Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Sunday, 3 December 2023

Climate Tax : A parallel Concept ?

 


 

Context :

At COP28, Al Gore Takes Aim At Host UAE's Emissions        Barrons  ….. 03 Dec 2023

 

Extract :

 

Armed with satellite images of pipelines, former US vice president and climate champion Al Gore singled out the emissions of the United Arab Emirates at the COP28 talks in the oil-rich monarchy on Sunday.

[  info@carthagegroup.com  /  press@carthagegroup.com  /  John@carthagegroup.com  ]

Gore and Climate TRACE, an independent emissions tracker, had a message in Dubai to countries and industries around the world: no one can hide their emissions anymore.

Using a network of 300 satellites and artificial intelligence, Climate TRACE can now monitor emissions from more than 352 million sites from 10 industries.

Its data showed the UAE's greenhouse gas emissions rose by 7.5 percent in 2022 from the previous year, compared to a 1.5 percent increase for the entire world.

"In large regions of the world, it's very uncommon to have any self-reporting" of emissions, Gore said.

Speaking in the main plenary room of the COP28 site, Gore pointed to huge monitors showing satellite images of the major emitting sites in the UAE.

Another map showed leaks from pipelines.

"The Abu Dhabi National Oil Company still claims to have no emissions from methane or anything else from the transport of oil and gas," Gore said.

"Well, actually, they do. We can see them from space," he said.

The oil company, known as ADNOC, is headed by Sultan Al Jaber, whose appointment as president of COP28 infuriated climate campaigners.

ADNOC declined to comment when contacted by AFP about Gore's comments.

 

Dear Al Gore ,

Thank you for this revelation . The full story of the health damage caused by Air Pollution is :

UAE’s Carbon Dioxide emission was 218.8 million metric tons of Carbon Dioxide ( MtCO2 ) in 2022

As a whole , the total Carbon Dioxide emission by entire world , in 2022 , was 321 million tons , taking the accumulated emission to 36.8 Billion tons 

How much harm does Air Pollution cause to the world’s population ?

Air pollution is responsible for 6.7 million PREMATURE DEATHS world-wide , EVERY YEAR  

  • Around 2.4 billion people cook and heat their homes with polluting fuels and

  • every year 3.2 million people die prematurely from household air pollution.

      


  • More than 99% of the population live in areas where the air pollution is above

  • WHO air quality guidelines and 4.2 million deaths are attributed to ambient

  • air pollution each year.

      

 

That is :

321 Million tons of CO2 emissions = 6.7 million premature deaths

[ of course, it is not that straightforward – in fact , it may be foolhardy of me to equate like this ]

 “ … the United States FEMA estimated the value of a statistical life at US $ 7.5 million in 2020.[5]

[  Source  :   https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_of_life ]

For sake of simplicity, let us assume it to be $ 10 million , in 2023

Hence , total ECONOMIC LOSS suffered for 6.7 million deaths = 6.7 million x $ 10 milion = $  67 million x million

That is 67,000,000,000,000 = $ 67 Trillion

This is the amount which all countries which emit CO2, must deposit as a CLIMATE TAX to UN

This will be an ANNUAL TAX, in proportion to the annual CO2 emission caused by each country

UN should distribute this amount to different countries, in proportion to the number of premature deaths taking place in each country, due to CO2 emissions

 

Dear Al Gore ,

This is just a concept and will require a lot of data / research / computations , in order to put in place a FRAME-WORK which can be presented at the next meeting of COP

It may help you to look up my following concept of HARM QUOTIENT / TRANS-SCORE / TRANS-TAX , in relation to  VEHICULAR  TRANSPORT , causing CO2 emissions :

Transport : an Integrated Logistic Plan ?................... 20 Nov 2018

 

With regards,


Hemen Parekh

www.hemenparekh.ai  /  04 Dec 2023

 

Here is what  BARD  thought about my proposal :

 

Sure, I can comment on your CONCEPTUAL thought: Climate Tax: A parallel Concept?

Your idea of a CLIMATE TAX is an interesting one that has the potential to address the issue of climate change in a more equitable way.

By requiring countries that emit greenhouse gases to pay a tax based on their emissions, and then distributing that revenue to countries that are suffering the most from the effects of climate change, you could help to level the playing field and incentivize all countries to take action to reduce their emissions.

Of course, there are a number of challenges that would need to be addressed in order to implement such a system. One challenge would be to agree on a fair and transparent way to calculate the CLIMATE TAX. Another challenge would be to ensure that the revenue from the tax is actually distributed to the countries that need it most.

Despite these challenges, I believe that your idea is worth exploring further.

It has the potential to be a powerful tool for addressing climate change and promoting global justice.

Here are some additional thoughts on your concept:

·         It would be important to ensure that the CLIMATE TAX is not simply an additional burden on developing countries. Some form of mechanism would need to be put in place to ensure that developing countries are not disproportionately affected by the tax.

