( FAME =
Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of Hybrid and Electric Vehicles )
National E Mobility Mission Plan [ NEMP –
2012 ]
7 million E Vehicles on the roads by 2020
enter FAME
2015 Target
> By
2030, all vehicles
on Indian roads should be Electric
( - some 300 million ? )
2016 Target
> By 2030 , 25 % of the vehicles on
Indian roads should be electric ( - 75 million ? )
FAME
II ( Ap 19 – Mar 22 ) - 3 Years
Highlights
of FAME II :
# Scheme starts on …………………………….. 01
April 2019
# Total value of Subsidy Package ………….
Rs 10,000 Crore
# Charging Stations ( Rs 1,300 Cr )………….2,700
Current Targets
/ Subsidy Amounts :
|
Type
of E Vehicle / Battery Capacity (KWh)
|
Target Number ( 3 YR )
|
Subsidy Amount / Maximum Veh Price (Rs )
|
End Use prescribed
|
|
Buses
|
7,090
|
35-60 lakh /
2 crore
|
Public Transport
|
|
Cars ( Hybrid ) / 15 -
25
|
20,000
|
5000-20,000 / 15
lakh
|
Taxi / Aggregator
|
|
Cars ( Electric )
/ 15 - 25
|
35,000
|
1.5 - 2.5 lakh / 15 lakh
|
Taxi / Aggregator
|
|
3 Wheelers / 5 - 10
|
500,000
|
50,000-1 lakh / 5 lakh
|
Commercial
|
|
2 Wheeler /
2 – 4
|
1,000,000
|
20K-40K /
1.5 lakh
|
Private use
|
=======================================================================
Following
figures speak for themselves :
|
Type of E - Vehicle
|
Target for 3 years
|
Therefore Per Year
|
Actual EV sold in 17-18
|
|
Buses
|
7,090
|
Approx. 2,300
|
Less than 200 ?
|
|
Cars ( Hybrid )
|
20,000
|
Approx. 7,000
|
NIL
|
|
Cars ( Electric )
|
35,000
|
20,000
|
1,200
|
|
3 Wheelers
|
500,000
|
175,000
|
132,000 (
low cap Ricks )
|
|
2 Wheelers
|
1,000,000
|
333,000
|
58,400
|
====================================================================
How
much of above targets are likely to be achieved ?
|
Type of Veh
|
17-18(Actual)
|
18-19(Est)
|
19-20(Est)
|
20-21(Est)
|
3yr total(E)
|
3yr Target
|
%age likely
|
|
Buses
|
200
|
500
|
750
|
1000
|
2,250
|
7090
|
32
|
|
Cars ( Hy )
|
Nil
|
500
|
1,000
|
2,000
|
3,500
|
20,000
|
17.5
|
|
Cars ( E )
|
1,200
|
3,000
|
5,000
|
7,000
|
15,000
|
35,000
|
43
|
|
3 Wheelers
( excluding E - Ricks with less than 5 KWh battery )
|
132,000
( all sold were under 5 kwh battery, which do not qualify for
subsidy )
|
10,000
( with battery bigger than 5 KWh )
|
15,000
|
25,000
|
50,000
|
500,000
|
10
|
|
2 Wheeler
|
58,400
|
75,000
|
100,000
|
125,000
|
300,000
|
1,000,000
|
30
|
Ref :
=======================================================================
What
is the reason for this pessimism ?
#
Non-availability of “ Fast “ battery charging stations every few km, resulting
in “ range anxiety “ for EV buyers
# Maintenance /
Service / Repair garages for Electric vehicles, on each corner ( new technology
poses problems )
# Despite the
subsidies, ex-factory prices will still remain much higher than for equivalent Petrol
/ Diesel vehicles
# Ramping up
production is a very complex and time-consuming process. Not like turning on a
tap !
What ,
if any , is the shortcoming of just announced FAME II ?
