Law of Unintended Consequences

·         WHAT IS THIS LAW ?

          When the result of your action is exactly opposite of your intention

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·         ANY PROOF OR JUST A HYPOTHESIS ?

Egyptians launched “ Arab Spring “ to get rid of dictator Hosni Mubarak and landed up with a worse guy, Morsi

     Americans tried to get rid of Taliban , only to end up with ISIL  !

     And they just don’t learn .

     They voted out Hillary Clinton to get stuck with Donald Trump , who wants

     350,000 H1B Visa holding Indian geeks to go home – only to realize later that it

     would cost loss of jobs for 3.5 million Americans , through “ Remote Working “!

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·         GOT IT ! ANY RECENT INDIAN EXAMPLE ?

Demonetization

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·         BUT WAS THAT NOT TO GET RID OF BLACK MONEY AND CORRUPTION ?

Exactly ! That , of course was the intention !

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·         SO , THAT DID NOT HAPPEN ?

You are catching up fast !

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·         THEN WHAT HAPPENED ?

Black Money generation / Corruption has actually doubled ( sorry , quadrupled )

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·         WE THOUGHT ALL BLACK MONEY GOT DEPOSITED IN BANKS, AND NO MORE RS 1000 NOTES !

Sure ! But government says , money does not change colour by getting deposited in bank accounts !

We must scrutinize all “ Suspect “ accounts

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·         BUT WILL NOT NUMBER OF SCRUTINY CASES GO DOWN BECAUSE OF DEMONETIZATION ?

It would have except BIG DATA analysis of DIGITAL TRANSACTIONS has thrown up 18 lakh Accounts ( general category ) and 62 lakh Accounts ( Jan Dhan ), which , the computer considers “ Suspect “ and wants IT officers to take a “ close look “ at

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·         HOW LONG WILL THAT TAKE ?

At the current rate of scrutiny / settlement , that may take 20 / 25 years !

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·         HOW CAN A ASSESSE WAIT THAT LONG ? IT IS LIKE A SWORD HANGING OVER YOUR HEAD !

Exactly ! So the IT guys are telling the assesses :

“ If you want a quick – and “ amicable “ – settlement , the new rates are :

( 2X times the Number of Notes ) * ( 2X of Rs 1000 denomination )

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·         SO , THAT IS WHAT YOU MEAN BY “ QUADRUPLE “ ?

Smart boy !

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·         BUT IF A TRAVELLING TV JOURNALIST WERE TO ASK AN IT OFFICER ,

“ IS DEMONETIZATION AN ISSUE IN YOUR AREA ? “ ,

WHAT WOULD HE SAY ?

Of course , it is an issue – a WELCOME  ISSUE – to take care of our many coming generations of issues !

08  Feb  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

   

  

Congrats ! - and a note of Caution !

Dear  Piyush Goyalji  :

MINT ( 07 Feb 2017 ) quotes you to say :

·          India’s solar power generation capacity stood at over 9 gigawatt ( GW ) as on 31 Dec 2016

·         State owned NTPC Ltd has decided to shut down its old polluting power plants of capacity totalling 11 GW and replace those with new ones which are highly efficient

During his budget speech , Shri Jaitleyji said , target for new Solar Power plants for 2017-18 , is 20 GW

Congratulations for achievements on the Solar front  !

And a word of “ Caution “ as far as those 11 GW of coal based NTPC plants

I reproduce below , an extract from book “ Clean Disruption “ ( page 227 ) by author, Tony Seba ( www.tonyseba.com ) :

India has a growing coal-induced human catastrophe of its own. Outdoor air pollution caused 600,000 deaths in India in 2010

The country has about 120 GW of coal today, but has proposed building 519 GW of additional coal power plants

India’s coal deposits are mainly composed of lignite, also known as brown coal . Lignite is considered the lowest quality coal, according to industry classifications

Lignite has up to TEN TIMES the number of volatile organic compounds as US anthracite

Because has a lower heat content, more needs to be burned to get the same amount of energy as anthracite

If the additional 519 GW of coal power capacity is brought online in India, the country will quadruple its coal capacity infrastructure using lignite, the lowest quality coal

Lignite generates TEN TIMES the particulate matter of anthracite coal

The human death toll in India because of coal pollution could be an ORDER OF MAGNITUDE higher than it is today, as many as  SIX MILLION  deaths per YEAR

Moreover, the water needs of the coal industry would devastate a country already ravaged by water mismanagement and desertification

Indian reports on soil degradation have increased by a factor of SIX, according to the United Nations Convention to combat Desertification

On pages 229-231 , Tony Seba  writes :

“Typical new coal plant will produce power for 12.8 CENT per kwh(Rs 9) “

Last month , a new Solar Plant in MASDAR City came up at 2.59 CENT / kwh ( Rs 1.8 )

Dear Piyushbhai :

Is it too late for NTPC to re-invent itself ( otherwise known as “ Making yourself obsolete before someone else does “ ), by becoming NSPC ( National Solar Power Corporation ) ?

During 2015-16 , NTPC suffered a loss of Rs 11,000 crore

To set up those 11 GW of new coal plants , it will need an investment of Rs 77,000 cr , - and need 10 years to put up - all of which will become non-productive / dead investment within a few years !

For the same amount , we can put up  11 GW of Solar plants in ONE YEAR – plants which will still be 99 % efficient after 20 years !

