High > Occurrence of
similar thoughts / ideas to many people , over a long period
of time
Low > Occurrence of similar thoughts / ideas
to many people , at the SAME TIME
Medium
> Occurrence of similar thoughts / ideas to TWO persons, a few days apart
===================================================
Here is a proof for MEDIUM probability :
Thought / Idea
>
HOW TO PREVENT BLACK MARKETING OF COVAXIN ( DUE FOR
LAUNCH ON15 AUG )
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Date > On
06 July, I sent my
following blog as email to the Cabinet Ministers :
Rationing
of Covid Vaccine ? ………………………………………………………………………[ 06 July 2020 ]
Extract :
Besides using such
exhaustive data for all ( Covid infected or not ) in order for AI software to
tell us the “ priorities for
vaccination “, what else should the
Government do ensure that there is no “ black
marketing “ of the limited
supplies of the vaccine ?
Answer :
Today , each strip / bottle of a medicine carries “ batch
number “
# For vaccine , each bottle / vial , besides carrying Batch
Number , must carry
UNIQUE bottle number / vial
number . Vaccine Manufacturer will record which bottle got
dispatched to which drug store /
when. Data will get automatically transmitted to Govt’s
Central Server
# Pharmacy Stores to maintain Computerized Record of who (
which person ) was sold a
given “ Vial Number “ . This data
will get automatically transmitted to Govt’s Central
Server
# No vial to be sold to anyone unless a Mobile App (
VaccineVend ? ) clearly displays that
person’s priority ( as
determined by AI ) , as HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW . No person without
such Mobile App will be sold the
vaccine
# Chemist will enter sale-details in customer / buyer’s
Mobile App , which will get
automatically transmitted to
Govt’s Central Server
===========================================================
Date
> 09 July
Ø Shri V G Somani, Drug Controller
General of India ( DCGI )
Ø The Central Drugs Standard Control
Organization ( CDSCO )
Ø Smt Shubhra Singh ,
Chairperson , The National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority of
India ( NPPA )
Ø Dr T P Lahane, Directorate of Medical
Education and Research ( DMER )
Extract :
News paper reports speak of your efforts to expedite the supply
of Remdesivir , in order to match the huge demand ( which is
exceeding the supply ), that is enabling the anti-social elements to corner the
limited supply
But it will take some months before the SUPPLY matches / exceeds
the DEMAND
Till such time, what can be done ( beyond issuing warnings ), to prevent Black Marketing ?
I envisaged such a “ Shortage Scenario “ in respect of COVAXIN vaccine,
which is expected to be launched on 15th Aug
In my following blog / email ( to Cabinet Ministers ) , I
suggested following to
prevent black marketing in Covid Vaccine :
Rationing of Covid Vaccine ? ……………………………………………..[ 06 July 2020 ]
=========================================================
Date > 17 July 2020
Sachin Taparia | Updated on July 17, 2020 Published on July
17, 2020 ):
While RFID would be nice to track
medicines and vaccines, a relatively simpler barcode system would also work. A unique
serial number can be put on every vial and the barcode
is scanned at every step of the supply chain i.e. shipping from
manufacturer, receipt at distributor, to receipt at the stockist/retailer and
finally when the stock is issued by the retailer to the hospital/patient.
The final issuance would require the Aadhaar
number of the actual patient and finally a digital
signature by the doctor administering the drug or the vaccine.
Since all the scanning devices are
connected to the same central system, one would know where every
vial’s serial number is in the supply chain.
And such a system must not only be there
for delivering the drugs and vaccines but also tracking unused quantities and
directing them back to the stockist for issuance to another patient.
In the Remdesivir
black marketing case, there was no traceability of whether the patients did
not use all that was allocated for them.
The Government should define this end-to-end
traceability process and then
standardise it, so before a license is granted for manufacturing or importing a
critical drug or vaccine prone to shortages, the pharmaceutical manufacturer or
importer must demonstrate that such an end-to-end traceability process exists
and will be implemented with the supply.
However, times have changed and if the tracking
system cost is distributed over a million units or more, it would be well
under a rupee per vial. Definitely worth it for all nodes of the supply chain and most
definitely the end-consumer.
If we, as a nation, can define and standardise
this process as a learning from the Remdsevisir black marketing incidents, we
will be in a much better place to avoid the same when the Covid-19 vaccine does
come out.
=========================================================
Dear Shri
Tapariaji,
Many thanks for escalating this issue to the
Authorities, which took urgent steps
I hope they will also put in place your detailed
suggestion for end-to-end traceability of life-saving drugs
In your above-mentioned article , you also said :
“ In an earlier stint as
Managing Director at Boeing, I have seen supply chains become more efficient by
deploying real-time asset tracking.
Having been among a few
involved with introducing RFID to the US Department of Defense in 2005 for tracking their
aircraft components, it was easy to imagine supply chains powered by technology.”
That reminded me of an
instance of “ HIGH PROBABILITY “ [Occurrence
of similar thoughts / ideas to many people , over a long
period of time ]
13 years after
you introduced RFID in US ( Dept of Defense ), I sent following
suggestion to our Policy Makers :
Highways
to Hyper-loops …………………………………………………………………..[ 09 March 2018 ]
Where I wrote :
Aim to turn India’s highways into friction-less “ Conveyor Belts of Commerce “
Look up
conveyor belts in the warehouses of Amazon / Flipkart / UPS / FedEx etc , which
carry hundreds of packages per minute – with each package carrying dozens of
different items ( can we replace “ packages “ with TRUCKS and “ conveyor belts “ with HIGHWAYS ? )
Each
item within each box , has RFID chip and
QR code ( interlinked )
Sensors
placed along the conveyor belt “ reads “ each package and each item inside each
package . No need to stop the flow of the packages
E-way Bill too , will have all
the QR Codes / RFID data , of each item loaded onto the truck ( Price / Origin
City / Destination City / Supplier with GSTN registration number / Recipient
with his GSTN registration number / GST – ISGST – SGST amount for each item /
Date of Dispatch / Validity of E Way Bill etc )
Just like today’s Mobile Apps of
UPS / FedEx enable online
tracking of each package and of individual items within each
package , that “ high
technology interface “
being proposed by the Government should incorporate the following technologies :
# QR code / RFID chip
Dear Members of GST Council :
Here is YOUR opportunity to lead the way ( - in this case , the
HIGHWAY ! )
There is no technical reason why Software Super Power India ,
cannot lead the world in ,
“ Ease of Doing Business “
If you guarantee the business / industry that “ NO INSPECTOR “ will stop the truck along
its journey , they will willingly implement ANY / ALL technologies to serve the
purpose of E Way Bill
Remember , all corruption starts by permitting HUMANS to “ interpret “ whether a given process was “ correct /
incorrect “ as prescribed – and collect their “ hafta “ for offering to interpret it in favour of the
Business / Industry , violating the process !
By implementing my suggestion Internet of Vehicles , technology will SHUT DOWN the truck engine , upon
detection of a violation !
And automatically unlock the engine when the violation gets
corrected by EDITING the E-Way
Bill , on GSTN web site !
========================================================
With regards,
Hemen Parekh / hcp@RecruitGuru.com /
19 July 2020