Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Wednesday 26 February 2020

BMC proposes : Hawkers will dispose ?




Context :

Highlights :

Ø  Using GIS, BMC wants to map hawking pitches for vendors. Since the information will be available online, locals can check and report violations

Ø  BMC inspectors are collecting information on “ Pitch Dimensions “ and exact location ( mapped by latitude and longitude )

Ø  BMC’s 2014 survey of hawkers found 11,000 with licenses and an additional 15,000 to be eligible. Thus, after pitch allotment, the city will officially have 26,000 hawkers


Why this skepticism ?

Ø  There are nearly 3 lakh hawkers in Mumbai, and according to conservative estimates, each pays anywhere between Rs 20 and Rs 100 in hafta every day.

Ø  This means up to Rs 1.5 crore in cash changes hands every day to protect the businesses that have taken over Mumbai's streets.  /  Nov 22, 2017




What is most likely to happen ?

Ø  For those balance 2.74 lakh hawkers , ( as with those 26,000 licensed hawkers ), plying their trade, is a “ matter of life and death “. On the day he cannot hawk, his children will go to bed without dinner !

Let us not fool ourselves by thinking that these 2.74 lakh “ Unlicensed “ hawkers can be forced to leave Mumbai. If anything, this number will keep going up, even as the total length of Mumbai’s footpath remain the same. Daily collection of hafta is bound to go up !


Ø  After every complaint, a few hawkers will get removed – but only temporarily for a few minutes / hours – as we have been witnessing over the years. And, of course re-appear faster than re-appearance of pot holes on Mumbai roads every monsoon, mobile app notwithstanding !



How to approach this “ Humanitarian “ issue ?

Ø  Our attitude will have to change !

     Hawkers have as much of a “ Right to Live [ RTL ] “ as anyone of us . From that right
     ensues that subordinate right :

     To peacefully pursue a legitimate vocation to earn a living


Ø  We have to find a balance between this RTL of hawkers and the right of pedestrians to be able to walk on footpaths, with minimum obstruction



Any practical solution for such a trade-off ?

Ø  Yes ! If you cannot lick them, join them

          Grant a hawking license to all 3 lakh hawkers ( and all want to become “self-
          employed “), on following terms / conditions / methods :



           #  Entire Mumbai City will be a “ Hawking Zone “ ( why not equal sharing of
              inconvenience by all Mumbai residents ) excluding vicinity of hospital / schools
              Pitch-slots to be allotted on ALL the footpaths of all the roads of Mumbai

               
          #  Hawkers will declare themselves “Self- Employed”, by registering so on BMC web
              site


          #  BMC will issue to them , a hawking license – a plastic card
    with, photo, name, gender, birth-date, address, mobile no, Aadhar No, PAN etc .
    Card will be embedded with a pre-paid / rechargeable FasTag , which will
    automatically transfer to BMC’s bank account, LICENSE FEE, as mandated


#  On hawker’s Smartphone ( with BlueTooth / NFC / Biometric ), BMC will
     install a Mobile App [ HawkWalk ? ], which can read the FasTag in the plastic card
    and display ( 24x7 ), exact location of that hawker on a DASHBOARD in the
    Central Hawking Control Room of BMC (  much better than rigid Sensor anklets on
    feet ! )


#  If a hawker uses mobile payment app BHIM for accepting payments against his
    sale , 5 % of each SALE PROCEED will get automatically credited to his
    monthly License Fee.

    This great incentive will accelerate DIGITAL PAYMENTS and help organize this
    totally “un-organized “business sector


#  BMC is planning to use a GIS ( Geographic Information System ) based on
    compiling “ PITCH DIMENSIONS “, using “ Latitude “ and “Longitude “ for each
    SLOT to be allotted , on a given footpath . This is, not only a very cumbersome
    process but also difficult to understand


    I strongly recommend that BMC consider a GIS-based service in HAWKWALK
    mobile app, by integrating it with an appropriate API from ,


    For details, look up :


              It’s simple to integrate what3words by adding one of their extensions into

              BMC’s GIS-based app or web service.


