Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Sunday, 23 January 2022

RKS liberates RTSP

 


( read : Shri R K Singh liberated Roof Top Solar Power )


Context :

Rooftop solar programme    /  22 Jan 2022

Extract :

Subject – Environment

Context – Rooftop solar programme norms eased

Concept :

·         India has significant rooftop solar potential at 1.7 petawatt hour per year.

 

Changes introduced :

·         MNRE said that now it is not necessary for a household to get the RTS installed by any of the listed vendors of a State Discom. The households can also install the equipment on their own and inform the Discom along with a photograph of the system.


o    The Discom will then have to ensure that net metering is provided within 15 days.


o    The government said that individual households can now opt for a vendor of their choice.


·         The subsidy amount for purchasing the equipment will be credited directly into their bank accounts, within 30 days of installation.

 

About the scheme :

·         Implemented by the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy.


·         Presently under implementation is the Grid-Connected Rooftop Solar Scheme (Phase II), it aims to achieve a cumulative capacity of 40,000 MW from Rooftop Solar Projects by the year 2022.


·         This scheme is being implemented in the state by distribution companies (DISCOMs).

 

The major objective of the programme includes :

·         To promote the grid-connected SPV rooftop and small SPV power generating plants among the residential, community, institutional, industrial and commercial establishments.


·         To mitigate the dependence on fossil fuel based electricity generation and encourage environment-friendly Solar electricity generation.


·         To create an enabling environment for investment in the solar energy sector by the private sector, state government and the individuals.


·         To create an enabling environment for the supply of solar power from rooftop and small plants to the grid.


 

MY TAKE :

Dear Shri R K Sighji ( Minister for New and Renewable Energy  ),

 

While congratulating for this “ minor liberalization “ of current ROOF TOP SOLAR REGIME , please ask if this is enough, considering :

 #  Our installed capacity of Roof Top Solar was a meagre is 6.0 GW By Oct  2021

#   Our target is to achieve 40  GW by the current year ( 2022 )


Obviously an impossible task, with just 11 months left to install 34 GW

( Source : Why India's rooftop solar installation initiative is yet to see the light of success  )    

 

Could we achieve this target in next 22 months ?

 

Yes

By UNLEASHING the power of the sun through implementation of suggestion in my following e-mail :

Sun : Our Soul ( A New SOS )  ………………………………….  02 Jan 2017

 

Extract :

Why install small solar power plants on roof tops ?

Simple :

 

With roof-top based solar plants , we don't need to distribute power over long distances , using nation-wide distribution network. We produce / store / consume power in same place


So no transmission costs / losses / thefts !

 

There are no " intermediaries " between producers and consumers ( eg: DISCOMS )


No need of elaborate " metering / billing / accounting "

 

No need for PPA ( Power Purchase Agreements ) between producers and DISCOMs

 

A roof top solar installation can be done in a matter of hours, providing employment to lakhs of Installation Technicians, employed by thousands of MSME engaged in such work

 

Many more lakhs will find jobs in companies engaged in manufacture of allied electrical /  electronic / storage batteries etc

 

So enormous " Job Generation " as a by-product

 

These local MSME manufacturers / installers , will aggressively compete and provide quick / efficient , after-sales service

 

Of course , roof top solar power's Capital Cost per kwh is higher than same for large land based installations . Over the next couple of years, this will even out

 

But as I mentioned in my earlier blog :

 

*  COST OF FUEL ( Sun ) is  ZERO


*  COST OF MAINTENANCE , too , is nearly  NIL

 

Practically , the only cost of a roof top based solar plant is " INTEREST ON CAPITAL "

 

Now NDA government has announced a Capital Subsidy of 30 % on " Competitively Discovered Price " for roof top installations and made an allocation of ( approx ) , Rs 5200 crores ( $ 750 million ), for putting up 4200 MW

 

But , on the balance 70 % of Capital Cost , users will need to borrow money from banks at 10 % - 15 % interest and go through a lengthy approval process and hypothecate the assets

 

And ensure timely repayment of EMI in order, not to get their plants " repossessed " !

 

But imagine following scenario :

 

*  Government declares units belonging to " Solar Power ( Panel Mfr / Power

   Production & Distribution / Ancillary Mfr  ) " as    a "  SOS " industry

     

*  Units will need to register as such with Department of Company Affairs ( DIPP )

 

*  Units will be exempt  from paying Corporate Income Tax for 10 years , on

   whatever income they earn

   ( only those starting operations latest by 31 March 2018 )

 

 

 *  No questions will be asked as to the " source " of funds invested in the shares

    of such units ( a kind of Temporary Amnesty Scheme - 01 April 2017  till 31

    March 2018 - to channelize BLACK MONEY into creation of PRODUCTIVE  /

    NON-POLUTING assets )

   

 *  Units cannot engage in any other Industrial / Commercial / Financial activities

  

 *  Units cannot declare any dividends to share-holders for 10 years

  

These are just broad outlines and details need to be worked out

 

If there is political courage to pull off such an initiative , government will NOT need to allocate ANY AMOUNT !

