We must try to leverage / converge technologies to
solve following problems :
[ A ] … EV
cars being 30-50 % more expensive than Petrol-Diesel cars
[ B ] ..Pollution caused by Petrol / Diesel vehicles
[ C ]….Time spent in commuting to work
[ D ]….Traffic Congestions in Metro Cities
[ E ]…Operating
Costs of EV vs Petrol-Diesel vehicles
[ F ]….Non Availability of Battery Charging
Stations
[ G ]….Storage of Surplus Solar Power ( produced
in far off Desert Areas )
[ H ]….Lack of Transmission Lines for
evacuation of Solar Power
=================================================
[ A ] …. EV cars being 30-50 % more
expensive than Petrol-Diesel cars / Range Anxiety
Extract :
Ø Musk knows how to seize
on that anxiety. On September
22, he will appear in a live webcast for Tesla “ Battery Day ”
Ø Musk has teased that what
he will reveal will “ blow your
mind.”
Ø There is only one message
to be gleaned: that he intends to make a dramatic assertion that the newest
Teslas will achieve cost parity with similar combustion
Ø Frith, the BloombergNEF
analyst, said the current industry average battery pack cost is at $130 kWh.
Ø In China, CATLsays it can
already produce an $80 kWh battery at the pack level, Reuters
has reported, a system developed with Tesla
Ø Last year, the
company filed for
a patent on a battery that will last a million miles in an electric car,
enough for the average driver to keep going for 76 years. ..That is, he
wants every motorist on the planet to believe they have
to get rid of their current gasoline-driven vehicle and go electric. And
not because they desire to save the planet, but for economic
or safety reasons.
Ø Cheaper batteries are a path
to cheaper cars and for electrics to go mass market.
( A 2 ) ….E
– Car Extrapolation : a Wishful Thinking ?
………………[ 20 Mar
2019 ]
Extract :
Can weight of an E Car be reduced by 50
% ? And, if yes , can the
Lithium-ion Battery capacity also get reduced by 50 % ?
It is around the corner as shown here
( A 3 ) ….The
car, reinvented. From scratch
Extract
:
Ø
The second underlying force is the cost
vs. performance aspect. In itself, an electric motor delivering about 200 hp
costs about $500 against $5000~6000 for the combustion engine
equivalent. The battery costs, however, still give an edge to the piston
engine: right now the battery pack would cost between $7000 and $8000.
Ø
But two factors need to be considered. One
is the efficiency: the ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) returns only 30 percent
on the
energy it consumes vs. almost 95 percent for
an electric motor. Two, the cost of batteries is falling fast: it has been divided by ten during the last
decade.
( A 4 ) ……. EV
juice from Alu-Air Battery ? ………………………………[ 16 Jan 2018 ]
( A 5 )…… 40
GW : 70 GW : 300 GW : 800 GW ………………………[ 24 May 2019 ]
( A 6 ) ……. Congratulations
, Shri GopuKumarji …………………[ 30 Jan 2019 ]
=================================================
[ B ]… Pollution caused by Petrol / Diesel vehicles
Extract :
Ø Current
Indian e-bus manufacturers ( Joint Venture - mostly assemblers ? )
# Olectra-BYD # Foton-PMI
# JBM Solaris #
VECV
Ø Current
e-bus population ( as on April
2020 )
# West
Bengal ……. 80 / #
Maharashtra……. 70
Ø Number
of e-buses sold in India
# Till FY 18… 31 / FY 19 …369 / FY 20…600
Ø Total
Expected Sales
# Mar 2020….. 1,031 /
Likely in FY 21…. 1,850
/ Likely in FY 22……4640
Context :
E-
Bus : without ETA [ Expected Time of Arrival ] ? ……………[ 04 Apr 2019 ]
=================================================
Now compare these with the following figures for E Buses in China :
Now compare these with the following figures for E Buses in China :
Ø In
2016 China was able to register 340
electric city buses every single day.
Ø
In China sales rose from 69 thousand units
in 2015 to 132 thousand in 2016; 2017 marked a
significant step backwards, following the reduction in subsidies: 90
thousand full electric buses and 16 thousand hybrid plug-in buses have been
registeredØ Shenzhen by the end of 2017 had committed to reach
100 per 100 of electric bus vehicles in operation (16,500
buses), Beijing aims at the goal of 10,000 by
2020, starting from 1,320 last year. Ø In 2018 Guanzhou issued two tenders,
the first for 3,138 and the second for 1,672 battery electric buses. A total
of 4,810
electric buses. The winner? BYD will provide 4,473 units of electric bus.Ø In September 2018, Yutong Bus declared it has achieved a
total sales volume of 90,000 new energy buses in
France, UK, Bulgaria, Iceland, Chile, and China Macau among others ( Yutong’s
annual sales volume, including every kind of bus and coach, exceeds 70,000 units).Ø According to data from the China Bus Statistics
Information Union, in the context of the overall weakness of the Chinese bus
market, which decreased by 13.5% in the first three quarters of 2018, a total
of 55,658 new energy buses were sold in the Chinese market, with a year-on-year
increase of over 20%. In 2019, the Chinese bus market
witnessed a decrease of 11 per cent on 2018.
[ source : https://www.sustainable-bus.com/electric-bus/electric-bus-public-transport-main-fleets-projects-around-world/
]
Dear Shri Nitin Gadkariji, { Minister for Transport },
Winston Churchill is
attributed to have said ( re: German Invasion ) :
“ We shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on
the landing grounds, we shall fight in
the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in
the hills; we shall never
surrender “
Apart from fighting the Chinese military incursions in
Ladakh, we need to fight their e – bus invasion , from the shop-floors of our Factories.
My suggestions listed here, will go a long way to empower our factories
My suggestions listed here, will go a long way to empower our factories
================================================
[ C ]… Time spent in commuting to work
How
to end the Commuting Nightmare ?
……………………………[ 11
Sept 2020 ]
=================================================
[ D ]…. Traffic Congestions in Metro Cities
Transport : an
Integrated Logistic Plan ? ……………………………[ 20 Nov 2018 ]
=================================================
[ E ] …. Operating Costs of
EV vs Petrol-Diesel vehicles
Auto
Industry : Policy Inputs ……………………………………………………[ 27 Dec 2017 ]
=================================================
[
F ] ….. Non Availability of Battery Charging Stations
Every
Building : a Battery Charging Station ? ……………………………[ 26 Oct 2018 ]
3000
Km without a Charging Station ?
………………………………………[ 09
Oct 2017 ]
Govt
mulls installing EV charging kiosks at around 69,000 petrol pumps in India
Betting
On Black Swan ?
……………………………………………………………[ 09 Feb 2020 ]
Holy
Grail for Electric Vehicles ……………………………………………………[
17 Feb 2018 ]
=================================================
[ G
]….. Storage of Surplus Solar Power ( including power produced
in far off Desert Areas )
From
Ladakh with Love ( and Sun Shine ) …………………………………[ 09 Aug 2018 ]
A
Rapidly Shifting Paradigm …………………………………………………………[ 03 Dec 2017 ]
=================================================
[ H
]….. Lack of Transmission Lines for evacuation of Solar
Power
Wireless
Power Transmission ? ……………………………………………………[ 27 Aug 2020 ]
=================================================
With regards,
Hemen Parekh / hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 13
Sept 2020
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