         #   Since ALL hawkers will become LICENSED , they will stop paying those daily

              HAFTAs to police ! All they have to do is flaunt their Plastic Card License and tell

             the police officer :

           “ I am taking your photo with my mobile app HAWKWALK and pressing the button,

             : This officer wants a bribe : “


End of the HAFTA RAJ  !


Now you know why my suggestion may not get any support in BMC or from residents of “ Non-hawking Zones “ of Mumbai or from Police !

 

Related Reading :


LIST OF SELF EMPLOYED

 

=======================================================
27  Feb  2020
hcp@RecruitGuru.com
         


Tuesday 25 February 2020

I conceive , I conceive , I conceive !




A member of the British Parliament stood up to speak.

"I conceive, I conceive, I conceive ...," he began, to which Churchill commented,

"The honorable member conceived thrice but did not bring forth anything. A woman conceives once and brings forth a child."

May be I am being uncharitable , but I cannot stop comparison with our “ Vehicle Scrappage Policy “ , which is being “ conceived “ for the past 2 years !

But finally there appears “ light at the end of the tunnel “, with Shri Nitin Gadkariji saying :

“ Policy would soon be put up before the cabinet for approval “


Context :


Highlights :

Ø  9 Million vehicles could be scrapped by 2020-21, of which 75 % are two-wheelers

Ø  28 million vehicles could go off the road by 2025

Ø  CO2 emissions can be curbed by 17 % and PM by 24 %

Ø  6 million tons of steel scrap which India currently imports, can be met locally if old vehicles are recycled

Ø  Potential to save 8 million tonnes of oil even if 50 % of BS-II and BS-III go off road

Ø  Incentives some countries give for scrappage :

#  USA  ………. $   4,500
#  Germant……$   3,500
#  UK …………   $   3,330
#  France…….  $   1,400


Comments :

Ø  Shri Satyakam Arya ( MD – Daimler India Commercial Vehicles  /  satyakam@daimler.com )
  
      “ Three things that the Govt needs to do to promote scrappage are :

      #   Offer sizable financial incentives

      #   Develop resale market for the scrappage certificate for those who don’t want to replace their scrapped vehicles for new

          
     #    Fix the life-period for a commercial vehicle at 10 years


Ø  Shri Ashok Khanna ( Group Head, Auto Finance, HDFC Bank / ashok.khanna@hdfcbank.com  )


“ A comprehensive scrappage policy will result in reduction in costs, save foreign exchange and increase revenues in the long term

        “ The policy could be a win – win for all , as the consumer would benefit from the scrap value, GST savings , and
        discounts, while a dealer would gain from demand for new vehicles. For a vehicle maker, recycled metals would
        be available at a cheaper rate , and the government could save forex because of lower imports of these raw
        materials as well as get tax revenue from new vehicle sales “

       A personal car may be scrapped after 15 years and a two-wheeler after 10 years. In case of commercial vehicles
      , the end of life at 7-8 years or certain kilometers driven “



Ø  Shri Ashish Kale  ( President , Automobile Deler Association of India – FADA – fada@fada.in  )

“ ….. since it would be a voluntary policy, there should be financial incentives equal to at least 10 % of the new vehicle to the owner to make the scheme successful

The focus should be more on financial incentives rather than disincentives . If a 10 % kind of benefit is extended, we see a lot of consumers taking advantage of the scheme “


=====================================================================================

So , everybody ( including the vehicle-owners ) want the government to provide a 10 % incentive ( discount on sale price ), for scrapping old petrol / diesel vehicles  and replace the same with new ( less polluting BS VI compliant but petrol / Diesel ? ) vehicle

What are the implications if this “ 10 %  Incentive “ suggestion   gets accepted by the government ?