 

NO NEED TO SUBSIDIZE THESE UNITS OR THE USERS , WITH THE TAX PAYERS' MONEY !

 

Instead of that $ 750 million allocation ( from tax payers' money ) , Black Money holders will readily pump in $ 750 BILLION into the SOLAR INDUSTRY ( enough for additional installed capacity of 750 GW - as against our current installed capacity 8.63 GW of solar , and a target of 100 GW , by 2022 ! )

 

Remember , how , only a few months back , tiny Indonesia managed to collect $ 300 billion of its Black Money , by levying tax ( no penalty ) of just 4 % !

 

And with this kind of  INCENTIVE WINDOW ( to convert BLACK into WHITE ) , expect

 

*  Hundreds of SOS Units to spring up before 31 March 2018


*  They will have ZERO cost as far as servicing of EQUITY is concerned ! No

    dividends !

 

*  They will not need to borrow funds from banks and pay interest ( no danger of

    NPA ! )

 

 

*  They will say : We are not in the business of " manufacturing of panels " but we

    are in the business of :

    " Delivering electric power to homes / businesses "

 

 

With regards

Hemen Parekh / hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 24 Jan 2022

 

Related Readings :


https://mnre.gov.in/solar/current-status/     


https://www.downtoearth.org.in/news/renewable-energy/india-adds-highest-rooftop-solar-capacity-for-a-quarter-in-july-sept-mercom-79189#:~:text=India%20installed%20521%20megawatts%20(MW,this%20year%20(341%20MW).   


Thank You, Shri R K Singhji : the Green Warrior……………[ 26 Oct 2021 ]

Not Good Enough ! ……………………………………………………………[ 02 Dec 2017 ]

Treading ( gently ) on Solar Power Trading…………………… .[ 18 Oct 2021 ]

No Godfather for Rooftop Solar ? ……………………………………..[ 01 June 2021 ]

Market-based Model for Renewable Energy ………………………[ 09 June 2021 ]

Congratulations , Shri R K Singhji …………………………………….[ 19 Nov 2020 ]

Congratulations , Shri Saurabh Patelji ……………………………….[ 31 Dec 2020 ]

How to reduce Carbon Emission to Net Zero ? .........[ 26 July 2021 ]


 

 

 

 

Friday, 21 January 2022

Thank You, Nitinbhai Gadkariji ,

 


 

Indian citizen expected from you,  “ Out of the Box / Bold  “ thinking, when they read :

 

Govt moving to allow common citizens to invest in infra projects : Nitin Gadkari / BL / 22 Jan 2022

Extract :

The Government is awaiting SEBI’s approval for enabling common citizens to invest at least Rs 1 lakh in infrastructure projects under a new model for asset monetisation, Nitin Gadkari, Minister for Road Transport and Highways said on Friday

“ Most pension fund and foreign investors are investing in projects. But we should take the cooperation of Indian people, particularly those who can invest a minimum of Rs 1 lakh in road projects, for which we have already developed a NEW MODEL.

We are awaiting approval from SEBI so that the common man can invest in NHAI ( National Highway Authority of India )

We are trying to give him an assured income of 7.5 – 8 per cent

My interest is to give benefit to the poor people who can invest in their economy because, in India, we have problems in pension, insurance and share economy “

For that reason, the Minister said, if small people can invest in infrastructure and get 7.5 – 8 per cent interest, it can be a GREAT THING for them – to contribute to infrastructure development and benefit from it too

 

Dear Shri Gadkariji,

 

About a month ago, you had announced this “ intention “ in Rajya Sabha


At that time, you talked about an “ interest rate “ of 6 % . Now you talk about 7.5 – 8 % ( new model ? )


Till the details of your proposal ( awaiting SEBI approval ) are made public, it continues to look , not much different than a FIXED DEPOSIT scheme , which is unlikely to raise Rs 100 Lakh x Crore that you need for planned highways


 I urge you to stop tinkering and adopt the scheme which I earlier suggested in my following e-mail :


 Congratulations, Nitinbhai ……………………. [  15 Dec 2021 ]


 With regards,

Hemen Parekh  /  hcp@RecruitGuru.com  /  22 Jan 2022

 

Thursday, 20 January 2022

Thank You CESL : for that OPEX model

 


Context :

CESL launches tender for over 5K electric buses    /   TOI   /  21 Jan 2022

Extract :

Through this Grand Challenge, CESL aims to deploy 5450 single decker buses and 130 double decker buses

 

Mahua Acharya, MD & CEO, CESL said,

 

“ The real meaning of aggregation across cities under an OPEX MODEL, is actually homogenization .

