Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Tuesday 29 September 2020

National Clinical Registry on Covid

 

National Clinical Registry on Covid

 

Context :

Centre launches National Clinical Registry of Covid-19 and vaccine portal / 29 Sep 2020

 

Extract :

Union health minister Dr. Harsh Vardhan on Monday launched the National Clinical Registry and a vaccine portal aimed at,

 

Ø  Collecting quality real-time clinical data on coronavirus disease (Covid-19) patients from hospitals and laboratories

 

Ø  It will also document India’s efforts towards developing vaccines against the viral disease

 

Ø  The need for maintaining a registry was felt as documentation and description of people infected by Sars-CoV-2, the virus that causes Covid-19, and their course of illness is imperative for obtaining useful information about the disease and its behavior in various groups of patients.

 

===================================================

National Clinical Registry


Extract :

Primary Objectives

1.

To develop National Clinical COVID-19 registry to collect data regarding clinical and laboratory features, treatments, and outcomes of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in India.

2.

To study the frequency, clinical and laboratory features, treatments, and outcomes of COVID-19 related multisystem inflammatory disorder in children and adolescents by analyzing the national COVID-19 registry.

Secondary Objectives

1.

To utilize data to answer research questions on COVID -19 including natural course of disease, spectrum of disease, prognostic factors, outcomes data, medications, health systems and context specific questions such as COVID-19 in Tuberculosis, Malnutrition etc.

2.

To serve as a platform for additional clinical research studies in selected sites.

3.

To collect follow-up data of discharged COVID 19 patients, if possible.

     The registry follows a hub and spoke model with primary data being

     collected in the electronic data capture form by satellite centers (dedicated

     COVID-19 hospitals) which are being trained, mentored and supervised by

     medical institutes of national repute chosen region-wise.

    
     Data management including the development of the electronic data capture

     form is being done by ICMR-National Institute of Medical Statistics (NIMS).

 

 FAQ :

The Registry is being rolled out in phases. The first phase includes 50 satellite sites mentored by 14 Regional Registry Sites

 

Ø  Expression of Interest is being invited from Dedicated Covid Hospitals ( DCH ), and Dedicated Covid Health Centres ( DCHC ), both public and private

 

Ø  No cost is incurred to collaborate as Registry Site

 

Ø  All COVID-19 confirmed patients admitted in the participating sites

 

 

Ø  Data re:

       #   clinical features ,

       #   laboratory investigations,

       #   treatment  ,  and

       #   outcome ,

    are being collected

Ø  Trends in presentation and management of disease can be analyzed from the collected data. This analysis may help both clinicians and policymakers to take better informed decisions

 

Ø  Only data from hospital records are being collected ; there is no interference with the standard practice of clinical care as followed in individual hospitals

 

Ø  Patient identifiers are not being collected

 

Ø  A data management team under the overarching supervision of the Steering Committee , which is constituted of experts, will analyze the data

  Periodic reports generated from the Registry data will be available on ICMR website

 

Ø  The inclusion of retrospective data has been planned in the next phase

 

Ø  Provisions will be made such that the current registry can be compatibly linked with other data sources for more comprehensive understanding of the disease

 

===================================================

Dear Dr HarshVardhanji,

 

Many thanks for considering my suggestion in the following e-mail :

Rationing of Covid Vaccine ? ……………………………………………[ 06 July 2020 ]

 

Where I suggested collection of data as follows :

 

#   Data about “ Persons already infected ( cured / died / under treatment ) “

 

#   Data about “ Persons not infected so far “ – and needing vaccination

 

 

If meticulously compiled and centrally processed ( with help of Artificial Intelligence ), following data, compiled uniformly at source, could determine those

 

 “ VACCINATION  PRIORITIES “ :

 

 

 

[ A ]   PERSONAL  DATA

 

         Ø  Name / Birthdate ( for Age ) / Gendre / Contact Details / Aadhar

             number

 

 

[ B ]   LOCATION  DATA

 

         Ø  Permanent Address / Current Address ( State – Jilla – City – locality ) /

             Red Zone / Containment Areas

 

             

 

 

[ C ]   FAMILY  DATA

 

         Ø  Details of Parents / Siblings

 

 

[ D ]  HEALTH  HISTORY

 

         Ø  Details of recent illnesses - morbidity / Medicines given ( including for

             Covid treatment ) / Hospitals where treated / Names & License

             Number of Doctor who treated

             

