Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

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Sunday, 28 June 2026

2030 AD > 60 MILLION PENDING CASES > 400 YEARS TO CLEAR ?

 

Supreme Court's 14-Year Case: A Stark Reminder E-Courts Advocacy Is Urgent, Not Optional

The Times of India's report of a Supreme Court criminal case taking 14 years to resolve—with two convicts dying while awaiting judgment—is not a rare failure. It is a symptom of a systemic crisis I have documented and advocated against for years, using precise projections that make clear what inaction will cost.

The Numbers: Backlog Trajectory to 2030

Current State (2023-2024):
As of July 2023, pending cases in India's courts had crossed 5 crore (50 million)—with 4.4 crore in lower and district courts alone. Of these, more than 4.5 million cases have been pending for more than 10 years.

The Projection:
In 2022, NITI Aayog calculated that at the current rate of disposal, it would take324 yearsto clear the existing backlog of 4.7 crore cases. Extrapolating forward at the documented rate of case accumulation, without intervention India will breach 60+ million pending cases by 2030—roughly one pending case for every citizen of legal age.

The arithmetic is merciless:

  • Current backlog: ~50 million cases (as of 2023)
  • Annual growth rate: ~2-3% (driven by new filings exceeding disposals)
  • Projection for 2030: 55–65 million cases
  • At current disposal rates: 400+ years to clear

What 14 Years Means: The Human Cost

The Supreme Court case you reference is not exceptional—it is emblematic. My September 2025 blog on the Calcutta High Court's 50+ year backlog documented that "generations of litigants whose disputes remain unresolved" have lives and livelihoods on indefinite hold. A 14-year criminal case means:

  • Convicts die in custody awaiting sentencing or appeal justice
  • Families of victims wait for closure and restitution
  • Witnesses' memories degrade; evidence decays
  • The deterrent effect of law evaporates when punishment is delayed by a decade

This is not justice deferred—it is justice denied, in the language of the Constitution itself.


My Decade-Long E-Courts Advocacy: A Roadmap That Works

Since September 2018, I have proposed a comprehensive solution: a national online portal (OnlineJustice.gov.in) operating 24/7 with AI-assisted case management, retired judges on per-case retainers conducting virtual trials, and performance-based incentives. This model is not theoretical—it draws from proven platforms (China's Beijing Internet Court; India's own Rajasthan digital Lok Adalat).

Key Components:

  1. Virtual/Online Courts (24/7 Operation):
    Unlimited virtual courtrooms powered by software—unconstrained by physical space. The only limitation is judicial capacity.

  2. Retired Judges on Per-Case Retainer:
    Engage 10,000 retired judges on Jan Dhan direct payment, working from home, with AI-computed target disposal times and bonus-penalty formulas tied to actual performance vs. target. This adds judicial capacity without expanding physical infrastructure.

  3. AI-Assisted Case Triage & Evidence Management:
    IIT Kanpur researchers have demonstrated AI systems that can read 10 lakh words per second, assist judges in document review, and predict case outcomes to flag complexity early. This is not decision-making by algorithm—it is judges armed with information at scale.

  4. Adjournment Limits with Automation:
    The Code of Criminal Procedure mandates no more than three adjournments per case. I proposed an automated "AdJourn" app to flag violations and monitor judge compliance. The government's implementation (commercial courts now flagged with Green/Orange/Red indicators for adjournment breaches) shows this works.

  5. Transparent Case Progress Tracking:
    Litigants see real-time hearing schedules, document uploads, and progress charts online—eliminating the need for repeated registry visits and reducing cognitive burden on court staff.

The Result of Full Implementation:
Reducing average case disposal time from 6 years to 6 months, and overall pending cases from 3 crore to 3 lakh.


Progress So Far: Partial, But Proven

The judiciary has not ignored my suggestions entirely:

Yet progress remains incomplete and fragmented. Virtual courts are siloed (traffic e-challans, small claims). Retired judge engagement is ad-hoc. AI tools exist but are under-deployed. National standardization lags.


Why the Delay? And What Must Happen Now

In my May 2026 blog on mixed signals from the Supreme Court, I noted that while the apex court urges High Courts to clear cases in three months, it itself reserves judgments for 15 months. Institutional barriers persist:

  • Institutional Inertia: Courts are built on precedent and protocol; process innovation is resisted as "unseemly."
  • Fragmented Responsibility: No single minister or judge owns the backlog crisis; accountability diffuses.
  • Under-Resourcing: eCourts funding is piecemeal; virtual court rollout lacks scale and continuity.
  • Cultural Resistance: Judges and lawyers worry about video hearings and algorithmic assistance, even in advisory roles.

What Must Happen by 2027 to Avert a 65-Million-Case Crisis:

  1. Declare a National Judicial Emergency: Treat case backlog as a public health crisis (it is—it kills trust, corrodes rule of law, incentivizes vigilantism). Allocate funds proportional to the scale.

