Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Thursday 12 October 2017

#PMEAC

Prioritising  is  not  Easy  !


Monitoring is even more difficult  !


PM’s Economic Advisory Council met 2 days back and listed following 10 priority areas to work on [ Source : Economic Times / 12  Oct  ]


·         Economic Growth

·         Employment and Job Creation

·         Informal Sector and Integration

·         Fiscal Framework

·         Monetary Policy

·         Public Expenditure

·         Institutions of Economic Governance

·         Agriculture and Animal Husbandry

·         Patterns of Consumption and Production

·         Social Sector


“ The entire thrust of the Council will be on giving  SPECIFIC  IMPLEMENTABLE recommendations to the PM after consulting all stakeholder ministries “, Bibek Debroy, Chairman of the council, said after its first meeting on Wednesday



Business Line ( 12 Oct ) adds :


Addressing the media after the meeting , Bibek Debroy said :


“ Our entire thrust would be on IMPLEMENTABLE decisions .

Our views on the ten identified areas would be on SPECIFIC THINGS that you can change tomorrow 

……. Five members of the EAC will take the responsibility of MONITORING the ten actionable areas  “





Dear Members of PM-EAC  :



Congratulations on your approach – especially on your emphasis on :


·         Setting SPECIFIC IMPLEMENTABLE targets for each Ministry


·         MONITORING the actual performance against the targeted performance



In this regard , I urge you to read my following blog ( earlier sent as email ) :



Monday, 4 September 2017



Clash of  RTI  vs  RTP



RTI   =   ( Citizen’s ) Right  to  Information

RTP  =    ( Government’s ) Right to Privacy



Yesterday , PM Shri Modiji reshuffled his cabinet  by :


·         inducting 9 new faces ( considered to have “ potential for performance “ )


·         getting rid of 7 old faces ( considered to have “ poor performance “ )


·         promoting 4 old faces ( appraised as having “ good performance “ )


·         laterally transferred Suresh Prabhu ( believed to have suffered “ bad luck “ )



Understandably , we will never get to see their “ Score Cards “ ( Privacy ? )




But here is my guess as to how these ministers got their performance evaluated


Possibly , Shri Modiji fixed for them SPECIFIC  MEASURABLE  ACHIEMENT  TARGETS , at the beginning of their tenures , as suggested in my following blog ( sent as email on 06 DEC  2014 ) , and got some outside / impartial THIRD PARTY to evaluate their ACTUAL ACHIEVEMENTS :




06  Dec  2014


BUDGETING     BY    OBJECTIVES




Dear Shri Jaitley ,


Come Feb 2015 and you will present your Budget in Lok Sabha


You will allocate thousands of crores of rupees to different ministries , for spending during 2015-16


You may even increase / decrease their allocations based on , to what extent ( % ) did they manage to actually " spend" their current year's allocations


The one and only emphasis is on " spending " !


As usual , no MP will ask :


"  But , what exactly did the Minister concerned achieve by spending this money  ?


What physical / measureable targets did the Minister succeed in reaching / exceeding , with that money  ?  Where / What are the  OUTPUTS  ?


Why is it that no targets were set in advance, before the start of the year ?


How come , Minister was allowed to shoot first and then draw concentric circles around the hole afterwards ( at the end of the year ) , to claim BULL'S EYE  ?  "


In private sector , shareholders / bankers do not hesitate to sack the CMD / MD / CEO , if he fails to deliver on promised profit


Then , why are Ministers allowed to retain their posts ( - or even get kicked upstairs ! ), despite failing to deliver  ?



Dear Shri Jaitley :


MPs should know that YOU cannot answer these questions , simply because , at the time of the Budget Exercise , no physical OUTPUTS  got fixed for each Minister


What did get fixed , were only EXPENDITURE TARGETS  !


Simply because MPs passed the Budget without fixing targets such as following for 31 March 2015 :

=================================


*  Finance Minister

   #   GDP ..... 6 % ............ [ 10 % improvement  ]

   #   CAD.......( -  ) 5 % .....[  20 % improvement ]

=================================

*  Commerce Minister

   #   Exports........ $ 350 Billion  ....  [ 10 % improvement   ]

   #   FDI..............$    50 Billion...... [  20 % improvement  ]

=================================

*   Railway Minister

    #   Lengths of Tracks...... 125,000 Km.....      [  Up by 10 %  ]

    #   No of Passenger Trains / day..... 10,000... [ Up by 10 %   ]

=================================

*   Health Minister

   #   Chronic Hunger and Hunger Related Deaths
         8 Million / year .................................... [  Down by 20 %  ]

   #   Under-nourished people..... 200 million..... [ Down by 10 %  ]

=================================

*   Social Welfare Minister

    #    Dowery Deaths / year....... 8,000...... ......[  Down by 10 %  ]

    #    People without Toilets........ 500 Million....  [ Down by  20 % ]

=================================

*   Agriculture Minister

    #    Farmers Suicide/ year..... .. 14,000...............  [ Down by 20 %  ]

    #    Food Grain rotting / year..... 5 Million tons.....  [ Down by 20 %   ]

=================================

So on and so forth for each Minister



Some caution / suggestions :


*    Ignore the numbers given above. I could be factually wrong


*    Focus on the concept of " Management by Objectives "


*    Overcome the fear of " failure to meet the targets ".