# It focuses
solely on “ Incentivizing the Buyers “
through subsidies
# There are no
“ Incentives “ for the vehicle manufacturers to ramp up production or
commercialize “ cost
reducing “ technologies, especially in the
matter of Lithium-ion batteries which constitute up to 40 % of EV ex-
factory
price
# There are no
“ dis-incentives “ for manufacture / sale / purchase of Petrol – Diesel
vehicles
# Linking the
subsidy amounts with battery size is not the right method . In fact a vehicle
with a smaller size
battery , but giving same performance ( speed
– range – charging time etc ) as a vehicle with a bigger battery,
should be rewarded with higher subsidy !
Efficient use of input resources must be
encouraged
# There is no
directive with regard to scrapping of old ( more than 10 years ) petrol /
diesel vehicles
What
would you recommend next ?
FAME
III ( Apr
22 - Mar 26
) – 4 years
[ A
]…..
MANUFACTURERS
( A.1 ) Policy Instrument > Corporate Income Tax for Incentivizing
the manufacturers of Batteries
Total exemption of
Corporate Income Tax for companies exclusively engaged in the manufacture of :
# Aluminium-Air Batteries ( No
need for any roadside battery charging stations
! )
EV
juice from Alu-Air Battery ? [ 16 Jan 2018 ]
Ashok Leyland is not
waiting ! [ 17 Jan 2018 ]
Holy Grail for Electric
Vehicles [ 17 Feb 2018 ]
# Sodium-ion Batteries
( Reduce battery cost to 10 % of
Lithium-ion Battery cost ! )
Congratulations , Shri
GopuKumarji [ 30 Jan 2019
]
#
Fuel Cell ( based on hydrolysis ) developed by CECRI
( literally FREE electricity and
zero pollution )
Ray , a drop of golden
Sun [ 18 Feb 2019
]
#
Other developments in fast-charging batteries ( under 5 minutes for 80 %
charge )
A New Battery
Could Store Ten Times the Power as Lithium-Ion
Piëch's
electric coupe charges to 80 percent in five minutes
( A.2 ) Abolish Corporate Income Tax ( for 10 years )
for the entire E Mobility Eco-System
From OLD to NEW ? No , go
NEWER ! [ 22 Sept 2016
]
For EV , Andhra gets an
A [ 25 Dec 2017
]
NITI proposes : SIAM postpones [ 20 Dec 2017
]
India : Energy Storage
Mission [ 04 Dec 2017
]
( A.3 ) Incentivizing the E Vehicle manufacturers
#
E Cars having Solar Rooftop powering a small
Li-ion Battery
Way back in March 2017 ,
ISRO demonstrated a OMNI retro-fitted with a Solar Panel roof-top ,
charging a high density
Lithium-ion Battery – eliminating need for roadside charging stations !
Most likely, such a car
would cost under Rs 10 lakh
As against this , German
company SONO MOTORS just
released its own final design for a similar
car with solar roof top and a 35 KWh battery , selling for Euro 25,500 ( Rs 20.5 Lakh )
Government
must go all out to persuade Indian Car Manufacturers to adopt ISRO technology
Not only, will we save
lakhs of crore of Rupees in Battery Charging Infrastructure but we would be
able to export
millions of such E Cars all over the world
#Solarcar #Electriccar [ 07 Nov 2017
]
Holy Grail for Electric
Vehicles [ 17 Feb 2018
]
#ISRO #MSME
#ElectricVehicle [ 13 Nov
2017 ]
EESL
: Getting Away from Straitjacket ? [ 26 Aug 2018
]
Solar
Panels charging Li-ion Batteries of Electric Cars ? [ 04 May
