In my earlier blog :
I had assumed following
figures :
·
ALL
government departmental cars are driver driven
·
Run ( max )
of 100 km per day ( 20,000 km in 200 working days )
·
At 12,000 km / year , total cost ( fixed +
variable ) per km works out to Rs 22 , for a self driven petrol car ( no salary of a chauffer ) - CRISIL Research Study
·
It would be
safe to assume that this would be Rs 25 / km for an Electric car
·
As against this , cost of hailing a
UBER / OLA works out to Rs 19 / km !
Now consider these assumptions in light of the following
:
·
Two days back , EESL placed a order for
purchase of 10,000 electric cars , at Rs 11.2 lakh each ( Total Value = Rs 1,120 crore )
·
EESL will lease out these cars to Government Departments / Agencies
, at a lease rent of Rs 45,000 per month ( Rs 540,000 per year ) – which , I assume , does not include a
driver ( Hindustan Times / 30 Sept )
·
So , that works out to Rs 27 per km ,( for 20,000 km / year ) , for
the leasing department , without
the salary of the driver
·
If the salary of that “ departmental driver “ is ( say ) Rs 300,000
per year ( Rs 25,000 per month , inclusive of all perks / retirement benefits /
leave etc ) , then that would add another Rs 15 / km for annual 200,00 km
·
So , the total cost to the
government department leasing the car from EESL , adds up to Rs 42 / km ( Rs 27 + Rs 15 )
QUESTIONS :
If my assumptions are
correct ( I look forward to EESL proving me wrong ! ), then following
questions arise :
# Why should government departments incur a
cost / km of Rs 42 , when it
could
hire a UBER / OLA , for Rs 19 / km ? An extra of Rs 23 / km !
# Eventually , when EESL
manages to replace existing 500,000 government owned
( petrol / diesel ) cars
with Electric Cars , this extra cost could add up to Rs
2,300 Crore/year (5 Lakh cars * 20,000 km
per year * Rs 23 / km difference )
Is this justified by
saying : Since EESL is a government-owned company , this is
only transferring the money from one pocket to
another : ?
# As per report in Hindustan Times ( 30 Sept ) , Government departments
are
currently paying Rs 50,000 per month for leasing cars from private agencies
( about 150,000 cars ,
out of a total of 500,000 cars )
Is it not entirely possible – and nearly certain – that , if EESL
tender was for “
Leasing instead of Buying
“ , TATA and M&M , would have quoted Rs 15 per
km ( inclusive of a
driver ) , thereby saving the government , Rs 2,700 crore per
year ( 5 lakh cars * 20,000 km/year * Rs 27 / km : : Rs 42 – Rs 15 ) ?
# Cost of Lithium-ion
Battery constitutes between 50
% - 70 % of the Selling Price
of an Electric car . And this cost is dipping
by approx. 20 % per year
So , the cost of that
battery ( to TATA ) must be around Rs 6 lakh today , out of
its quoted price of Rs 11.2 lakh per car
Now , if 5,000 cars are likely to be delivered in 2018 and
remaining 5,000 in 2019
then the battery costs would drop to below Rs 5 lakh by 2019
Did the EESL incorporate a “ PRICE DE-ESCALATION CLAUSE “ , in its tender ?
I hope Arnab Goswami ( or anchor
of any other TV Channel ) gets to read this and then say :
NATION WANTS
TO KNOW !
01
Oct 2017
www.hemenparekh.in / blogs
No comments:
Post a Comment