 

This is the biggest ever scheme in the World – and is based on an INNOVATIVE , ASSET-LIGHT model that makes it possible for STUs, to deploy AFFORDABLY and at scale.

 

The GRAND CHALLENGE will certainly encourage the faster transition to green mobility across the country , while creating a synergy between private operators and State Governments “

Amitabh Kant, CEO NITI Aayog said,

 

Standardizing tendering conditions in diverse cities is a big step towards the transformation of public transport in India.

 

Participation in the Grand Challenge is a commendable effort from STUs , who I am sure will stand to gain economies of scale through the aggregation of demand by CESL “

 

 

MY  TAKE  :

 

   

For over 4 YEARS, I have been advocating that EESL ( at that time CESL subsidiary was not even launched ) take EVs on WET LEASE , rather than OUTRIGHT PURCHASE


Following are my 20 e-mails in this regard :


2017 ( 2 )

EESL : Lease cars , do not Buy !                        [ 18  Aug  2017  ]

 

To Buy or not to Buy?                                        [ 11  Oct  2017   ]

 

2018  ( 13  )

Logical to Lease                                                                  [ 06 Mar 2018 ]


Scam ? #EESL #NDA #BJP #MNRE                                       [ 08 Mar 2018  ]


Buy or Lease ?                                                                    [ 03 April 2018 ]


Do  they  have  an  option ?                                                 [ 14 April 2018 ]


Evidence  is  piling  up  !                                                      [ 13 May 2018 ]


EESL :  a  wake  up  time  ?                                                 [ 27 June 2018 ]


EESL : Grab this chance !                                                     [ 01 Aug 2018 ]


EESL : Put it off indefinitely !                                                [ 19 Aug 2018 ]


EESL : Getting Away from Straitjacket ?                                [ 26 Aug 2018 ]


If China can , so can We                                                      [ 27 Aug 2018 ]


Cars on Subscription ? Convenience Redefined                       [ 10 Sept 2018 ]


EESL : It is your move now !                                                [ 12  Oct  2018 ]


Thank You , Shri Jaitleyji,                                                    [ 25 Dec 2018 ]


2019  ( 2 )

E- Bus : without ETA [ Expected Time of Arrival ] ?              [ 04  Apr  2019 ]


    Congratulations, Shri Saurabh Kumarji ……………………………………[ 13 Nov 2019 ]

 

2021 ( 3 )

     CESL : Carpe Diem ( Seize this Opportunity ) ………………………[ 18 June 2021 ]


     A Vindication ?  ……………………………………………………………………….[ 04 Sept 2021 ]


     Thank You, Smt Mahua Acharyaji,  …………………………………………[19 Oct 2021 ]

 ==================================================

Once again,

Thank You, Smt Acharyaji ( mdcesl@eesl.co.in  ),

 

I urge you to follow the same WET LEASE tender system, when CESL floats the

GREAT CHALLENGE for replacing government fleet of 500,000 Petrol / Diesel

 vehicles with Electric Vehicles


WET LEASING model ( as per “ cost per Km” calculations shown in my earlier e-

mails ), has following advantages :


#   Enormous saving in UP-FRONT investment ( Capital Cost ) running into

     thousands of crore of rupees


#   Huge saving in OPERATING / MAINTENANCE / MANPOWER costs ( borne by

     the lessors )


#   Much higher daily UTILIZATION ( since lessors earns lease-rent on “ per

     km “ basis , he will ensure that buses keep running )


#   Very little DOWNTIME due to battery dis-charge ( lessors will set up no of

      battery charging stations )


With regards,

Hemen Parekh / hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 21 Jan 2022  

==============================================

Added on  05  May  2022 :


CESL discovers lowest ever prices for 5450 Electric buses under FAME II Scheme

   

 Extract :


Convergence Energy Services Limited (CESL), a PSU under the Ministry of Power today announced prices discovered for the biggest ever demand for electric buses.

The Grand Challenge tender comprises demand for 5450 buses across five major Indian cities – Kolkata, Delhi, Bangalore, Hyderabad, and Surat. Prices discovered are the lowest ever and more importantly, at par with or very close to the operational cost of diesel buses.

The lowest price discovered for a 12-meter bus is Rs. 43.49/km, and a 9-m bus is Rs. 39.21/km. This includes the cost of electricity for charging the buses.

Prices realized set a benchmark for public transport, the price point for which may encourage even the smaller cities to adopt electric vehicles.