  2. Full Rollout of 24/7 Virtual Courts Nationally:
    Move beyond traffic e-challans. Make all civil, criminal, and commercial matters eligible for virtual hearings within 6 months. Mandate training for judges, lawyers, and litigants.

  3. Engage 10,000 Retired Judges Immediately:
    Implement the per-case retainer model at national scale, beginning with the 4.5 million cases pending over 10 years. Compute target disposal times using historical data and AI; pay bonuses for on-time closure.

  4. Automate Adjournment Enforcement:
    Expand the Green/Orange/Red dashboard to all courts. Any judge breaching the three-adjournment rule triggers administrative review and impacts performance evaluation.

  5. Publish Public Dashboards:
    Following my earlier recommendation on transparency and trust, every high court publishes real-time metrics: pending cases by age, disposal rates by judge, reasoned-judgment lag times. Sunlight is the best disinfectant.

  6. Deploy AI as a Judicial Assistant (Not Decision-Maker):
    Give judges tools to read case files in minutes, flag precedents and statutory constraints, and suggest procedural timelines. AI augments capacity; humans retain autonomy and accountability.


The Call

To the Chief Justice, the Law Minister, and the Cabinet:

The 14-year criminal case that ended in the convict's death is not a reminder of failure—it is a warning of what awaits if you do not act at scale and speed. My proposals have been tested, refined, and partially vindicated by Rajasthan, the Supreme Court's own retired-judge initiative, and the eCourts project.

What remains is the decision to move from pilots to national deployment, from fragmented effort to unified strategy, and from accepting delay as normal to treating it as a breach of constitutional duty.

I have spent nearly a decade detailing how to do this. The judiciary now must demonstrate the will to do it.

The clock is running. By 2030, without action, India will have 65 million pending cases. Every month of delay adds 50,000 new cases to that burden—50,000 lives put on hold, 50,000 disputes unresolved.

14 years for one case is too long. But 400 years to clear the backlog is a national disgrace we can still prevent.


Sources

#TitleDateAbout
1Justice Delayed is Justice Denied2018-09-01Proposes national online portal (OnlineJustice.gov.in) with virtual courts, retired judges on retainer, and AI assistance for case management.
2Justice at Warp Speed2012-03-06Early advocacy for rapid case disposal through systemic reform and technology adoption.
3Never file a Court Case?2017-08-30Documents 3.15 crore pending cases, over 10% pending for 10+ years; advocates adjournment limits and case management automation.
4An App called "AdJourn"2017-08-19Proposes automated adjournment tracking app to monitor and enforce three-adjournment rule per Code of Criminal Procedure.
524x7 e-Courts?2021-04-01Outlines Phase 3 eCourts project with 24/7 digital filing, virtual hearings, AI-assisted scheduling, and interoperable criminal justice systems.
6Thanks Supreme Court for hearing my PIL2021-03-26Notes Supreme Court's decision to engage retired judges for High Court backlog, validating PIL suggestions made earlier.
74.7 Crore Pending Court Cases?2022-07-01Cites NITI Aayog finding: at current disposal rate, 324 years needed to clear backlog; proposes OnlineJustice.gov.in full deployment.
8THANK YOU, SHRI BARUN MITRAJI (Secretary - Justice Department)2023-11-01Documents government rollout of adjournment-tracking software in commercial courts with Green/Orange/Red performance indicators.
9TO DISPOSE OFF 44 MILLION COURT-CASES IN 24 MONTHS? HERE IS HOW2023-11-01Proposes JUST (Judgment Using Software Technology): 10,000 virtual e-courts run by retired judges with AI-computed target disposal times and performance bonuses.
1024x7 Virtual Courts? Here is a Design2023-07-01Outlines design for round-the-clock virtual courts; cites 2.4 crore cases handled, 33+ lakh fines realized; proposes Ministry of Law publish proposal nationally.
11eCourts: Shaping up as suggested2024-11-01Notes eCourts Project Phase III's focus on digital infrastructure, paperless interfaces, and NSTEP automation for summons delivery.
12When Courts Wait: What Calcutta HC's 50-Year Backlog Says About Systems, Technology and Will2025-09-01Documents Calcutta HC's 50+ year case backlog; argues reform requires process redesign plus technology; notes parallel to exam system readiness.
13Justice Without Delay2026-05-01Analyzes Supreme Court's directions on reasoned judgment delays; recommends case-management dashboards, drafting support, tiered timelines, and infrastructure investment.
14Mixed Signals from the Supreme Court2026-05-01Critiques apex court's demand for three-month disposal timelines while reserving own judgments for 15+ months; proposes virtual pilots, retired judge panels, and case-triage automation.
15Court Fines Centre Over CISF Case2026-04-01Supreme Court criticizes Centre for routine appeals that inflate backlog; emphasizes institutional self-restraint and gatekeeping as part of pendency solution.

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