             

 

 

[ E ]   ETHNIC  DATA

 

         Ø  Race / Religion  / Language ( Mother tongue )

 

 

[ F ]  EDUCATIONAL  DATA

 

        Ø  Graduate – Under Graduate – Illiterate etc

 

 

[ G ]  EMPLOYMENT  DATA

 

        Ø  Employed – Unemployed – Self employed

 

 

[ H ]  INCOME  DATA

 

         Ø  Monthly Income ( to determine whether RICH – MIDDLE CLASS –

             POOR )

 

If implemented , my suggestion ( for using AI to process trillions of bytes of data ) , will help not only in establishing who ( out of our 700 million citizen ) gets first / second / third , chance to get vaccinated, but it will also prevent black marketing of the vaccine


With regards,

Hemen Parekh / hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  30 Sept 2020

 

 

Monday 28 September 2020

Supreme Proposes : Can e-Courts dispose ?

 


 

Context :

One India /  11 Sept 2020 :

Should convicted politicians be barred for life from contesting polls asks SC

Extract :

Ø  The court was hearing a case to ensure speedy trials in 4,442 criminal cases pending against former and sitting MPs and MLAs across states. The court asked the centre to respond to a new prayer seeking a life ban on politicians convicted of heinous offences from contesting elections

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Business Line / 12 Sept 2020

New norms for publishing candidates’ criminal record

Extract :

Ø  The candidates and political parties will have to publish details of contestantscriminal antecedents in newspapers and on television first within the first four days of the last date of withdrawal of nominations, the Election Commission decided at a meeting here on Friday.

Ø  In a statement the Commission said that the second publicity for criminal antecedents has to be within five to eight days of the last date of withdrawal of nominations while the third publicity should be from the ninth day till the last day of campaigning, which happens two days before voting day.

====================================================

Times of India / 17 Sept 2020

SC direction to expedite trial against legislators is welcome : Govt

Extract :

With 4,442 cases pending against sitting and former MPs and MLAs, the Union government on Wednesday told the Supreme Court that it would welcome any direction from the court for speeding up the trials in the cases pending for years against elected representatives.

=========================================================

Times of India / 18 Sept 2020

Send plan within a week to speed up trials of lawmakers: SC  

Extract :

Ø  Setting off alarm bells for chief ministers, MPs and MLAs against whom trials in criminal cases have been pending for years, the Supreme Court , on Thursday asked HCs to submit in a week, action plans to expeditiously complete trial proceedings in 4,442 criminal and corruption cases against sitting and ex-legislators 

Ø  As many as 2,556 cases are pending against sitting MPs and MLAs . Among CMs, Telengana’s K Chandrasekhar Rao leads the telly with 64 criminal cases , followed by Andhra Pradesh’s Y S Jaganmohan Reddy with 38 criminal cases

 

Ø  A bench of Justices N V Ramana, Surya Kant and Hrishikesh Roy asked chief justices of each HC to formulate an action plan on requirement of Special Courts for exclusive trials of criminal cases against sitting and former legislators , while keeping in view following parameters :

#   Total no of pending cases in each district

#   No of Special Courts required for speedy trials

#   Existing number of Special courts

#   No of judges and subject categories of pending cases

#   Tenure of the judges to be designated

#   No of cases to be assigned to each judge

#   Expected time for disposal of cases

#   Distance between the designated courts

#   Requirement of Infrastructure


The Bench also reminded the HC CJs about the 2018 SC judgement which has ruled that if a stay on trial granted by HC was more than 6 months old, then the trial court could proceed with the trial as if there was no stay

========================================================

2019 : Nightmare Year ? ………………………………………………….[ 12 Dec 2017 ]

 

Extract :

Govt to set up 12 special courts to try 1,581 MPs and MLAs 

Highlights :

·         228………. Members of Parliament to be tried in two special courts

·         13,500 … Approx number of total pending cases

·         1,125 ….. Number of cases that each special court will have to decide in a year

·         242……..  Number of days trial courts normally function in a year

·         4.6………  Ave number of cases per day, each special court will have to dispose off

 

I assume that,

 

·    It will be May 2018 , by the time these Special Courts start working – more than 4 YEARS after the Supreme Court directed the Centre to set up these courts

