Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do.

There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Tuesday, 7 February 2017

Law of Unintended Consequences



·         WHAT IS THIS LAW ?

          When the result of your action is exactly opposite of your intention

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·         ANY PROOF OR JUST A HYPOTHESIS ?

Egyptians launched “ Arab Spring “ to get rid of dictator Hosni Mubarak and landed up with a worse guy, Morsi

     Americans tried to get rid of Taliban , only to end up with ISIL  !

     And they just don’t learn .

     They voted out Hillary Clinton to get stuck with Donald Trump , who wants
     350,000 H1B Visa holding Indian geeks to go home – only to realize later that it
     would cost loss of jobs for 3.5 million Americans , through “ Remote Working “!

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·         GOT IT ! ANY RECENT INDIAN EXAMPLE ?

Demonetization

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·         BUT WAS THAT NOT TO GET RID OF BLACK MONEY AND CORRUPTION ?

Exactly ! That , of course was the intention !

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·         SO , THAT DID NOT HAPPEN ?

You are catching up fast !

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·         THEN WHAT HAPPENED ?

Black Money generation / Corruption has actually doubled ( sorry , quadrupled )

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·         WE THOUGHT ALL BLACK MONEY GOT DEPOSITED IN BANKS, AND NO MORE RS 1000 NOTES !

Sure ! But government says , money does not change colour by getting deposited in bank accounts !

We must scrutinize all “ Suspect “ accounts

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·         BUT WILL NOT NUMBER OF SCRUTINY CASES GO DOWN BECAUSE OF DEMONETIZATION ?

It would have except BIG DATA analysis of DIGITAL TRANSACTIONS has thrown up 18 lakh Accounts ( general category ) and 62 lakh Accounts ( Jan Dhan ), which , the computer considers “ Suspect “ and wants IT officers to take a “ close look “ at

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·         HOW LONG WILL THAT TAKE ?

At the current rate of scrutiny / settlement , that may take 20 / 25 years !

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·         HOW CAN A ASSESSE WAIT THAT LONG ? IT IS LIKE A SWORD HANGING OVER YOUR HEAD !

Exactly ! So the IT guys are telling the assesses :

“ If you want a quick – and “ amicable “ – settlement , the new rates are :


( 2X times the Number of Notes ) * ( 2X of Rs 1000 denomination )


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·         SO , THAT IS WHAT YOU MEAN BY “ QUADRUPLE “ ?

Smart boy !

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·         BUT IF A TRAVELLING TV JOURNALIST WERE TO ASK AN IT OFFICER ,

“ IS DEMONETIZATION AN ISSUE IN YOUR AREA ? “ ,

WHAT WOULD HE SAY ?



Of course , it is an issue – a WELCOME  ISSUE – to take care of our many coming generations of issues !






08  Feb  2017


   

  

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