Friday, 12 August 2016

Missing the Woods for the Tree ?



One dictionary describes this idiom as :


" If someone can't see the wood for the trees, they are unable to understand what is important in a situation because they are giving too much attention to details "


This is the danger facing a 12 member committee of government secretaries ( headed by Shri Amitabh Kant , CEO - NITI Aayog ), appointed to look into :


#  Liberalizing the E-Commerce policy to give a further boost to this sector

#  Rethink of Online Marketplace rules

#  Issues related to Foreign Direct Investment ( FDI )



Economic Times ( 10 Aug, 2016 ) reports :


#  E-Commerce Market in India was $ 17 billion in 2014 and expected to grow to $ 70 billion in 2019

#  E-Commerce Sector suffers from lack of policy clarity

#  Attempts to create a level playing field with Offline Retail has shackled the sector

#  Committee will suggest measures to liberalize the sector

#  Rethink on Online Marketplace rules also likely

#  Committee will review complex regulations

#  Changes in FDI policy will also be suggested


In 1905 , Albert Einstein published " Theory of Special Relativity " and by 1915 , he came out with " General Theory of Relativity "


For him , it was like moving on from a TREE ( Special Theory ) to the WOODS ( General Theory )


Obviously , he did not want to miss out on the larger picture by focusing on a single pixel !


It is no different when it comes to the Laws governing ECONOMY


" E- Commerce and Foreign Direct Investment " are the " Special Theory of ECONOMY " , whereas " Commerce and Investment " are the " General Theory of ECONOMY "


And at this very moment , the Super-Ordinate Goal of our ECONOMY is :


Create millions of Self Employed ( 400 million to start with and 12 million per year , thereafter )


E-Commerce and Foreign Direct Investments, are merely " Means to achieve that End " - no more


It was only a few days back when Shri Amitabh Kant said in a TV interview :


" Laws / rules / regulations etc will need constant tweaking / revising , to remain relevant with the advancing technologies
There is no way , the March of Technology can be halted . Laws must catch-up ".


While debating the issues ,the Committee may want to keep in mind how following technologies will change the Commerce Landscape , within the next 2 years :


#  Everything ( Goods and Services ) will be marketed / sold online


#  No business / industry will , solely remain OFFLINE


When goods are not being delivered at your doorstep using Drones, your table-top 3D Printers will print out
    all kinds of Consumables ( including Food ! ), by downloading Designs from internet . Houses will be 3D printed


#  Services of all kinds ( Patient-care / Health care / Psychological / Consulting / Coding / Remotely operating
    Devices and Machineries / Teaching / Curating / Controlling Riots etc ) , will be carried out ( hopefully, by
    Indians  if Committee takes the right , far-reaching decisions ), remotely from 10,000 Km away using Virtual
    Reality / Augmented Reality / Holographic Tele-presence / Hepatic gloves etc


#  Entire cycle of Designing / Manufacturing / Marketing / Selling / Order-taking / Delivering / After-sales Servicing
    / Logistics / Collecting Payments / etc , will get spread so thinly across Countries / Continents / Companies /
    Individuals , that it will become next to impossible to keep track of " WHO " is adding " WHAT " value to the
    process , and " WHEN " , and from " WHERE " !  No one will be able to unravel this GORDIAN KNOT !


#  Industrial Robots will play ever-increasing role at each step of this process , connected through IoT



The best that the Committee can recommend is adoption of the following ,
Parekh's , " 3  Laws of E-Commerce Economy " - to be incorporated as 123rd Constitutional Amendment

( with apologies to Isaac Asimov's 3 Laws of Robotics ! ) :


LAW  #  1 :

Asimov :

        A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm.


Parekh :

 Rules / Regulations of E-Commerce shall not come in the way of unfettered creation of SELF EMPLOYMENT
    
 Any existing Law / Rule / Regulation that hinders a person to become Self Employed, shall be treated as
  
 ultravires

Further , any Law / Regulation of " E-Commerce / FDI " which slows down Investment ( Foreign or Local / Official

or through channeling of BLACK MONEY ), shall be treated as " bad in law " and struck down



LAW  # 2
   

Asimov :

       A robot must obey the orders given it by human beings, except where such orders would conflict with the First
       Law.


      Parekh :

      Laws / Regulations governing " E-Commerce / FDI " shall be subservient to Laws / Regulations governing  
   
      " Commerce / Investment " .

      Whenever any Public Authority / Court finds conflict between the two , laws / regulations governing " Commerce/

      Investments " , shall prevail under all circumstances , and in favor of the self employed



     LAW  #  3

   Asimov :   

     A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Laws.


    Parekh :

   Laws / Regulations of " E-Commerce / FDI " which get over-ruled under LAW # 2 , shall immediately " Self Destruct "

   in favor of unobstructed progress of TECHNOLOGIAL ADVANCES




   Before drafting its recommendations , the Committee may want to look up my specific suggestions at :

#     In defense of FDI in Defense

 


 

 
#      WHO WILL OBSOLETE WHOM ?  






 


#      FDI in India Post ? 




#        Level  Playing  Field  ? 


#        3D  Printed  Office 












#       Age  of  Automation  










#      A  Virtuous  Circle 


Dear Committee Members :


Please , overlook  the TREE   /   focus on the WOODS !


----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
12  August  2016


www.hemenparekh.in / Blogs
    




 







       
        




1 comment:

  1. I got reference to your article and blog by Gurudatta Kundapurkar of Schizophrenia Awareness Association in Pune. I enjoyed it. I recently attended couple of sessions on startup ecosystem and wrote about that on my blog. You may be interested.

    https://ppkya.wordpress.com/tag/entreprenuership/

    Thanks!
    Prashant
    Blog: https://ppkya.wordpress.com

    ReplyDelete