Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Wednesday, 25 January 2023

ChatGPT : circa 2016

 


 

Context :

If ChatGPT were your Finance Minister for Budget 2023, would you get tax cuts?    

( Financial Express  /  25  Jan  2023 )


Extract :

….we asked ChatGPT to don the hat of India’s finance minister and tell us whether it would cut taxes to reduce the burden on the salaried class.

In response to the question, “If you were the Finance Minister, would you cut income tax rates in the Budget?,”

ChatGPT said that :

Ø  since it is a language model, it does not have personal preferences or opinions, so it can not be a finance minister. “However, whether or not to cut income tax rates is a complex decision that would depend on a variety of factors,” it said, adding that cutting income tax rates could help to stimulate economic growth by putting more money in the hands of consumers and businesses, which could lead to increased spending and investment.

It further went on to say that:

Ø  ..on the other hand, cutting income tax rates could also lead to a reduction in government revenue, which could negatively impact public services and programs. Additionally, cutting income tax rates could also exacerbate income inequality, as those with higher incomes would benefit more than those with lower incomes.

 

Ø  If I were a Finance Minister, I would analyze the current economic conditions, the government’s revenue and expenditure projections, and the overall fiscal position of the country before making a decision on whether or not to cut income tax rates. It would also be important to consider the impact of such a decision on different groups of people, and to consider other policy options that could be used to stimulate economic growth and improve the standard of living for citizens,”  ChatGPT said.

When asked about how it would reduce the tax burden on the salaried class, ChatGPT said,

Ø  If I were to hypothetically suggest ways to lower the income tax burden on the salaried class, some options that could be considered include:

  • Increasing the standard deduction and personal exemptions to reduce the amount of taxable income for salaried individuals
  • Introducing tax slabs with lower tax rates for lower and middle-income earners
  • Providing tax credits for certain expenses such as education or housing
  • Increasing the exemptions and deductions available for retirement savings
  • Simplifying the tax code to reduce compliance costs and make it easier for salaried individuals to file their taxes.”

 


Now let us go back 7 years , to ChatGPT – circa 2016 . Here it is :

 

Ø  A Laughing Matter ?................................. [ 19 Feb 2016 ]

 

Extract :

Newspapers report that the Government have received budget suggestions from some 7,000  persons and that , this time around , Prime Minister himself is closely involved in the budget making exercise

 

Now, with all this obsession / seriousness / paranoia , surely this secrecy surrounding the budget document , cannot be a laughing matter  !

 

Unless you ask ,

 

* some foreign software geeks ( eg: Sundar Pichai / Satya Nadela / Vivek Ranadive / Ray Kurzweil etc )

 

* some Indian BIG  DATA  ANALYTICS geeks ( Mukund / Krishnan / Sanjay / Srikant / Raj / Anurag etc )

 

Because , if you do , they will laugh and tell you :

 

Just give us the actual budget documents of the past 60 years ( including the accompanying budget speeches ) and we will process these documents using Big Data Analytics software and predict what will be the provisions in the forthcoming budget ( with a probability of 99.7 % - ie ; plus or minus THREE standard deviation )

  

And then, we will process those past budget speeches with a PARAPHRASING software ( ala Kurzweilai.net ) and give you an advance print-out of Shri Arun Jaitleyji's speech on 29th Feb  "

 

 

But of course , Shri Jaitleyji could cheat the PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS , by

announcing following unpredictable  :

 

*   Total Abolition of Personal Income Tax ( or at least , reducing incremental tax rates in each higher slab )

 

*   Decreasing Incremental Corporate Tax Rates , linked with each higher slab of " Permanent Employee  Number "

 

    

*   Perpetual Amnesty Scheme for all CASH deposits made in Jan Dhan Accounts , if invested in tax-free Infra  SPVs

 

    

*   Transfer of 1.8% of GST (from 18%) into buyers' PPF a/c , to ensure all citizens get PPF a/c for tax-free savings

      

     This amount to be used for paying premium for COMPREHENSIVE HEALTH INSURANCE to cover all illnesses

 

*   Introduction of plastic Currency Notes of Rs 500/1000, embedded with micro RFID sensors ( stop Black Money )

 

   Surest way to ensure that almost all payments are made thru official channels !

