Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Sunday, 13 September 2020

EV : Battery Charging Stations : Solar power Storage / Connecting the dots




We must try to leverage / converge technologies to solve following problems :

[ A ] … EV cars being 30-50 % more expensive than Petrol-Diesel cars
[ B  ] ..Pollution caused by Petrol / Diesel vehicles
[ C ]….Time spent in commuting to work
[ D ]….Traffic Congestions in Metro Cities
[ E  ]…Operating Costs of EV vs Petrol-Diesel vehicles
[ F ]….Non Availability of Battery Charging Stations
[ G ]….Storage of Surplus Solar Power ( produced in far off Desert Areas )
[ H ]….Lack of Transmission Lines for evacuation of Solar Power

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[ A ] …. EV cars being 30-50 % more expensive than Petrol-Diesel cars / Range Anxiety

Extract :

Ø  Musk knows how to seize on that anxiety. On September 22, he will appear in a live webcast for Tesla “ Battery Day ” 
Ø  Musk has teased that what he will reveal will “ blow your mind.”
Ø  There is only one message to be gleaned: that he intends to make a dramatic assertion that the newest Teslas will achieve cost parity with similar combustion
Ø  Frith, the BloombergNEF analyst, said the current industry average battery pack cost is at $130 kWh.
Ø  In China, CATLsays it can already produce an $80 kWh battery at the pack level, Reuters has reported, a system developed with Tesla
Ø  Last year, the company filed for a patent on a battery that will last a million miles in an electric car, enough for the average driver to keep going for 76 years. ..That is, he wants every motorist on the planet to believe they have to get rid of their current gasoline-driven vehicle and go electric. And not because they desire to save the planet, but for economic or safety reasons.
Ø  Cheaper batteries are a path to cheaper cars and for electrics to go mass market. 

( A 2 ) ….E – Car Extrapolation : a Wishful Thinking ?  ………………[ 20 Mar 2019 ]

Extract :
Can weight of an E Car be reduced by 50 %  ?  And, if yes , can the Lithium-ion Battery capacity also get reduced by 50 % ?

It is around the corner as shown here


Extract :

Ø  The second underlying force is the cost vs. performance aspect. In itself, an electric motor delivering about 200 hp costs about $500 against $5000~6000 for the combustion engine equivalent. The battery costs, however, still give an edge to the piston engine: right now the battery pack would cost between $7000 and $8000.

Ø  But two factors need to be considered. One is the efficiency: the ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) returns only 30 percent on the energy it consumes vs. almost 95 percent for an electric motor. Two, the cost of batteries is falling fast: it has been divided by ten during the last decade.


( A 4 ) ……. EV juice from Alu-Air Battery ? ………………………………[ 16 Jan 2018 ]

( A 5 )……  40 GW : 70 GW : 300 GW : 800 GW ………………………[ 24 May 2019 ]

( A 6 ) …….  Congratulations , Shri GopuKumarji   …………………[ 30 Jan 2019 ]


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[  B  ]… Pollution caused by Petrol / Diesel vehicles


Extract :

Ø  Current Indian e-bus manufacturers ( Joint Venture - mostly assemblers ? )
#   Olectra-BYD #   Foton-PMI  #  JBM Solaris  #   VECV
Ø  Current e-bus population ( as on April 2020 )
#   West Bengal ……. 80  /  #   Maharashtra……. 70
Ø  Number of e-buses sold in India
#    Till FY 18… 31 / FY 19 …369  /  FY  20…600
Ø  Total Expected Sales
#   Mar 2020….. 1,031 / Likely in FY 21…. 1,850 / Likely in FY 22……4640


Context :

E- Bus : without ETA [ Expected Time of Arrival ] ?  ……………[ 04 Apr 2019 ]


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  Now compare these with the following figures for E Buses in China :

Ø  In 2016 China was able to register 340 electric city buses every single day.
Ø  In China sales rose from 69 thousand units in 2015 to 132 thousand in 2016; 2017 marked a significant step backwards, following the reduction in subsidies: 90 thousand full electric buses and 16 thousand hybrid plug-in buses have been registeredØ  Shenzhen by the end of 2017 had committed to reach 100 per 100 of electric bus vehicles in operation (16,500 buses), Beijing aims at the goal of 10,000 by 2020, starting from 1,320 last year. Ø  In 2018 Guanzhou issued two tenders, the first for 3,138 and the second for 1,672 battery electric buses. A total of 4,810 electric buses.  The winner? BYD will provide 4,473 units of electric bus.Ø  In September 2018, Yutong Bus declared it has achieved a total sales volume of 90,000 new energy buses in France, UK, Bulgaria, Iceland, Chile, and China Macau among others ( Yutong’s annual sales volume, including every kind of bus and coach, exceeds 70,000 units).Ø  According to data from the China Bus Statistics Information Union, in the context of the overall weakness of the Chinese bus market, which decreased by 13.5% in the first three quarters of 2018, a total of 55,658 new energy buses were sold in the Chinese market, with a year-on-year increase of over 20%In 2019, the Chinese bus market witnessed a decrease of 11 per cent on 2018.



