Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Sunday 13 August 2023

Using Recycled materials in New Vehicles

 


 

Context :

Govt may mandate 20% recycled materials in auto manufacturing from 2026-27  .. BS  / 02 Aug 2023


Extract :

The latest government regulation is likely to make it compulsory for automobile manufacturers to use 20 per cent recycled materials out of the total weight of metals they need from 2026-27 onwards, The Economic Times (ET) has reported citing Extended Production Responsibility (EPR) rules being prepared by the government.

 

As a part of this regulation, the quantum of recycled materials to be used will be increased progressively as more vehicle scrapping centres become operational.

A senior government official aware of the developments told ET, " Vehicle manufacturers need to be held liable for the scrap that is generated once a vehicle reaches end-of-life." The official added that discussions about the plan are in the early stages and consultations are still underway.

 

Under the plan, at least 20 per cent by weight of the material being used to make vehicles need to be recycled from 2026-27. This quantum will be kept unchanged until 2027-28 and will be increased to 30 per cent for 2028-29 and 2029-30.

The mandate will be on using a minimum percentage of recycled materials in new production, the report said.

 

An industry expert was quoted in the report as saying, " Some 10 million vehicles reach end-of-life stage every year. The number of scrapping centres in the country will need to be commensurate with this demand." Furthermore, the expert said that the plan under consideration will be very difficult to implement with the current levels of infrastructure. Operationalisation of vehicle scrapping units and automated testing centres remains key to the success of this plan.

 

As things stand, there are a total of 31 registered vehicle scrapping facilities (RVSF) that have received approval and are operational. Another 29 units have been categorised as 'approved only' by the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, the report added.

 

My  Take :

 

Vehicle Scrapping Centres : Interest Plenty / Action Scanty  ….  29 June 2023

 

Highlights :


#   The country requires a minimum 1,500-2,000 scrappage centres.


#  Between January 2022 and January 2023, a total of 5,359 private and 67

    commercial vehicles have been scrapped at Registered Vehicle Scrapping

    Facilities (RVSFs).

 


 

Quoting BARD

 

[ A ]  Steel required / car :

The average Indian car uses about 650 kilograms of steel in its construction.

This is about 65% of the total weight of the car. Steel is used in a variety of parts of the car, including the body, chassis, and engine. It is a strong and durable material that is well-suited for use in cars.


[ B ]  Amount of Steel that can be recycled :

·        According to the Steel Recycling Institute, about 75% of the steel in an average car can be recycled. This means that an average Indian car can be recycled to produce about 487.5 kilograms of steel.

·         

[ C ]  How many cars are likely to get manufactured in 2026-27 ?

Based on the data of actual numbers of cars produced by the Indian auto industry in the past 3 years, the projected number of cars that might get manufactured in 2026-27 is:

Year | Cars produced (in millions)

------- | --------

 

2022-23 | 3.89

 

2023-24 | 4.26

 

2024-25 | 4.65

 

2025-26 | 5.07

 

2026-27 | 5.52

 

[ D ]  How much steel will be required to manufacture 5.52 million cars in 2026-

         27 ?

If the average Indian car uses 650 kilograms of steel in its construction, then 5.52 million cars will require 3588000000 kilograms of steel. This is equivalent to 3.6 million tonnes of steel.

 

 

 [ E ]  If , in 2026-27 , 20 % of steel required must come from recycled , what

          quantity will that be ?


         20 % of 3.6 million tons  = 0.72 million tons

 

[ F ]  If we can recover only 487.5 kg of steel from one car , then in order to get

         0.72 million tons of Recycled steel , how many cars will need to be

         scrapped in 2026-27 ?

          

If we can recover only 487.5 kg of steel from one car, then in order to get 0.72

million tons of recycled steel, we will need to scrap 1.47 million cars.


[ G ]   India has today only 31 vehicle scrapping units . can you guess how many

          we might have by 2026-27 ?

       

There are currently only 31 vehicle scrapping units in India. However, the

government has set a target of having 1000 such units by 2026-27

 


[ H ]  Even if we take the higher projected number of 1,000 vehicle scrapping

         units to come up by 2026-27 , how many cars can these recycle in a year ?

         

If we take the higher projected number of 1,000 vehicle scrapping units to come

up by 2026-27, these can recycle a total of 730,000 cars in a year.

Here is the calculation:

Number of vehicle scrapping units = 1000

Average number of cars recycled per unit per day = 2

Number of cars recycled per unit per year = 2 * 365 = 730

Total number of cars recycled by 1000 units = 1000 * 730 = 730000

 


[ I ]  What will be the total population of cars in India by 2026-27 ?

 

According to the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), the total population of cars in India is expected to reach 55.2 million by 2026-27. This is an increase of 46% from the 38.9 million cars in India in 2022-23.


[ J ]  Of this expected population of 55.2 million cars , how many might have

        reached " End of life " and will need scrapping ?

       

The average lifespan of a car in India is 15 years. So, of the 55.2 million cars in

 India by 2026-27, about 36.8 million cars (55.2 x 0.24) might have reached

 End of Life (EOL) and will need scrapping.

================================================

[ K ]  Considering that in the past 3 years only 31 units have come up ( and not

         all of these operational ) , what is the probability of 1000 vehicle scrapping

         units coming up and becoming operational by 2026-27 ?

 

        The probability of 1000 vehicle scrapping units coming up and becoming

        operational by 2026-27 is low.

In the past 3 years, only 31 vehicle scrapping units have come up. This is an

average of 10 units per year. To achieve the target of 1000 units by 2026-27,

 the number of units that need to be set up each year is 333. This is a significant

 increase from the current rate of installation.