Prices discovered represent electric mobility as a “service”, a relatively new and emerging business model that makes it affordable for state transport undertakings to adopt electric buses. In an industry first, the Grand Challenge tender homogenizes demand for electric buses – making this a step closer to standardization of modern public mobility.

The value of the tender is over Rs. 5000 Crores

The buses are expected to operate around 4.71 billion kilometers over twelve years saving 1.88 billion liters of fossil fuel. 

This will result in 3.31 million tonnes of CO2e from tailpipe emissions, a major step towards mitigating climate change.

Buses will benefit from the central Government subsidy offered under the remodeled FAME II scheme administered by the Ministry of Heavy Industries. With the very low discovered prices under the Grand Challenge, a savings of approximately Rs. 361 Crores of national subsidy can be realized, which in turn may be utilized for additional buses.

The Grand Challenge constitutes best-in-class tender conditions, including standard specifications for buses, depots, and charging stations

The contract term is 12 years, with assured kilometers of 10 lacs per bus, and a credible payment security system. Special emphasis was paid to the requirement for domestic content, specifications for which are the highest to date. 

At least 25,000 people will be employed through this tender, of which 10% will be women. This does not include new employment created through new manufacturing facilities.

The process of homogenization started in July 2021, following a Gazette of India notification dated 11th June 2021issued by the Ministry of Heavy Industries. 9 cities are eligible to receive subsidies under the remodeled FAME II Scheme. Of these, 5 have participated in this tender. All major bus manufacturers participated in the tender.

Announcing the discovered prices, Mahua Acharya, MD & CEO, CESL said that the rates we have witnessed today make electric buses extremely competitive across the country. 

These rates are based on the terms and conditions of the tender and the sheer number of buses that cities have requested.  The Grand Challenge will certainly encourage a faster transition to green mobility across the country while creating a synergy between private operators and state governments, she added.

================================================

Added on 31 May 2022 :

How demand aggregation halved the cost of running buses


Extract :

The recently-concluded tender for 5,450 e-buses — the country’s largest to date — has thrown up a pleasant surprise. The cost of running a bus service has been brought down to less than ₹45 per km for an e-bus from ₹75–90 for a regular, diesel-powered bus. 

Tata Motors has won 5,000 buses, Olectra (part of the Megha Engineering group) 300 buses, and VolvoEicher 150.  

=================================================================

Added  on  02  June  2022 :

CESL plans mega tender of 50,000 e-buses over 5 years /  ET  / 02 June 2022

Extract :

Company’s managing director, Mahua Acharya, said after such mega tenders are set to lower costs, she expects state transit utilities to eventually put an end to polluting diesel buses.


The tenders would not be backed by subsidy from the Central government and are likely to be issued in phases, the first one likely to be kick-started this month end, she said.


CESL recently completed a 5,450 e-bus tender that discovered 40% lower prices compared with diesel buses.


The discovered prices are based on a gross cost contracting model payable on rupees per km basis for 12 years. 


The tender process was started in July 2021 under which nine cities are eligible to receive subsidy under the remodelled FAME II Scheme. Of these, five participated in this tender with standardised terms and conditions.

“The tender showed that demand aggregation is doable and results in better prices. Cities are better off putting their demand into a larger bucket than tendering alone ..

=======================================================================
Added on 16 June 2022 :



Instead of CESL buying the electric three-wheelers directly from manufacturers and selling them to the customer, complete with the Centre-funded subsidy under the Faster Adoption and Manufacturing or Electric Vehicles (FAME) scheme, it will now act as a facilitator between the customer and financier, a top official of CESL said.

As per estimates each of these electric three-wheelers cost in the range of ₹300,000- ₹325,000, taking the entire value of the 100,000 units to Rs 3,000 crore to Rs 3,250 crore

“We are not doing the financing but somebody else will. "

=========================================================

Switch Mobility bets on low TCO-driven model to make e-bus adoption viable 


Lower TCO has driven faster electric vehicle adoption in three-wheelers. Similarly, we are focusing on TCO for the electric bus, too. Because the e-mobility as a service (eMaaS) model has only 20-22 per cent cash outflow due to the cost of the electric bus

Our e-buses today are operating at 98 per cent uptime (as against the business case of 95 per cent), which allows more collections and revenue

The company will offer different business models such as eMaaS, wet lease, etc., depending on the customer segment requirements.  

============================================================


Independent Analyst Mahantesh Sabarad said, “CESL has long-term plans that envisage procuring 50,000 buses over 10 years. By bidding low prices, Tata Motors stands a good chance to grab a major share of those 50,000 buses providing a solid base to absorb associated fixed costs. High volumes ensure they cross breakeven volumes comfortably. That’s one reason why they could be profitable.”