 

*   Introduction of BTT ( Bank Transaction Tax ) @ 2% to yield Rs 15 lakh*crore of revenue ( against revenue

 

    Loss of  Rs 2.5 lakh*crores caused by abolishing Personal Income Tax )

 

  

Now such announcements , besides being " Unpredictable " , would meet Shri Narendra Modiji's following

 

announcement at Make in India week on 13th Feb  :

 

 

"  There is no time for incremental changes . We want a quantum jump  "

Dear Shri Jaitleyji  :

 

How about an " Incremental Quantum Jump " by

 

*   Announcing these unpredictable on 29 Feb 2016

 

*   Spreading out actual implementation over the next 5 years

 

 

That could be the surest way to win 300 seats in 2019 Lok Sabha elections !

 

 

Dear Smt Sitharamanji ,

 

7 years ago , Economic conditions were , perhaps not conducive enough for Shri Jaitley :

 

Ø  To announce the Unpredictable

 

Ø  To make that quantum jump

 

Things are much better now.


I urge you to announce the “ Unpredictable “ in your forthcoming Budget speech

on 01 Feb 2023 , in order to :


Ø  Unleash the Animal spirit of Indian Start-ups

 

Ø  Make 21st Century, the INDIAN CENTURY

 

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 26 Jan 2023 / Republic Day

 

 

Tuesday, 24 January 2023

Unleashing Animal Spirits ? Get Out of The Way

 


Context :

Ø  ET CEO Roundtable: ‘To deliver on promise, unleash private sector’s animal spirits’

 

Extract :


India needs to unleash the ‘animal spirits’ of the
private sector while remaining fiscally prudent to grow at far higher rates than at present, leveraging the unique demographic dividend it enjoys, top industry executives and government officials said.

India is ‘reaching an inflection point" on investment and needs to
really tap into the sunrise sectors was the key message at the panel discussion titled ‘India’s decade: Can the country deliver on its promise?”

My  Suggestion :

 

 

Ø  A NEW ECONOMIC ORDER ? aka " Start Up Act - 2015 "…………[ 12  Sept  2015  ]

 

Extract :

You may also call it , " Start Up Act - 2015 "

 

 

#   Objectives of the Act

 

     Every  year , to create 5 million Start Ups , each employing 2 persons , for a

     total of 10 million new jobs per year

 

 

   #    Methodology

 

     *  Instead of Companies Act - 1956 , these Start Ups will be governed by

         the Start Up Act - 2015

 

     *  A Start Up can be launched by any Indian citizen under the age of 30 (

        covering roughly 65 % of our population )

 

        

     *  A Start Up will need to register online on the web site of the Income Tax

        Department and obtain a unique " Start Up Number "

 

 

     *  Although all Start Ups will need to file annual Income Tax returns ( with full

        disclosure of income / expenses / profits / sources of funds etc ) , it will not

        be required to pay any Corporate Income Tax for the first 10 years of its

        existence

 

   *  A Start Up will be free to raise  funds from any source ( Individuals /

      Companies / PE funds / VCs / Angel Investors / Religious Trusts etc )

 

          

  *  100 % FDI will be permitted in Start Ups

 

  *  A Start Up can receive loans or equity and be able to accept fixed deposits . It

     can also give loans to individuals or other Start Ups or invest in other Start

     Ups by way of equity

 

  

  *  There will be no restrictions on what interest ( on loans / FDs ) that a Start Up

      may pay nor any restrictions on dividends it may declare

         

      The dividends declared by Start Ups will not attract any Income Tax

 

    *  As far as the persons / companies etc providing funds to Start Ups ( by way

       of loans or equity ) is concerned , no questions will be asked re

       their source of funds

 

 

      

 

 

Dear Smt Sitharamanji,

 

I have been advocating this for the past 7 years – and will continue to do so


Our young work force ( persons between 15 to 29 years of age ), will soon reach

380 Million , making India a “ Young Nation


There is no way, either the Governments ( Central + States ) or the Private Sector

 can provide jobs to these millions


Only way is to ENABLE them to become SELF EMPLOYED


Only way is for you to announce the  START UP ACT , in your Budget Speech on

01 Feb

 

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  25  Jan  2023

 

Monday, 23 January 2023

Revamping for Skilling : at last

 


 

Context :

Ø  On-the-job training: Revamp of skilling policy on the anvil   …… ET / 23 Jan 2023

 

Extract :

 

India is looking to revamp its skilling framework to make on-the-job training mandatory across all short-term courses while proposing to set up a global board of accreditation to bring industry focus in the ecosystem.