ADANI Group recently commissioned a 648 MW Solar in Tamilnadu , at Rs 7 Cr per MW – ( Rs 7,000 cr or $ 1 Billion per GW ) - all within 8 months !

Recently , a small nation like Indonesia managed to bring out into the mainstream economy , some $ 300 Billion of BLACK MONEY , through an Amnesty Scheme ( 4 % tax / no penalty ! ) – enough for putting up 300 GW of Solar plants !

Is there a way to save all of the misery / cost / human lives , associated with coal ?

I request you to take a look at my following earlier blogs / emails :

From  Greed to  Great  ?

 { http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2015/10/from-greed-to-great.html  }

SolarPower at Rs 1 per Kwh ?

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2017/01/solar-power-at-rs-1-per-kwh.html }

Sun :Our Soul ( A New SOS )

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2017/01/sun-our-soul-new-sos.html }

 

OneUp on Donald Trump ?

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/12/one-up-on-donald-trump.html }

 

SUN is THESOLUTION

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/09/sun-is-solution.html }

 

UnlimitedPower : and round the clock ?

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/07/unlimited-power-and-round-clock.html }

 

A WELCOMEPROBLEM ?

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2015/08/a-welcome-problem.html }

 

As far as the Solar Power’s potential for generation of JOBS is concerned , I request you to look up :

 

National Solar JobsCensus - 2016

{ http://www.thesolarfoundation.org/solar-jobs-census/ }

 

Do correct me if I am factually wrong / erroneous in assumptions or conceptually incorrect !

 

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08  Feb  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

 

 

 

Judiciary in the footsteps of Technology ?

Times of India ( 07 Jan 2017 ) carries following report with heading :

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 SC asks Centre to link all mobile numbers to Aadhaar within one year

“ The Supreme Court on Monday directed Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led central government to register details of identity of every mobile user within a year.

The apex court said that there are over 100 crore mobile subscribers , while making it mandatory for all mobile subscribers, including those having pre-paid SIM cards, to have their phone number linked to Aadhaar without fail WITHIN ONE YEAR.

The court also directed the Centre to device a way so that each person with a pre-paid sim would have to fill and deposit a form whenever he or she recharges.”

Shri Amitabh Kant ( CEO- NITI Aayog ) has repeatedly said :

“ Regulatory framework always lags behind technological innovations and is, perpetually , in the catch-up mode “

When he reads this directive of Supreme Court, he may change his view !

Apparently – and quite possibly , without being consciously aware – Supreme Court has removed all impediments / constraints to a speedy implementation of the following :

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·         Enabling holding of simultaneous elections ( Lok Sabha + all State Assemblies ) , on a SINGLE DAY , using Mobile App :

          VotesApp

         { http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2012/12/votesapp.html  }

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·         Making it possible to save lives of 1.2 million children ( under age 5 ) dying of starvation each year , through use of Mobile App :

BANMALI{ Ban Mal-Nutrition in India }

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/11/banmali-is-total-solution.html }

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·         Ensuring Comprehensive Health Care for all Indians , through use of Mobile App,

3D– Digital Delivery of Drugs / Dispenser

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2015/10/3-d-digital-delivery-of-drugs.html }

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·         Ensuring total compliance of “ Delivery of Services Act “ through Mobile App,

I  SIN  >  < U  SIN

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2012/12/i-sin-u-sin.html }

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·         Conducting Performance Appraisal of MPs/MLAs , through use of Mobile App,

ROMP – Recall Our  Member of Parliament

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2015/08/romp-panacea.html }

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·         An exhaustive Employment Generation measure through use of Mobile App,

From  BAD to  MAD

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/06/from-bad-to-mad.html }

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·         An activation of  DIGITAL METER  in Taxies through use of Mobile App,

Fare-Calc

{  http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/05/tablets-in-taxies.html  }

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·         A Voice Activated Mobile Wallet through use of Mobile App ,

          SARAL

         { http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/12/when-bhim-is-here-can-arjun-be-far- away.html }

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·         Monitoring of Drug-addicted Youth of India through use of Mobile App,

DRUG-FREE

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/12/one-small-step.html }

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·         A Comprehensive Traffic Control through use of Mobile App ,

          DIVERT

       { http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/11/let-us-leapfrog-world.html }

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·         Saving the World from Artificial Intelligence , using  Mobile App ,

          ARIHANT

        { http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/10/fast-forward-to-future-3-f.html }

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·         Instant access to all info about candidates through use of Mobile App ,

         Filter

       { http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/09/filtering-candidate-information.html }

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·         Tracking of High Denomination Currency Notes through use of Mobile App,

         Tracker

       { http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/07/the-march-of-algorithms.html}

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·         Creation of Digital Lockers through use of Mobile App,

Digi-Lock    

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2015_05_01_archive.html  }

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·         Publicizing Loan Defaulter info through use of Mobile App,

          Beware

        { http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/08/be-aware-beware.html }

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·         Tracking of Black Money through use of Mobile App ,

           Black-Mail

      { http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/07/silver-lining-vs-missing-perspective.html  }

Fak-e-Mon

{ http://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/07/fak-e-mon.html  }

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If NDA government is sincere about making , 21^st Century to be an INDIAN CENTURY , it is high time for it to encourage India’s Start Ups – and cooperate with them – to implement the above-mentioned  16 MOBILE APPs

Thank You , Supreme Court , for one more instance of your Judicial Activism !

07  Feb  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs