In the next few days, Government will introduce this bill in Lok Sabha
It is bound to face strong opposition from most of INDIA group parties
No doubt , NDA ( mostly BJP ) parties have tried to “ Sell “ the idea to
the opposition parties and to public at large, but I cannot escape a feeling
that they have failed to convince
Sure, NDA may manage to pass it in Lok Sabha but its implementation would
also need a few “ Constitutional Amendments “ , which will need 2/3 ( absolute
) majority, which NDA does not have
This ( situation ) makes it absolutely necessary for convincing the
opposition of the benefits of ONOE
Even if passed ( somehow ? ) , it is essential to carry everybody together
( Subka Saath )
To be able to get everyone “ on board “ , it is a must to “ convince
“ them of the huge
benefits of ONOE
Dear Narendrabhai :
I request you to spare a few minutes to go through my following chat
with ChatGPT . Then by filling into those TABLES , factual
data ( in place of “ assumed data “ ), mount a massive campaign to “
Educate “ , both , public at large and the Netas of political parties ,
regarding the need for ONOE
With regards,
Hemen Parekh
www.My-Teacher.in / www.HemenParekh.ai / 28 Nov 2024
I asked ChatGPT :
( A ) Good
Morning, ChatGPT :
Have you read the report on " One Nation, One Election " submitted by
Kovind
committee to Govt ?
( B ) Good , to support its various recommendations , the committee must have
constructed various
( 1 ) No of state elections expected to be held each calendar year from
2025 till 2029
(
2 ) No of
MLA seats to be voted for
( 3 ) No of likely candidates contesting these seats
( 4 ) Expenses likely to
be incurred by these candidates
(
5 ) Man
hours likely to be spent by the voters
( 6 ) No of man-hours likely to be spent by govt staff engaged in conducting
these elections
Could you make an "
educated / informed guess " and show me how these tabulations might look ?
ChatGPT replied
:
1. Number of State
Elections Expected Each Year (2025–2029)
|
Year |
Number of States with
Elections |
Remarks |
|
2025 |
5 |
Includes Bihar, Telangana,
Maharashtra, others |
|
2026 |
4 |
Major states like Uttar
Pradesh |
|
2027 |
6 |
Includes Karnataka, West
Bengal, others |
|
2028 |
4 |
Includes Gujarat, Rajasthan |
|
2029 |
5 |
Overlaps with Lok Sabha
elections |
|
Total |
24 |
2. Number of MLA
Seats to Be Voted For
|
Year |
Number of States |
Approx. Total MLA Seats |
Remarks |
|
2025 |
5 |
~850 |
Includes Bihar (243 seats) |
|
2026 |
4 |
~1,000 |
Large states like UP |
|
2027 |
6 |
~900 |
Medium-sized states |
|
2028 |
4 |
~750 |
Smaller states primarily |
|
2029 |
5 |
~850 |
Lok Sabha + Assemblies |
|
Total |
24 |
~4,350 |
3. Number of Likely Candidates Contesting These Seats
|
Year |
Total Seats |
Avg. Candidates/Seat |
Approx. Total Candidates |
|
2025 |
~850 |
8 |
~6,800 |
|
2026 |
~1,000 |
10 |
~10,000 |
|
2027 |
~900 |
9 |
~8,100 |
|
2028 |
~750 |
8 |
~6,000 |
|
2029 |
~850 |
9 |
~7,650 |
|
Total |
~4,350 |
- |
~38,550 |
4. Expenses Likely
to Be Incurred by Candidates
|
Year |
Total Candidates |
Avg. Expense per Candidate |
Total Expense (₹ crore) |
|
2025 |
~6,800 |
₹30 lakh |
₹2,040 |
|
2026 |
~10,000 |
₹30 lakh |
₹3,000 |
|
2027 |
~8,100 |
₹30 lakh |
₹2,430 |
|
2028 |
~6,000 |
₹30 lakh |
₹1,800 |
|
2029 |
~7,650 |
₹30 lakh |
₹2,295 |
|
Total |
~38,550 |
- |
₹11,565 crore |
5. Man-Hours Likely
Spent by Voters
|
Year |
Approx. Voters (crore) |
Turnout (%) |
Total Voters (crore) |
Man-Hours (crore) |
|
2025 |
15 |
70 |
10.5 |
21.0 |
|
2026 |
20 |
70 |
14.0 |
28.0 |
|
2027 |
18 |
70 |
12.6 |
25.2 |
|
2028 |
14 |
70 |
9.8 |
19.6 |
|
2029 |
16 |
70 |
11.2 |
22.4 |
|
Total |
83 |
- |
58.1 crore |
116.2 crore |
6. Man-Hours Likely Spent by Government Staff
|
Year |
Polling Booths |
Staff/Booth |
Man-Hours (crore) (Avg. 8
hrs/day) |
|
2025 |
~2.5 lakh |
10 |
~2.0 |
|
2026 |
~3.0 lakh |
10 |
~2.4 |
|
2027 |
~2.7 lakh |
10 |
~2.2 |
|
2028 |
~2.3 lakh |
10 |
~1.8 |
|
2029 |
~2.6 lakh |
10 |
~2.1 |
|
Total |
~13.1 lakh |
- |
~10.5 crore |
I continued :
Now please take a close
look at my blog " VotesApp
" and tell me whether it forms a " Pretty Good Method " , to
implement to make " One Nation , One Election "
, a practical / feasible reform and , if you agree . then how much money (
costs incurred by candidates and by the governments ) could be saved and how
many man-hours could be saved .
And attaching some "
Rupee cost " to the saved man-hours , what would that saving work out to ?
> Text of my blog > 18
December 2012 / VotesApp /
https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2012/12/votesapp.html
ChatGPT replied
:
Your "VotesApp" concept, proposed in 2012, aligns well with modern digital
voting initiatives and offers a practical approach to implementing "One Nation,
One Election."
Let’s evaluate its feasibility, potential
savings, and economic impact.
Feasibility of VotesApp for "One Nation, One Election"
1.
Key Strengths:
o
Scalable Digital Infrastructure:
Leveraging Aadhar integration ensures
voter authenticity and prevents fraud. Mobile-based voting eliminates the need
for physical polling booths in most cases.
o
Accessibility:
Pre-loading on Aakash tablets and
Dharati smartphones guarantees wide reach among rural and urban populations.
o
Transparency:
Instant access to candidate
information (assets, criminal records) empowers voters to make informed
choices.
o
Cost and Time Efficiency:
The app could drastically reduce
logistical costs and time associated with traditional polling methods, such as
setting up EVMs and deploying personnel.
2. Challenges:
o
Cybersecurity Risks:
Safeguarding against hacking, fake
registrations, or denial-of-service attacks is paramount.
o
Digital Literacy:
Ensuring every eligible voter can
effectively use the app will require substantial education campaigns.
o
Exclusion Risk:
Voters without smartphones or digital
access may be disadvantaged, necessitating a parallel system for physical
voting.
Estimated
Cost and Time Savings
1.
Cost
Savings on Elections:
o
Reduction in Candidate Expenses:
§ With
VotesApp, candidates may save on traditional campaign methods (e.g., rallies,
posters).
§ If
expenses drop by 20% due to reduced need for large-scale physical campaigns:
§
Saved Expenses = ₹11,565
crore × 20% = ₹2,313 crore
o
Reduction in Government Expenses:
§ Current
government costs for elections include EVM procurement, transportation, and
staff salaries.
§ Assume
the government's savings reach 30% due to app deployment:
§ Approx.
Government Savings = ₹8,000 crore × 30% = ₹2,400 crore
2.
Man-Hour Savings:
o
Voter Savings: If
voting through the app reduces the average time spent by each voter by half
(from 2 hours to 1 hour):
§
Saved Hours = 116.2 crore
man-hours ÷ 2 = 58.1 crore man-hours
o
Government Staff Savings:
§ Assume
a 40% reduction in required staff hours:
§
Saved Hours = 10.5 crore ×
40% = 4.2 crore man-hours
o
Total Man-Hours Saved
= 58.1 crore + 4.2 crore = 62.3 crore
3.
Monetary Value of Man-Hour Savings:
o
Assuming an average wage of ₹50/hour
(conservative estimate for labor):
§ Monetary
Value = 62.3 crore hours × ₹50 = ₹3,115 crore
Aggregate Savings:
|
Category |
Amount Saved (₹ crore) |
|
Candidate Expenses |
2,313 |
|
Government Expenses |
2,400 |
|
Value of Man-Hour
Savings |
3,115 |
|
Total
Savings |
₹ 7,828
crore |
Conclusion:
Your
VotesApp proposal offers a highly practical and cost-efficient framework for realizing "One
Nation, One Election."
The potential savings of ₹7,828 crore and
time savings of 62.3 crore man-hours make it an attractive reform measure.
Addressing cybersecurity, digital literacy,
and inclusivity concerns will be crucial for its implementation.