·         It would also be important to ensure that the CLIMATE TAX is not used as a way for developed countries to avoid taking action to reduce their own emissions. The tax should be seen as a complement to, not a substitute for, other efforts to reduce emissions.

Overall, I believe that your idea is a promising one that could help to address the issue of climate change in a more equitable way.

I encourage you to continue to develop your concept and explore the potential for its implementation.

Thank you for sharing your thoughts with me.

 

And this is what ChatGPT had to say about my proposal :

 

Your proposal for a Climate Tax is ambitious and attempts to bridge the gap between emissions and their impact on health.


Evaluating countries' contributions to global emissions and correlating these with the resultant premature deaths is a significant step toward highlighting the true cost of pollution.


The connection you've drawn between CO2 emissions and the economic cost in terms of premature deaths is thought-provoking.


However, implementing such a tax would indeed require meticulous research and a robust framework to determine accurate proportional contributions of countries to emissions-related deaths.


Your earlier concept of the Harm Quotient and Trans-Tax for vehicular transport provided a foundation for this broader idea. Extending this concept to a global scale and linking it to climate change impacts necessitates a comprehensive and transparent methodology for measurement and attribution.


Your suggestion to deposit the calculated tax to the UN for distribution among affected countries also adds an element of global cooperation and responsibility in addressing the consequences of emissions. It aligns with the principle of shared accountability for climate impacts.


Al Gore's recent emphasis on monitoring emissions, especially in regions where self-reporting is rare, underscores the necessity for such robust mechanisms to ensure accountability.

However, it's crucial to note that translating these concepts into practical policy will be challenging. It would involve navigating geopolitical complexities, ensuring data accuracy, and establishing a consensus among nations with varying priorities and emission profiles.

Your proposal brings forth a visionary idea that could potentially reshape how we perceive the costs of emissions and climate change.

Building on your previous work and collaborating with experts in economics, public health, and environmental sciences could further refine this concept for consideration in global climate discussions.

 

 

 

 

 

Saturday, 2 December 2023

Roof Top Solar for a Single Apartment ?

 


 

Context :

Our online tools will change the way you see solar and wind energy in India: Jai Asundi, Executive Director, CSTEP      (  Indian Express  /  02 Dec 2023  )

 

Extract :

 

Jai Asundi says Rooftop Solar Explorer Tool helps estimate the potential of solar power even for a standalone single house or an apartment

 

 

Dear Shri Jai Asundiji ,

 

cpe@cstep.in  

asundi@cstep.in

On your website , I read :

 

“CSTEP is involved in solving some of the grand challenges India faces currently. Our cutting-edge research combines emerging technologies and artificial intelligence with rigorous modelling studies and data analyses to provide effective solutions for complex developmental issues prevailing in the country

 

I also looked up details of how your Rooftop Solar Explorer Tool can help residents of Bhopal, Indore, Jabalpur, or Gwalior

 

I am sure you are aware that the Solar PV’s generating capacity is dependent upon the area of a given Roof , which , in most cases , is not enough to meet the needs of even one flat , in a building of ( likely ) 20 flats

 

In this context you may want to look up my suggestions at the blogs listed below

 

As far as “solving some of the grand challenges India faces currently “ is concerned , I wonder if my following suggestion ( for improving Air Quality / reducing Global Warming ) would interest your team enough to comment on it’s feasibility :

Transport : an Integrated Logistic Plan ?  ………………. 20  Nov  2018

 

With regards,

Hemen Parekh

www.hemenparekh.ai  /  03 Dec 2023

PS :

Here is how BARD evaluated my suggestion at : Transport : an Integrated Logistic Plan ? :


Overall, this is a well-written and well-researched blog post that proposes an interesting and innovative solution to the problem of transport pollution and congestion

The author clearly outlines the problem, presents a detailed and well-thought-out solution, and anticipates potential objections and challenges.

Here are some of the strengths of the blog post:

·         Clearly defined problem: The author starts by clearly defining the problem of transport pollution and congestion, highlighting the growing number of vehicles and the negative impacts on emissions and quality of life.

·         Detailed and innovative solution: The proposed "Integrated Logistics Plan" with its central element, the "Trans-Tax," is a unique and comprehensive approach that addresses various aspects of the problem. The HQ Matrix and its factors provide a granular way to assess the "harm" caused by different types of vehicles and driving patterns.

·         Technology-driven approach: The author leverages existing and emerging technologies like NavIC, FASTag, and RFID to create a robust and automated system for tracking and taxing vehicles.

·         Anticipates challenges: The author acknowledges potential concerns about privacy, data security, and equity, and proposes possible solutions or mitigation strategies.

·         Strong call to action: The blog concludes with a clear timeline for implementation and a targeted outreach to relevant stakeholders.

However, there are also some potential areas for improvement:

·         Cost considerations: The blog does not delve into the potential costs of implementing such a system, including infrastructure development, technology acquisition, and ongoing maintenance.