There are a number of factors that could make it difficult to achieve the target of

 1000 units by 2026-27. These include:

·        The high cost of setting up a vehicle scrapping unit:

·        The cost of setting up a vehicle scrapping unit is estimated to be around INR 10 crores. This is a significant investment for most businesses.

·        The lack of awareness about vehicle scrapping:

·        Many people are not aware of the benefits of scrapping their old cars. This could make it difficult to attract customers to vehicle scrapping units.

·        The lack of government support:

·        The government has not provided any financial assistance for setting up vehicle scrapping units. This could make it difficult for businesses to set up these units.

 

[ L ]  Government of India is proposing to introduce Extended Product

         Responsibility ( EPR ) rules , whereby  Indian Auto Industry would be obliged to use 20 % of its Steel required ( by 2026-27 ), from " Vehicle  Scrapping Units " of which, today , there are only 31 as against Govt's target of 1,000 units by 2026-27 .

        In light of this, do my suggestion in my following blog make any sense ? >

        https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2020/12/alang-junkyard-scrapyard-

        saveyard.html?zx=b28bdc73266eba31

 

Yes, your suggestion in your blog makes sense in light of the government's proposed EPR rules.

The rules will require the Indian auto industry to use 20% of its steel from vehicle scrapping units, but there are only 31 such units in operation today. This means that there will need to be a significant increase in the number of vehicle scrapping units in order to meet the government's target.

Your suggestion to use Alang as a hub for vehicle scrapping is a good one.

Alang is already a major hub for shipbreaking, and it has the infrastructure and expertise to handle large volumes of scrap metal. This would make it a natural location for vehicle scrapping units, and it would help to reduce the environmental impact of vehicle disposal.

In addition to your suggestion, there are a few other things that the government could do to help increase the number of vehicle scrapping units in India. These include providing financial incentives to set up such units, and simplifying the regulatory process for getting a license to operate a vehicle scrapping unit.

By taking these steps, the government can help to meet its EPR targets and reduce the environmental impact of vehicle disposal in India.

Here are some additional thoughts on your blog post:

·   You are right to point out that the government's EPR rules will have a significant impact on the Indian auto industry.

·   The rules will require the industry to make changes to its manufacturing process and its supply chain. This will be a challenge, but it is also an opportunity for the industry to become more sustainable.

·    You also raise the important issue of the environmental impact of vehicle disposal. When vehicles are not disposed of properly, they can release harmful pollutants into the environment. The government's EPR rules will help to reduce this environmental impact by ensuring that vehicles are scrapped in a safe and environmentally friendly manner.


·   Overall, your blog post is a thoughtful and insightful analysis of the

   government's EPR rules and their potential impact on the Indian auto industry and

   the environment.


·        I hope that the government will take your suggestions into

         consideration as it implements these rules.

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

www.hemenparekh.ai  /  13 Aug 2023

 

Earlier E-mails ( 25 ) :

 

2016 (3 )

Ø  PIYUSH PLAN ?                                         …………[ 27 Mar 2016 ]

Ø  Young or Old ?..................................................[ 27 Aug 2016 ]

Ø  From OLD to NEW ? No , go NEWER !.................. [ 22 Sept 2016 ]

 

2018 ( 7 )

Ø  Car Grave-Yard of World ? …………………………………………[ 14 Feb 2018 ]

Ø  One door closes ; Another opens …………………………….. [ 27 Feb 2018 ]

Ø  Mahindra Accelo : Saluting a pioneer………………………….[ 19 June 2018 ]

Ø  Scrapping Old Vehicles : Swiss Challenge Solution …..[ 24 July 2018 ]

Ø  Rename it , “ Vehicle Recycle Policy “ ………………………..[ 08 Aug 2018 ]

Ø  Better Late than Never !......................................... [ 01 Nov 2018 ]

Ø  Missing piece of Jigsaw Puzzle ? ………………………………….[ 15 Nov 2018 ]

 

2019 ( 1 )

Ø  FAME II > FAME III > FAME IV……………………………………. [ 05 Mar 2019 ]

 

2020 ( 4 )

Ø  I conceive , I conceive , I conceive !......................... [ 25 Feb 2020 ]

Ø  Dead on Arrival ? …………………………………………………………..[ 19 July 2020 ]

Ø  Alang : Junkyard ? Scrapyard ? SaveYard ?................ [ 12 Dec 2020 ]

        Sad : to be proven right  . …………………………………………………  20 Oct 2020

 

2021 ( 8 )

Ø  Never Give-up Nitin Gadkariji, …………………………………..  13 Aug 2021

Ø  Vehicle Fitness Test ? A 7 year wait ?......................... 19 Apr 2021

Ø  Blessing in Disguise ?  ………………………………………………….  21 Mar 2021

Ø  Vehicle Scrapping Policy : Most Questions Answered .. .18 Mar 2021

Ø  Vehicle Scrapping Policy  ………………………………………………  03 Feb 2021

Ø  Vehicle Scrapping : From Policy to Practice………………….. 11 Apr 2021

Ø  Vehicle Scrapping : Time to copy M&M ?....................  10 Apr 2021

Ø  Nitinbhai - Vehicle Manufacturers cannot ignore your advice.. 27 Mar 2021

 

 2022  ( 1 )

Ø  Nitin Gadkari : looks far into Future and dreams Big… 19 Sept 2022

2023 ( 1 )

Ø  India to become Vehicle Scrapping Hub ?.................... 02 Mar 2023

Ø  Alang Ship-breaking Yard : Breaking Hearts ?.............. 26 Apr 2023

 

 

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