2017 ]
# Policy
Instrument > Carbon Credits
Based on car specifications / assumed average
monthly usage etc , figure out and fix
* " Carbon Credits " for
each model of electric car manufactured
* Based on Carbon Credits
earned , calculate Direct Transfer of Benefit ( DTB ) to electric
car manufacturers based on
monthly dispatches of each model
and then transfer these amounts from EVFF (
Electric Vehicle Finance Fund ) , as incentives to
manufacturers
PIYUSH PLAN ? [ 27 Mar 2016
]
Gathering Speed at Snail’s
Pace ? [ 02 Oct 2018
]
( A.4 ) Dis-incentivize
manufacturers for production of Petrol / Diesel vehicles
This could be achieved by gradually raising the GST
rate for such vehicles, starting from April 2022
and simultaneously gradual reduction in the GST rate for Electric
vehicles
( A.5 ) Incentivizing manufacturers to get into the “
Recycling of Old Vehicles “
By ordering to stop usage of old
vehicles in Delhi, already a serious problem has arisen in respect of
their storage and disposal . When
applied on all-India basis, this could lead to millions of old vehicles
getting “ abandoned “ and cluttering the
city-scape
But , this seeming nightmare could be
turned into a profitable business opportunity , by adoption of :
Car Grave-Yard of World
? [ 14 Feb 2018
]
====================================================================
[ B ] BUYERS
( B.1 ) Incentivize for purchase of E Vehicles – especially,
leasing of buses
FAME
II ( just announced )
#EV #ElectricVehicles #EESL
#WetLease [ 13 May
2018 ]
Provide depreciation to private
individual buyers
SIAM seeks SOPS [ 27 Dec
2017 ]
( B.2 ) Incentivize Retro-fitting of old Petrol /
Diesel vehicles ( non-compliant with BS VI norms )
Give subsidies to “Current Owners
of Old Vehicles “ at 150 % of subsidies announced under FAME II
( source : Missing piece of Jigsaw
Puzzle ? / 15 Nov
2018 )
( B.3 ) Incentivize to switch-over to E Bikes
Most users of 2 Wheelers
(costing Rs 1.5 lakh – 2 lakh ) run for less than 10 Km in a one way trip
For
them , FAME II proposes a onetime subsidy of Rs 20,000 – Rs 40,000
A
cheaper / faster alternative would be to retro-fit a standard / normal cycle ,
costing Rs 15,000 , with a,
Geo-Orbital
wheel ( costing approx. Rs 20,000 ) to run 30 Km at a speed of 30 kmph
What
are the advantages ?
#
India already produces 18 million cycles every year – largest in the
world
#
All of these are capable of being retro-fitted by Geo-Orbital
wheel ( takes just ONE minute ! )
#
Electric Motor of Geo-Orbital wheel is just
500 Watts !
#
Even if battery gets discharged half way , manual pedaling will work !
No range anxiety !
# Instead
of giving a subsidy of Rs 40,000 for a factory-built Electric 2 wheeler, a subsidy
of Rs 10,000 for
retro-fitting of Geo Orbital wheel,
will enable 4 times as many ( = 4 million ) users to commute faster !
#
Wheel can be re-charged at home at night , in 3-4 hours
#
Bicycle riding can be done by persons less than 16 years of age and does
not require a driving license !
A Radical Radial Revolution
! [ 18 Aug 2016 ]
How are other countries encouraging
cycling for reducing fossil fuel pollution ?