·    These “ Super Efficient “ courts will refuse to grant any “ Postponement Dates “ to the accused and not only conclude within ONE HOUR ( whether the accused was guilty or not ) but also announce the VERDICT , on the spot ( remember , 4.6 cases / day ? )

·    There cannot be any “ Appeal “ against the judgements of these special courts

·    Some 365 MPs / MLAs ( out of those 1581 accused ) will be found GUILTY

·   The Speakers of the Lok Sabha / Rajya Sabha , will get court order copies within 7 days

·   The Speakers will disqualify, within 7 days, those MPs / MLAs who are declared guilty and who have been handed out sentences of 5 years or more

·    The Election Commission will receive these “ Disqualification Notifications “ in 7 days

·    The Election Commission will announce re-election dates within 30 days for seats falling vacant

·    These Elections will start from Dec 2018  and stretch throughout 365 days of 2019

·   To ensure proper / timely availability of Election officers / police / EVMs / polling booths / presiding officers / school-teachers / transport etc , spread over 28 States , no more than ONE ELECTION will be conducted PER DAY ( - one for each of 365 days of 2019 ! )

 

I had envisaged this scenario , as far back as MAY  2014 , in :

AllSeasons Are Election Seasons

https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2014/05/all-seasons-are-election-seasons.html

2019 will be a nightmare year , not only for the politicians but also for the voters !

========================================================

Now, in past 2 years, how many cases have these 12 Special Courts tried ?

( source : https://www.outlookindia.com/website/story/1097-criminal-cases-pending-against-mps-mlas-before-special-courts-centre-tells-/316403  / 11 Sept 2018 )

Extract :

The Ministry of Law and Justice in an affidavit told the court that there are a dozen courts -- six sessions and five magistrate courts (in the case of Tamil Nadu, the class of the court has not been indicated). As many as 1,233 criminal cases involving MPs and MLAs were transferred to these courts.

Of these 1,233 cases, 136 have been disposed of and 1,097 are pending.

The Centre's reply came in response to August 21 order of the top court seeking to know the number of special courts that have been set up following its December 14, 2017 order and the number of cases pending before these courts

=========================================================

At  this rate , how many special Courts would be needed to dispose off all the cases by Dec 2021 ?

How does the following sound ?

Ø  136 cases by 12 courts = 12 cases / court , in one year

Ø  That means 12 courts would need 100 years to dispose off 1233 cases

Ø  Alternately, we need 100 Special Courts to dispose off these 1233 cases in 1 year

Obviously, this just cannot happen ! Central Government has neither the resources nor the WILL , to set up 100 Physical Courts anytime soon !

===================================================

So , what is the alternative ?

E Courts , is the only answer

In past few months, we have come across following examples of VIRTUAL GOVERNANCE :

Ø  Supreme Court conducting trials / hearings using Video-Conferencing

Ø  High Courts doing likewise

Ø  Even Lok Sabha allowing MPs to participate remotely

Ø  PM having e-conferences with State Chief Ministers, using Video-Meet

Ø  United Nations General Assembly going VIRTUAL

Ø  May be ( ? ) even World Economic Forum ( WEF )

Ø  EU Ministers, regularly meeting ONLINE

Ø  In India , many companies conducting AGMs , online

Ø  Most “ Service Sector “ companies in India, letting employees to work from home


This trend is bound to accelerate over next few months


With minimum infrastructure and time-loss, we can, easily set up, not just 100 but even 1,000 E-Courts , through launch of a portal { technology already commonplace }


On the same portal , 1,000 judges ( sitting in their homes ) can conduct trials , occupying 1,000 VIRTUAL COURTS


Complainants / Plaintiffs / Lawyers / Witnesses etc., too can log-on from their homes, into their RESPECTIVE / ASSIGNED , COURT-ROOMS [ Perfect Social Distancing ]


Finding 1,000 retired judges within ONE MONTH, cannot be a problem . They will be happy to work from 9 am to 6 pm ( with 30 minutes lunch-break )


I urge Shri Ravishankar Prasadji, to consider my suggestion


With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  29 sept 2020

===================================================

Related Readings :

Justice delayed is Justice Denied ……………………[ 12 Dec 2018 ]

https://doj.gov.in/  [  Tele – Law / Reaching the Unreached ]

eCourts Mission Mode Project

 

About e-Committee

========================================================

 

Saturday 26 September 2020

Thank You, Adar Poonawala

 

Thank You, Adar Poonawala

 

 

[ceo.office@cyruspoonawallagroup.com  / contact@seruminstitute.com / michael.vernekar@seruminstitute.com ]

 

Thank you for raising the question that the Government has to answer – sooner than later

Context :

CEO of Serum Institute asks Indian govt: Will it have Rs 80,000 crores available over next one year?  