The move is aimed at enhancing employability of the country’s youth and open job opportunities for India’s skilled workforce in other countries. The new policy will be industry centric with incentives for training and placements of candidates, a senior government official told ET

 

“ The government is of the view that achievement in terms of numbers of persons skilled under various schemes falls far short of the requirements of skilling, in keeping with the growth of population

 

Hence, ( there is ) a need for relooking at our interventions “, the official quoted above said

 

Moreover, the government aims to impart 100 % skills training to India’s projected labour force by 2047 and, hence, it see a case for tweaking the current policy.

 

The 2015 policy for skilling had targeted training 400 million youth by 2022, but it could impart training to barely an eighth of that target, partly because of the outbreak of pandemic

 

The ministry of skills development and entrepreneurship has sought stakeholders’ views on the new draft policy

 

“ Introduction of mandatory on-job-training through wide-scale private sector participation in all short-term courses ( is ) to expose candidates to the actual work environment and to improve placements post OJT “, the ministry said in the draft policy

 

 

 

 

My Take :

 

 

Following figures are sourced from > https://www.apprenticeshipindia.gov.in/


       >    Active Establishments…………………………………………………………………35,229

Ø  Apprentices Enrolled (From FY 2016-17 till FY 2022-23*)…..21,71,431

Ø  Apprentices Enrolled (FY 2022-23*)………………………………………..6,02,760 [ *Till 31st December 2022 ]


        

Dear Shri Dharmendra Pradhanji

( Minister for Skills Development )

 

Congratulations on your initiative to:

Ø  Involve PRIVATE SECTOR for providing On-Job-Training

Ø  Make on-the-job training mandatory

Ø  Provide incentives for training and placements of candidates

 

My own identical suggestions are covered at great length in my following earlier emails

 

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 24 Jan 2023

 

 2013 ( 1 )

Rejoice You Jobless ! …………………………………………[ 03 Sept 2013 ]

 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2015 ( 2 )

Make in India is Skilling India…………………………..[ 17 July 2015 ]

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2016 ( 3 )

Skill Capital of the World ? ……………………………[ 06 June 2016 ]

Harness " Greed " to " Skill India "……………….[ 19 June 2016 ]

From  BAD to  MAD …………………………………..  [ 01 June  2016 ]

 

2017 ( 3 )

No mere Relief : A Game Changer   ……………[  20  Dec  2017  ]

Discovering the Obvious ? ………………………….[  30  Nov  2017  ]

Universal Basic Income   …………………………….[ 20  Jan  2017  ]

 

2018  ( 2 )

Starting a Virtuous Circle …………………………………[17 Dec 2018 ]

Of Interns and Apprentices ………………………………[ 07 Jan 2018 ]

 

 

2019  ( 4 )

Thank You, Prakashbhai ( Javadekarji ) ……………………..[ 03 Apr 2019 ]

Congratulations , Anilbhai Naik ……………………………………[ 08 Feb 2019 ]

Organizing the Unorganized ………………………………………….[ 04 Feb 2019 ]

Paralyzed by Policy Revisions ? …………………………………….[ 27 Mar 2019 ]

 

 

2020  ( 3 )

Human Resource Capital of the World ? …………………….....[ 23 Nov 2020 ]

Congratulations, Shri Ajit Pawar / Shri Nawab Malik ……..[ 06 Mar 2020 ]

Congratulations, TATA………………………………………………………[ 27 Dec 2020 ]

 

 

2021  ( 4 )

ApprenticeShip : Unanchored and ready to sail ? ………….[ 08 Feb 2021 ]

National Skills University : Virtual is the only way……….. [ 03 Apr 2021 ] – links to 64 other E-Mails

Small Steps for Small Firms ? Not enough………………………[ 07 Mar 2021 ]

Gaining Ground : Virtually ………………………………………………[ 01 Mar 2021 ]

 

 

2022 ( 5 )

Apprenticeship : Half Way house ? ………………………………. [ 29 Mar 2022 ]

Skilling 300 Million ? Here is a way, Shri Pradhanji ……..[ 29 June 2022 ]

Skilling for World ? Here is why – how ! ………………………..[ 30 May 2022 ]

Apprentices : Hire Any Number without paying Wages ? [ 28 Jan 2022 ]

 

Thank You, Shri Dharmendra Pradhanji …………………………[ 02 July 2022 ]