Tuesday, 7 February 2017

Law of Unintended Consequences



·         WHAT IS THIS LAW ?

          When the result of your action is exactly opposite of your intention

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·         ANY PROOF OR JUST A HYPOTHESIS ?

Egyptians launched “ Arab Spring “ to get rid of dictator Hosni Mubarak and landed up with a worse guy, Morsi

     Americans tried to get rid of Taliban , only to end up with ISIL  !

     And they just don’t learn .

     They voted out Hillary Clinton to get stuck with Donald Trump , who wants
     350,000 H1B Visa holding Indian geeks to go home – only to realize later that it
     would cost loss of jobs for 3.5 million Americans , through “ Remote Working “!

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·         GOT IT ! ANY RECENT INDIAN EXAMPLE ?

Demonetization

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·         BUT WAS THAT NOT TO GET RID OF BLACK MONEY AND CORRUPTION ?

Exactly ! That , of course was the intention !

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·         SO , THAT DID NOT HAPPEN ?

You are catching up fast !

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·         THEN WHAT HAPPENED ?

Black Money generation / Corruption has actually doubled ( sorry , quadrupled )

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·         WE THOUGHT ALL BLACK MONEY GOT DEPOSITED IN BANKS, AND NO MORE RS 1000 NOTES !

Sure ! But government says , money does not change colour by getting deposited in bank accounts !

We must scrutinize all “ Suspect “ accounts

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·         BUT WILL NOT NUMBER OF SCRUTINY CASES GO DOWN BECAUSE OF DEMONETIZATION ?

It would have except BIG DATA analysis of DIGITAL TRANSACTIONS has thrown up 18 lakh Accounts ( general category ) and 62 lakh Accounts ( Jan Dhan ), which , the computer considers “ Suspect “ and wants IT officers to take a “ close look “ at

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·         HOW LONG WILL THAT TAKE ?

At the current rate of scrutiny / settlement , that may take 20 / 25 years !

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·         HOW CAN A ASSESSE WAIT THAT LONG ? IT IS LIKE A SWORD HANGING OVER YOUR HEAD !

Exactly ! So the IT guys are telling the assesses :

“ If you want a quick – and “ amicable “ – settlement , the new rates are :


( 2X times the Number of Notes ) * ( 2X of Rs 1000 denomination )


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·         SO , THAT IS WHAT YOU MEAN BY “ QUADRUPLE “ ?

Smart boy !

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·         BUT IF A TRAVELLING TV JOURNALIST WERE TO ASK AN IT OFFICER ,

“ IS DEMONETIZATION AN ISSUE IN YOUR AREA ? “ ,

WHAT WOULD HE SAY ?



Of course , it is an issue – a WELCOME  ISSUE – to take care of our many coming generations of issues !






08  Feb  2017


   

  

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