*    Overcome the fear of " being ridiculed " !


*    Don't chop off the neck that dares to stick out  !


*    Only failure is , not fixing the targets  !


*    Actual vs Targeted achievements must be measured , on an on-going
      basis , by totally independent THIRD PARTY agencies



      Ministers / Finance Minister and these Agencies , must agree in
      advance , how the agencies will go about " measuring " the Actual
      Achievements

     

      The method of measurement must be transparent and well publicized
      in advance


      Agencies shall have no role in fixing of Annual Targets


      That is best done by the PRIME MINISTER - the CEO , MakeInIndia



*    There must be at least 10 performance parameters for each Minister



*    Parameters themselves could be selected / prioritized , based on an
      ONLINE PUBLIC SURVEY / OPINION POLL , from Govt web site


*    If conducting such an ONLINE POLL for the forthcoming budget is
      too late , same could be done on a printed form , by current MPs /
      MLAs / Rajya Sabha Members


*    Results of the SURVEY / POLL , must be published


=======================================================





There is no way to find out whether PM had actually set for his ministers , any


QUANTIFIABLE  TARGETS or not



But the citizens have only themselves to blame for failing to come out with a, citizen’s


   CHARTER  OF  DEMANDS  [  COD  ] ,


clearly laying down TARGETS  expected to be achieved by each and every Minister , till 2019 elections



Now , don’t expect political parties in OPPOSITION to frame such a COD



They are still hoping (against hope ? ) – to come back into power in 2019 , and do not want to say / do , any foolish things to come back to haunt them !



It is the duty of organizations such as CII – FICCI – ASSOCHAM – ADR ( Association for Democratic Reforms ) , and various THINK TANKS , to initiate this process








13  Oct  2017


to : Alphabet / from : ARIHANT



gadgets.ndtv.com  ( 05  Oct ) carries following news report :




“ Alphabet forms ethics & society unit for artificial intelligence  “




DeepMind, the Google sibling focusing on artificial intelligence, has announced the launch of an " ethics and society " unit to study the impact of new technologies on society.

The announcement by the London-based group acquired by Google parent Alphabet is the latest effort in the tech sector to ease concerns that robotics and artificial intelligence will veer out of human control.

"As scientists developing AI technologies, we have a responsibility to conduct and support open research and investigation into the wider implications of our work," said a blog post announcing the launch Tuesday by DeepMind's Verity Harding and Sean Legassick.

"At DeepMind, we start from the premise that all AI applications should remain under meaningful human control, and be used for socially beneficial purposes. Understanding what this means in practice requires rigorous scientific inquiry into the most sensitive challenges we face."

The post said the focus would be on ensuring " truly beneficial and responsible " uses for artificial intelligence.

" If AI technologies are to serve society, they must be shaped by society's priorities and concerns,"  they wrote.



Dear  Larry  Page  :



There is a way to ensure that “ AI applications remain under meaningful human control, and be used for socially beneficial purposes “



Please read :










12  Oct  2017




Wednesday 11 October 2017

Why this narrow focus ?



Economic Times ( 11 oct ) carries following news report :




“ Govt is working on a roadmap for Emerging Tech “




The government is looking at forming a comprehensive strategy to ENCOURAGE and ADOPT , emerging technologies such as BLOCKCHAIN , Artificial Intelligence ( AI ) and Big Data Analytics



The idea is not just to increase their USAGE in the official machinery but also to PROMOTE the increasing number of emerging Start-Ups in this space


The exercise will also look at defining possible regulatory framework to take care of the PRIVACY as well as other regulatory aspects . Officials of the ministry of Electronics and IT gave a presentation to the Union Minister Ravi Shankar Prasad in the first week of September signalling for the first time that the government has decided to discuss a ROADMAP for these technologies





All of this is very welcome



But why are we confining ourselves to looking at / investigating / adopting , only Internet and Software related technologies  ?



There are dozens of other technologies which too need to be evaluated and acquired ( if found suitable ) from all over the World – and from within our own country – for solving extremely urgent problems facing the economy



If we fail to seize this opportunity , others will exploit these and might even monopolize these !



It was for this reason that in my following blog ( sent as email to Policy Makers ) , I had suggested creation of :









In that email , I had listed some 10 / 12 technologies which ( in my opinion ) , could be deployed for attacking some of the pressing problems



And one of those “ pressing problem “ is urban traffic which is dominated by cars which cause following problems :



·         Traffic congestion slowing down vehicular traffic to barely 10 km / hour


·         Parking problems


·         Pollution





To overcome these problems , I had suggested fast adoption of Geo-Orbital Electric Wheel



If you are wondering how a bicycle WHEEL could be ELECTRIC and whether it can replace cars / motor-bikes , ( for short distances , up to 10 Km ride ) , then click here :







Do read :




A  Radical Radial  Revolution  [  18  Aug  2016  ]




12  Oct  2017