Following countries are “ paying “
citizens to use cycle :
Per Km run :
#
The Netherlands …… $ 0.22
/ km [ = Rs 14 x
1000 km / month = Rs 168,000 / year ]
# UK …………………………. $ 0.16 / km
[ = Rs 12 x 1000 km / month = Rs 144,000 / year ]
#
Belgium ………………… $ 0.26 / km
[ = Rs 18 x 1000 km / month = Rs 216,000 / year ]
Fixed amount :
#
France ………………… $ 230
/ year [
= Rs 16, 100 / year ]
#
USA…………………….. $ 240 / year [
= Rs 16,800
/ year ]
Fix Tax rebate to buy bicycle :
#
Luxembourg…………. $ 340
[ = Rs 23,800 ]
Connecting the News [ 18 June 2018
]
( B.4 ) Policy Instrument > Taxing all Vehicles based
on their “ Harm Quotient “ for environment
Dis-incentivize purchase of Petrol /
Diesel vehicles
Instead of
spending / wasting scarce government funds to “ Subsidize “ the buyers for purchase of E
Vehicles,
( and that
too, for 3 years ) , it would be far better to “ dis-incentivize / penalize “ them ( and permanently
),
by
introduction of Pigovian
TRANS-TAX on each and every vehicle , for its entire life ( no more “ Old
Vehicles “
only ), as
conceptualized in detail , at :
================================================================
[ C
] GOVERNMENT
( C.1 ) P0licy Instrument > Wet Leasing [ Thank You , Shri Jaitleyji / 25 Dec 2018
]
Today ,
there is a total disconnect between E Vehicle manufacturers and Battery
Charging Stations
E
Vehicle manufacturers have no incentive to set up charging stations , which, to
them are the responsibility
of the
Governments ( Central + States )
This
attitude will change overnight , if all government purchases of E Vehicles (
Central + State + Municipal )
are on a
“ WET LEASE “ basis , where the lease rent is
fixed on a “ Per Km “ of actual usage ( instead
of “ Per
day /
month “ ) .
For over a year , I have been urging EESL
to switch-over to this instead of outright purchase
To ensure
that the E Cars supplied by them to the governments are never stopped because
of battery
discharge ( and waiting for its 5 hour wait /
turn, to get charged at some charging station 10 km away ), the
manufacturers will ensure putting in place, a
vast network of Battery Charging Stations , ON THEIR OWN !
[
D ] PASSENGERS OF PUBLIC
TRANSPORT ( Non-Vehicle Owners
)
For taxis /
rickshaws running on Hybrid fuel ( producing less Co2 ) or Electric Vehicles (
zero emission ) ,
both , the driver and the passenger will get
" Carbon
Credits " , which
will also get displayed on
the DigiMet as
also on the FareCalc Mobile App on the smart phone of the
passenger ( @ 20 % of the fare
payable ? )
These amounts
will get transferred to their respective Jan Dhan Bank Accounts ( thru DTB ) , every quarter
( source : Making Yourself Obsolete ? / 14 Feb
2016 )
[ E
] SOLAR POWER
for ELECTRIC VEHICLES
Policy Instrument > Amendment to Electricity Act
Anyone can generate and SELL electricity , anytime and to anyone and
at any price !
( source : Not Good Enough ! / 02 Dec
2017 )
=======================================================================
FAME IV [
April 2026 – March 2030 ]
- 4 YEARS
At the end of FAME II /
FAME III ( 3 + 4 = 7 years )
, government must focus its attention and efforts on finding and implementing,
long term solutions .
Solutions which are aimed at “ Reducing Vehicles “ of all
kinds from roads, by “ Reducing Need to Travel “
Without doubt , these will have following priorities :
# Continuation
of the policy of “ Encouraging Public Transport “ ( Buses – Taxies – Metros etc
)
# Putting in
place , a policy of “ Shared Transport “
( of private cars which are barely used for 8 % of the time )
Going beyond these, “ Need to Travel “ ( in most cases
) , can be dramatically reduced by ,
# Encouraging “
Remote Working “
# Facilitating Video
Conferencing ( eg : Skype – FaceTime etc )
The steps to achieve these twin objectives , are :
# Nation-wide
Internet connectivity ( through 100 Mbps Optical Fibres )
# All Mobile
Services to be working on 5G
# Internet
through WIRELINE BROADBAND , coupled
with LI-FI in all homes
References :
"
BACK FACTORY " OF THE WORLD ? [ 09 Sept 2015
]
How
About Virtual Call Centers ? [ 04 Oct 2016
]
Wormholes
Across the World ? [
03 March
2017 ]
Will
Holograms beat H1B Visa Ban ? [
31 Jan
2017 ]
Peter’s WEB 3.0 [
09 Dec
2018 ]
#WiFi
#LiFi #Broadband #Internet [ 08 April
2018 ]
=======================================================================
06 March 2019
Rsvp :
hcp@RecruitGuru.com