CASE–STUDY for their students, requiring the students to supply answers to :


Ø  Did Reliance Retail get any special favours from Government of India ?

Ø  What “ Competitive Advantage “ did Reliance Retail enjoy over Flipkart / Amazon etc ?

Ø  What role did Reliance’s mobile arm ( Jio ) play in helping Reliance overtake competition ?

Ø  How much did investment by Facebook and Google in Reliance help its game-plan ?

Ø  Did Amazon / Walmart fail to understand purchase behavior of Indian Consumers ?

Ø  What role COVID pandemic play to accelerate JioMart’s expansion strategy ?

Ø  Did Amazon-Walmart made a mistake in trying to replicate in India, their American Business Model ?

Ø  Do Indian consumers trust their neighbourhood Kirana store owner more than Amazon-Walmart ?



It is very likely that those students will find their arguments / answers at link above


With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 18 Aug 2021 

   

CC :

 care@jio.com

 shop@jio.com

 enterprisecare@jio.com

 jiofibercare@jio.com

 mukesh.ambani@ril.com

  jyoti.jain@ril.com

  info@ril.com

 

Monday, 16 August 2021

Dear Ambassadors, Ball is in your Court

 


 

It seems that our Prime Minister Shri Modiji wants YOU to act as , not only our political representatives but also as “  Ace Sales Men “, for goods / services that India produces and wants to export

Context :

Commerce Ministry to fix Export Targets for Foreign Missions to accelerate Growth

 ( Business Line  /  16 Aug 2021 )

 

Extract :

Ø  The Commerce & Industry Ministry plans to rope in the country’s various embassies and consulates overseas to contribute towards reaching overall export targets – tentatively fixed at $ 400 billion in the current fiscal and $ 1 trillion over the next 5 / 6 years – by giving them INDIVIDUAL sub-targets to meet, based on assumed potential

Ø  The idea is to fix an EXPORT TARGET for the Foreign Missions so that each has a GOAL to pursue

Ø  A detailed exercise has been carried out by the Commerce Ministry , analysing the MARKET SHARES and TRENDS, in the last five years and the POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES for increasing exports

Ø  Based on the analysis, Export Targets are being disaggregated,

#  Product wise

#  Country wise

#  Region wise

Ø  The Ministry of External Affairs ( MEA ) has been doing its bit in helping exporters find larger markets through its missions and posts but FIXING a GOAL will help channelize their efforts

Ø  There is a need for coordination with the Commercial wings of our embassies and consulates so that they know EXACTLY where to put in efforts to get the maximum benefits and reach their GIVEN TARGETS

Ø  The Commerce and Industry Ministry can certainly help them be more FOCUSSED and GOAL-ORIENTED

Ø  The Commerce & Industry Ministry, in collaboration with the MEA, hopes to soon have ALL foreign missions on board with their INDIVIDUAL EXPORT TARGETS and plans of HOW TO MEET THEM

My Take :

 

Only yesterday, from the ramparts of Red Fort, Shri Modi said :

 सबका साथ , सबका विकास , सबका विश्वास , सबका प्रयास

I would like to think that he found time to read, my following e-mail :

A Cold-Calling Commerce Minister of Canada  /  ( 10 Aug 2021 )

 

Extract :

 

Some 42 years ago , when I was General Manager ( Powai Works / Mumbai ) , at Larsen & Toubro , I had an opportunity to host a lunch for the Commerce Minister of Canada


 After lunch , the Minister pulled out 4 / 5 small , neatly labelled glass bottles from his brief case


 Each bottle contained samples of crude oil from different oil fields of Canada


 Minister went on to explain :

 *      Chemical Composition / Specific Gravity /  Quality of each sample ( eg:

        Sulphur content / Sweet / Sour  etc )

*      Daily Output of each field ( Barrels / day )

*      Spot Market prices / Long Term Contract rates

*      Delivery Commitments.... etc


Then , he went ahead to distribute to L&T executives present , brochures of the private Canadian Companies , engaged in exploration / production of Crude Oil in Canada


And answered every single question with the knowledge of an ace  SALESMAN  of those companies !


There was no doubt, he firmly believed that his primary job while travelling abroad, was to " SELL  CANADA " !


Dear Shri Narendrabhai,


I urge you to forward this incidence to all of our Ambassadors / High Commissioners / Consul Generals / Mission Heads / Trade Representatives etc. , all over the World and tell them :


“  I expect you to do one better than the Canadian Commerce Minister .

Please carry with you a laptop on which you can show to any potential customer ( in the country of your posting ), full details of any Indian Product that he might be interested – along with the CONTACT details of all the Indian manufacturers of that product

And, if that potential foreign customer wants more details ( price – quality – delivery etc ), then , on-the-spot, PHONE that company Chairman / MD , asking him / her to e-mail the requested details to that customer , with a copy to yourself , for follow up “

 


It is commendable that Commerce Ministry, has fixed Export Targets, Product-wise / Region-wise / Country-wise


However, in order to help the Ambassadors, the Commerce Ministry needs to develop a DIGITAL PLATFORM having,


      #   Searchable DATABASE of all Indian Companies (detailing their

           PRODUCTS – SERVICES ) and

           

     #   MULTI-WAY messaging system between Ambassadors / Foreign

          Importers / Indian Exporters / Officers of MEA & Comm Ministry /

          State Industries Ministers

          

      #  Google Meet / Zoom like , multi-user Video-Conferencing facility,

          with automatic “ speech-to-text “ conversion feature to generate

          “ Inquiry-wise History Log “ ,accessible to the officers of MEA /

          Commerce Ministry

         

          

This will enable “ Business @ the Speed of Thought ( Bill Gates / 01 Mar 1999 )

 

“ In his new book, Microsoft chairman and CEO Bill Gates discusses how technology can help run businesses better today and how it will transform the nature of business in the near future. Gates stresses the need for managers to view technology not as overhead but as a strategic asset, and offers detailed examples from Microsoft, GM, Dell, and many other successful companies.



I urge Shri Piyush Goyalji to send this book to all of our Ambassadors, asking them to read following pages :


13 – 18 – 19 – 39 – 48 - 53 – 59 – 67 – 75 – 112 – 116 – 135 – 149 – 203 – 204 – 218 – 224 – 247 – 269 – 277 – 284 – 298 – 311 – 344 – 383 – 429

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 17 Aug 2021

 

RELATED LINKS :


India can't become world's next factory by copying China: Amitabh Kant 

( Business Standard / 12 Aug 2021 )

Extract :

Ø  Citing the NITI Aayog’s analysis, Kant said Europe and America together will import close to 500 gigawatts of green hydrogen and green ammonia. “India should target to export at least 200 gigawatts of this green hydrogen and green ammonia by 2030.”