 

Extract :

 

Ø  "Quick question: will the Government of India have Rs. 80,000 crores available over the next one year ? Because that is what the Ministry of Health needs to buy and distribute the vaccine to everyone in India. This is the next concerning challenge we need to tackle," Poonawalla said.

 

Ø  "I ask this question, because we need to plan and guide, vaccine manufacturers both in India and overseas to service the needs of our country in terms of procurement and distribution," he added.

 

Ø  Vaccine manufacturers intend to sell to governments who will then distribute and vaccinate the Covid vaccine. Poonawalla had told IANS in an interview, "It is too early to comment on the vaccine's price.

 

Ø  However, we will keep it under Rs 1000. Having said that, our aim is to provide an efficacious and affordable vaccine. We are certain that it will be procured and distributed by governments without charge."

 

 

Ø  SII will be making one billion doses of COVISHIELD over the next one year for India and other low-and-middle-income countries (GAVI countries).Once we get necessary regulatory approvals, we will start manufacturing in large volumes.

 

 

Ø  SII has said it will not take profit from the vaccine.

 

     "In the interest of public health and as one of the largest vaccine producers it

      is our  responsibility to make the vaccine affordable for the public at-large,"

      he had said.

      

 

 

===================================================

 

Dear Adar,

 

You ask :

Does Govt have Rs 80,000 Crore ?

 

My answer :

Govt has to find that money NOW , or end up spending 100 times more LATER on looking after / treating millions who will get infected with COVID because they did not / could not, get vaccinated

Your calculations indicate Rs 80,000 Cr for ( say ), 100 crore citizen

That is Rs 800 per vaccine doze

How much “ economic activity “ could we possibly lose if we lose ONE DAY worth of GDP due to 10 crore ( non-vaccinated ) persons getting infected and become “ non-productive “ for 14 days of quarantine ?

In 2019, our GDP was $ 2875 billion = $ 7.9 billion per day ( for 365 days )

That amounts to Rs 55,137 Cr per day !

Hence, we can recover those Rs 80,000 crore in less than 2 days of full economic activity !

 

Here is another way to justify spending Rs 80,000 crore

I am not an economist but do the following calculations make any sense ?

 

Ø  Assume that, out of 100 crore citizen ( to be vaccinated ), only 55 crore persons were “ GDP Producer “ ( employed + self employed )

 

Ø  These 55 crore persons produce Rs 55,137 Cr of GDP per day ( Rs 1,137 per day per person )

 

 

Ø  Due to “non-vaccination / Covid infection “, 10 crore persons remained “ non-productive “ for 14 days each ( = 140 crore man-days loss )

 

Ø  Hence, total GDP loss = Rs 1137 / day  x 140 cr man-days = Rs 159,180 Crore = twice of Rs 80,000 crore to be allotted by the Government !

 ==================================================

As far as :

 

Ø  Deciding the “ priorities “ ( of who should get the vaccine first – second …etc )

Ø   Procurement / Distribution “ of the vaccine ,

 

I have sent following e-mails to the Cabinet Ministers / NITI Aayog / State CMs etc :

 

Bill Gates has the same concerns – and similar views  ………[ 25 Sept 2020 ]

 

A Nightmare come true ?   ……………………………………………………[ 18 Sept 2020 ]

 

Rationing of Covid Vaccine ?   ………………………………………………..[ 06 July 2020 ]

 

“ Corona Kavach “ Insurance  …………………………………………………[ 07 July 2020 ]

 An Appeal to DCGI – and others  …………………………………………..[ 09 July 2020 ]

Thank You All   …………………………………………………………………………[ 10 July 2020 ]

 Probabilities  …………………………………………………………………………..[ 19 July 2020 ]

 Congratulations , Sid Chakravarthy  ………………………………………[ 24 July 2020 ]

 Thank You , Cabinet Secretary   ……………………………………………..[ 07 Aug 2020 ]

===================================================

With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  27 Sept 2020