Take a look at the following tabulations ( assuming current sale prices remain unchanged till 2025 ) :

===========================================================================

[ A ] …………… Current Sale prices of Petrol / Diesel vehicles and Incentive amounts

Type of Vehicle
Ave . Current Sale Price ( Rs Lakh )
Incentive @ 10 % ( Rs Lakh )
2 Wheeler
1.5
0.15
Passenger Vehicles
8.0
0.80
Commercial Vehicle
15.0
1.5


[ B ]……………No of Old Vehicles to be scrapped / replaced with new ones

By Year
Total ( Lakh )
2 Wheeler
Passenger Vehicles
Commercial Vehicles
2020 - 21
90 ( 9 million )
@ 75 % of the total = 67.5 Lakh
@ 20 % of the total = 18 Lakh
@ 5 % of the total = 4.5 Lakh
2024-25
280 ( 28 million )
@ 50 % of the total = 140 Lakh
@ 40 % of the total = 112 Lakh
@ 10 % of the total = 28 Lakh


[ C ]……………Incentive Burden for Government


Till Year
For 2 Wheelers ( Rs crore )
For Passenger Vehicles ( Rs Crore )
For Commercial Vehicles ( Rs Crore )
Total ( Rs Crore )
2020-21
67.5 Lakh x 0.15 Lakh = Rs 1,000 Cr
18 Lakh x 0.8 Lakh = Rs 1,400 Cr
4.5 lakh x 1.5 Lakh = Rs 675 Cr
3,075
2024-25
140 lakh x 0.15 Lakh = Rs 2,100 Cr
112 Lakh x 0.8 Lakh = Rs 8,960 Cr
28 Lakh x 1.5 lakh = Rs 4,200 Cr
15,260

================================================================================

Scrapping 28 million vehicles in 5 years =  5.6 million vehicles EACH YEAR

By now , we probably have on our roads , 280 million vehicles { Petrol / Diesel }

Even if we are able to step up the scrappage at 10 million vehicles per year, it will take 30 – 40 years to scrap ALL existing petrol / diesel vehicles

But, it will not help solve much of our POLLUTION problem unless these old petrol / diesel vehicles get replaced with ELECTRIC VEHICLES ( zero pollution ), which are 50 % to 500 % more expensive than the petrol / diesel vehicles

A 10 % discount for EV, will not enthuse existing vehicle owners to replace theirs with EVs. They will continue to buy petrol / diesel vehicles at the discounted rates !

Hence, a financial incentive ( of 10 % ) – although devised to encourage OLD VEHICLE SCRAPPAGE, - may not serve the purpose of switch-over to EVs


And , it will be a bad idea, to offer 25 % discount for purchase of new EVs !


What we need is to impose a  FINANCIAL DIS-INCENTIVE , on ALL vehicle owners, as suggested in :

Transport : an Integrated Logistic Plan ?                                    [ 20 Nov 2018 ]

Pigovian Tax for Polluters ?                                                        [ 03 Apr 2019 ]

 

National Clean Air Tax ? – a Pigovian tax ?                                   [ 11 Jan 2019 ]

 

As far as incentives to the VEHICLE SCRAPPAGE INDUSTRY is concerned, I hope Shri Gadkariji will incorporate my following specific suggestions ( sent as E Mails ), in the VEHICLE SCRAPPAGE POLICY, about to be born :

 

Rename it , “ Vehicle Recycle Policy “                [  08 Aug 2018  ]

 

PIYUSH PLAN  ?   ………………………………………………. [ 27  Mar  2016 ]

Retiring Old Vehicles - Gadkari Style ? ………. ……[ 30  May   2016 ]

Young or Old ?  …………………………………………………….[ 27  Aug  2016 ]

From OLD to NEW ?  No , go NEWER !  ………………[ 22  Sept   2016  ]

Building Castles in the Air ?   …………………………………[ 12  Mar  2017  ]

Best out of a Bad Bargain ?  ……………………………………[ 29  Mar  2017  ]

Car Grave-Yard of World ?  ……………………………          [  14  Feb  2018  ]

One door closes  ;  Another opens   …………………………..[ 27  Feb  2018  ]

Mahindra Accelo : Saluting a pioneer  ………………………..[  19  June  2018  ]

 

Scrapping Old Vehicles : Swiss Challenge Solution       [  24  July  2018  ]

 

 

=========================================================

26  Feb  2020

hcp@RecruitGuru.com