Dear Shri Nitin Gadkariji, {  Minister for Transport  },

Winston Churchill is attributed to have said ( re: German Invasion ) :

“ We shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender “

 Apart from fighting the Chinese military incursions in Ladakh, we need to fight their e – bus invasion , from the shop-floors of our Factories. 

My suggestions listed here, will go a long way to empower our factories 

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[ C ]… Time spent in commuting to work

      How to end the Commuting Nightmare ?  ……………………………[ 11 Sept 2020 ]

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[  D  ]….  Traffic Congestions in Metro Cities

      Transport : an Integrated Logistic Plan ?   ……………………………[ 20 Nov 2018 ]

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[  E  ]  ….  Operating Costs of EV vs Petrol-Diesel vehicles

Auto Industry : Policy Inputs   ……………………………………………………[ 27 Dec 2017 ]

Crossing the Seven Seas [ 7 C ] …………………………………………………[ 10 Sept 2018 ]
FAME II > FAME III > FAME IV ……………………………………………………[ 05 Mar 2019 ]
Look Before You Leap  …………………………………………………………………[ 22 May 2017 ]

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[ F ] ….. Non Availability of Battery Charging Stations

Every Building : a Battery Charging Station ? ……………………………[ 26 Oct 2018 ]

3000 Km without a Charging Station ?  ………………………………………[ 09 Oct 2017 ]

Govt mulls installing EV charging kiosks at around 69,000 petrol pumps in India

Betting On Black Swan ?  ……………………………………………………………[ 09 Feb 2020 ]

Holy Grail for Electric Vehicles  ……………………………………………………[ 17 Feb 2018 ]


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[ G ]….. Storage of Surplus Solar Power ( including power produced in far off Desert Areas )

From Ladakh with Love ( and Sun Shine )  …………………………………[ 09 Aug 2018 ]

National Energy Storage Mission  …………………………………………………[ 19 Feb 2018 ]

A Rapidly Shifting Paradigm  …………………………………………………………[ 03 Dec 2017 ]

Unlimited Power : and round the clock ? ……………………………………[ 29 July 2016 ]

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[ H ]….. Lack of Transmission Lines for evacuation of Solar Power

Wireless Power Transmission ?  ……………………………………………………[ 27 Aug 2020 ]

 Liu Zhenya : The Visionary …………………………………………………………[ 04 June 2018 ]

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With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  13 Sept 2020
            

Friday, 11 September 2020

How to end the Commuting Nightmare ?




Context :

Welcome to the 8-hour commute  /   11 sept 2020

Extract :

With local trains still restricted to essential workers, eight and nine hour commutes have become part of the new normal for thousands like Prajapati.

Even those who stay relatively close to their place of work, are spending close to 8 hours a day commuting

=================================

As far as I can see , this nightmare is only going to get worse as economic activities pick-up once again ( quite possibly, with a vengeance, to recoup the lost business ) .

Millions cannot afford private cars and there is no way to observe “ Social Distancing “ in local trains – metros – public transport buses

Considering that most office / factory workers in Mumbai ( and most of our Metros ), need to travel less than 10 km ( one way ) , I strongly believe that :

Ø  In all cities, we should create dedicated Bike Lanes 

Ø  Subsidize purchase of bikes


Following are my old blog / email on this proposal :

A  Radical Radial  Revolution  ……………………………………………………………..  18  Aug 2016 ]

Extract :

Ø  Cambridge ( USA ) based  GeoOrbital  has come out with a unique bicycle wheel for replacing the Front Wheel of any standard ( 26 " / 28 " ) existing bicycle , to convert it into an " Electric Bicycle " in ONE minute and without any tools !
  

Ø  Changing back to original Front Wheel of your vintage bicycle , will also take no more than ONE minute


Ø  GeoOrbital  Front Wheel carries a 500 Watt DC motor / a removable Lithium-Ion battery / Wheel lock and a Motor Controller ( a simple thumb activated throttle, which is easily clipped onto your handlebar )


Ø  Battery needs 3 / 4 hours to recharge ( depending upon capacity ) but gets Regenerative Charge when you pedal !


Ø  It will give a range of 20 miles (50 miles if you pedal for exercise ) with a speed of 20 MPH ( without pedaling )

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A Sensible Solution …………………………………………………………………………………[ 03 Sept 2017 ]

Extract :

Ø  Construct 40 Meter wide , light-load-carrying ( LLC ) roads over all the railway tracks in Mumbai ( may be totaling 100 Km ? ) , exclusively for bicycles ( not for those 17 lakh motor-cycles )

Ø  These “ Overhead Bicycle Tracks ( LLC = OBT ) “ could be covered with roofs made of TESLA’s Solar Roof-Tiles , to generate Solar Power .


Ø  In Gujarat , some irrigation canals have been   covered by Solar Panels , in order to generate power and reduce water-loss due to evaporation 
    

Ø  With TESLA Roof-Tiles  {  https://www.tesla.com/solarroof  }, there is no need to install separate conventional Solar Panels


Ø  Besides generating Solar Power, the slanting roofs over LLCs , will prevent the train tracks below from getting flooded during heavy rains .