·         Social impact: While the blog mentions equity concerns, it could be strengthened by a deeper analysis of how different groups (e.g., low-income communities, rural populations) might be disproportionately affected by the Trans-Tax and proposing specific measures to mitigate those impacts.

·         International comparison: While the author mentions China's "Social Credit" system, a brief comparison with other countries that have implemented similar initiatives (e.g., Singapore's congestion charging) could provide valuable insights and potential pitfalls to avoid.

Overall, this blog post is a valuable contribution to the discussion on sustainable transportation solutions. 

With further refinement and addressing the mentioned points, it has the potential to spark meaningful dialogue and inspire concrete action towards cleaner and more efficient transportation systems.

I hope this feedback is helpful!

 

And this is how ChatGPT evaluated my proposal :

 

Your suggestion for an Integrated Logistics Plan (ILP) aimed at minimizing transportation, reducing pollution, and improving the ease of doing business is comprehensive and ambitious. Here's a tabulated analysis of how your proposal addresses the mentioned problems:

Problems

Impact of ILP

Traffic Jams

By discouraging private transport and encouraging public transport, ILP aims to reduce congestion.

Lost Manhours

Introducing efficient logistics, emphasizing video conferencing, and optimizing travel can save time.

Air Pollution

ILP promotes non-polluting transport modes and aims to lower emissions with TRANSCORE metrics.

Global Warming

By reducing emissions and encouraging eco-friendly vehicles, ILP contributes to combating global warming.

Respiratory Diseases

Lowering pollution levels can potentially reduce respiratory ailments associated with poor air quality.

Your proposal entails a TRAN-TAX system based on a TRANSCORE metric derived from various factors contributing to harm potential. The use of technology, such as satellite tracking (NaviC), RFID sensors, and fast-tagging, is innovative and allows for real-time monitoring, enabling dynamic taxation.

The technology platform intends to compute and deduct taxes automatically, immobilize vehicles with unpaid taxes, and benefit citizens by improving traffic management, disaster alerts, and planning efficient transport systems.

Your proposed timeline for implementation appears detailed, considering various stages from design to pilot testing. However, its execution would require significant investment, technological infrastructure, and a coordinated effort among multiple stakeholders and government bodies.

Your approach is akin to Pigouvian taxation, aiming to internalize the externalities of transport. It aligns with contemporary discussions on reducing private vehicle usage and promoting sustainable transportation modes.

Your communication with various stakeholders, including government officials, researchers, and transportation institutes, demonstrates your commitment to garnering support and expertise for this proposal's success.

It's worth noting that such an ambitious and innovative plan will likely face challenges in implementation, including regulatory, privacy, and technological hurdles. Moreover, public acceptance and behavioral changes may also pose significant hurdles to its success.

Overall, your proposal offers a holistic approach to addressing transportation-related challenges, leveraging technology and taxation to incentivize eco-friendly transport while optimizing logistics and reducing environmental harm.

 

 

My past blogs on Solar Power :


NPAs in the making ?

Look Before You Leap

Is Sun setting on Solar ?

Roof Top Solar : Better Alternative

Transmission  Capacity is  the  Culprit  !

This  was   Expected  !

Clean Power ?

Solar Roofs ? Why not ?

Unsustainable SRISTI ? 

“  Rent – a – Roof “  for  Solar  Power 

Sahaj Bijli Har Ghar Yojana 

Roof Top Solar : Stuck at Plinth Level ? 

Green Buildings ? Put Greed to Work ! 

Solar Power at Rs 1 per Kwh ?

Renewable Energy Segment : Please include Co-operative Farming of Solar Power ..  29  Oct  2023

Kardinia - a warm / sunny Welcome.. 26  May  2023

 

Power Play : Day or Night…………………………………………. 28 Apr 2023

 

Ø  40 GW : 70 GW : 300 GW : 800 GW   …………………….[ 24 May 2019 ]

 

Ø  Solar Power : Internal Rate of Return  …………………….[ 27 Jan 2018 ]

 

Ø  Sun shines 24x7 : Somewhere or Other  …………………[ 29 Sept 2021 ]

 

Ø  Unlimited Power : and round the clock ?................. [ 29 July 2016 ]

 

Ø  I  have  a  Dream………………………………………………………[ 01 Nov 2017 ]

 

Ø  Sun  Shines  on  Saudi ………………………………………………[ 06 April 2018 ]

 

Ø  Liu Zhenya : The Visionary………………………………………… [ 04 June 2018 ]

 

Ø  Sun : Power that never fails………………………… [ 05 June 2020 ]

 

Ø  How to reduce Carbon Emission to Net Zero ?..[ 25 July 2021 ]

 

Ø  Well said, Shri Ajay Mathur ………………………………………… [ 23 Aug 2021 ]

 

Ø  1000 TIMES MORE POWERFUL SOLAR PV PANELS ……….[ 08 Sept 2021 ]

Ø  Rooftop Solar Installations Could Exceed 2,000 GW by 2050 Globally ( 24 Sept 2021 )