Ø  Rain-Water-Collection gutters along both sides of the roof will enable “ Rain Water Harvesting “
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Dear Shri Nitin Gadkariji,


I urge you to get my suggestion evaluated by PM – Scientific Technology Innovation Advisory committee

You may also request them to read up :

Why Tesla’s Battery Day Will Actually Live Up to the Hype    /  12 Sept 2020


You may, yourself, not want to miss that Online Announcement by Elon Musk on 22 Sept [ The Battery Day ]


With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  12 Sept 2020






Thursday, 10 September 2020

How to Alleviate Urban Poverty





Context :


Extract :
Ø  The fourth person said the government is focusing on inclusive economic growth. “A large part of the ₹20 lakh crore stimulus package announced in May was focused on providing relief to the poor.

It has immensely helped the rural poor, especially with their active involvement in
MGNREGS [Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme].
    
There is a thinking that a similar employment guarantee scheme could be framed for
the urban poor,” added this person
     
Ø  DK Aggarwal, president at the PHD Chamber of   Commerce and Industry
    (phdcci@phdcci.in ),
     said…..
Urban poor have been significantly impacted due to... Covid-19 and therefore require notable policy attention. At this juncture, similar scheme(s) on the lines of MGNREGS would go a long way to provide employment opportunity to the urban poor, sustenance income in their hands along with social safety
=================================
Some 4 months ago , I sent following E Mail to Cabinet Ministers / NITI Aayog :

MGNREGA : Can it morph into UBI ?  ………………………………………[ 11 May 2020 ]

Extract :

SOLUTION :

Ø  MGNREGA should be re-named, MGNRUGA (   Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Urban Employment   Guarantee Act )


Ø  Besides RURAL households, it should cover URBAN   households as well


Ø  Besides “ Unskilled Manual Work “, it must also   cover “ Semi-skilled / Skilled “ work as well


Ø  The daily wages payable , must be the “ Minimum   Wage “ at the start of each Skill level grade and   periodically revised upward, depending upon CPI


Ø  Number of “ Guaranteed Days of Work Employment / year “ should be :

#  Rural Areas ………………………….. 300 days ( up from                                                   current 100 days )

#  Urban Areas :

          Class II towns ………………… 200 days

          Class I Cities……………………  100 days


Ø    On MGNRUGA website , there will be provision for,


#  Jobless persons to register ( providing full                personal data / job locations preferred / Skill
    level / prior experience etc )


#  Companies / Establishments to register, providing      full details of vacancies


#  Match-making / Allocation etc



Ø    If an Urban establishment provides work to any of     the REGISTERED UNEMPLOYED
   referred by MGNRUGA web site, it will not be             required to pay wages(to those  persons ), for           periods mentioned above.

    
For them, the wages will get paid directly by the Ministry subsidizing, at rates prescribed under the Act ( DBT ) . Any wages paid in excess, will have to be borne by the establishment concerned
      

HOW WILL THIS HELP ?


Ø  This modification of Scheme will cover jobless persons, all over India not only Rural India


Ø  The scheme as it stands now, covers “ works “     related only to ,

             #   Soil and Water Conservation

             #   Ground Water Recharge

             #   Irrigation

             #   Drainage

             #   Plantation

             #   Land……. Etc

My suggestion will extend the scheme to cover urban offices / factories / shops etc ,where millions have been rendered jobless due to lockdown

         

Ø  Current rural schemes have to be monitored by          govt officers / panchayat office-bearers, who may      lack supervision skills and / or lack “ motivation “      to ensure that each MGNREGA worker puts in            honest / hard / productive work, at the end of the      day !


    As against this, when organized / profit driven            establishments ( in Urban setting ) are                      supervising  such workers, productivity of “ Asset      Generation “, will be very high !

      

 { Read : https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2017/11/discovering-obvious.html  }



         Ø  Because of this Wage Subsidy ( better name
             it CORONA EMPATHY – so as not to run
             foul of WTO ),MSME will revive faster , with              less worry for Cash Flow . Products                            will become cheaper


             

        Ø  By providing jobs and enabling people to earn
            their own living , there will be no need
            for Delhi-type “ doles “ – which are                           unsustainable in long run


       Ø  This (scheme) overcomes the major objections
            against UBI (Universal Basic Income ),

           viz :

     #  How to decide whom ( defining “ poor “ is
         difficult ), to give UBI

     #  People will become too dependent on “ Sarkar
         Maa-Baap “ and become lazy / stop looking for           work

       

      Ø   It is better than the Unemployment Allowance          of USA (now for 33 million persons,sitting at              home )


           

==================================

Then, 6 weeks later, I found the following news report :



   Which made me send following E Mail to Cabinet Ministers :

Urban Poor : Existence Admitted ! ……………………………………………………..[ 21 June 2020 ]


==================================

Dear Shri Narendrabhai,


It is time to think about a PERMANENT SOLUTION to this problem of UN-EMPLOYMENT { even beyond COVID }

Please consider my suggestion


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With regards,

Hemen Parekh / hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  11 Sept 2020